Hong Kong Speed Figures

[Outlander]

D desimal

Hope this makes sense - Britney rides split by course.

So placings are her 1st,2nd and 3rd at course
Races her rides at course
Runners are no of total runners in those races
Beat are the number of runners her horses beat.
% run beaten from those last 2 figures
Pos 800 from finish are her sectional positions at that stage of the race
% 1st 3 are her percentage at the 800 mark in the first 3.
Pos win 800 from finish are the position of the horses that went on to win the race at 800 from home.

As you say she is yet to learn to ride Happy Valley, clearly going too fast, her expertise on the all weather though is very good with the added weight advantage it gives.

Probably be similar for the new lady apprentice Nicola Yuen.

View attachment 166694

great presentation of the stats, interesting to see how they get on from earlier positions . Brittney maybe a bit one dimensional (5 winners from outside the top 3 in ST though), but still useful with her claim before the injury especially on AWT like you say, Nichola I have seen her ride in other countries showing maybe more than one dimension, we will see, but still very useful 10lb claim.

 

[Outlander]

Again if you have an operational b365 account and you like Little Paradise or for that matter Invincible Ibis I think they are out of line with reality of the HK tote, 16/1 for Little Paradise with Purton on is way out of line.
Early days but LP currently 5.0 on HK tote can’t see it getting much more than 7.0

 

[Outlander]

HK tote current

 

[desimal]

As you say she is yet to learn to ride Happy Valley, clearly going too fast, her expertise on the all weather though is very good with the added weight advantage it gives.

Probably be similar for the new lady apprentice Nicola Yuen.

Nice stats, yeah happy to bet against her at HV for the foreseeable future.

Nichola will be pretty interesting on all-weather, I did see 10lb claim apprentices beat market expectation by 15%. But sometimes they're hard to catch, she has put in a few shockers since she started as well.

I'll say both of them racing at Sha Tin does make form a little harder due to inconsistency in rides from two apprentices regularly appearing.

Again if you have an operational b365 account and you like Little Paradise or for that matter Invincible Ibis I think they are out of line with reality of the HK tote, 16/1 for Little Paradise with Purton on is way out of line.

Haha yep saw that and I had a little on. Also under exotics if you have access to 'fixed price quinnella,' you can Q little paradise with jantar mantar and lucky sweynesse at great odds.

Still pretty confident JM wins if he turns up, but LP could definitely run a race. Lucky Sweynesse has the perfect map, so he's pretty solid for a top 2 chance.

On the topic of JM, in December we did see the big syndicates plunge Soul Rush (and I think Embroidery too) right before jump - not to crazy short or anything, but was a significant go on him even with the wide draw.

JM has a couple of lengths on Soul Rush back home in JPN. JM also has a great draw/map here, especially if the track plays on-pace.

Therefore, I'd be taking the fixed odds on JM now if you like him, I'm expecting a big late plunge on him, especially since none of his competition is all too inspiring. Reckon he will start 2.50~.

 

[pawras]

I've got things to do this morning so up early.

0735 Sha Tin Chairmans Sprint Prize Flat Stakes 6f Group 1 (Turf) 3yo+ : Prize Money £1281220.21

Will this be 20th win on the trot for Ka Ying Rising? At 1.04 I'm more interested in the place odds for something else.

Helios Express is my 2nd top on ratings and trial race stats.

 

[pawras]

Consecutive win number 20 for Ka Ying Rising and Helios Express unplaced.

 

[The Hare]

Results and Wednesday card.

Thought final 400 sectional for KYR would be fastest but not, have 9 faster between 2021-24, unadjusted for going those.