Bobajobber
Mare
arkle55 said:
I have suffered the same, not sure if we are backing up, I think Ark is looking into it
I have suffered the same, not sure if we are backing up, I think Ark is looking into it
ArkRoyal
Administrator
Yes there have been some problems.
I have made a post here viewtopic.php?f=22&t=1458
I have made a post here viewtopic.php?f=22&t=1458
hedgehog
Dam
Hello all,
Formtheory, thanks for the pep talk, much appreciated
Today I looked at the 3.00 York and have it between ladies are forever, mass rally, smoothtalkinrascal, hallelujah and mince. All are suited by the going but only mr, str and m are form horses and only str and m have decent opposition. The odds are such that a profitable book can be had betting both so that is what I've done
Hopefully FTs prediction will come true
Good look if you play today
Formtheory, thanks for the pep talk, much appreciated
Today I looked at the 3.00 York and have it between ladies are forever, mass rally, smoothtalkinrascal, hallelujah and mince. All are suited by the going but only mr, str and m are form horses and only str and m have decent opposition. The odds are such that a profitable book can be had betting both so that is what I've done
Hopefully FTs prediction will come true
Good look if you play today
hedgehog
Dam
Hello all,
Thanks Chesham, I hadn't spotted that. Thanks again
Today I looked at one race the 4.50 Newbury and have it between arnold lane, free wheeling, magic city and tawhid. Mc isn't proven on soft going and fw isn't a form horse which leaves al and t.
Lto t was beaten by a 70ar horse at sp 22/1 , t was dropping from a 56k race. T should have won and I don't rate its opposition lto.
Al lto was beaten by viztoria which was dropping from a 216k race and had an effective ar in the 1600s. It wa al first run after a break. And al is suited by soft going.
Even though I think t is unlikely to win I have had a small saver on it but most of my bet is on al.
I know Chesham will berate me fo picking an outsider but I honestly think al comes from the best race lto and its previous form is good with a recent g3 win
Good luck if you play today
Thanks Chesham, I hadn't spotted that. Thanks again
Today I looked at one race the 4.50 Newbury and have it between arnold lane, free wheeling, magic city and tawhid. Mc isn't proven on soft going and fw isn't a form horse which leaves al and t.
Lto t was beaten by a 70ar horse at sp 22/1 , t was dropping from a 56k race. T should have won and I don't rate its opposition lto.
Al lto was beaten by viztoria which was dropping from a 216k race and had an effective ar in the 1600s. It wa al first run after a break. And al is suited by soft going.
Even though I think t is unlikely to win I have had a small saver on it but most of my bet is on al.
I know Chesham will berate me fo picking an outsider but I honestly think al comes from the best race lto and its previous form is good with a recent g3 win
Good luck if you play today
Chesham
Sire
Hi H
Mtoto Favours AL, but had concerns so is a no betting race for him and that looks a wise decision today. Tawhid is trading high and has been 2.1 and now 1.8 Price Disparity
Magic City is up in class, good speed figs but did not beat anything LTO although the 2nd horse, INTRANSIGENT, won next time out in lower class lower class against an unfit Firebeam but not enough evidence to suggest that Magic City is up to this class yet.
Firebeam is the unknown could be better for the run and has the ground in his favour, ran ok in a listed at Haydock last year
Not a race that I would want to bet in
Good Luck
Chesham
hedgehog
Dam
Hello Chesham,
Thanks for the warning, as it was I made a very small profit which is the first profit I've made since the fugue
I'm finding my basic selection method is underperforming and then I manage to pick the wrong horse when it does work
I still don't think t should have won
I think I need more than a few tweaks
Thanks for the warning, as it was I made a very small profit which is the first profit I've made since the fugue
I'm finding my basic selection method is underperforming and then I manage to pick the wrong horse when it does work
I still don't think t should have won
I think I need more than a few tweaks
formtheory
Stallion
Hi Hedgehog!
I actually felt Tawhid was strong today and deserved backing.
It is funny how we all have different views when looking at the same race.
For me Tawhid had been pitched too high when facing Gregorian on his penultimate race but ran well, above his ability rating.
LTO he was upped in trip, although he has ran well his best form had come over 7f at todays course on
on heavy going.
He had to travel the whole way around the field in order to make a challenge.
Today he was dropped in class but only carried 1lb more weight, he had ideal conditions dropping back in trip at Newbury on the soft surface.
His trainer is the top trainer at Newbury as is the jockey, who was also switched onto Tawhid for todays race.
Godolphin had won the race in the last 3 times in the last 4 years and the time they did not win they filled the 2nd position.
I felt he had been set up for todays race.
Have a good evening
Paul.
I actually felt Tawhid was strong today and deserved backing.
It is funny how we all have different views when looking at the same race.
For me Tawhid had been pitched too high when facing Gregorian on his penultimate race but ran well, above his ability rating.
LTO he was upped in trip, although he has ran well his best form had come over 7f at todays course on
on heavy going.
He had to travel the whole way around the field in order to make a challenge.
Today he was dropped in class but only carried 1lb more weight, he had ideal conditions dropping back in trip at Newbury on the soft surface.
His trainer is the top trainer at Newbury as is the jockey, who was also switched onto Tawhid for todays race.
