• Hi Guest, The forum will be moving hosts on 26 July and as such will be closed from Midday until the move has completed.
    As we will be with new hosts it may take a while before DNS get updated so it could take while before you can get back on the forum.
    I think it will take at least 4 hours but could easily be 48!
    Ark Royal
  • There seems to be a problem with some alerts not being emailed to members. I have told the hosts and they are investigating.
  • Sorry for the ongoing issues that you may have been experiencing whilst using the forum lately

    It really is frustrating when the forum slows down or Server Error 500 pops up.

    Apparently the hosts acknowledge there is a problem.
    Thank you for using our services and sorry for the experienced delay!
    Unfortunately, these errors are due to a higher server load. Our senior department knows about the issue and they are working towards a permanent resolution of the issue, however, I'd advise you to consider using our new cPanel cloud solutions: https://www.tsohost.com/web-hosting


    I will have to investigate what the differences are with what We have know compared to the alternative service they want us to migrate to.
    Keep safe.
    AR

Converging Factors.

Bertie123

Yearling
He did 2 and 3 yrolds plus older horses too. Peter his name was but can’t remember his surname. I met him a couple of times at Newmarket as he lived in or near Cambridge. He was an it expert and developed his software which I believe he may have sold on to a tipping company. I couldn’t wait for the weekly sheets to arrive . Ah well. Things change. It’s much tougher now as all the bookmakers and Betfair experts have access to all the same info. Finding an edge is difficult but sometimes they do make “ricks” but when you find one and it goes in at 8/1 it’s worth the effort.
happy punting. I have had a good word for LOCKDOWN tomorrow at 3.05 Newcastle but with a name like that it’s going to be overbet like crazy.
 
I remember Frank George from his book "football pools for the Commodore".
He said "look for the odd man out".
That was a brilliant idea for pools. It worked for me (well, to a reasonable extent).
That's because the odd man outs are covered less and less as the difficulty of the winning line increases.
Thus if a West Ham away win at Old Trafforf against Man. U. is worth 4 to 1, in the pools it may be worth the equivalent of 8 to 1.
So the odd man out pays - provided you get the rest ok.
With fixed odds however the idea dies.

Frank George was a professor of Essex university and also a NATO consultant.
I have n't read his book on racing.
Looks like he is trying to construct a multi-probability scheme to predict winners with maximum accuracy.
If you try this for real you need about one thousand parameters though and also the ability to create a smart card for every race, capable of
handling those parameters.
 
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