mlmrob
Sire
Hi Ark
Yeah I usually take a break when the changeover starts in earnest usually early October, but depends on the weather as well. Generally the trainers tell you when.
Statting Island
- Thread starter mlmrob
- Start date
Hi Ark
Yeah I usually take a break when the changeover starts in earnest usually early October, but depends on the weather as well. Generally the trainers tell you when.
mlmrob
Sire
TWILL STAND TO US 5.35 PERTH
Twill Stand To Us was made joint favourite and beaten 19ls last time after trying to make all over 16f. The first two home have subsequently franked the form, the winner placing off 4lbs higher and the second winning a 0-120 off the same mark. He was previously third when 2nd fav to Strobe,11lbs better off today, again racing prominently. He was second to 130 rated Bygones Of Brid over 16f at Hexham before that. Once again he raced prominently. However, he won an Intermediate at Witton Castle in May over 24f. He was held up that day and won doing handstands. He subsequently left Cherry Coward’s for Brian Ellison. He is unexposed and races against some very exposed types who are not that well handicapped. Ellison is 2-4 in handicap chases and the ground will suit.
Eyre Apparent is still 5lbs higher than his win in a novice handicap. He has never placed in 11 races when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more and is 0-5off marks above 11 in both NH disciplines.
Endeavour is fully exposed. He is 0-8 at Perth and 9lbs higher than his last win. He is 1-15 on a flat track. He has never placed when carrying more than 11-0 in a handicap.
Ring Bo Ree resumes his chasing career off 9lbs higher than his last win. Off the course for 575 days he is sure to need this. He is 0-9 when returning after a break of a month or more.
Good Egg is another who is sure to need the run. He is 0-10 when returning after a break of a month or more. He makes his UK debut for Lorna Fowler.
Etxalar goes well fresh, 2-5, but it is four years since he won over this distance and has only run over 20f twice in the last two years. His three wins have come on stiff tracks.
Strobe won a couple of races of this course and distance in July but he is feasibly handicapped off 102. He is 0-19 when returning after a break of a month or more.
The Paddy Premium has won four of his forty two races and each of those wins were two years apart. He is 0-9 over 20f-20.5f and hasn’t won over further.
Woody Waller has his second race for Sophie Leech after moving from John Wade. One win in a three runner novice event in 2011 is his sole steeplechase success. He has never placed in eight races beyond 17f.
Western Island is 1-31 and that win came just over a year ago in chase off 87. He resumes off 97 today and is 0-9 off marks in between.
Conclusion: Plenty of exposed runners all having negatives surrounding them today. It is difficult to work out the tactics they will employ with Twill Stand To Us but one thing is for certain it will be disappointing if he can’t see this lot off.
Twill Stand To Us was made joint favourite and beaten 19ls last time after trying to make all over 16f. The first two home have subsequently franked the form, the winner placing off 4lbs higher and the second winning a 0-120 off the same mark. He was previously third when 2nd fav to Strobe,11lbs better off today, again racing prominently. He was second to 130 rated Bygones Of Brid over 16f at Hexham before that. Once again he raced prominently. However, he won an Intermediate at Witton Castle in May over 24f. He was held up that day and won doing handstands. He subsequently left Cherry Coward’s for Brian Ellison. He is unexposed and races against some very exposed types who are not that well handicapped. Ellison is 2-4 in handicap chases and the ground will suit.
Eyre Apparent is still 5lbs higher than his win in a novice handicap. He has never placed in 11 races when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more and is 0-5off marks above 11 in both NH disciplines.
Endeavour is fully exposed. He is 0-8 at Perth and 9lbs higher than his last win. He is 1-15 on a flat track. He has never placed when carrying more than 11-0 in a handicap.
Ring Bo Ree resumes his chasing career off 9lbs higher than his last win. Off the course for 575 days he is sure to need this. He is 0-9 when returning after a break of a month or more.
Good Egg is another who is sure to need the run. He is 0-10 when returning after a break of a month or more. He makes his UK debut for Lorna Fowler.
Etxalar goes well fresh, 2-5, but it is four years since he won over this distance and has only run over 20f twice in the last two years. His three wins have come on stiff tracks.
Strobe won a couple of races of this course and distance in July but he is feasibly handicapped off 102. He is 0-19 when returning after a break of a month or more.
The Paddy Premium has won four of his forty two races and each of those wins were two years apart. He is 0-9 over 20f-20.5f and hasn’t won over further.
