.... Yes I agree, I know I am getting irregular results from the Auto Profit Soccer thread, where good looking favourites are not getting all their own way. Home support looks to be missing, but some of the favourites are being held by absolute rubbish.sorry all... putting this on hold for a while as it just doesn't look like a good runner ATM. Seems a bit too erratic for my liking, and I think it needs re-examining to see if it can become better using a different approach.
I have to say, this football betting is very erratic overall with the Covid restrictions affecting it hugely... really not the results as much as before.
very interesting to see perception translated into actual factual analysis... especially when he explains how the swing in home wins vs odds has resulted in a negative win value if betting on home teams to win as a strategy. Perhaps as he suggests, factoring in a 0.4 goal disadvantage when calculating goals in a game while it is crowdless if that indeed kills the home advantage will have a positive impact with my strategies as my predictions rely on goal expectations (something else that I learned from an early stage of football betting from the same source) to help me decide game outcomes. I think people who look for value are probably going to make the best of it until the markets do readjust.