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Horses with chance.

Yeah i think if you get them really high chance with very few dangers then the place all of a sudden looks really solid.
I am still thinking how to bed them by how good a chance they have or betting less horses bigger bets.
Take tomorrow there is a few i give chance to and there is bigger price one i will be putting in my gerrys value bet forum page as thats about odds value. But the one solid horse i have tomorrow in the 4 13 EXETER YES DAY but only six runners so would need be first two places where you can get 1/1 .
 
Ended up decent price yes days and i would have made that my value horse of day page if new would be so big.
 
JennyK said:
After a poor start, not the most comfortable of watches, but all right in the end and maintains his 100% win or place record in these circumstances.

With the top two on ability not being form horses, but the first two home, yet another reminder of the potency of ability, even when not accompanied by form.

VDW knew a thing or two.
Click to expand...
I think something in the second home , (Fierce)'s favour was that he was debuting for a yard normally associated with sprinters, (Paul Midgeley). Previously he was trained by the very capable Moores but they do better with stayers, I'd say. Dam has produced three sprinters from three runners to hit the track, and this one is by Dandy Man.
Fiece would probably have won with a better tun through, although Dark Kestrel was travelling well and was struggling to get a run through also
 
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There is not anything great today and i suppose the week will be the same, But the flat is coming so i will be interested how i do in the new season.
Any way back to today and the chances i have gave chances to are.
2 47 LINGFIELD FAT GLADIATOR. This horse has not run alot so something bothers it, But has run twice round here and run well and i think its second last run over the mile was its best. I think its last run even gives it chance .
So no need to worry about track and i think if comes on for first run in long time must go close, trainer doing well with limited runners this season.
3 00 WINCANTON SHENGAI ENKI. This horse last time out run of its highest mark to date and run well in defeat but was strong enough form to give it chance in this and the jockey on it today has been on it once before and won with it and he has good record exspeically this season.
And it done its best speed time with him on it so i am sure will try at least pester the lead to make decent pace as stays further and this could be ideal.
4 30 WINCANTON JARAMILLO. I just dont understand how this horse has drifted out so much well i suppose its because better left handed and could be mistakes going this way round only second jump start.
But i felt looked right was ready to win over hurdles and they switched it to fencing and made running and held on for place at first you could say the two who beat it that day didnt frank the form, But everything behind it that day has come out and win so form not as bad as first looks and if can get in rhythm could go better than odds say now.
7 30 WOLVERHAMPTON TWILIGHT ROMANCE.This horse likes quicker ground and i think its odds most races shows they think some thing of it.
A eyecatcher last time out with hood on for second run in a row showed this track looked ok for it and this traveling well horse should run big race.
8 30 WOLVERHAMPTON PARADOXICAL. Its hard to say is it the cheeks or the distance has brought about improvement in this horse but i think its just its maturing as it gets older and the trainer has horses absolutely flying so its just so well in its self has made it thrive.
Dont get me wrong i am totally worried about mr baloo who if acts on track is big danger, But what i hope happens in this race is mine has gone for home while mr baloo is trying to get sorted and holds on.

My stratagy for today is get them placed for money back at least with small win stakes even the two four horse races first two pays.
 
Well with 3 from 5 placed it shows that even that which i find as poor given the selections as not to bad with small loss.
I think it is the safest way placing them to enjoy racing and never be far away, wont get rich but hopefully wont go other way either yet enjoy the fun. Four horses that should run really well today i feel are.
V TWELVE 4 20 HEXHAM.
HALPHA SOLEIL 4 50 HEXHAM.
GYENYAME 4 05 TAUNTON.
HIM MALAYA 4 35 TAUNTON.
 
As i said in my other forum page using speed ratings along with other things seem to have hindered me more than helped, and will go back to my older style of betting. I sometime thing just betting looking at form is best and ratings only give some one elses point of view on top of yours and can be like misleading you away from your original natural thoughts of form from exsperience.
So i wont give any tips for now till i feel i am back in a balanced natural way.
 
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