Woody Waller has his second race for Sophie Leech after moving from John Wade. One win in a three runner novice event in 2011 is his sole steeplechase success. He has never placed in eight races beyond 17f.
Western Island is 1-31 and that win came just over a year ago in chase off 87. He resumes off 97 today and is 0-9 off marks in between.
Conclusion: Plenty of exposed runners all having negatives surrounding them today. It is difficult to work out the tactics they will employ with Twill Stand To Us but one thing is for certain it will be disappointing if he can’t see this lot off.
mlmrob
Sire
Hi Hayzee, I have bookmarked him as he has a race in him possible over 3m which he won his ptp over.
MONTAIGNE 3.35 HAYDOCK
Montaigne won on his debut at Kempton beating Fig Roll a head. Fig Roll went on to be the fourth in the Queen Mary before winning the Empress at Newmarket and is now rated 97. Third home was Meritocracy who has subsequently won two and is now rated 90. The fourth, fifth and seventh have all won races. Montaigne then went to Ascot and was fourth to Anticipated who went on to be third in the Windsor Castle and then second in the Molecomb and is currently rated 108. Second was Justice Day who has won since and is now rated 103. On a line through Anticipated he has the beating of Zalzilah. Eight of these like to force the pace and that should be perfect for Montaigne. He is in the listed 2yo trophy at Redcar next weekend and he looks very well handicapped here.
Current Status
Selections : 1
Wins: 0
Places:0
LSP:-1
MONTAIGNE 3.35 HAYDOCK
Montaigne won on his debut at Kempton beating Fig Roll a head. Fig Roll went on to be the fourth in the Queen Mary before winning the Empress at Newmarket and is now rated 97. Third home was Meritocracy who has subsequently won two and is now rated 90. The fourth, fifth and seventh have all won races. Montaigne then went to Ascot and was fourth to Anticipated who went on to be third in the Windsor Castle and then second in the Molecomb and is currently rated 108. Second was Justice Day who has won since and is now rated 103. On a line through Anticipated he has the beating of Zalzilah. Eight of these like to force the pace and that should be perfect for Montaigne. He is in the listed 2yo trophy at Redcar next weekend and he looks very well handicapped here.
Current Status
Selections : 1
Wins: 0
Places:0
LSP:-1
mlmrob
Sire
PRIX DE L’ARC DE TRIOMPHE
There are some key trends in the Arc that are folly to ignore.
10-11 winners were drawn 9 or less. The exception was the great Dalakhani. Horses drawn in 2,4,6 and 7 have won 14 of the last 26 runnings including six of the last eight.
12-15 winners had a Dosage Index of 1.67 or less.
13-15 winners had a Centre Of Distribution of 0.56 or less.
RULER OF THE WORLD, INTELLO, FLINTSHIRE, LEADING LIGHT, VERY NICE NAME are the five that qualify from the draw and dosage.
Ruler Of The World drawn in 6 and Flintshire drawn in 7 represent good each way value.
There are some key trends in the Arc that are folly to ignore.
10-11 winners were drawn 9 or less. The exception was the great Dalakhani. Horses drawn in 2,4,6 and 7 have won 14 of the last 26 runnings including six of the last eight.
12-15 winners had a Dosage Index of 1.67 or less.
13-15 winners had a Centre Of Distribution of 0.56 or less.
RULER OF THE WORLD, INTELLO, FLINTSHIRE, LEADING LIGHT, VERY NICE NAME are the five that qualify from the draw and dosage.
Ruler Of The World drawn in 6 and Flintshire drawn in 7 represent good each way value.
mlmrob
Sire
COMMANCHE 4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
Chris Dwyer claimed Commanche out of Patrick Chamings yard when the horse was rated 66 in June and he has improved the horse by 15lbs. His fifth in a 0-95 last time looks solid. The winner has subsequently run down the field in a listed race but the third has placed in a 0-95. He stayed on to good effect and the step up to 6f will suit. He has dropped 1lb and Chris Dwyer has had 9 runners at Wolverhampton since September 1st and five have won.
Excuse To Linger won a 0-80 in a first time visor and two horses have come out and won since to frank the form. However, Excuse To Linger is not one to trust as he is very headstrong. He is 4lbs higher than the win. He hasn’t placed in five races better than 0-80, three 0-85s and two 0-90s. Noseda has a 29% strike at Wolverhampton and the horse should run well, but the horse will decide that.
