3 Year Olds

[markfinn]

Just been looking at this race and the one that interest me is BRIGHT START who has yet to win in four runs but his level of form would easily give him every chance off his mark of 81. This 10f looks to be his best distance and other possible positives are tackle off, cheek pieces on, first time on the AW and Murphy back in the saddle.

Hi Tacker - I can see the trainer form attraction for yours - my above is based on horses out performing or at least equaling their speed pars for the race - Bright star has not achieved ( as yet) one . The stand out on that front is the Declared Interest rating of 72 but I dont generally back fillies and the system for the moment rejections them - If added drives up the bets harms the SR and the profit



with fillies - without



Will probably win now as 72 - 67 - 5pts is quite a difference and she is drawn better - ?? System all new to me at the moment but lets see

For the record with Fillies in the 3 year system throws up 4 horses of interest today - to be filtered through trainer form - Discarded Ollie pears on negative trainer form and 20.30 - dropped Declared Love and La Dragontea on sex




Good luck to all today.

 

[Chesham]

With T tacker on this one. From a Pedigree Handicapping perspective, Bright Start looks to be the one

Bright Start

LTO race sees Bright Start remain on the Same BHA Rating. Others who were in the same Race have since improved their BHA


Excellent 1st generation Nicks with 7 Black Type winners coming out of the cross

Plenty of Goodies in the 10 generation Nicks too

Stats for Triner ate the track and class, also positive

 

[Chesham]

Well done with Declared Interest markfinn

 

[markfinn]

Well done with Declared Interest markfinn

spotted but not backed

 

[tacker]

Nice work markfinn

 

[markfinn]

Perhaps I need to reconsider my long nurtured misogynism

 

[markfinn]

I would not expect many to rush on this one


Best LTO recorded speed achieved - Well Drawn - Trainer is going well

 

[markfinn]

2nd at 10/1 and wasn't overly taxed or pushed on - one to watch NTO

 

[markfinn]

Bit a clash here as its the same race as the UK Common race - but its a different horse and found purely by a system created for
3yrs olds- Fastest LTO - beating my race speed par at Chelmsford - excludes Fillies

 

[doomster]

Southwell 6.05 Stroxx @ 20/1

Early 25/1 gone, but I'm not really expecting a surge on this horse and he will probably trade big in running if his recent slow starts are repeated.

The trainer sends a party of 5 to Southwell, a track that appears to be low on his placement list, but he has a top record here.

He shows a blind profit here ( improves with the jockey at track) and is 6/23 this season and 7/25 last season.

The problem is the horse looks regressive, even though he;s only run twice this season, but I'm prepared to put the last run down to "too bad to be true" class on soft ground, in a novice event.

Of more concern is the fact he has dwelt on a couple accasions, which will surely blow his chances over the straight 5f here. However, he did actually break ok lto and the fact the trainer hasn't resortrd to headgear, gives me hope.

The jockey reported on two occasions the horse ran too free over 6f, so certainly worth a crack letting loose here over 5f and stall 2 is a decent berth.

 

[markfinn]

1st run AW and stable form not great ? I like the jockey and he has won on the horse before

 

[tacker]

I thought that COSMIC POWER has the form to be placed here having been dropped a lb for a good 4th over c/d sp of 40/1 that day so 12/1 looks good value, that said AIM FOR THE STARS will want some beating imo, his wolves win was quite good.

 

[markfinn]

Monday AW Class E that attracts top Jocks and Trainers ?



Both top rated Stoutes & Haggas stable hitting the straps also Micheal Madgwick stable showing nice progression into form

 

[tacker]

A few confusing form lines but Haggas to beat Stoute for me.

 

[doomster]

Kempton maidens at this time of year are tough for me, but the Haggis horse Sargasso Sea looks to hold a decent chance as long as stall 1 does not see het get trapped inside on the turn .

The horse that beat her on debut was rated 88 and raised to 90, should hopefully give us a clue as he runs in a 0-95 at Wolver 20 minutes earlier.

 

[markfinn]

 

[doomster]

Wel done T tacker .

The 3/1 last night with 365 was generous.

 

[markfinn]

That worked well enough





Bluella clear top top but trainer form is not supporting the 5 year olds claim in order to win she need to improve and with 4 unknown 3 year olds in the race plus a 4yr old's she looks less likly to win so going to lay her and back the unknown but best trainer form Sweet Talked

 

[markfinn]

Got the Lay right

 

[markfinn]

Good humour best drawn and Varians stable is going very well

Alxej