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Punted Round up

Oh, dear!
I'm taking you on in that race, T tacker. :cry:

My confidence is a bit dented now, but, I was intending getting down the bookie's early and putting on a few hundred.
I need something for Epsom, presuming we'll be able to go.
Not long now.
 
Oh, well, beat you there, me old mate!
Led most of the way and held on. Never won on grass before, but, Ian 's ratings Inform Racing, had her top-rated in every category., and,
I follow the stable.

Nervous day!
Drifted out, my confidence dipped, but she did it. Fizzy Feet.
My guts are pretty fizzy right now, but, I'm off to betfred's to collect. 9/2 this morning, out to 7/1 sp. Probably be a row about a non-runner or something.
We'll see.
 
Well done S Sandhog , drifted left and right and KINDRED SPIRIT clearly hampered by FIZZY FEET'S cheating ways.
7/1 looks a massive price now, didn't look a great race but a winner is a winner.
 
I really didn't think she'd hang on, when she started to waver. Surprised the jockey didn't get called in over the whipping that went on.
Anyway, fred's paid out not a bother, so, 'tis all whiskey under the bridge now.
That's gambling.:)
 
2.25 newb QUEENS GAMBLE
Makes handicap debut after completing her hattrick in a listed novice taunton, was 120 then and put up to 130 so a fair old jump, never easy to still believe a horse might be well handicapped after such a rise but i felt she won with some authority beating a horse on level weights which is now rated 138, always a good chance CASA NO MENTO has improved but either way QG looks better than a 130 mare.

I have watched this race a couple of times now and took notice of the sectionals and i felt they were going pretty quick going to the 2nd last where the clock on the screen touched 37mph.


SALVER 143 brings some solid juvenile form to the race and it goes without saying this is a tough enough race to unpick and 336 days absence for QG is definite worry but i will be surprised if her 130 mark didn't go higher in the next few months.

When we come up with these type of possible handicap debutants numbers involved it can and perhaps is al bit theoretical but i see the 7/1 has gone now 9/2 so maybe i'm not alone.


edit....QUEENS GAMBLE ran a good 2nd.
 
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Best of luck T tacker

All the trainers seem to be positive about their horses chances.

Henderson and Moore are 4/5 in the latest runnings of this event, so I've had a small bet on their shortest priced runners, plus a stake saver on Liari on the exchange.

Still passed over Venetia's runner, who is also in great form.
 
6.30 south..MR BALOO ew 9/2 4 places. bog
Still a colt and can pull his chance away, did nothing wrong lto but had first time blinkers which might have helped, left off today for reasons we can't know but based on that last run i feel he showed enough to at least go very close with a top rider on board, stall 12 means Levey will need to be clever.
It was a cl3 at chelms and while accepting the weight differences i still feel that having a good few horses rated in the 80s behind and btn only a nk behind a horse rated 90 APARIST (won again off 93) amounts to a better standard of form than for instance MIDNIGHTS DREAM who won lto but it was aor of 67 while MR BALOO aor was 82, a bit of theory involved i know but just 6lbs between the two now.
Others in the race that are well capable of running well off their present marks so it all depends on how the race unfolds, my guess is they'll be plenty of pace on and hopefully Mr Baloo doesn't get involved until late.
 
Intresting race this T tacker i thought was likely between mr baloo and midnight dream myself but i just could not understand why after such a good run they are removing the blinkers now just didnt make sense to me thats why i went for other one for my place bet.
And hannon has one later on who he has kept the blinkers on after one run fihrayn in the 7 45 chelm.
 
8.00 south ALASHOS 9/1
I have decided to take a risk with this one especially now it's on the drift but i feel his 2yr old form stands up well here against what looks an ordinary bunsh with only 4lbs between them.
In my view both his york & sandown runs were solid enough and so i was surprised to see he was dropped to 73 for his seasonal debut, unsettled in the stalls he was allowed to stride on until weakening late on, that might well have been a warm up race after 200 days off the track and i see he has first time cheekpieces on, needs to improve for his last run so i've had just a modest bet ew 5pl.

Ran rubbish, finished 6th.
 
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MIGHTY GURKHA is 7rys old now and i can remember watching him winning on his 2yr old debut, odds on he jumped out to lead and easily.

On the back of that win he went to royal ascot (windsor castle stakes) ran a respectable 5th and i think it's worth recalling how highly tried he was at 2yr including races at deauville & keeneland so not surprising to see him rated as high as 104.
That was 5 years ago and in many ways i find it a little sad to see him running in a cl6 off a mark of 58, wolves 8.00.
Only ran once in 2021 and failed to win in 2022 now running off 73 so already in decline.
2023 sees him off the track a couple of times but did manage a win off 67, his reward was to be moved to his present yard at the end of that year.
Missed 2024 ( 472 days ) and was back racing 8th jan where he fin 10-11 cl5 kemp, dropped another 5lbs for that and ran a solid race next time again kemp cl6 off 62 (dropped another 2lbs)

So we're up to date now with a creditable 5-7 kemp 6f and was dropped another 2lb for that effort but i think it's worth watching the replay
Missed the break and lacked the pace when the gap opened but did run on fine which suggests his present mark 58 is workable with Havlin booked for the ride, he again takes on the winner of that race 4lbs better off so clearly capable of turning things around if getting out on terms.
Obviously no market yet and anything over 5/1 would strike me as being fair with a nice draw in stall 3, I would expect the tactics will be to get on the front end and kick off the bend, win or lose there's the thought in the back of my mind that i wish he wasn't running.
 
Looks one for the sectionals T tacker

Beat a horse who was well backed and nothing went to plan but still won
I have just watched it again doomster doomster and i disagree that everything went wrong for COLLUSION, plenty of pace on and the gaps opened up for what was a worthy winner.
ALAFDHAL pulled his chance away and the main threat MIGHTY GURKHA was withdrawn but my main take here was Rhys Clutterbuck who was excellent.
 
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