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Bradford City

Leodis said:
I don't like International football, disrupting the club season, affecting momentum and adding to the list of injuries of much needed players. Why can't they play out of season!
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Tournament football is decent but qualifying needs addressing. Players don't want to play in the them and a cap means didley squat when you get it v San Marino etc.
FIFA are so corrupt that they will continue to make money from lesser football nations.
 
mlmrob said:
Tournament football is decent but qualifying needs addressing. Players don't want to play in the them and a cap means didley squat when you get it v San Marino etc.
FIFA are so corrupt that they will continue to make money from lesser football nations.
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There needs to be seperate comps for the “lesser “ nations and the Elites - then winner could go up into the Elite World Cup and worst performers from the elite comp would be relegated into the lesser comp
 
Delboy99 said:
..... just wondered if this was prior to the match or the stats during the Lincoln v Doncaster match. Pre match stats were very much in favour of Lincoln who had only lost 1 match out of 8 home outings whilst Doncaster had lost 5 of their 8 ;) away matches.
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Those stats posted were after the match. I was just showing the shot data that suggests the game was closer than the actual result.

Agree with your view pre-off. Lincoln were fair value @ 2.14 based on their home form and Doncaster's poor away form.
 
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Tough game tomorrow.
MATCH ANALYSIS: Bolton vs Bradford City - November 22, 2025
Competition: League OneVenue: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)Kick-off: 3:00 PM GMT
Current Form & League Position
Bolton (4th, 27 points):
• Won five consecutive matches across all competitions, scoring 15 goals Sports Mole
• Five straight home wins, scoring at least two goals in each with three clean sheets LeagueLane
• Unbeaten at home this season (6 wins, 2 draws) Sports Mole
• Recent results: 6-2 vs Oldham, wins over Cardiff and Huddersfield
• 23 goals scored, 15 conceded, +8 goal difference ESPN
• League’s top scorer Mason Burstow and in-form winger Amario Cozier-Duberry in squad Sports Mole
Bradford City (3rd, 27 points):
• Started brilliantly with seven wins in first ten games to top the table Sports Mole
• Now winless in last five matches Sports Mole
• Lost last three games including FA Cup exit to League Two Cheltenham Sports Mole
• Failed to keep a clean sheet in last five away fixtures LeagueLane
• Away form: mixed with 1-1 at Stevenage, 2-2 at Rotherham, 3-1 win at Cardiff
• 24 goals scored, 18 conceded, +6 goal difference ESPN
Head-to-Head History
Recent record between the teams shows balanced competition:
• Bolton won 2, Bradford won 1, drew 4 in their last 7 meetings since 2011 AiScore
• Overall recent H2H: Bolton 2 wins, Bradford 1 win, 4 draws FotMob
• Most recent league meeting ended 2-2
• Historical all-time record favors Bradford slightly at 8-8-5 in Bradford’s favor
Key Match Factors
Bolton’s Strengths:
• Exceptional home fortress - unbeaten all season
• Free-scoring attack averaging over 2 goals per home game
• Momentum from five-match winning streak
• Solid defensive record at home
Bradford’s Weaknesses:
• Manager Graham Alexander admits team needs to rediscover “belief” Sports Mole
• Defensive fragility - conceding regularly on the road
• Poor recent form with no wins in five
• Confidence issues after cup embarrassment
Prediction
Bolton Win 2-1
The form differential is stark. Bolton are scoring freely and defending with control at home, while Bradford’s defensive lapses and five-match winless run leave them vulnerable LeagueLane. Statistical models give Bolton a 67% win probability Wincomparator.
Bradford have enough attacking quality to score - they’ve found the net in seven of their last eight league games LeagueLane - but Bolton’s home dominance and current momentum should see them through. Expect goals given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and Bradford’s defensive issues.
 
Could be a potential trouncing by Bolton.

