Uk Betting Forum Common Race of Day

[DuckandDive]

From the short-list, I'm leaning towards: Initial Blue 7.60+

 

[Sullybomb]

Trying a slightly different approach with this one.

 

[markfinn]

View attachment 172748View attachment 172749

well found Simon and it goes without saying well done again Michael231

 

[DuckandDive]

wd S simon boardman and Michael231

 

[Sullybomb]

Well Done Michael231 & S simon boardman

 

[Sol Ski]

Michael231 and S simon boardman

 

[Michael231]

Thanks all they seem to be going okay lately.
And well done to S simon boardman

 

[simon boardman]

Same to you Michael231 Well Done

 

[FHRTIPS]

Well done people

 

[Michael231]

How about this one for today.
22 Oct 2026

17:30
Southwell (AW)​

4yo and up longer distance 11 runners prices look okay

 

[MySportsAI]

WoM consensus says Celestial Comet

Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,CELESTIAS COMET,"['3.0', '1.0', '7.0', '7.0', '1.0', '2.0']",21.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,MAO SHANG WONG,"['7.0', '3.0', '2.0', '1.0', '3.0', '6.0']",22.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,FLIGHTOFTHEPHOENIX,"['5.0', '2.0', '6.0', '6.0', '5.0', '3.0']",27.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,SIGLIOSA,"['1.5', '4.0', '4.0', '3.0', '6.0', '10.0']",28.5
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,GOLSPIE,"['9.0', '7.0', '1.0', '2.0', '8.0', '5.0']",32.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,TWILIGHT MOON,"['8.0', '6.0', '9.0', '10.0', '4.0', '1.0']",38.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,POMME POMME,"['4.0', '8.0', '10.0', '11.0', '2.0', '4.0']",39.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,EVERYONEKNOWSADAVE,"['10.0', '5.0', '3.0', '4.0', '10.0', '8.0']",40.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,RODOYA,"['1.5', '11.0', '8.0', '9.0', '11.0', '7.0']",47.5
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,OPTICIAN,"['6.0', '9.0', '11.0', '8.0', '7.0', '9.0']",50.0
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,BINT AL DAAR,"['11.0', '10.0', '5.0', '5.0', '9.0', '11.0']",51.0

WoM Regression says Celestial Comet

Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,CELESTIAS COMET,0.07,1.0,0.62,0.63,1.0,0.81,0.19541398194066448
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,MAO SHANG WONG,0.59,0.51,0.99,1.0,0.47,0.45,0.17296394640106055
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,GOLSPIE,0.7,0.13,1.0,0.95,0.2,0.5,0.11827480831905134
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,SIGLIOSA,0.0,0.41,0.89,0.91,0.29,0.12,0.11808333126908849
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,FLIGHTOFTHEPHOENIX,0.11,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.42,0.73,0.11152509067635782
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,EVERYONEKNOWSADAVE,0.72,0.41,0.91,0.85,0.11,0.32,0.10435608607475642
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,TWILIGHT MOON,0.61,0.26,0.49,0.5,0.42,1.0,0.08008354838898493
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,BINT AL DAAR,1.0,0.03,0.67,0.81,0.17,0.0,0.06682806910102077
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,POMME POMME,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.0,0.59,0.51,0.056780909407741754
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,OPTICIAN,0.53,0.08,0.0,0.55,0.25,0.27,0.04934697174400693
Southwell_17:30_2026-10-22,RODOYA,0.0,0.0,0.58,0.55,0.0,0.45,0.048510513586798205

 

[TheBluesBrother]

Celestias Comet

Southwell 17:30 - Flat MR Analysis​

Missing MR values treated as 0.

Rank​	Horse	OR​	Full Flat MR List	Best MR​	Avg Best 2 MR​	MR+17​	(MR+17 − OR)​
1​	Optician	74​	0, 60, 65, 31, 56, 38	65​	62.5​	79.5​	+5.5​
2​	Everyoneknowsadave	75​	57, 61, 59, 65, 54, 33	65​	63.0​	80.0​	+5.0​
3​	Mao Shang Wong	74​	63, 58, 58, 28, 42, 37	63​	60.5​	77.5​	+3.5​
4​	Celestias Comet	72​	62, 35, 60, 26, 58, 59	62​	61.0​	78.0​	+6.0​
5​	Sigliosa	73​	42, 46, 33, 22, 61, 27	61​	53.5​	70.5​	-2.5​
6​	Bint Al Daar	67​	48, 52, 46, 48, 35, 58	58​	55.0​	72.0​	+5.0​
7​	Flightofthephoenix	73​	39, 25, 55, 23, 47, 47	55​	51.0​	68.0​	-5.0​
8​	Golspie	62​	33, 47, 40, 55, 49, 44	55​	52.0​	69.0​	+7.0​
9​	Pomme Pomme	68​	0, 29, 42, 40, 55, 14	55​	48.5​	65.5​	-2.5​
10​	Twilight Moon	71​	27, 52, 47, 20, 41, 38	52​	49.5​	66.5​	-4.5​
11​	Rodoya	67​	50, 49, 42, 0, 20, 0	50​	49.5​	66.5​	-0.5​

Takeaway​

Top MR horses: Optician, Everyoneknowsadave, Mao Shang Wong, Celestias Comet.
Best handicapped: Golspie (+7), Celestias Comet (+6), Optician (+5.5).
Best overall: Celestias Comet.

​