Godolphin had won the race in the last 3 times in the last 4 years and the time they did not win they filled the 2nd position.
I felt he had been set up for todays race.
Have a good evening
Paul.
chilled
Yearling
Chin up mate, as usual you had the principles in your 3 to look at.
Your knocking at the door.
hedgehog
Dam
Thanks Chilled, the pep talk is appreciated
Looked at one race today, the 3.10 Newmarket and have it between duntle, elusive Kate, just the judge and sky lantern. All are suited by the going and a,all are form horses but I'm not impressed by the lto comments for jtj and sl which leaves d and ek. Of the pair I prefer ek. Lto ek was beaten by the 780ar moonlight cloud, today ek drops in class in an easier race. I think a book would be profitable so I'll do that
Looked at one race today, the 3.10 Newmarket and have it between duntle, elusive Kate, just the judge and sky lantern. All are suited by the going and a,all are form horses but I'm not impressed by the lto comments for jtj and sl which leaves d and ek. Of the pair I prefer ek. Lto ek was beaten by the 780ar moonlight cloud, today ek drops in class in an easier race. I think a book would be profitable so I'll do that
hedgehog
Dam
Hello all,
Had a break and feel better for it. Looked at the 3.55 wetherby today and have it between grandads horse, golden call, dorset naga and tara rose. All are suited to the going but only gc and dn are form horses with good opposition. Both are suited to the conditions, gc beat an 22ar horse lto while dn beat a 35 ar horse lto, the numbers are better fo gc but it has been off course a long while. The odds are such that a profitable book can be had so that is my choice
Good luck if you play today
Had a break and feel better for it. Looked at the 3.55 wetherby today and have it between grandads horse, golden call, dorset naga and tara rose. All are suited to the going but only gc and dn are form horses with good opposition. Both are suited to the conditions, gc beat an 22ar horse lto while dn beat a 35 ar horse lto, the numbers are better fo gc but it has been off course a long while. The odds are such that a profitable book can be had so that is my choice
Good luck if you play today
hedgehog
Dam
Hello all,
Looked at the 3.50 wincanton today and have it between jump city, velator, dorset naga and al alfa but dn is a non runner but I don't think I need to include any other horses. Aa is out because of the going and jc and v are both form horses with good opposition, v was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses so that leaves jc. Jc was beaten by rody a 51 ar horse which was dropping markedly in class. Rody ar and or are both better than anything in this race. Rody lto was 3rd favorite so was well thought of by the masses. I think jc will win it's first handicap today and I make it my selection
Good luck if you play today
Looked at the 3.50 wincanton today and have it between jump city, velator, dorset naga and al alfa but dn is a non runner but I don't think I need to include any other horses. Aa is out because of the going and jc and v are both form horses with good opposition, v was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses so that leaves jc. Jc was beaten by rody a 51 ar horse which was dropping markedly in class. Rody ar and or are both better than anything in this race. Rody lto was 3rd favorite so was well thought of by the masses. I think jc will win it's first handicap today and I make it my selection
Good luck if you play today
hedgehog
Dam
Hello all,
Well I got lucky yesterday!
Looked at the listed at dundalk and have it between sweet lightning, afonso de sousa, manalapan and majestic jasmine. All are suited by th going and all are form horses with good opposition. I don't like sl being beaten bya llower ar horse lto with no excuses and I don't like mj comments lto being beaten in a lower class race so that leaves ads an . Both ads and m were beaten lto by parish hall which is a 706 ar horse with or 113 and a 38% strike rate. Ph was dropping from a 353k race where it was a rag. But it had an effective ar in the 3200 range. Basically ads and m stood no chance. Ads last win it beat dabadiyan which had an ar of 140, or 107 anda 50% sstrike rate having won 3 on the bounce. Lto it won as favorite and was dropping in class when it met ads.. c
Compare that to m beating encryted message, it had an ar of 53, or 86 and strike rate of 20% amd lto was 5th as 3rd favorite. Further lto ads was fav and m 40/1.
My money is on afonso de sousa as being beaten by better than in this race and beating better than m
Good luck if you play today
Well I got lucky yesterday!
Looked at the listed at dundalk and have it between sweet lightning, afonso de sousa, manalapan and majestic jasmine. All are suited by th going and all are form horses with good opposition. I don't like sl being beaten bya llower ar horse lto with no excuses and I don't like mj comments lto being beaten in a lower class race so that leaves ads an . Both ads and m were beaten lto by parish hall which is a 706 ar horse with or 113 and a 38% strike rate. Ph was dropping from a 353k race where it was a rag. But it had an effective ar in the 3200 range. Basically ads and m stood no chance. Ads last win it beat dabadiyan which had an ar of 140, or 107 anda 50% sstrike rate having won 3 on the bounce. Lto it won as favorite and was dropping in class when it met ads.. c
Compare that to m beating encryted message, it had an ar of 53, or 86 and strike rate of 20% amd lto was 5th as 3rd favorite. Further lto ads was fav and m 40/1.
My money is on afonso de sousa as being beaten by better than in this race and beating better than m
Good luck if you play today
formtheory
Stallion
Well done yesterday Hedgehog and good luck today.