Today's All Weather Racing
- Thread starter Dave
- Start date
No probs Dave, anytime.
Chesham
Sire
Your welcome
Dave
Gelding
Sorry this it’s a bit late in the day but I’ve been busy and not had the time. Well yesterday was a prime example of the forum curse.
I hoping to rectify that today. I’m looking at the bargain basement trying to find a double figure horse. The race I’ve focused on is 19:30 at WOLVERHAMPTON,
I’ve got two that I’m interested in and I’ve spent awhile trying to get it to a single selection but I know if I do that the selection I drop will no doubt get placed and maybe win.
The two that I’m interested in are Lhebayeb and Dash Power.
Lhebayeb is an 8 year old mare. She is a course & distance winner. It’s debatable if she’s well handicapped but she’s near to the mark. Highest winning mark of 50 in this type of race and is 51 today. Last won 219 days ago and had 10 races since. Last ran 16 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, finishing a good 5th beaten by 1.90 lengths. She’s running in the same class and over the same distance.
Dash Power Is the one that I was going to leave out. However, I have a niggling feeling that they ran him LTO with the aim of reducing his Handicap mark but his mark didn’t get dropped. There appears to be a pattern of running him at Southwell where he simply doesn’t perform. he’s much better at Wolverhampton.
He’s a 5 years old gelding and a course & distance winner. I think he’s on a mark where he could run well.
I’ve had small E/W BOG on both at 12/1.
I feel it’s wide open. If Dash Power puts his best performance in he could win this. His last run over C&D was 6/12/2025 and he ran a good race finished 2nd RaceIQ metrics indicated the race was run slightly faster than the expected par. He’s got a bit of ground to make up with R P Mcmurphy who re opposes today and is favourite.
I tried to look at the RaceIQ details for the 27/12/25 for Lhebayeb on racingTV but the figures are totally wrong.
Fingers crossed
I hoping to rectify that today. I’m looking at the bargain basement trying to find a double figure horse. The race I’ve focused on is 19:30 at WOLVERHAMPTON,
I’ve got two that I’m interested in and I’ve spent awhile trying to get it to a single selection but I know if I do that the selection I drop will no doubt get placed and maybe win.
The two that I’m interested in are Lhebayeb and Dash Power.
Lhebayeb is an 8 year old mare. She is a course & distance winner. It’s debatable if she’s well handicapped but she’s near to the mark. Highest winning mark of 50 in this type of race and is 51 today. Last won 219 days ago and had 10 races since. Last ran 16 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, finishing a good 5th beaten by 1.90 lengths. She’s running in the same class and over the same distance.
Dash Power Is the one that I was going to leave out. However, I have a niggling feeling that they ran him LTO with the aim of reducing his Handicap mark but his mark didn’t get dropped. There appears to be a pattern of running him at Southwell where he simply doesn’t perform. he’s much better at Wolverhampton.
He’s a 5 years old gelding and a course & distance winner. I think he’s on a mark where he could run well.
I’ve had small E/W BOG on both at 12/1.
I feel it’s wide open. If Dash Power puts his best performance in he could win this. His last run over C&D was 6/12/2025 and he ran a good race finished 2nd RaceIQ metrics indicated the race was run slightly faster than the expected par. He’s got a bit of ground to make up with R P Mcmurphy who re opposes today and is favourite.
I tried to look at the RaceIQ details for the 27/12/25 for Lhebayeb on racingTV but the figures are totally wrong.
Fingers crossed
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Dave
Gelding
Well another toilet job.
Dash Power was just there to get his mark down never put in the race. I will be watching that one as it’s clear to me what they are doing and it’s only a matter of time. He will be back at Wolverhampton when the time is right. I think they might even run him again at Southwell
Dash Power was just there to get his mark down never put in the race. I will be watching that one as it’s clear to me what they are doing and it’s only a matter of time. He will be back at Wolverhampton when the time is right. I think they might even run him again at Southwell
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Dave
Gelding
Good morning, I have had a bet in the Chelmsford 19:00 Siobhanbrogan EW @ 10/1
This is another horse that I feel is incorrectly priced. Lazzar looks a decent favourite and the most likely winner but the price is short.
I feel Siobhanbrogan has more to offer based on her 2nd at Wolverhampton on 01/02/2025. The mare cost £120,000 which indicates she’s well bred. She’s also a distance winner and could be well handicapped. I suspect she’s had issues based on her absence.
This is another horse that I feel is incorrectly priced. Lazzar looks a decent favourite and the most likely winner but the price is short.
I feel Siobhanbrogan has more to offer based on her 2nd at Wolverhampton on 01/02/2025. The mare cost £120,000 which indicates she’s well bred. She’s also a distance winner and could be well handicapped. I suspect she’s had issues based on her absence.
JennyK
Gelding
Good luck with Siobhanbrogan,
Dave. She certainly looks a reasonable ew bet to me as she has, in the race to which you refer, on my performance ratings by far the best of any in the field since 01/01/25. The Post's comments about her last two runs are more negative than my own interpretation; first time back after 291 days off, what does one expect, and on the last run twelve days later the inference I'd draw is that she was still short of race fitness.
