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VDW VDW Tipping Thread

All the best with your bet at Ludlow, not involved myself in this race now. I did have Patient Dream as a Fineform Qualifier, but is now a e
non runner as PD was injured in his box. r


There is a positive with the horse having its 2nd run in a Handicap Hurdle and fancied in the market.
In recent years the trainer has done well

DB7B585A-F8E8-4599-9B73-11D07CD78A92.jpeg
 
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I have decided to put my Picks here as it is VDW Orientated. As you can see from the ratings the 2 that stand out and are my picks for the day
1540 Nott Belhaven class 112 Lto race 80 this race 108 so basically it is top in the 3 ratings
1910 Wolv Dembe Class 112 Lto race 340 and this race 51 also top in all 3 ratings .
 

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  • Kars Vdw picks.pdf
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1630 Muss
Zarzyni -5 OR
Spring Is Sprung 1 OR
Our Absent Friend +3 OR

Zarzyni ran off 80 in his 3rd LTO race 5th 1.5 lens to Night On Earth who also had poor Consistency. Has dropped 5lbs in OR compared to the other 2 probables. is up 1lb in weight Night On Earth dropped 2lbs in Or so hoping for Zarzyni to do the same. However 0-13 on the groung but is so well handicapped .
 
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1330 Win
Hello Zabeel
Ran off 71 his 3 lto run is now on 65 was 2.5 lens adrift from the winner same sort of profile as Zarzyni hopefully same result

The other 3 probables all have had their OR raised a couple of 3 yr olds who could spoil the party
 
Not sure its any where near same profile as zarzyni K Kraldrew the ground wrong seems better on all weather or faster ground on grass.
Not a race i would bet in to be fair so good luck.
 
|He has won at Southwell which i believe is the slowest course not sure as as it was relaid but his rating was on this course so we can but hope .
 
The only horse i think will run well tomorrow is MIGHTY BANDIT 3 12 windsor run last time was good and has proved it can act on softer ground.
Well even though i am not a all weather lover i had a look with lack of racing tomorrow for me anyway and i think its just possible that HOWTH could ruin luke morris day on the hot pot in the 8 00 kempton and he has rode it many times so he will know too.
 
Super Superjack could be the one if transfering his 2nd LTO to todays Distance and he is a distance winner and 5lb below his best run
 
Must be honest K Kraldrew i will be shocked if he has any where need the speed to beat mine i know you can never say never but highly unlikely to get close to mine if form works out.
The race he won was three years ago at this distance was the lowest of the low too. i would say dont back it even with nibble.
 
gerry gerry To be fair he is 1 of the four top ability wise
17 Abolish
14 Mighty Bandit
11 Hello Zabeel
11 Lahina Bay

Also he has the same profile as 6 winners since wednesday 2 i backed Miller Smith and Zarzini the other 4 i did not back when i checked why not i thought it was Ground, going etc but it was the OR it was above the OR that the rating i used for that run it should have been lower
 
I think thats what makes this game so much fun K Kraldrew we all go differant routes on form and come to our conclusions one way or other and your doing well so possible as i said that i am wrong and it goes well for you.
Hope you didnt think i was being anything bar helpfull on my analysing it one way or other its interesting race for us both.
 
I totally agree and i appreciate your help/ Views on the race when i looked at the race there were a lot of horses on the same OR and hello Zabeel was down 5 lbs so that is why i picked it gerry gerry
 
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