• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

I did it my way

mlmrob said:
Fwiw, I would leave the 3.55 alone as Jonjo O Neill has a horse making its handicap chase debut after 'plugging on' in a beginners chase. Expect massive improvement.

Improvement indeed :handgestures-thumbup:
 
I didnt have any stats to back it up but O Neill had a winner in November/December time with the same credentials. beaten 77ls in a beginners chase and then hoses up in a handicap. :naughty:
 
205 foss las

form horse
oscara dara


speed horse
tanerko emery



405 lingfield

form horse
harry buckle


speed horse
harry buckle


are these your selections taff?.......les
 
Yes they are still available. Just google Sad Ken. That's how I got mine.
Code:
http://www.horseracingbeauselecta.co.uk/home/publications.html
 
after sleeping on it and looking at these 3 horses i,ll back tenerko emery as i dont think oscara dara can give it 19lbs in heavy going
 
The following is four sets of ratings used with the first five or six in the betting.
The first is my own handicap rating for the horse. The second is a class rating that is made up from advice from John In Brasil, Chesham and myself, The third on the flat races is a private speed figure, I dont have figures for the sticks so I used Topspeed. The fourth figure is the raw RPR. The figures represent the order of merit from just those rated.


LINGFIELD 2.20

Secret Millionaire ......2-2-1-2
Frognal.................. 1-3-2-1
Rich Again...............4-5-5-5
Colourbearer.............3-1-2-3
Baby Dottie...............5-4-3-2

Frognal tops two sets whilst Secret Millionaire and Colourbearer have one apiece.
Secret Millionaire is second top in three sets and it looks between him and Frognal.

LINGFIELD 3.30

Lowther.................4-6-4-7
Grey Mirage............1-1-5-5
Webbow.................2-2-1-1
George Guru...........3-4-2-2
Mr Red Clubs...........6-7-6-3
Aquilonius..............5-5-2-5
Spirit Of Sharjah......7-3-7-4

Grey Mirage and Webbow top two sets each but Webbow is the selection as he is second top on the other two sets whilst Grey Mirage is only fifth.

LINGFIELD 4.35

Amis Reunis..........2-2-2-2
Spinning Ridge.......5-2-1-3
Welsh Inlet............1-1-5-1
Rose Garnet..........3-4-3-4
Marshall Art..........4-6-4-5
Cuthbert..............6-5-6-6

Welsh Inlet tops three sets and Amis Reunis is second top on all four. Will dutch the pair.

FFOS LAS 2.40

Red Rocco................4-3-3-3
Alfie Spinner.............5-4-4-3
Shaking Hnads..........2-5-2-5
Cannington Brook.......1-1-1-1
Caruthers................3-2-5-2

Cannington Brook tops all four sets and is a selection.

WETHERBY 3.55

Dunowen Point...........3-2-2-3
Gansey....................1-1-4-1
Cloudy Too................5-5-6-5
Lease Lend...............2-3-1-2
Whats Up Woody.........6-6-3-6
Leldorado.................4-4-5-4

Gansey tops three of the four sets to make him the sole selection.

Top Class Selection. Gansey is a massive 23 points clear in his race.

Top Speed Selection. Webbow is 14 points clear.
 
been busY so first posting for a few days lets hope we carry on in same vein
3/2/13

300 musselburgh
John Smith´s Scottish Champion Chase (Handicap) (For Bowes-Lyons Trophy) (Sunday £5K Bonus Race) (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-140)

HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
DE BOITRON102118*15%1382Y_2124
CICERON388623%*6*88*_Y497
QUITO DE TRESOR98128*20%2673YY3141
PRINCE OF DREAMS97112*0%70YY3134
FORM HORSE/CICERON
SPEED HORSE/QUITO DE TRESOR



430 MUSSELBURGH
John O´Mailley 80th Birthday Conditional Jockeys´ Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-135)

HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
BARENGER89118*20%*1719YY4139
LEXINGTON BAY86101*20%*1985*YY5126
FINE KINGDOM549111%6*26YY3116
FORM HORSE/LEXINGTON BAY
SPEED HORSE / BARENGER
 
Hi lads new member here.

It's been a long time since I have thought about Sad Kens formula, will have to look the books out.

Taff

Good luck with the selections today.

Enjoying reading the Forum, some excellent posts. :D
 
welcome chilled.as i have said before this is my take on sad ken woprkings,as we all have our thoughts on VDW and our own interpretation,on how to use the info,but happy with my way
 
Rather than post a table of a multitude of contents, the link below will give them.

Same theory as yesterday.

Code:
http://www.editgrid.com/user/mlmrob/sunday_figures.xls


From the lists

4.30 Musselburgh

Salubrious tops all four sets and is clear on all of them. His second to At Fishers Cross looks very strong considering that horse has won twice since including a Grade 2 off 23lbs higher. Conditions are perfect.

3.00 Musselburgh

Anquetta tops three of the four sets and is 121 from three races when returning from a break of 120 days or more. He is 3-6 going right handed. 3-5 over 16 furlongs and can handle the ground and weight.

Lingfield 4.40

It is a year since El Libertador tasted success and he was the last winner Eric Wheeler saddled. If they were in better form they might tempt a win bet but a place beckons for the gelding, the horse not the trainer.
Uncle Roger is top in two sets and second top in the other two. He has a win and a third from two runs over 12 furlongs on the sand and will find this much more appetising than the slog through heavy ground he encountered over the twigs last time.

Lingfield 4.10

Mister Musicmaker tops three sets and is second top in the other. He drops in class here. He is 14lbs more physical weight and has yet to prove he can carry weight, never placed in five races carrying 9-5 or more. Best left alone.

Lingfield 3.40

Divine Rule tops three sets. He has three seconds and a third in his last three races over 8 furlongs. He looks the most likely in what is basically a class 7.
 
tafflizgreg said:
welcome chilled.as i have said before this is my take on sad ken woprkings,as we all have our thoughts on VDW and our own interpretation,on how to use the info,but happy with my way

Thanks for th welcome taff.

The first 2 columns, are they your own speed ratings?
 
Two today

Showboating 4.25 Wolverhampton
Top on three sets and second top on the other.

Ashkalara 5.25 Wolverhampton
Top on two sets and second top on the other two.
 
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