Dave are those the average attendancesBradford @Home should have the measure of Huddersfield, although a close game, with likely goals.
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League One predictions.
Data sample still small, so not expecting too much, not betting any of them yet. The "Best" column only shows up if there's value and then the staking plan kicks in.
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Dave are those the average attendances
it's usually normalised around the individual leagues average attendance and a +/- number can be created around that, and there other little tweaks you can do to make it more generic.Would be interesting to see some graphic illustrations of a seasons worth , although I suppose it’s fairly static ?markfinn - Will be Mark, average attendance has a predictive signal overall in most "team sports" where "home/away" is used in the match schedule and would be a proxy for "club size/stature/standing", it's slightly better weighted by recency based on the caveat that if more people are attending a teams games now than say 2-3 months ago then something positive is happening at the club , ie investment, team playing well - is only one factor though and would have a small weighting in most models and things don't always play out to the theory - think of Man U
it's usually normalised around the individual leagues average attendance and a +/- number can be created around that, and there other little tweaks you can do to make it more generic.
As a variable It adds quite a strong signal when regressed against other variables - This is from 10 years of matches in top 3 leagues in 4 European countries, Spain, France, Italy & England & also includes Champions League matches from any clubs in their respective leagues - adjusted R2 of between 0.804 (France) to 0.925 (Spain) with the other 2 countries in between that range at 0.823 (Italy) and 0.853 (England) - that's a strong relationship and signifies a strong signal. Can see it being a very big factor when it comes to match significance - ie - Relegation battles, Playoffs, fighting for a Champions League place come the end of the season.Would be interesting to see some graphic illustrations of a seasons worth , although I suppose it’s fairly static ?


Well done Dave - They are Going great scoring for fun - bit early yet but you can only beat what’s in front of you.



Bradford host Blackpool tomorrow don't they. Home Win !! - if Steve Bruce's management career could be translated to xG he must be near -1.00 - he's been turfed out of more board rooms than a Romanian cleaning lady. Value could be in BTTS though with Bradford still a bit leaky at the back but they'll make up for it by scoring at least 2 here. Alexander was a solid defender as a player and he'll be working on tightening them up if they have any chance of sustaining a legitimate challenge. No problems up front though.Just ran the numbers for this week. 3 predictive elements now in the mix, if they all align, Form/Value/Poisson Stats, then "should" be good to go. Sometimes of they conflict, ie: Northampton v Bolton. (are Bolton really a 1.79 chance?)
Bradford @ 1.98 look good to go. 3-0? (as long Bobby Pointon (top scorer) lines up, should be ok).
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The table on the left is an interpretation of the league table, rating the Home/Away elements of each team. The other one is, if they continue in their current form, then that's their true position, good & bad.
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Bradford host Blackpool tomorrow don't they. Home Win !! - if Steve Bruce's management career could be translated to xG he must be near -1.00 - he's been turfed out of more board rooms than a Romanian cleaning lady. Value could be in BTTS though with Bradford still a bit leaky at the back but they'll make up for it by scoring at least 2 here. Alexander was a solid defender as a player and he'll be working on tightening them up if they have any chance of sustaining a legitimate challenge. No problems up front though.



Probably one of the best ever defenders never to be fully capped by England eh Mark ?Shame for Bruce - met him a few times he is nice straight talking bloke
Don’t think he was a realy great player , he played in a good team - but a nice bloke only met in airports and bars , but no edge just a normal bloke - it must be a nightmare trying to manage a load of over paid self entitled footballers. Five days a week work , would be better for the clubs and the players.Probably one of the best ever defenders never to be fully capped by England eh Mark ?
Villa fans will remember he wasn't that "nice" to wee "Rossco" McCormack lol - "Gate-Gate"
Don’t think he was a realy great player , he played in a good team - but a nice bloke only met in airports and bars , but no edge just a normal bloke - it must be a nightmare trying to manage a load of over paid self entitled footballers. Five days a week work , would be better for the clubs and the players.


Aye your right about the "over-paid/self entitled" thingDon’t think he was a realy great player , he played in a good team - but a nice bloke only met in airports and bars , but no edge just a normal bloke - it must be a nightmare trying to manage a load of over paid self entitled footballers. Five days a week work , would be better for the clubs and the players.