Valu4U
- Thread starter Jackform
- Start date
Jackform
Mare
I'm stalling now but I have to go gardening as showers are forecast after two today
. Just trying the best class race at Warwick for my form value odds, but could be difficult six of the eight runners in the early market expected range, so just a qick synopsis today.
Warwick ( going forecast S) Market odds from 9.40. D Skelton/H Skelton top track combo.
3.25. Early market expected no's 2, 6, 4, 7, 1, 5 indicating an oipen contest. Theoretical strong fav 7/4, contender 7/2, not expected longer than 7/1.
6. Mount Tempest (4/1 mkt) (D) LTO 50? (4/1 My fair form odds) D Skelton/H Skelton
7. I Hope Star (6/1) 1 tip. LTO 36, (5/1 form odds) J Quinlan 5th best track jockey.
1. Interne De Sivola (13/2) LTO 51? G&D OK* (10/3 form odds) Mrs J Williams 17% past month
MY comment: Taking one, Interne De Sivola looks a reaonable each-way punt early.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above
SWINGING LONDON still has scope for progression over hurdles and is taken to build on his two promising outings since the turn of the year. Nudged up 1lb after a solid effort when a close second at Huntingdon 17 days ago, the relatively quick reappearance could be a significant move. Galahad Threepwood would ideally need a strong pace back over this trip, so the unexposed I Hope Star is suggested as a bigger threat to the selection over this distance.
Top Tip: SWINGING LONDON (2)
Watch out for: I HOPE STAR (7)
Warwick ( going forecast S) Market odds from 9.40. D Skelton/H Skelton top track combo.
3.25. Early market expected no's 2, 6, 4, 7, 1, 5 indicating an oipen contest. Theoretical strong fav 7/4, contender 7/2, not expected longer than 7/1.
6. Mount Tempest (4/1 mkt) (D) LTO 50? (4/1 My fair form odds) D Skelton/H Skelton
7. I Hope Star (6/1) 1 tip. LTO 36, (5/1 form odds) J Quinlan 5th best track jockey.
1. Interne De Sivola (13/2) LTO 51? G&D OK* (10/3 form odds) Mrs J Williams 17% past month
MY comment: Taking one, Interne De Sivola looks a reaonable each-way punt early.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above
SWINGING LONDON still has scope for progression over hurdles and is taken to build on his two promising outings since the turn of the year. Nudged up 1lb after a solid effort when a close second at Huntingdon 17 days ago, the relatively quick reappearance could be a significant move. Galahad Threepwood would ideally need a strong pace back over this trip, so the unexposed I Hope Star is suggested as a bigger threat to the selection over this distance.
Top Tip: SWINGING LONDON (2)
Watch out for: I HOPE STAR (7)
Jackform
Mare
Wolverhampton (going forecast ST) Market odds from 4.10.
7.30 Early market expected no's 1, 3, 4, 6, 5, 13, 10 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 3/1, contender 6/1, not expecetd longer than 12/1.
1. Royal Parade (9/2 mkt) 4 tips (D) LTO 11 (6/1 fair form odds?) Timeform 1. Rossa Ryan up 23% past month and 2nd top track jockey.
3. Tolstoy (9/2) 1 tip (D3) LTO 22 (5/1 fair?) SC Williams 18%
4. Aberama Gold (6/1) 4 tips (D6) LTO 22 (13/2 fair?)
6. Bellagio Man (8/1) 2 tips (D2) LTO 7 (7/1 fair*)
5. Probe (9/1) LTO 231? (6/1 fair*) J Candish 24%
13. Shalaa Asker (11/1) (D3) LTO 9 (15/2 fair*)
10. Muscika (12/1) (C&D2D) LTO 23 (13/2 fair*) Time form 3. D McCain 23% past month.
My comment: Looking for one early Muscika each-way. A safer punt could be 1 point each Muscika, Bellagio Man, Probe for me.
ATR form verdict in comparison to the above.
Muscika demands the utmost respect as he goes in search of a third win from his last four starts, while Aberama Gold looks set to go well having been narrowly denied at Lingfield on his latest outing. ROYAL PARADE was only beaten three quarters of a length on his first start for Michael Appleby and, for a stable that often do well with their new recruits, he gets the verdict.
Top Tip: ROYAL PARADE (1)
Watch out for: MUSCIKA (10)
7.30 Early market expected no's 1, 3, 4, 6, 5, 13, 10 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 3/1, contender 6/1, not expecetd longer than 12/1.
1. Royal Parade (9/2 mkt) 4 tips (D) LTO 11 (6/1 fair form odds?) Timeform 1. Rossa Ryan up 23% past month and 2nd top track jockey.
