Eric Bowers narrowing the field

[Michael231]

This was my take on the race

#	Horse	Draw	OR	Odds	Wgt	DSLR	Bowers	Pace Profile	Draw Score	Bonuses	KNN	Final Score	Verdict
1	Naanas Shadow K Scott / Oisin Murphy	2	94 ✓	8.5 8.5	134	19	#2	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 9/10 1 runs	5/5 Stall 2	IV 5.81 (Strong) — large fields ✓ ⏱ copes with true pace (3/3 hot races) 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) Won prev run Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ 19 days — good preparation Distance winner Weight up 8lbs +2.7	40% Moderate	10.58	TOP PICK D
2	Pilu R A Teal / Jason Watson	9	87 ✓	7/1 SP 8.0 card: 9	127	21	#5	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 10/10 2 runs	— 3/5 Stall 9	Backed 9.0→7/1 ✓ IV 0.0 (Poor) 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) 21 days — good preparation Weight down 4lbs ✓ Trainer 13% at Goodwood (2/15) +2.2	0% Poor	9.84	CONTENDER
3	Miss Yechance K R Burke / S H James	6	90 ✓	8/1 SP 9.0 card: 9	130	41	#4	Front Runner 80% FR / 0% HU 10/10 5 runs	5/5 Stall 6	Steady at 8/1 IV 0.0 (Poor) — large fields 🌦 Ideal going (Good to firm) ✓ Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ 41 days — within sweet spot Distance winner Weight up 8lbs Trainer 19% at Goodwood (6/32) +1.7	20% Weak	9.76	CONTENDER D
4	Shes Got A Brother M D Easterby / Billy Garritty	14	87 ✓	10/1 SP 11.0 card: 7.5	127	40	#6	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 9/10 1 runs	1/5 Stall 14	Drifting badly 7.5→10/1 IV 1.94 (Strong) — large fields ✓ 🌦 Good going match (Good to firm) Class drop (Cls 1→3) ✓ 40 days — within sweet spot Distance winner Weight up 1lbs +2.2	0% Poor	9.18	WATCH D
5	Call Margot G Tutty / Ashley Lewis	3	80	10/1 SP 11.0 card: 17	120	43	#10	Hold-Up 0% FR / 100% HU 3/10 1 runs	5/5 Stall 3	Strongly backed 17.0→10/1 IV 2.91 (Strong) — large fields ✓ 🌦 Good going match (Good to firm) Slight class rise (Cls 4→3) 43 days — within sweet spot Distance winner 5lb claim Weight down 11lbs ✓ +3.92	0% Poor	9.1	ELIMINATED D
6	Truly Glamorous p1 C Mason / Gina Mangan	8	72	13/2 SP 7.5 card: 15	114	28	#11	Versatile 0% FR / 0% HU 5/10 1 runs	— 3/5 Stall 8	Strongly backed 15.0→13/2 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) Won last run | Won prev run | Consistent placer Class rise (Cls 6→3) 28 days — good preparation Distance winner +3.4	0% Poor	8.67	NOT BOWERS BUT! D
7	River Spey E Walker / K Shoemark	17	86 ✓	22/1 SP 23.0 card: 26	126	21	#8	Front Runner 62% FR / 12% HU 8/10 8 runs	1/5 Stall 17	Backed 26.0→22/1 ✓ IV 2.85 (Strong) ⏱ copes with true pace (1/2 hot races) 🌦 Going stretch (Good to firm) Won prev run 21 days — good preparation Weight up 3lbs Trainer 10% at Goodwood (3/29) +2.8	0% Poor	8.64	ELIMINATED
8	Old Is Gold A M Balding / James Doyle	1	86 ✓	9/1 SP 10.0 card: 11	126	97	#7	Versatile 33% FR / 33% HU 7/10 6 runs	5/5 Stall 1	Steady at 9/1 IV 0.0 (Poor) — large fields 🌦 Good going match (Good to firm) Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ 97 days — long absence Distance winner | Beaten fav Weight down 5lbs ✓ Trainer 15% at Goodwood (11/75) +1.3	0% Poor	8.14	ELIMINATED BF|D
9	Coyy t Eve Johnson Houghton / Saffie Osborne	5	71	14/1 SP 15.0 card: 15	117	9	#12	Hold-Up 0% FR / 50% HU 4/10 2 runs	5/5 Stall 5	Steady at 14/1 IV 0.0 (Poor) — large fields 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) Won last run Class rise (Cls 5→3) 9 days — ideal freshness Distance winner Weight down 15lbs ✓ Trainer 15% at Goodwood (6/40) +2.8	0% Poor	7.95	ELIMINATED D
10	Schrodingers Cat Grant Tuer / Oliver Stammers	4	95 ✓	8 8.0	135	19	#1	Hold-Up 0% FR / 50% HU 3/10 2 runs	5/5 Stall 4	⏱ copes with true pace (3/3 hot races) 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ 19 days — good preparation Distance winner Weight up 4lbs +2.0	0% Poor	7.82	WATCH D