Howyoudoingnotsobad has won four times all over 5f. He has just run once over 6f and unplaced. He is 0-6 in class 4 and comes from a yard with just one winner from their last 66 runners, currently 0-29.
Piddies Power was fifth to Skytrain when she was last seen in August and the form is rock solid. The winner and the third have won again off 3lbs and 6lbs higher. She is 0-6 at Wolverhampton and both her wins have come on turf. She is0-7 when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more. She is 0-11 going left handed.
Als Memory has won five times on polytrack but is 0-6 here, placed three times. He is back to the mark he won a 0-95 off in June at Chester. Dave Evans is 1-49 in the last two weeks. Declan Bates is 1-41 for the yard stretching back to August.
Signor Sassi has been disappointing since leaving Roger Varian. He didn’t cut much ice on his last two runs on polytrack but has a squeak on his third to Al Khan in a 0-90 in July. He is a pound lower but he is still 5lbs higher than his last winning mark. He finished tamely in a 0-85 the other day and both of his wins have come in fields with 7 or less runners.
Arctic Lynx has a win and a third from his two visits to Dunstall Park and races off the same mark today. Four of his five wins have come in races 0-80 or less. He should run well but he had an awful fall at Ascot and he is not drawn in the best place on the rails if he isn’t over it and with pace on his outside it will be frenetic.
Celtic Praise is 4lbs higher than his highest winning mark and is 0-13 over marks 81-84.
Waking Warrior is tried in blinkers and a tongue tie today after spending his last 22 races in blinkers and a tongue tie with two wins. Ryan will be hoping they freshen the horse up. He is 3-10 on the all weather compared to 0-26 on turf. He is 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. He should run well on his return to the artificial surface but his record of 1-12 in in 0-85 and it was a poor 0-85 he won, highest OR 82, suggests today is not his day.
Half A Billion placed in one of his two races at Wolverhampton, 2nd in a maiden. He has never placed in three races in 0-85.
Shafaani has to give weight away to older horses here and this is a tough ask for a 3yo. It is nearly a month since Clive Brittain had a winner, 0-27. He is 3-50 in 3yo+ handicaps at Wolverhampton and the last 17 have lost stretching back to 2006.
Sylvia Pankhurst is 4-8 on artificial surfaces, 3-5 at Wolverhampton but she is 0-5 when returning after a break of a month or more. All her AW wins have been in 0-70.
Conclusion: Not a lot of winning form around in this race. Commanche run a good race in better company last time and the drop in class and the step back up to 6f should be in his favour. Four of horses in the inside six stalls have all led in their races and add Shafaani into the mix there should be a bit of pace. That will suit Commanche and he should be staying on the good effect.
Chris Dwyer claimed Commanche out of Patrick Chamings yard when the horse was rated 66 in June and he has improved the horse by 15lbs. His fifth in a 0-95 last time looks solid. The winner has subsequently run down the field in a listed race but the third has placed in a 0-95. He stayed on to good effect and the step up to 6f will suit. He has dropped 1lb and Chris Dwyer has had 9 runners at Wolverhampton since September 1st and five have won.
Excuse To Linger won a 0-80 in a first time visor and two horses have come out and won since to frank the form. However, Excuse To Linger is not one to trust as he is very headstrong. He is 4lbs higher than the win. He hasn’t placed in five races better than 0-80, three 0-85s and two 0-90s. Noseda has a 29% strike at Wolverhampton and the horse should run well, but the horse will decide that.
Howyoudoingnotsobad has won four times all over 5f. He has just run once over 6f and unplaced. He is 0-6 in class 4 and comes from a yard with just one winner from their last 66 runners, currently 0-29.
Piddies Power was fifth to Skytrain when she was last seen in August and the form is rock solid. The winner and the third have won again off 3lbs and 6lbs higher. She is 0-6 at Wolverhampton and both her wins have come on turf. She is0-7 when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more. She is 0-11 going left handed.
Als Memory has won five times on polytrack but is 0-6 here, placed three times. He is back to the mark he won a 0-95 off in June at Chester. Dave Evans is 1-49 in the last two weeks. Declan Bates is 1-41 for the yard stretching back to August.
Signor Sassi has been disappointing since leaving Roger Varian. He didn’t cut much ice on his last two runs on polytrack but has a squeak on his third to Al Khan in a 0-90 in July. He is a pound lower but he is still 5lbs higher than his last winning mark. He finished tamely in a 0-85 the other day and both of his wins have come in fields with 7 or less runners.
