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Uk Betting Forum Common Race of Day

WoM consensus says Celestial Comet

Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,CELESTIAS COMET,"['3.0', '1.0', '7.0', '7.0', '1.0', '2.0']",21.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,MAO SHANG WONG,"['7.0', '3.0', '2.0', '1.0', '3.0', '6.0']",22.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,FLIGHTOFTHEPHOENIX,"['5.0', '2.0', '6.0', '6.0', '5.0', '3.0']",27.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,SIGLIOSA,"['1.5', '4.0', '4.0', '3.0', '6.0', '10.0']",28.5
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,GOLSPIE,"['9.0', '7.0', '1.0', '2.0', '8.0', '5.0']",32.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,TWILIGHT MOON,"['8.0', '6.0', '9.0', '10.0', '4.0', '1.0']",38.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,POMME POMME,"['4.0', '8.0', '10.0', '11.0', '2.0', '4.0']",39.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,EVERYONEKNOWSADAVE,"['10.0', '5.0', '3.0', '4.0', '10.0', '8.0']",40.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,RODOYA,"['1.5', '11.0', '8.0', '9.0', '11.0', '7.0']",47.5
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,OPTICIAN,"['6.0', '9.0', '11.0', '8.0', '7.0', '9.0']",50.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,BINT AL DAAR,"['11.0', '10.0', '5.0', '5.0', '9.0', '11.0']",51.0

WoM Regression says Celestial Comet

Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,CELESTIAS COMET,0.07,1.0,0.62,0.63,1.0,0.81,0.19541398194066448
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,MAO SHANG WONG,0.59,0.51,0.99,1.0,0.47,0.45,0.17296394640106055
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,GOLSPIE,0.7,0.13,1.0,0.95,0.2,0.5,0.11827480831905134
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,SIGLIOSA,0.0,0.41,0.89,0.91,0.29,0.12,0.11808333126908849
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,FLIGHTOFTHEPHOENIX,0.11,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.42,0.73,0.11152509067635782
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,EVERYONEKNOWSADAVE,0.72,0.41,0.91,0.85,0.11,0.32,0.10435608607475642
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,TWILIGHT MOON,0.61,0.26,0.49,0.5,0.42,1.0,0.08008354838898493
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,BINT AL DAAR,1.0,0.03,0.67,0.81,0.17,0.0,0.06682806910102077
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,POMME POMME,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.0,0.59,0.51,0.056780909407741754
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,OPTICIAN,0.53,0.08,0.0,0.55,0.25,0.27,0.04934697174400693
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,RODOYA,0.0,0.0,0.58,0.55,0.0,0.45,0.048510513586798205
 
Celestias Comet

Southwell 17:30 - Flat MR Analysis​

Missing MR values treated as 0.
Rank​
Horse
OR​
Full Flat MR List
Best MR​
Avg Best 2 MR​
MR+17​
(MR+17 − OR)​
1​
Optician
74​
0, 60, 65, 31, 56, 38
65​
62.5​
79.5​
+5.5​
2​
Everyoneknowsadave
75​
57, 61, 59, 65, 54, 33
65​
63.0​
80.0​
+5.0​
3​
Mao Shang Wong
74​
63, 58, 58, 28, 42, 37
63​
60.5​
77.5​
+3.5​
4​
Celestias Comet
72​
62, 35, 60, 26, 58, 59
62​
61.0​
78.0​
+6.0​
5​
Sigliosa
73​
42, 46, 33, 22, 61, 27
61​
53.5​
70.5​
-2.5​
6​
Bint Al Daar
67​
48, 52, 46, 48, 35, 58
58​
55.0​
72.0​
+5.0​
7​
Flightofthephoenix
73​
39, 25, 55, 23, 47, 47
55​
51.0​
68.0​
-5.0​
8​
Golspie
62​
33, 47, 40, 55, 49, 44
55​
52.0​
69.0​
+7.0​
9​
Pomme Pomme
68​
0, 29, 42, 40, 55, 14
55​
48.5​
65.5​
-2.5​
10​
Twilight Moon
71​
27, 52, 47, 20, 41, 38
52​
49.5​
66.5​
-4.5​
11​
Rodoya
67​
50, 49, 42, 0, 20, 0
50​
49.5​
66.5​
-0.5​

Takeaway​

Top MR horses: Optician, Everyoneknowsadave, Mao Shang Wong, Celestias Comet.
Best handicapped: Golspie (+7), Celestias Comet (+6), Optician (+5.5).
Best overall: Celestias Comet.

​

 
Last edited:
One-Line Runner Summaries


1. Celestias Comet (88): Course-and-distance winner arriving in sharp form for James Fanshawe (60%) with top jockey David Egan booked.


2. Flightofthephoenix (87): Progressive filly who has scored twice on artificial tracks recently; handles 1m3f cleanly for Charles Hills (40%).


3. Everyoneknowsadave (87): Course winner who ran well at Southwell in August; benefits from an inside rail draw in stall 1.


4. Golspie (87): Southwell course specialist in great form following a recent course win; drawn nicely in stall 3.
 
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