Yeah! I agree most times they will slide under the opening price but i would have guessed about 11/8 or less so if i'm wrong so be it, we will see.Good morning T tacker Re WH extra early prices, they do open at very defensive often piddle take over rounds but despite this i find occasionally that they can still rick a price and some good value is there for the taking. Re your 2.0 not a race i have looked at so i cannot comment.
Yesterday i secured some of there 5/1 against Roundabout Magic for Sat Ling 11.45 and when the rest start going up this afternoon my swear box might gain an earn but playing in WH early market is a swings and roundabout risk which is best judged on balance and using this benchmark i have done good from this ( so far ). !
I've read it twice mick and my mentioning the 13 runs this year was only to point out how sprinters can keep going all year long so will please many owners.T tacker for what its worth which may be sod all I put my thinking on the Daily Racing Insight thread yesterday. Re being busy i agree and this could work against him but he has won previously off his 13th ytd run Dec 23rd so live in hope. Re the WH price 5/1 was my minimum but i think he may be punted closer to the off so this justified the early play.
No worries i took your comment as a negative to chance and this may be so. He was given a 107 day rest this year and during his past three runs has been given some mini breaks so hopefully still fresh enough.
Yeah the positives are a given but there are always negatives including the 5lb higher mark you mention mick but he got that for winning a cl5 by 8L which could be described as lenient maybe ?T tacker you make a good case for Swiss and best of. Although i seldom let it interfere when the opposite occurs Tim has become one of my Fav trainers in recent years and always good to have this thought on side. I use filters both positive and negative as part of the profiling process most are deployed in a flexible way but a Neg one which is set in stone applies here in respect that i will not back any horse who is more than 5lbs above there last winning mark. Of course this does not stop one winning and i hope this proves the case for you with Swiss.
Well BRINKLEY flopped this day but has since redeemed himself with a win at wincanton by 9L, so now he runs off 10lbs higher on 140 so we wll see how good he is in the ex 4.10 today carrying 10-7 and hoping the cheekpieces work again. 7/12.5 ex BRINKLEY 11/8
Quite simply i believe his mark of 130 is at least 10lbs too low so i have had to back it, again he has had a wind op so who knows why and what for but i like this horse and suspect his future is over fences.
Edit....Gone off it.