Arctic Lynx has a win and a third from his two visits to Dunstall Park and races off the same mark today. Four of his five wins have come in races 0-80 or less. He should run well but he had an awful fall at Ascot and he is not drawn in the best place on the rails if he isn’t over it and with pace on his outside it will be frenetic.
Celtic Praise is 4lbs higher than his highest winning mark and is 0-13 over marks 81-84.
Waking Warrior is tried in blinkers and a tongue tie today after spending his last 22 races in blinkers and a tongue tie with two wins. Ryan will be hoping they freshen the horse up. He is 3-10 on the all weather compared to 0-26 on turf. He is 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. He should run well on his return to the artificial surface but his record of 1-12 in in 0-85 and it was a poor 0-85 he won, highest OR 82, suggests today is not his day.
Half A Billion placed in one of his two races at Wolverhampton, 2nd in a maiden. He has never placed in three races in 0-85.
Shafaani has to give weight away to older horses here and this is a tough ask for a 3yo. It is nearly a month since Clive Brittain had a winner, 0-27. He is 3-50 in 3yo+ handicaps at Wolverhampton and the last 17 have lost stretching back to 2006.
Sylvia Pankhurst is 4-8 on artificial surfaces, 3-5 at Wolverhampton but she is 0-5 when returning after a break of a month or more. All her AW wins have been in 0-70.
Conclusion: Not a lot of winning form around in this race. Commanche run a good race in better company last time and the drop in class and the step back up to 6f should be in his favour. Four of horses in the inside six stalls have all led in their races and add Shafaani into the mix there should be a bit of pace. That will suit Commanche and he should be staying on the good effect.
mick
Sire
Morning Rob we go head to head in this event and if mine does not win then i hope your does.
I find D.Evans intentions difficult to anticipate ( which is probably his plan ! ) His S/r is seldom good but there is method in his approach as he just keeps on running them and this speeds up the process of getting them back on a winning mark.
My pick Als memory can make all or win from off a fast pace.Which gives decent options given the make up of this contest as does his versatility at both 6 and 7fur.No good thing but my thoughts were/are worth the risk at the 10/1 taken.
My other bet Cruiser 12/1 taken is now the subject of a gamble currently 9/2 with lads.Wont make him run any faster but i guess can be viewed as a positive.
Good luck mate (although not to much)
I find D.Evans intentions difficult to anticipate ( which is probably his plan ! ) His S/r is seldom good but there is method in his approach as he just keeps on running them and this speeds up the process of getting them back on a winning mark.My pick Als memory can make all or win from off a fast pace.Which gives decent options given the make up of this contest as does his versatility at both 6 and 7fur.No good thing but my thoughts were/are worth the risk at the 10/1 taken.
My other bet Cruiser 12/1 taken is now the subject of a gamble currently 9/2 with lads.Wont make him run any faster but i guess can be viewed as a positive.
Good luck mate (although not to much)
mlmrob
Sire
Hi Mick
Looked at your post this morning and went back to Als Memory and I can't fully write him off as he is well handicapped, the trainerform had me alittle puzzled as Evans generally strikes at around 10%. He was 6% in September and is currently 0% in October. His overall figure this year is 13% so I guees he was due a downturn. Historically, he strikes at about 7% in October so he is due a winner, just hope it's not today but if my don't shine I hope yours does.
Looked at your post this morning and went back to Als Memory and I can't fully write him off as he is well handicapped, the trainerform had me alittle puzzled as Evans generally strikes at around 10%. He was 6% in September and is currently 0% in October. His overall figure this year is 13% so I guees he was due a downturn. Historically, he strikes at about 7% in October so he is due a winner, just hope it's not today but if my don't shine I hope yours does.
mick
Sire
Agree mate he is the type who pops one in when not expected.? Hoping for likewise today.I think the lto chester run is slightly better than the bare result and this came after a one month "break" Today's race is an achievable target.?
Franktheform
Mare
interesting race for me this one Chaps, I would agree with both of your comments however I have come up with 2 in the race, on the all weather I like the Horse to have been there and done it at the course and I think the drawer can be crucial, for that reason Artic lynx and 10/1 and excuse to linger 11/2 both appeal to me.