There's not much between both teams, momentum wise, which can be a bit of a saving grace for the underdogs, but everything else stacks up against them.1763731654501.png
 
Seemingly, no value for Bolton @ 1.86, although it does trigger a Home prediction.

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The overall performance ratings and form rankings table has Bolton top and Bradford 10th.

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Mind you, I got the Peterborough v Stockport game wrong last night, (3-0), so there's hope.....

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The form side (Burton) have their game postponed due the fire at Exeter's football stadium during the week.

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Bradford City v Exeter City - Saturday 29 November 2025, 3pm

Venue: University of Bradford Stadium (Valley Parade)

League One - Matchweek 18

Current positions:
  • Bradford City sit in third place in League One Sports Mole, just two points behind leaders Stevenage Sports Mole
  • Exeter are in 20th place Sports Mole, hovering above the relegation zone
Form:
  • Bradford have only won one game since the start of October - a 5-1 EFL Trophy victory over Everton U21s. They've failed to win in League One since September 27th Sports Mole, though they've drawn five of their last six league games, only losing to Burton Albion Sports Mole
  • Exeter lost 2-1 at Leyton Orient last time out, ending a five-match unbeaten streak Sports Mole

Season stats:
  • Bradford: 11 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses across all competitions. 38 goals scored, 29 conceded. Top scorer Bobby Pointon (6 goals) APWin
  • Exeter: 8 wins, 2 draws, 11 losses across all competitions. Just 16 league goals in 16 games APWin
Team news:
  • Bradford's Matthew Pennington has a hamstring injury from the Bolton game - Aden Baldwin expected to replace him. Antoni Sarcevic should come in for Jenson Metcalfe Sports Mole
  • Exeter likely to name an unchanged XI despite the Orient defeat. Jayden Wareham has scored three in his last five league games Sports Mole
Head-to-head:First meeting since February 2022 when Kieran Phillips' chipped finish gave Exeter a 1-0 win at Valley Parade - crucial in their League Two promotion campaign Exeter City Football Club

Betting odds:Bradford 1.75 favourites, Draw 3.8, Exeter 4.75 Wincomparator
 
For me, there are no predictive triggers, but there appears to some value in the Bradford Home price.
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Current form indicates Bradford have dropped off the pace, and need to at least, to start winning their home games.

1764416469526.png

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The game of interest for me is Burton @ Home. A form side confirmed with a good ranking, compared to their league position of 14th. So maybe undervalued by the market makers?

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Their away form has been excellent, with a win v Bolton at home in the mix.

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By contrast, Leyton Orient's away form has been fragile with a leaky defence.

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:violin:

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We had Bradford correct and Leeds tested Man City - shame about the time keeping and City’s professional tactics / antics - know the rules and have a big advantage is correct in sports , unfortunately the rules are being gamed by some, so the authorities should change them. Leyton must have played well
 
Yeh, Man City showing the Prem League for what it is - spoiled brats, allowed to get their own way. Leeds played a good second half and we almost took a point home. Maybe that was down to Farke, acting out of character and making tactical changes/subs at half-time, instead of the usual 70+ minutes.
 
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Recent Form​

Bradford City (3rd):
  • Last week's 1-0 victory against Exeter City ended a run of seven matches without a win in all competitions Sports Mole
  • Bradford have lost just two of their 17 league games this season - against Doncaster Rovers and Burton Albion Sports Mole
  • Lost 3-0 to Bolton in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday (Cissoko x2, Forss) Forza Football - knocked out of the competition
  • Joe Wright scored the winner against Exeter after a Max Power cross, with goalkeeper Sam Walker making a string of superb saves Widthofapost
  • Cardiff play Huddersfield on Saturday and Stevenage on Tuesday, meaning Bradford could push for top spot with a win Widthofapost
Plymouth Argyle (23rd):
  • Plymouth have suffered 11 defeats in 17 matches and sit 23rd The Stacey West
  • Lost 3-0 at home to Northampton last Saturday - Tom Eaves, Elliott List and Jordan Willis all scored Sky Sports
  • Won 1-0 against Leyton Orient in midweek (EFL Trophy) The72 Club
  • Home Park is far from the fortress it once was - only seven points from eight home league games The72 Club
  • Chants of "sacked in the morning" directed at Tom Cleverley during the Northampton defeat The Stacey West