If she is fitter today, and the 45 days since her last run raises a question mark about that for me when taking alongside the ownership and lack of movement in the market, my only other, slight, concern is that she may be better on a bendy course like Wolverhampton, but the evidence is insufficient to be even close to being sure.
The opposition does not look strong. I'd agree your comment re Lazzar - decent, certainly, but not nailed on. The only other one who looks as though logically he could finish ahead of Siobhanbrogan is Invincible Melody who, with the claim, gets a stone from both her and Lazzar.
Dave. She certainly looks a reasonable ew bet to me as she has, in the race to which you refer, on my performance ratings by far the best of any in the field since 01/01/25. The Post's comments about her last two runs are more negative than my own interpretation; first time back after 291 days off, what does one expect, and on the last run twelve days later the inference I'd draw is that she was still short of race fitness.If she is fitter today, and the 45 days since her last run raises a question mark about that for me when taking alongside the ownership and lack of movement in the market, my only other, slight, concern is that she may be better on a bendy course like Wolverhampton, but the evidence is insufficient to be even close to being sure.
The opposition does not look strong. I'd agree your comment re Lazzar - decent, certainly, but not nailed on. The only other one who looks as though logically he could finish ahead of Siobhanbrogan is Invincible Melody who, with the claim, gets a stone from both her and Lazzar.
Chesham
Sire
Not financially involved but an EW chance would be Massimo Blue. The booking of Jack Mitchell catches the eye as he gave the horse a good ride at Wolverhampton, finished 2nd and gave 9 Lb to the winner who has won 2 since
TF Report
pair of the more interesting horses came to the fore in this run-of-the-mill sprint, both seeming likely to continue to pay their way if kept going during the winter.
SAM'S HOPE well backed, had a better trip from a lower draw this time and quickly resumed winning ways for a small stable that's in good form; in touch, took strong hold, headway over 1f out, led final 1f, kept on; she ought to go well again.
MASSIMO BLUE turned out again quickly under a penalty, ran at least as well in defeat as when winning at Southwell 2 days previously, slightly inconvenienced as he began his run but not enough to make a difference to the result; mid-field, effort when carried right over 1f out, kept on final 1f; should continue to give a good account.
MB had two entries to choose from this week .
TF Report
pair of the more interesting horses came to the fore in this run-of-the-mill sprint, both seeming likely to continue to pay their way if kept going during the winter.
SAM'S HOPE well backed, had a better trip from a lower draw this time and quickly resumed winning ways for a small stable that's in good form; in touch, took strong hold, headway over 1f out, led final 1f, kept on; she ought to go well again.
MASSIMO BLUE turned out again quickly under a penalty, ran at least as well in defeat as when winning at Southwell 2 days previously, slightly inconvenienced as he began his run but not enough to make a difference to the result; mid-field, effort when carried right over 1f out, kept on final 1f; should continue to give a good account.
MB had two entries to choose from this week .
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Dave
Gelding
I agree those stats for winners certainly don’t look encouraging. The placed stats certainly look more encouraging. The AW statistics certainly favour the males over females in mixed events.Hi
Hope that you collect. The one concern is the Stats for females, although poor stats for winners, 11 have placed 25%. and 2 females in tonight’s race
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I think Middlehampark would have dumped her out if they didn’t think she could win something. She in the hands of a very good trainer who would bring her along slowly I’d she’s been injured or out of sorts.
Hopefully, it’s today that she performs.
JennyK
Gelding
Tentative conclusion - the 45 day absence suggests another, slight health or injury issue and today she was not close to full fitness. Time will tell if that is likely the right conclusion and whether she can progress from her performance on 01/02/25, as would be normal with a horse her age. Apart from her, the race went as form suggested it would.
Dave
Gelding
Looks like I went a week or two too early as, both Silkie Wilkie and Tiger Crusade have won this week 3/1 and 12/1. I’d be a liar if I said I had both. The only bet I had today was Far too Fizzy who I backed at 2/1 last minute.
Between looking after the grandkids and the elderly parents I just didn’t get the study time for all the races. I thought Far Too Fizzy was drawn perfect for the early speed and Rossa Ryan on board made me quite confident. Sorry I didn’t post but time passed by far too quickly.
I’m sick to the gills over Tiger Crusade as she had plenty of speed to aim at.
Cheers Dave
Tiger Crusade is a gelding.
Dave
Gelding
Well that’s made my day, I’ve just sold the first copy of my book UK All-Weather Sprint Racing: A Practical Guide to picking winners. It went live on Amazon yesterday and I wasn’t expecting a sale so quickly.
It’s been a bucket list task of mine that I’ve worked on for a number of years. It’s been very stop start for a number of years. However, I finally got the inspiration to finish it after integrating the free RaceIQ sectionals and metrics found on the Racing TV website or App into my analysis and selection processes.
It’s been a bucket list task of mine that I’ve worked on for a number of years. It’s been very stop start for a number of years. However, I finally got the inspiration to finish it after integrating the free RaceIQ sectionals and metrics found on the Racing TV website or App into my analysis and selection processes.
markfinn
Sire
Good luck with it Dave
