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Can singles show profit.

Parisencore and Frere Darmes basically went off too quick and set it up for those behind. McMenamin and Skelton are hardly inexpereinced, surely they would have known they were going too fast.
 
Parisencore and Frere Darmes basically went off too quick and set it up for those behind. McMenamin and Skelton are hardly inexpereinced, surely they would have known they were going too fast.
Skelton was in a rush to get to November off a few lbs lower.
 
I think there is two at chester worth a little bet.
DEMOCRACY DILEMMA 1 30.
DREAM HARDER 4 10
And although JAYAREBE sticks out no value there possibly.

And at the jumps there is two who i think should go close.
ONE FINE MAN 3 25 HUNT.
GREYVAL 7 20 STRAT. again is there enough value in it.
 
Not had time to go throw my usual cutting so here the horses i will be looking at later today .
DANCING MAGIC 1 30 CHESTER.
CITY STREAK 2 35 CHESTER.
BAEZ 4 15 CHESTER.
ORDER OF MERIT 4 50 CHESTER.
EMINENCY 3 30 ASCOT. This is the one that is sticking out to me at the moment for various reasons.
MATTICE 6 05 RIPON.
 
Looking at todays there is alot to go through like typical saturday, so trying to find some value along the way i think three who could be worth a bet at odds.
FARHH TO SHY 2 05 ASCOT won this race last year but you could argue its last run last year in listed company was even better run just beat round here also so obviously likes track stable not had many runners so thats worry but surely was planned for this,
POPMASTER 2 40 ASCOT this is a other horse who has won twice round here but has even run couple better races placed here also so other track horse and this stable is going well and had comeback run not beat far in decent time.
ZOZIMUS 2 45 HAYDOCK this horse only won once and alot would be put of by that but it does run in higher class and this is great oppertunaty if last run is anything to go by keeping visor on big plus i exspect big run from this one.
 
Well going for the value ones didnt pay of but least they run well and didnt loss much as saturdays seem hard.
I am just betting a few at the jumps today and little nibble on misty grey at newcastle as not big lover of all weather but must have bet on this.
Also had a e/w on eben shaddad at longchamp after haatem running well in our guinees, also nibbled makarova there would have liked faster ground but has showed can run here as showed in better race in oct.
 
If i would have just bet the one i must have bet on would have been good day but the jumps finished for me now for season.
Get concentrating in the flat from here on.
 
Not the great day tomorrow for sure so i think likely best to leave well alone till better races.
The 6 35 windsor looked the only race on turf worth a concideration and i thought possibly if ground fast and over the 6 fur if ready to go executive decision could run a race , Its last race on fast ground fifth to quinault was decent race washinton heights just in front of it and that won a group 3 this year and in that group 3 the second horse was also second in the quinault race.
 
I think my first line said it all about yesterday , And today not much better more like slight guesses than anything solid so wont mention anything today.
What i have found out if you wait for what you think is solid bet you just reliase the rubbish that does run day to day.
 
Well having a look for today i was excited a decent meeting on thinking oh will be something for tomorrow for sure, but if i am total honest i have been left with adissapointing feeling of some horses i was waiting on but look like they have stepped up in class and others who although in right class wont have it easy so nothing jumped out as saying yes thats the one.

The first race i looked at the 2 15 york marhaba the champ has only run twice at york and won both times so that was good starting point.
But has had two wind ops and now gelded ,tounge tie once then got off as didnt suit so it is horse if you look closely they really like but for what ever reason they feel is not producing what they exspect.
But even at that the win here was good race with second baque dor winning good race this season that alone gives it massive chance.
But then you have all the horses with run makes this abit of a guess how it will go.

I thenk looked at the 2 45 york now this is a bit of a lottery to say least there is 6 or 7 horses who have run against each other.
This is a race where makanah was one after its first run i was hoping would run in easier race than this as would be good bet.
As its first run of season dosnt make it good thing in this lottery for sure.
But when you look at the runs at york it never runs bad race exspecially fourth to equilaterial three runs back would give it big shout is 9 now though and not the ideall race you would think more than e/w bet and hope.

The 3 15 york this again is race i was looking forward to the washington heights form coming out to find bet and what happens the first three all come out in this race stepping up to group 2 now so makes it annoying that they could nto have found easier task.
And in this they also have the winner of the race last year in azure blue who should run big race again as likely improver but you never know with these sprinters how they will react and azure has to deal with fir horses too.

Finally i looked at the 5 20 york again i liked dancing in paris as i really fancied the winner in its last race where it run good second.
So on face of it this is one i thought oh maybe found one but then stepping up 2 fur to mile and half a worry so again some thing to worry about.
So final analysing four races which should have me excited have me more worried about one thing or other.

So do i stick to my singles or do i start drifting to small wagers on multi bets this is the question we all ask our self time and time again usually with also the choice to leave them altogther on a day we have a good meeting easier said than done.

So what i have decided to do is very small singles on these four and a even smaller bet e/w multi but being happy i have took in to account the dangers so fun bets at best.

2 15 YORK MARHABA THE CHAMP.
2 45 YORK MAKANAH.
3 15 YORK AZURE BLUE.
5 20 YORK DANCING IN PARIS.
 
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Looking at todays racing as you can imagine some tough racing as usual running through them might even help me as type to decide what to bet.

The first race is again a bit of lottery the 2 15 york bt there one horse i think might have a small edge on fitness on some of the more fancied ones.
JM JUNGLE not sure if draw is a help or not possible not but usually shows up well and has good course form, But i really liked last run and at least should be spot on for this. Stable form big doubt so a other one of my horse with doubts catagory.

Moving to the 2 45 york BLUE FOR YOU this is a horse you have to have big leap of faith the wind op worked.
This horse run 5th here last year then won round here so likes track and has form to win this but i would hope they have it ready better of at weights from last year but needs to be so there is caution again with this one.

Going to the 3 15 race this is one i like FREE WIND the form round here against warm heart is top notch and would be enough to win this with bluestocking behind it and also better of at weights. Although this one reversed form still better of at weights again and that was ascot back here i cant see this get beat hope i am right as on form i have no doubts about this one. Well you could argue first run of season but won last two years first time out so this will be my main bet.

3 45 york you can be forgiven for thinking fav in this but i do think CAVIAR HEIGHTS fitness could play massive part in this i bet the third in the race it won last time both beaten by jayarebe which i liked that horse its self run dismale race last time but form in gereral working out well ambiente friendly for one. But these races are always up and down so caution bet.

Jumping over to salisbury 2 30 CIRCUIT BREAKER this horse ran cracker at kempton and i already liked its last race last year and with john jo stabel running well i see no reason why this horse cant go close, I do think henderson horse is false fav here. It is tough race but happy this has chance.

Finally jumping to lingfield 7 52 THE DEFIANT i really like this one looks like dropped 3lb for great run last time has been given right chance likes the track on the all weather so been here at least you could argue the mark is more all weather winning but i feel this one will go close.

If i had to some these up i will be having small singles on them with larger bet on free wind.
 
Well was dissapointed that freewind got beat yesterday by the other horse with same race form bluestocking showing the reverse in form last time was no fluke had the f/cast which helped a little but looked like freewind didnt get going till very late on to snatch second.
But today anyway i am going back to four singles thats it no write up just here they are and there is a little thing about course form beinga must i add in at end and had let it slip lately as a must.

YORK 2 45 MAJESTIC.
NEWMARKET 4 25 FOX JOURNEY.
HAMILTON 6 40 QUINTUS ARRUS.
HAMILTON 7 15 GET SHIRTY.
 
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