3. Tolstoy (9/2) 1 tip (D3) LTO 22 (5/1 fair?) SC Williams 18%
4. Aberama Gold (6/1) 4 tips (D6) LTO 22 (13/2 fair?)
6. Bellagio Man (8/1) 2 tips (D2) LTO 7 (7/1 fair*)
5. Probe (9/1) LTO 231? (6/1 fair*) J Candish 24%
13. Shalaa Asker (11/1) (D3) LTO 9 (15/2 fair*)
10. Muscika (12/1) (C&D2D) LTO 23 (13/2 fair*) Time form 3. D McCain 23% past month.
My comment: Looking for one early Muscika each-way. A safer punt could be 1 point each Muscika, Bellagio Man, Probe for me.
ATR form verdict in comparison to the above.
Muscika demands the utmost respect as he goes in search of a third win from his last four starts, while Aberama Gold looks set to go well having been narrowly denied at Lingfield on his latest outing. ROYAL PARADE was only beaten three quarters of a length on his first start for Michael Appleby and, for a stable that often do well with their new recruits, he gets the verdict.
Top Tip: ROYAL PARADE (1)
Watch out for: MUSCIKA (10)
hedgehog
Dam
For my one race a day I looked at the 7.30 Wolves and my shortlist is quite long, Royal Parade, Tolstoy, Aberama Gold, Muscika and Shalaa Asker. My greedy side wants to bet Muscika or Shalaa Asker to win. M is 13.5 on the exchange so my little bet would be richly rewarded. That said it is an open race going by the odds and a rich prize for a C4 so they will all be trying
Good luck
Jackform with your bets
Good luck and stay well
Good luck
Jackform with your betsGood luck and stay well
Jackform
Mare
Huntingdon (going forecast GS some G showers) Market odds from 10.00.
3.30 Early market expected no’s 2, 3, 6, 8 indicating a win restricted to these. Theoretical strong fav 7/4, contender 7/2, not expected longer than 7/1.
2. Ike Sport (15/8 mkt) 7 tips LTO 8 (5/2 form fair price?)
3. Hardy Boy (7/2) 3 tips (CD) LTO 46? (85/40 fair*) B Pauling 18%/ Luca Morgan 21% past month.
6. Stroll On By (11/2) LTO 26 (3/1 fair*) 2nd for proven class/ability
8. Gladiatus (7/1) LTO 64? (11/2 fair*)
My comment: Taking one selection is Hardy Boy. A safer punt could be 1 point each Hardy Boy and Stroll On By.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
IKE SPORT does not have to carry a penalty for his win at Taunton recently and it would no surprise were he to follow up now that the penny has dropped. That said, the five-year-old meets some similarly unexposed rivals, including Invincible Nao, who could go well having been far-from disgraced at Fontwell last month. Others to note are Global Famenglory and Hardy Boy.
Top Tip: IKE SPORT (2)
Watch out for: INVINCIBLE NAO (1)
3.30 Early market expected no’s 2, 3, 6, 8 indicating a win restricted to these. Theoretical strong fav 7/4, contender 7/2, not expected longer than 7/1.
2. Ike Sport (15/8 mkt) 7 tips LTO 8 (5/2 form fair price?)
3. Hardy Boy (7/2) 3 tips (CD) LTO 46? (85/40 fair*) B Pauling 18%/ Luca Morgan 21% past month.
6. Stroll On By (11/2) LTO 26 (3/1 fair*) 2nd for proven class/ability
8. Gladiatus (7/1) LTO 64? (11/2 fair*)
My comment: Taking one selection is Hardy Boy. A safer punt could be 1 point each Hardy Boy and Stroll On By.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
IKE SPORT does not have to carry a penalty for his win at Taunton recently and it would no surprise were he to follow up now that the penny has dropped. That said, the five-year-old meets some similarly unexposed rivals, including Invincible Nao, who could go well having been far-from disgraced at Fontwell last month. Others to note are Global Famenglory and Hardy Boy.
Top Tip: IKE SPORT (2)
Watch out for: INVINCIBLE NAO (1)
Jackform
Mare
Speaking of value. I have looked at the Lincoln for my form value and if you are not opposed to backing a handful 1 point on each of these could get you home at the current odds - IMO?
Doncaster 3.35 Market expected at 2.00 no's 12, 2, 5, 14, 15, 10, 8, 9, 18, 1 indicating a win restricted to these.