11	Manatee Mehmas D OMeara / D Tudhope	11	93 ✓	18/1 SP 19.0 card: 13	133	33	#3	Versatile 0% FR / 0% HU 5/10 1 runs	— 3/5 Stall 11	Drifting badly 13.0→18/1 🌦 Acceptable going (Good to firm) 3rd last run Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ 33 days — within sweet spot Distance winner Same/similar weight Trainer 19% at Goodwood (5/27) +1.7	0% Poor	7.81	WATCH D
12	Noble Vow R Hannon / Joe Leavy	15	82	16/1 SP 17.0 card: 11	122	60	#9	Front Runner 75% FR / 25% HU 7/10 4 runs	1/5 Stall 15	Drifting badly 11.0→16/1 ⏱ copes with true pace (1/2 hot races) 🌦 Going stretch (Good to firm) Won prev run Slight class rise (Cls 4→3) 60 days — slightly long absence Distance winner | Beaten fav Weight down 10lbs ✓ Trainer 18% at Goodwood (11/62) +1.0	0% Poor	7.05	ELIMINATED BF|D
13	Quantum Power v Tom Clover / D Egan	10	86 ✓	25/1 SP 26.0 card: 13	126	26	#13	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 10/10 1 runs	— 3/5 Stall 10	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D
14	U S S Charleston Lemos Souza / Connor Planas	7	77	66/1 SP 67.0 card: 34	117	6	#13	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 9/10 1 runs	— 3/5 Stall 7	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D
15	One And Gone Ian Williams / Ryan Kavanagh	12	86 ✓	25/1 SP 26.0 card: 15	126	27	#13	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 9/10 2 runs	— 3/5 Stall 12	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT CD
16	Kolkata Knight t1 Tom Dascombe / Pierre-Louis Jamin	18	83	66/1 SP 67.0 card: 34	123	26	#13	Prominent 50% FR / 0% HU 10/10 2 runs	1/5 Stall 18	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D
17	Baker Blue Dylan Cunha / P J Dobbs	13	95 ✓	25/1 SP 26.0 card: 17	135	13	#13	Front Runner 67% FR / 0% HU 9/10 12 runs	1/5 Stall 13	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D
18	Dazzling Haze R M H Cowell / Marco Ghiani	16	91 ✓	40/1 SP 41.0 card: 26	131	41	#13	Front Runner 100% FR / 0% HU 9/10 1 runs	1/5 Stall 16	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D

 

[gerry]

Well yes, you can always cherry pick pieces of form but what about his last run ?
I’m not near a laptop atm but will have another look Gerry.

What i have done this week T tacker is i thought about what i said about this horse winning looked deeper it gave me something to think about so i applied some thoughts together to see how it went and have actually had my best week for long time this week even horses that did not win run well so i think there is actually something about this horse winning worth looking into just saying

 

[MySportsAI]

MySportsAI is getting stuck into Bowers but is he correct ?
He's certainly swaying me.
Eric Bowers wrote his article a long time ago and I'm pretty certain that he would have been moving his idea forward if he was around today.
Trouble is for me I'm not too keen on an open forum and would have prefered MySportsAI's work to be on the Inner Sanctum. (just me being petty)

What is the inner sanctum

 

[Chesham]

View attachment 169975

 

[MySportsAI]

View attachment 169975

Well there are certainly topics in there that are in my orbit. I wrote an article on the application of KNN to sectional times and MySportsAI has a data column highlighting ' well in horses'

 

[Chesham]

Well there are certainly topics in there that are in my orbit. I wrote an article on the application of KNN to sectional times and MySportsAI has a data column highlighting ' well in horses'

Nothing to do with me regarding Inner Sanctum access , just responding to your question