I have played in the race, and it will be interesting to see how it plays out
good luck with your picks
Frank
I have played in the race, and it will be interesting to see how it plays out
good luck with your picks
Frank
mick
Sire
Yes but those defeats inc hd and sh over 7f and was in front at the distance so has the option to attempt to make all to over come the kick back.?
Franktheform
Mare
well some forum this is the geezer who does it for a hobby picks a 12/1 winner ! bandit
good call hayz
good call hayz
mlmrob
Sire
think you're all very brave to even attempt this one,but if given 2 quid for good ol' Betfair Min bless her,I'd bet Safaani to place,so to speak,best of,all use lot
Brilliant call Hayzee.
hayzee
Gelding
yep brilliant Rob,couldn't even spell the name right
I just felt this was a 'bookies' race,to tempt the Monday punters,even the fav was 7/2,I was looking for something that wasn't a complete stranger to Wolves,or winning on the A/W that might offer better place value than a win bet on the fav,Shafaani has a Pedigree that isn't complete tosh,and when I saw that no one really wanted to lay the place on B/F at a sensible price,she became an obvious choice for me,shame that Al's Memory had a touch of the 'Unknown Variables' and,bearing the race distance in mind,more or less threw any chance of winning away after a bad start from the stalls...
I just felt this was a 'bookies' race,to tempt the Monday punters,even the fav was 7/2,I was looking for something that wasn't a complete stranger to Wolves,or winning on the A/W that might offer better place value than a win bet on the fav,Shafaani has a Pedigree that isn't complete tosh,and when I saw that no one really wanted to lay the place on B/F at a sensible price,she became an obvious choice for me,shame that Al's Memory had a touch of the 'Unknown Variables' and,bearing the race distance in mind,more or less threw any chance of winning away after a bad start from the stalls...
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mick
Sire
Fortune favoured the brave,(or one of them)well done haze.think you're all very brave to even attempt this one,but if given 2 quid for good ol' Betfair Min bless her,I'd bet Safaani to place,so to speak,best of,all use lot
mlmrob
Sire
No winner came from more thana length off the pace at Wolverhampton yesterday.
PULL THE PIN 5.30 CATTERICK
Amateur handicaps are not normally worth playing in but Pull The Pin has strong credentials in this. His trainer, Paul Green has a 15% strike rate in handicaps at Catterick. That improves to 6-17 when they are in the first three in the betting and improves again when they are favourite, 4-8. Simon Walker has only ridden twice for the yard in the last 24 months resulting in a win and a second. Pull The Pin is in form, something a lot of his rivals are not. He beat a poor bunch in a 0-55 last time and off 2lbs higher in another 0-55 he has to run well.
Irish Girls Spirit is 0-9 on good or softer.
Ivestar won this race off 50 last year. That win was on soft ground, he is 0-12 on good or good to soft. He should be classed as well drawn in 1 but he is 0-9 when racing from any of the three stalls nearest the rail.
Prigsnov Dancer runs Catterick well but he is 1-29 on turf and the win was when he was a 2yo.
Headstight is 0-21 on turf, 0-15 over 5f with just two places.
Sophies Beau has won twice at big odds this season but she is 0-13 off marks 51-59.
Fleurtile is a 6 race maiden who comes from a yard that hasn’t had a winner since 3rd August, 0-25.
Boucher Garcon won round here in April 2012 off 52. He is on a 15 race losing streak but he is starting to get some respite off the handicapper. Down to 55 he should pop up soon.
Boy The Bell won an amateur riders contest in July off 51 over 7f. Back at 5f where he is 0-8 he can be overlooked. He is 0-5 at Catterick.
Piste has two wins from 58 races to her name and is 0-28 on good or slower.
Errigal Lad has won one race in the last four years back in June 2012 and is 0-8 over 5f.
Busy Bimbo is a 42 race maiden.
Hellolini is an 8 race maiden but the 3yo filly has a bit of scope judging by her 1l fourth at Yarmouth in June. However, Robin Bastiman is having a torrid season with just one winner from 62 runners since the 11th May.
On The High Tops won over this course and distance last year when with Ruth Carr. Now with Colin Teague who has had one winner from his last 100 runners back in July 2011.