Key Team News​

Bradford:
  • Bobby Pointon misses out after picking up his fifth yellow card against Exeter Sports Mole
  • Matthew Pennington ruled out until 2026 with a hamstring injury Sports Mole
  • Either Will Swan or Andy Cook could replace Pointon in the final third Sports Mole
Plymouth:
  • Striker Lorent Tolaj banned for three games after his red card against Northampton Sports Mole - huge miss as he's their top scorer with 8/9 goals
  • Tolaj was sent off for an off-the-ball swipe at Michael Forbes, then reportedly kicked a ball out of the stadium in frustration Fanbanter
  • Owen Oseni could get the nod as Tolaj's replacement Sports Mole
  • Expected XI: Hazard; Mitchell, Ross, Edwards; Sorinola, Boateng, McCabe, Dale; Paterson, Mumba; Oseni Liga Olahraga

Key Stats​

Bradford:
  • Only 2 league defeats all season
  • Bobby Pointon is Bradford's top scorer with 6 goals FootyStats
  • Sam Walker is proving one of the best goalkeepers in the league Widthofapost
  • Strong defensive record - 18 goals conceded in 17 league games
Plymouth:
  • Plymouth have conceded 31 goals - worst in League One FootyStats
  • Just 16 points from 17 games
  • Missing their top scorer for the next three matches
  • Home form: 7 points from 8 games

Aalysis​

This is a classic top-vs-bottom clash, but there are nuances worth considering.

Why Bradford should win:Bradford's league position isn't a fluke - they've been remarkably hard to beat with only two defeats. The 1-0 win over Exeter (who created 19 shots) showed their defensive resilience, and with Cardiff and Stevenage playing each other soon, this represents a golden opportunity to close the gap at the top. A resolute Bradford City side will be very confident of getting all three points The72 Club.

Why Plymouth might frustrate them:Bradford's attacking issues are real - they've drawn five of their last six league games and struggled to break teams down. The Bolton Trophy defeat (3-0) suggests tiredness or lack of sharpness. Plymouth's midweek win over Leyton Orient gives them a small confidence boost, and relegation-threatened teams often find something extra.

The reality:Plymouth without Tolaj are significantly weakened. He has scored 8 or 9 goals and his absence leaves Owen Oseni or Bim Pepple to step up - neither have proven themselves Liga Olahraga. Home Park's atmosphere has turned toxic with fans booing and calling for Cleverley's head. Bradford, despite their attacking struggles, simply don't lose often.

Prediction​

Bradford City to win 2-0

Bradford's defensive solidity should see them through against a Plymouth side in disarray. Without Tolaj, the Pilgrims lack a goalscoring threat. Bradford may not be prolific, but they should create enough against a side that's conceded more than anyone else in the division.

Alternative considerations:
  • Under 2.5 goals looks solid given Bradford's recent tendency for tight games
  • Bradford clean sheet is attractive
  • Draw is a live possibility if Bradford's attacking struggles continue
Confidence level: Moderate-High. Bradford's away form and Plymouth's home struggles both point the same direction, but Bradford's inability to win games convincingly (seven draws in their winless run before Exeter) means this could be tighter than the table suggests.
 
No prediction(s) triggered on the Bradford game, although there seems to be some vaue in either the draw or away win. Not sure Bradford will relish an early kick off, having to travel all the way down to the south west coast, in blustery and rainy conditions.

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As a side note, Cardiff look to be value at Home against the inconsistent Huddersfield.

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Easy game....

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The power score and Xg, slightly favours Bradford, but neither are currently profitable at home/away respectively.

The intertwining momentum graph, usually signifies unpredictability.
1765019150591.pngRegards
 
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