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Martin's "Inform Racing" System

MartinK said:
Two horses have become qualifiers (they were short favs last night, but have now drifted to decent odds):
Wincanton 12.10 Electron Bleu, 6-1
Wincanton 2.12 Lots Of Luck, 4-1
... but I won't be counting them in system profit/loss figures, because one of this system's principles is early prices.
Click to expand...
Electron Bleu ... 6th
Lots Of Luck ... 3rd
AS EXPECTED!
 
I have had 5 winners from 12 so far at BSP's of 2.08, 4.1, 2.53, 2.71 and 3.2. All straight win bets as the place prices were too short. Only one placed from the losers just about getting my money back on that one. Other each ways all unplaced.

I have 6 tonight at Chelmsford. Win or 80/20 each way depending on the place odds.
5.30. Newbolt
6.00. Dazzling Rock
6.30. Nigel Nott
8.00. Invincible Larne
8.30. Pope Gregory
9.00. Muraaqeb

My attachemnt shows my winner Caen Na Coille. Using my chosen filters, the Inform Betting Tissue said the horse had a 99.8 chance of winning and won at 5/2. Caen.PNG
 
Not a great evening but ended up just over 1.5pts on the day. Think selections that start favs, 2nd favs or under (5 or 6 ?) BSP may be best for straight win bets and ignore the bigger odds horses for each way. Looks like 14 possibles tomorrow.
 
FRI 20 NOV:
Chepstow 12.30 The Grey Falco, 9-1
Chepstow 1.40 Ballybough Nora, 7-1
Chepstow 4.00 Tactical Manoeuvre, 11-1
Catterick 2.58 Ask Paddy, 10-3
Ascot 3.15 Onefortheroadtom, 6-1
Ascot 3.45 Certainly Red, 11-2
 
MartinK said:
FRI 20 NOV:
Chepstow 12.30 The Grey Falco, 9-1
Chepstow 1.40 Ballybough Nora, 7-1
Chepstow 4.00 Tactical Manoeuvre, 11-1
Catterick 2.58 Ask Paddy, 10-3
Ascot 3.15 Onefortheroadtom, 6-1
Ascot 3.45 Certainly Red, 11-2
Click to expand...
Good luck with these Martin. Looking through your bets you don't seem to follow any pattern I can see on the Inform Racing cards. Not asking what you do, just do you have a systematic method or the base of one then look into the selections a bit deeper?
 
Chepstow 12.30 The Grey Falco, 9-1 ... 1st 14-1 ... 14 pts profit :gotcha:
Chepstow 1.40 Ballybough Nora, 7-1 ... 2nd
Chepstow 4.00 Tactical Manoeuvre, 11-1 ... 5th
Catterick 2.58 Ask Paddy, 10-3 ... 5th
Ascot 3.15 Onefortheroadtom, 6-1 ... 7th
Ascot 3.45 Certainly Red, 11-2 ... 5th

DAY 3: 9 pts profit
RUNNING TOTAL: 9 pts profit
 
Wizardry7 said:
Good luck with these Martin. Looking through your bets you don't seem to follow any pattern I can see on the Inform Racing cards. Not asking what you do, just do you have a systematic method or the base of one then look into the selections a bit deeper?
Click to expand...
Hi, Before I look at Inform I eliminate class 5 and 6 races (too unreliable), maiden races (I never know if runners are too weak to win or don't WANT to win), 3yo-only races (difficult to fathom), 2yo non-handi races (too little experience) and any contest with less than 5 or more than 13 runners.

Next I visit Inform and choose my horses, using their ratings plus their pop-up form boxes. Finally I use Oddschecker to eliminate all favourites (less likely to be value than other runners), also eliminating anything under 11-4 (less likely to be value than higher odds).

I do realise that all my reasoning is open to debate, and may well be cobblers!
 
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SAT 21 NOV:
Haydock 12.40 Claud And Goldie, 16-1
Haydock 3.35 Perfect Candidate, 10-1
Lingfield 1.10 Highland dress, 9-1
Lingfield 2.20 Dark Shot, 6-1
Huntingdon 1.58 Be My Sea, 18-1
Ascot 3.17 Marracudja, 20-1
 
MartinK said:
Hi, Before I look at Inform I eliminate class 5 and 6 races (too unreliable), maiden races (I never know if runners are too weak to win or don't WANT to win), 3yo-only races (difficult to fathom), 2yo non-handi races (too little experience) and any contest with less than 5 or more than 13 runners.

Next I visit Inform and choose my horses, using their ratings plus their pop-up form boxes. Finally I use Oddschecker to eliminate all favourites (less likely to be value than other runners), also eliminating anything under 11-4 (less likely to be value than higher odds).

I do realise that all my reasoning is open to debate, and may well be cobblers!
Click to expand...
Certainly open to debate MartinK MartinK - no way would I say it's a load of cobblers and fair play to you for sharing your thoughts , hopefully this will spark some discussion, after all it's what the forum is all about.
 
Great winner yesterday Martin well done. Before I started using the Inform tissue tool I used to just go on thier ratings. Good as they are I think you still need to delve into the form a little as you do. I am a bit of a lazy punter and that is why I like the tissue tool as it automates everything for me. However I am looking at too many races and want to narrow these down. I have a couple of systems that run on the flat so nothing from these for a while now.

A bit all over the place yesterday but down about 3 pts, saved from worse in the last at Newcastle with the second each way at half decent odds.

Best of luck today.
 
SAT 21 NOV:
Haydock 12.40 Claud And Goldie, 16-1 ... 4th
Haydock 3.35 Perfect Candidate, 10-1 ... 1st 8-1 ... 10 pts profit :gotcha:
Lingfield 1.10 Highland dress, 9-1 ... 1st 9-2 ... 9 pts profit :gotcha:
Lingfield 2.20 Dark Shot, 6-1 ... 8th
Huntingdon 1.58 Be My Sea, 18-1 ... p/u
Ascot 3.17 Marracudja, 20-1 ... 7th

DAY 4: 15pts profit
RUNNING TOTAL: 24pts profit :happy-wavemulticolor:
 
Uttoxeter 1.18 Gold Clermont, 20-1 ... 8th
Exeter 1.33 Luckofthedraw, 5-1 ... p/u
Exeter 2.08 Solar Impulse, 13-2 ... 6th

DAY 5: 3 pts loss
RUNNING TOTAL: 21 pts profit
 
Musselburgh 12.40 The Steward, 18-1 ... 5th
Ludlow 2.45 Steady Away, 12-1 ... 5th
Kempton 3.10 Board Of Trade, 12-1 ... 9th

DAY 6: 3 pts loss
RUNNING TOTAL: 18 pts profit
 
TUE 24 NOV
Lingfield 12.55 Lequinto, 10-3
Southwell 1.07 Summit Like Herbie, 11-4
Southwell 2.37 Compadre, 15-2
Southwell 3.07 Cyrus Keep, 11-2
Sedgefield 1.16 The Late Legend, 7-2
Sedgefield 2.16 Slanelough, 11-4
 
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