Jackform
Gelding
Wizardry7, we keep returning to this as it is sensible IMO . I normally make a pen-and-paper chart and convert the ratings into odds to compare with the early betting market. This is an example of a top-class stakes rated with Fineform master formula criteria using online RP data.
The simple arithmetic to convert the ratings to fair odds that I use is to add the ratings, divide the total into 100, and note the result to three figures of decimals. In this case it was 105, which gave .952. The multiply each individual rating by the .952 to give a percentage. convert the percentage to odds using the field money table. I just use the result to compare with the early betting market noting any major difference.
Doncaster (going forecast S) RP Spotlight selects Anna Nerium (2 pundits agree 11 oppose)
2.05 Market expected 2.05* no's 1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 3/1, possible contender 6/1, not expected longer than 12/1.
1*. 17 = 5/1 Fineform (4/1 mkt) Anna Nerium 3 tips (D). LTO 29, +2lbs< = class, Nmk
2. 6 = 16/1 (22/1)
3*. 16 = 11/2 (7/2) Freyja 1 tip (D). LTO 7, +7lbs, =cls, Nmk
4. 5 = 20/1 (22/1)
5*. 1 = 100/1 (12/1)
6. 0 = ? (14/1)
7*. 11 = 17/2 (10/1)
8*. 8 = 12/1 (10/1)
10. 10 = 10/1 (16/1)
11*. 5 = 20/1 (12/1)
12. 12 = 8/1 25/1) Salsada (D2). LTO 51? +3 class? Ayr
13*. 4 = 25/1 (13/2)
14*. 10 = 10/1 (11/1)
Comment: This is just an example and I'm not playing but if you follow the crowd dutch Anna Nerium and Freyja, where Freyja come s out the class/form horse IMO.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
Born With Pride has lost her way this year but would be interesting if first-time cheekpieces galvanised her. However, preference is for ANNA NERIUM, who lost little in defeat when second in a Group 3 at Newmarket last time, with Trefoil back in fourth, and is entitled to improve for this drop in grade. The thriving Freyja battled on well to land a Listed heat at Newmarket last time and is another expected to take a hand.
Top Tip: ANNA NERIUM (1)
Watch out for: FREYJA (3)
The simple arithmetic to convert the ratings to fair odds that I use is to add the ratings, divide the total into 100, and note the result to three figures of decimals. In this case it was 105, which gave .952. The multiply each individual rating by the .952 to give a percentage. convert the percentage to odds using the field money table. I just use the result to compare with the early betting market noting any major difference.
Doncaster (going forecast S) RP Spotlight selects Anna Nerium (2 pundits agree 11 oppose)
2.05 Market expected 2.05* no's 1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11, 13, 14 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 3/1, possible contender 6/1, not expected longer than 12/1.
1*. 17 = 5/1 Fineform (4/1 mkt) Anna Nerium 3 tips (D). LTO 29, +2lbs< = class, Nmk
2. 6 = 16/1 (22/1)
3*. 16 = 11/2 (7/2) Freyja 1 tip (D). LTO 7, +7lbs, =cls, Nmk
4. 5 = 20/1 (22/1)
5*. 1 = 100/1 (12/1)
6. 0 = ? (14/1)
7*. 11 = 17/2 (10/1)
8*. 8 = 12/1 (10/1)
10. 10 = 10/1 (16/1)
11*. 5 = 20/1 (12/1)
12. 12 = 8/1 25/1) Salsada (D2). LTO 51? +3 class? Ayr
13*. 4 = 25/1 (13/2)
14*. 10 = 10/1 (11/1)
Comment: This is just an example and I'm not playing but if you follow the crowd dutch Anna Nerium and Freyja, where Freyja come s out the class/form horse IMO.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
Born With Pride has lost her way this year but would be interesting if first-time cheekpieces galvanised her. However, preference is for ANNA NERIUM, who lost little in defeat when second in a Group 3 at Newmarket last time, with Trefoil back in fourth, and is entitled to improve for this drop in grade. The thriving Freyja battled on well to land a Listed heat at Newmarket last time and is another expected to take a hand.
Top Tip: ANNA NERIUM (1)
Watch out for: FREYJA (3)