Uk Betting Forum Common Race of Day
- Thread starter markfinn
- Start date
DuckandDive
Mare
I'd take a chance on The Hare Rail @16.50+ on Betfair.
0-13, OR dropping with improvement in performances, a good jockey booking, but, is the break of 134 days a positive? and it's drawn 11 where it seems a low draw may have been better. If it runs down the field to get the mark down further, I'll put it in my ATR tracker to win in 3 runs.
A weak pace predicted, so Jazzy Baby might take advantage from the low draw, (market mover), but the pace data conflicts a little.
0-13, OR dropping with improvement in performances, a good jockey booking, but, is the break of 134 days a positive? and it's drawn 11 where it seems a low draw may have been better. If it runs down the field to get the mark down further, I'll put it in my ATR tracker to win in 3 runs.
A weak pace predicted, so Jazzy Baby might take advantage from the low draw, (market mover), but the pace data conflicts a little.
Jackform
Mare
Deffo not a race to bet in for me. A class 5 for 4yo+ over 1 mile on standard to slow. The early mkt 11.15 am expected no's 1, 5, 2, 7, 6 where the first three merit attention, but they are not very quick against some of the others, Billy Mill being the known quickest but no mkt support. No's 1 & 5 have the benefit of a reasonable draw.
mlmrob
Sire
Kempton has run ten of these Class 5, 4yo+ Handicaps over 8f in the last two AW seasons and the first four in the betting have won every one. Over the past eight AW seasons they there has been 30 and 25 have been won.
Taking the year as a whole rather than just the AW season, over the last eight years 41 have won 55 races and since the start of 2025, 14 have won 17 races.
Kieran Burke has sent 12 horses to Kempton since December 17th and won with six. His overall record of 19-95 is impressive. But, it is his record in races over a mile, 8-22, that takes the eye. Obviously Whitcombe Rockstar is responsible for five of those but Jazzy Baby has won herself round the track.
This is only her second handicap and her second race against the males. In her last race against the males, from the same stall, she finished second to Oursin in a novices over this course and distance. It is a race that has worked out well. Only five horses have subsequently ran and four have won including the winner and Jazzy Baby.
Billy Loughnane has rode twice for Kieran Burke, winning on Jazzy Baby and finishing third on Stacey Racey both owned by Michelle Crook. who is 12-49 at Kempton, largely helped by Whitcombe Rockstar.
Footnote: From the 12 horses that Kieran Burke has sent to Kempton since December 17th, seven were owned by Michelle Crook with five winning.
Taking the year as a whole rather than just the AW season, over the last eight years 41 have won 55 races and since the start of 2025, 14 have won 17 races.
Kieran Burke has sent 12 horses to Kempton since December 17th and won with six. His overall record of 19-95 is impressive. But, it is his record in races over a mile, 8-22, that takes the eye. Obviously Whitcombe Rockstar is responsible for five of those but Jazzy Baby has won herself round the track.
This is only her second handicap and her second race against the males. In her last race against the males, from the same stall, she finished second to Oursin in a novices over this course and distance. It is a race that has worked out well. Only five horses have subsequently ran and four have won including the winner and Jazzy Baby.
Billy Loughnane has rode twice for Kieran Burke, winning on Jazzy Baby and finishing third on Stacey Racey both owned by Michelle Crook. who is 12-49 at Kempton, largely helped by Whitcombe Rockstar.
Footnote: From the 12 horses that Kieran Burke has sent to Kempton since December 17th, seven were owned by Michelle Crook with five winning.
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Michael231
Gelding
Here are my ratings for the race.
Final night with Mckenna as e/w with the highest form rating.
Final night with Mckenna as e/w with the highest form rating.
19:00 | Kempton | Jazzy Baby | 36 | 6 | 59.5 |
19:00 | Kempton | Billy Mill | 21 | 6 | 39.8 |
19:00 | Kempton | Midnights Dream | 23 | 6 | 41 |
19:00 | Kempton | McKenna | 47 | 6 | 63 |
19:00 | Kempton | The Hare Rail | 35 | 6 | 55.1 |
19:00 | Kempton | Caph Star | 26 | 6 | 39.9 |
19:00 | Kempton | Rhythm N Rock | 29 | 6 | 45.9 |
19:00 | Kempton | Rey De La Batalla | 31 | 6 | 53.1 |
19:00 | Kempton | Atmosphere | 38 | 6 | 66.3 |
19:00 | Kempton | Valentine Boy | 26 | 6 | 46.1 |
19:00 | Kempton | Sea Founder | 28 | 6 | 64.2 |
19:00 | Kempton | Final Night | 45 | 6 | 76 |
19:00 | Kempton | Arantes Nascimento | 41 | 6 | 66.1 |
Sullybomb
Gelding
I'll post up my own Race Edge Speed Ratings Profiler for the race.
I understand it's not to everybody's taste and its data heavy.
Still a work in progress. I've added tooltips to the individual horse cards for anyone who wants to have a look.
1900 @ Kempton
Cheers
I understand it's not to everybody's taste and its data heavy.
Still a work in progress. I've added tooltips to the individual horse cards for anyone who wants to have a look.
1900 @ Kempton
Cheers
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markfinn
Sire
Well done
doomster
K
Kraldrew
doomster
K
Kraldrew
DuckandDive
Mare