Conclusion: Only a handful, if that, are likely to be involved here. Mick Easterby has probably targeted this race for Ivestar so his grand daughter can win the race for a second year. However, Pull The Pin looks to have improved since joining Paul Green and though On The High Tops and Irish Girls Spirit have led in the past, Pull The Pin looks the only recognised front runner. He is form, has the best jockey in the race on board and the ratings suggest he is the one to beat. He handles any ground
PULL THE PIN 5.30 CATTERICK
Amateur handicaps are not normally worth playing in but Pull The Pin has strong credentials in this. His trainer, Paul Green has a 15% strike rate in handicaps at Catterick. That improves to 6-17 when they are in the first three in the betting and improves again when they are favourite, 4-8. Simon Walker has only ridden twice for the yard in the last 24 months resulting in a win and a second. Pull The Pin is in form, something a lot of his rivals are not. He beat a poor bunch in a 0-55 last time and off 2lbs higher in another 0-55 he has to run well.
Irish Girls Spirit is 0-9 on good or softer.
Ivestar won this race off 50 last year. That win was on soft ground, he is 0-12 on good or good to soft. He should be classed as well drawn in 1 but he is 0-9 when racing from any of the three stalls nearest the rail.
Prigsnov Dancer runs Catterick well but he is 1-29 on turf and the win was when he was a 2yo.
Headstight is 0-21 on turf, 0-15 over 5f with just two places.
Sophies Beau has won twice at big odds this season but she is 0-13 off marks 51-59.
Fleurtile is a 6 race maiden who comes from a yard that hasn’t had a winner since 3rd August, 0-25.
Boucher Garcon won round here in April 2012 off 52. He is on a 15 race losing streak but he is starting to get some respite off the handicapper. Down to 55 he should pop up soon.
Boy The Bell won an amateur riders contest in July off 51 over 7f. Back at 5f where he is 0-8 he can be overlooked. He is 0-5 at Catterick.
Piste has two wins from 58 races to her name and is 0-28 on good or slower.
Errigal Lad has won one race in the last four years back in June 2012 and is 0-8 over 5f.
Busy Bimbo is a 42 race maiden.
Hellolini is an 8 race maiden but the 3yo filly has a bit of scope judging by her 1l fourth at Yarmouth in June. However, Robin Bastiman is having a torrid season with just one winner from 62 runners since the 11th May.
On The High Tops won over this course and distance last year when with Ruth Carr. Now with Colin Teague who has had one winner from his last 100 runners back in July 2011.
Conclusion: Only a handful, if that, are likely to be involved here. Mick Easterby has probably targeted this race for Ivestar so his grand daughter can win the race for a second year. However, Pull The Pin looks to have improved since joining Paul Green and though On The High Tops and Irish Girls Spirit have led in the past, Pull The Pin looks the only recognised front runner. He is form, has the best jockey in the race on board and the ratings suggest he is the one to beat. He handles any ground
mlmrob
Sire
STAGECOACH OPAL 2.50 WETHERBY
This is the time of year to catch Stagecoach Opal. His record on his seasonal debut reads 21113.The third last year was in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree so you could say his sights have been lowered somewhat. He races here off a 15lbs lower mark and is 5lbs lower than his last win three years ago.
RIGUEZ DANCER 3.55 WETHERBY
Riguez Dancer has moved from Ferdy Murphy to Donald McCain and the horse may well run on its merits today. A horse with a lot of talent but somehow only showed it when Murphy saw fit. He won at Ascot last year off a mark of 127 and he run a great race when just beaten at Market Rasen on his last run. The second has since won twice, the fourth five times and the sixth twice. I have always thought that Donald McCain would have a go at this race named after the trainer who sold his father Red Rum. He has never had a runner in the contest. Riguez Dancer hasn’t run well fresh before because he has always carried condition but if McCain has got him back he could well make mincemeat of these.
This is the time of year to catch Stagecoach Opal. His record on his seasonal debut reads 21113.The third last year was in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree so you could say his sights have been lowered somewhat. He races here off a 15lbs lower mark and is 5lbs lower than his last win three years ago.
RIGUEZ DANCER 3.55 WETHERBY
Riguez Dancer has moved from Ferdy Murphy to Donald McCain and the horse may well run on its merits today. A horse with a lot of talent but somehow only showed it when Murphy saw fit. He won at Ascot last year off a mark of 127 and he run a great race when just beaten at Market Rasen on his last run. The second has since won twice, the fourth five times and the sixth twice. I have always thought that Donald McCain would have a go at this race named after the trainer who sold his father Red Rum. He has never had a runner in the contest. Riguez Dancer hasn’t run well fresh before because he has always carried condition but if McCain has got him back he could well make mincemeat of these.