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VDW hedgehog/stubble - trying to get lucky

Hello all,

Thanks Chesham, much appreciated

Looked at 2 races today.

1.50 Bangor, I have this between our Mickey, malt masster, pete the feat and loch ba. Om I don't make as a form horse which means if I'm right there is value in this race. Mm has poor comments and ptf was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses, that leaves lb. However allowing for the negatives in the odds I make lb, ptf and mm all value and would make a book of the 3 with a 70% chance of cashing in.

2.50 Bangor, I have this between native gallery, stopped out, shotavodka and hada men. S isn't suited by the going and ng and hm both have poor comments which leaves so. Allowing for the negatives I make so and ng. Value and would make a book of the pair

Good luck if you play today

I think I have a 44% chance of cashing in the second and over 80 chance of cashing in at least one
 
Hello all,

Thanks Chesham

Arkroyal, I did bet more on the first but that was due to the greater value in the first. I work out value odds and bet in proportion to the difference
 
Hello all,

Looked at 2 races today.

2.00 Ludlow, I have this between cootehill, kings lodge, rydalis and jayandbee. C was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses and kl and r have poor comments which leaves j. Allowing for the negatives I have j, kl and c as value and would make a book of the 3. I have a 60% chance of cashing in.

2.55 clonmel, I have this between caheronaun, backinthere, caoimes delight and liz destruval. Ld isn't a form horse and cd was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses. Allowing for the negatives I have b and c as value and would make a book of the pair. I have a 51% chchance of cashing in

I have an 80% chance of cashing in at least one bet today
 
Hello all,

I didn't like the size of the fields at Cheltenham so stuck with the aw.

1.25 lingfield, I have this between deglet noor, Paris rose, mystery bet and rainbow beauty. Pr isn't suited by the going and mb was beaten by a lower ar horse without excuses 1. Dn I'm not happy with the form of the winner lto which leaverb. Allowing for the negatives I have rb and mb as value and would make a book of the pair. I have a 47% chance of cashing in.

7.00 wolves, I have this between marcret, zain eagle, spirit of the law and ardmay. M, ze and a are all unsuited by the going which leaves sotl. Allowing for the negatives I have sotl, m and a as value and would make a book. Sotl would have my maximum bet as I make it a 5/2 chance. I have a 60% chance of cashing in and a 79% chance of cashing in at least on bet

Good luck if you play today
 
Hello all,

Looked at the 9.20 wolves and gave myself time, I have this between dark lane, passionada, quality art and megaleka. P isn't a form horse, m is unsuited by the going and qa was beaten by a maiden lto. Which leaves dl which didn't beat much lto. Allowing for the negatives I make dl qa and m value and would make a book of the 3. I have a 70% chance of cashing this in
 
Hello all,

Just a quickie to say emperors choice, camden and alderluck are value in the 1.50 fontwell and I would make a book of the 3. I have a 66% chance of cashing this in.
 
Another quickie to say fosters cross, dick Dundee and protaras are all value in the 3.40 cork and a book makes sense
 
Hello Tom,

Thanks, it was a golfer wasn't it was a golfer, Nicholas?

Well done to wizard and ft for their winners this week
 
Hello all,

Looked at one race so far today, 3.15 ascot and have it between drumshambo, viva colonia, alasi and lancetto. Vc and l were both beaten by lower ar horses lto, a has poor comments which leaves d. Allowing for the negatives I have d and vc as value and would make a book of the pair. I have a 47% chance of cashing in.

Good luck if you play today
 
Hello all,

Looked at the 3.00 haydock and have it between bobs worth, cue card, long run and silviniaco conti. Cc and sc were both beaten by lower ar horses lto and lr has poor comments which leaves bw. Allowing for the negatives I have cc and lr as value. I think bw is most likely to win but 9/4 is poor odds given this is not bw target so I doubt it will be trying hard
 
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