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VDW VDW Tipping Thread

The only horse i think will run well tomorrow is MIGHTY BANDIT 3 12 windsor run last time was good and has proved it can act on softer ground.
Well even though i am not a all weather lover i had a look with lack of racing tomorrow for me anyway and i think its just possible that HOWTH could ruin luke morris day on the hot pot in the 8 00 kempton and he has rode it many times so he will know too.
just beat but had it in cover bet so money back.
 
Well howth just coudnt get the place being 4th but run a decent race at the price close again.
Not a great lover of all weather to be honest yet one running for new stable and first time ever on all weather tomorrow could run big race if liking it the cookstown cafu.Had little nibble if i am honest.
But plenty on grass to keep me busy tomorrow.
 
In the spirit of the VDW tipping thread, I thought I'd post up a race using a speed based subscription website. I don't subscribe, but sometimes take look at their free meeting racecards they allow anyone to access. (No log in required)

Inform Racing.

3.13 Redcar Class 4 shows Bright 10/3 + stands up well under the VDW methodology.

1. Sort by Forecast (Top 6 in handicaps)
2. Ability rating AR (Red)
3. Consistency CR (Red)
4. Speed Rating 1 LTO (Red)
5. Rating 2 Any other rating of choice eg: Login Back That Horse pawras pawras (Backthathorse)

Extra information. Running Style % highlighted

3.13 Redcar VDW.png



1726555568818.png



1726555899245.png

Market got that spot on. Bright not up with the pace early, got 4th. (2.00 4tbp market)

1726588433786.png
 
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My Probables are
Gressington
Rousing Encore
Bright

Rousing Encore is my Strongest Probable. Now before i hear the cry he is not consistent 4 out 5 winners that i put on my Test thread were 5th or 6th in consistency going as high as 19.

Darkness, Zarzyni and Mostawaa The only 1 that was top on all ratings was Miller Spirit

Also was 6th in the B/fc which is ok because first 6 in a handicap but with the withdrawal of Musica is now 5th.

Bright is plus 6 in OR However is improving but fails my test
Gressington on the same OR a 3yr old open to improvement stepping down from 7f
Regal Encore -6 on OR top Abil and 2nd top on my test

Regal Encore
 
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I have not looked at tomorrows yet it takes an age to work 1 race , Checking the last 3 races of every horse to find a horse with a chance against the rest lol
 
I have not looked at tomorrows yet it takes an age to work 1 race , Checking the last 3 races of every horse to find a horse with a chance against the rest lol
K Kraldrew , you only need to check the last three races of the shortlist or concentrate on the LTO for any horse that appears to be on the boil.

Regards
 
As i have said i have not seen any literature on the subject just what i have read i thought it said rate every Horse in the race on one of the threads
 
Well howth just coudnt get the place being 4th but run a decent race at the price close again.
Not a great lover of all weather to be honest yet one running for new stable and first time ever on all weather tomorrow could run big race if liking it the cookstown cafu.Had little nibble if i am honest.
But plenty on grass to keep me busy tomorrow.
Well nice winner cookstown cafu got 9/2 cover bet it to.
 
Horse​
Ability​
Con​
13.50 San​
Soul Seeker​
14​
17​
x 1st​
Safari Dream​
21​
16​
x 2nd​
Harb​
12​
12​
Eliminate​
 
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16.18 Bev​
Alligator Alley​
49​
12​
Mattice​
23​
23​
Elim for con​
Ganesha​
19​
19​
 
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1735 Kelso​
Flic Ou Voyou​
36​
9​
2nd​
Sean Og​
26​
4​
Half Shot​
27​
18​
W​
 
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15.23 Snd

RunnerConAbilityEBClassErin
Beshtani 9-63.11989337
Checkandchallenge 9-61.71999645
Crown Board 9-61.717265518
Elnajmm 9-62.717486-913
Skellet 8-113.319092-94

The probables are

Beshtani
Ok on capability (course type is a slight ?).
Came 5th to the Fav on equal weight whilst going up in class [-12], Key Horse (KH) [-4]

Checkandchallenge
Capability ok.
3rd to fav and gave it 10lb whilst going up in class [-3]. KH down in class [+4]

You could argue that Checkandchallenge put in a better performance, given the weight difference to the KH. However, it is a tough call and a possible Dutch bet looks the likely option.
 
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