paulb164
Colt
With the current games not being really consistent enough to bet on with any confidence (at least for me anyway), I have resorted to just betting on goals for the time being. This has left a bit of a hole in my betting practices, so I have decided to trial an idea I have had for quite a while, but not really had the time to explore. I was also dubious to use any system on any or the current leagues that have had a covid break and were at the tail end of their respective seasons, but with the Nordic ones just starting it seemed a good time to start looking into it.
It's based on the 'both teams to score' market with the expectation that they will each score... something that has always appealed to me with starting odds of around 1.9+. As I have a lot of comprehensive football plans based on goal expectations, I should exploit that to this end, but as usual I want to initially make it as simple as possible (so my Excel file can manage it all without issues and just tell me what games to bet on !) and tweak along the way. I also plan to use some market data to help pick likely qualifiers... prudent or not time will tell.
So my initial idea will use the following starting parameters;
- all games must have played at least 20% of their season
- those leagues need to have started and not be affected by the covid break (Nordic leagues are perfect at the moment)
- league goal average per game must be 2.6+
- both home and away teams must have starting match odds of 2.0+
- Soccervista has the game expectation to be over 2.5 goals
- using Betfair odds
I'll add more leagues as I go if they are good candidates, but don't expect to see any for a while (perhaps some of the South American leagues if they start up)
It's based on the 'both teams to score' market with the expectation that they will each score... something that has always appealed to me with starting odds of around 1.9+. As I have a lot of comprehensive football plans based on goal expectations, I should exploit that to this end, but as usual I want to initially make it as simple as possible (so my Excel file can manage it all without issues and just tell me what games to bet on !) and tweak along the way. I also plan to use some market data to help pick likely qualifiers... prudent or not time will tell.
So my initial idea will use the following starting parameters;
- all games must have played at least 20% of their season
- those leagues need to have started and not be affected by the covid break (Nordic leagues are perfect at the moment)
- league goal average per game must be 2.6+
- both home and away teams must have starting match odds of 2.0+
- Soccervista has the game expectation to be over 2.5 goals
- using Betfair odds
I'll add more leagues as I go if they are good candidates, but don't expect to see any for a while (perhaps some of the South American leagues if they start up)
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