14. Jimi Hendrix (11/1 mkt) 17/2 minimum value form odds to bet required
15. Wanees (11/1) 9/1 req
8. Empirestateofmind (14/1) 9/1 req
9. Montassib (14/1) 7/1 req
18. Encourageable (18/1) 10/1 req
1. Migration (18/1) 13/2 req
My comment: 6 points punt and a real chance - trust me.
Doncaster 3.35 Market expected at 2.00 no's 12, 2, 5, 14, 15, 10, 8, 9, 18, 1 indicating a win restricted to these.
14. Jimi Hendrix (11/1 mkt) 17/2 minimum value form odds to bet required
15. Wanees (11/1) 9/1 req
8. Empirestateofmind (14/1) 9/1 req
9. Montassib (14/1) 7/1 req
18. Encourageable (18/1) 10/1 req
1. Migration (18/1) 13/2 req
My comment: 6 points punt and a real chance - trust me.
Jackform
Mare
Precursor today just to get some idea of the conditions for the Grand National.
Foxhunters Chase over GN course 2023. Form rating applied to the VDW system of top 3 on form from top 6 prize money recorded.
4.05 (going forecast GS some Sshowers) Early market odds 9.25. D Skelton top track trainer with Bennys King, Not That Fusse
15. Latenightpass (5/1) LTO 39 C&D*, T Ellis 53% past month
14. Its On The Line (10/1) LTO 27, D O'Connor up 29% past month
17. Magic Saint (12/1) LTO 43, P Nicholls 24% past month and 3rd top track trainer.
others: -
19. Not That Fusse (20/1) LTO 51? BF? D Skelton 17% and top track trainer/J Andrews 35% past month
27. Winged Leader (7/2) LTO 19, DM Christie 21% past month
7. Dieu Vivant (80/1) LTO 36
My comment: 1 pt each no's 15, 14, 17 for an interest.
ATR form verdict incomparison to the above.
Cousin Pascal was a shock winner of this race back in 2021 and proved that the unexpected can happen over this unique course. However, WINGED LEADER, who appears to have been saved for this race, gets the vote. The nine-year-old looked set to be crowned champion of last year's Cheltenham Hunters' Chase but for being swallowed up in the dying strides. He arrives here on the back of three victories between the flags in Ireland and is likely to be spot on in his attempt to claim this contest. Famous Clermont's stamina appeared stretched by the extended 3m2f distance when weakening into sixth late on at Cheltenham last month and Chris Barber's inmate isn't taken lightly now dropped to 2m5f. Latenightpass boasts a fine record in the race, with last year's win under his belt and a fine second behind the aforementioned Cousin Pascal the season before. Tom Ellis' gelding is likely to be on the premises once more and can't be ruled out, while Fier Jaguen and Magic Saint make most appeal of the remainder.
Top Tip: WINGED LEADER (27)
Watch out for: FAMOUS CLERMONT (11)
Foxhunters Chase over GN course 2023. Form rating applied to the VDW system of top 3 on form from top 6 prize money recorded.
4.05 (going forecast GS some Sshowers) Early market odds 9.25. D Skelton top track trainer with Bennys King, Not That Fusse
15. Latenightpass (5/1) LTO 39 C&D*, T Ellis 53% past month
14. Its On The Line (10/1) LTO 27, D O'Connor up 29% past month
17. Magic Saint (12/1) LTO 43, P Nicholls 24% past month and 3rd top track trainer.
others: -
19. Not That Fusse (20/1) LTO 51? BF? D Skelton 17% and top track trainer/J Andrews 35% past month
27. Winged Leader (7/2) LTO 19, DM Christie 21% past month
7. Dieu Vivant (80/1) LTO 36
My comment: 1 pt each no's 15, 14, 17 for an interest.
ATR form verdict incomparison to the above.
Cousin Pascal was a shock winner of this race back in 2021 and proved that the unexpected can happen over this unique course. However, WINGED LEADER, who appears to have been saved for this race, gets the vote. The nine-year-old looked set to be crowned champion of last year's Cheltenham Hunters' Chase but for being swallowed up in the dying strides. He arrives here on the back of three victories between the flags in Ireland and is likely to be spot on in his attempt to claim this contest. Famous Clermont's stamina appeared stretched by the extended 3m2f distance when weakening into sixth late on at Cheltenham last month and Chris Barber's inmate isn't taken lightly now dropped to 2m5f. Latenightpass boasts a fine record in the race, with last year's win under his belt and a fine second behind the aforementioned Cousin Pascal the season before. Tom Ellis' gelding is likely to be on the premises once more and can't be ruled out, while Fier Jaguen and Magic Saint make most appeal of the remainder.
Top Tip: WINGED LEADER (27)
Watch out for: FAMOUS CLERMONT (11)
Jackform
Mare
Taunton (going forecast GS some S) Early market odds from 10.30. P Nicholls top track trainer. Byrony Frost top track jockey.
4.20 Early market expected no's 7, 4, 9, 6 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 6/4, contender 3/1, not expected longer than 6/1.
7. Hititi 3 tips (3/1 mkt) LTO 17* £ class 5th (3/1*) Form viable bet early. R Walford 31% past month
4. Jet Of Magic 4 tips BF4? (3/1) LTO 54? £ class 2nd; (11/4) viable. P Nicholls 24%/A Chelede 25% past month
9. Take Your Time 1 tip D2 (4/1) LTO 47? £ class 1st. (7/2) viable. P Nicholls 24%/Byrony Frost 21% past month
6. Sayadam 1 tip BF2? (11/2) LTO 61? £ class 4th. (11/4) viable. D Bass up 17% past month.
My comment: Go with the Nicholls yard two Jet Of Magic and Take Your Time.
ATR form verdict in comaparison with the above.
Take Your Time has lost his way recently and was beaten a long way at Chepstow in February, but connections try blinkers for the first time now and he has won twice off higher marks in the past. He could go well, but HITITI is the in-form option after wins at Exeter and Wincanton and, if he stays this trip at the first attempt, he may well complete the hat-trick. Sayadam is another to consider, though a place seems more likely for the six-year-old.
Top Tip: HITITI (7)
Watch out for: SAYADAM (6)
4.20 Early market expected no's 7, 4, 9, 6 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 6/4, contender 3/1, not expected longer than 6/1.
7. Hititi 3 tips (3/1 mkt) LTO 17* £ class 5th (3/1*) Form viable bet early. R Walford 31% past month
4. Jet Of Magic 4 tips BF4? (3/1) LTO 54? £ class 2nd; (11/4) viable. P Nicholls 24%/A Chelede 25% past month
9. Take Your Time 1 tip D2 (4/1) LTO 47? £ class 1st. (7/2) viable. P Nicholls 24%/Byrony Frost 21% past month
6. Sayadam 1 tip BF2? (11/2) LTO 61? £ class 4th. (11/4) viable. D Bass up 17% past month.
My comment: Go with the Nicholls yard two Jet Of Magic and Take Your Time.
ATR form verdict in comaparison with the above.
Take Your Time has lost his way recently and was beaten a long way at Chepstow in February, but connections try blinkers for the first time now and he has won twice off higher marks in the past. He could go well, but HITITI is the in-form option after wins at Exeter and Wincanton and, if he stays this trip at the first attempt, he may well complete the hat-trick. Sayadam is another to consider, though a place seems more likely for the six-year-old.
Top Tip: HITITI (7)
Watch out for: SAYADAM (6)
Jackform
Mare
Considered the Ain 4.05 as it's over the National course. VDW system 3 top form rated from top 6 overall £ class.
Aintree 4.05 (going forecast GS some S) Early market odds from 9.00. D Skelton top track trainer 10. Ashtown Lad.
7. Il Ridoto (14/1 mkt) (D) P Nicholls 23% & 3rd top track trainer/H Cobden 17% past month.
17. Batcio (33/1) B Hayes up 17% past month
3. Ciel De Neige (33/1) WP Mullins 17% & 5th top track trainer/MP Walsh 26% past month.
others:
8. Gin On Lime (40/1)
11. Upping The Anti (18/1)
9. Epson Du Houx (50/1)
My comment: Bet Il Ridoto and Ciel De Neige or 1 point each the 6 to have an interest.
ATR form verdict in comparison to the above.
In a wide-open contest only a tentative vote can go to BURROWS SAINT. It's interesting that Willie Mullins opts for this race over the Grand National, which he has competed in twice. Fourth in the 2021 renewal before unseating last year (from a 4lb higher mark), he could prove more potent over this shorter trip, while a recent spin at Down Royal should have left him cherry-ripe. Al Dancer is now 2lb better off with Gesskille than when defeating him in the Grand Sefton here in November and it would be no surprise were he to confirm that form. Ashtown Lad merits the utmost respect, along with the progressive Final Orders. Others to note include Haut En Couleurs, Ciel De Neige and Bill Baxter.
Top Tip: BURROWS SAINT (2)
Watch out for: AL DANCER (6)
Aintree 4.05 (going forecast GS some S) Early market odds from 9.00. D Skelton top track trainer 10. Ashtown Lad.
7. Il Ridoto (14/1 mkt) (D) P Nicholls 23% & 3rd top track trainer/H Cobden 17% past month.
17. Batcio (33/1) B Hayes up 17% past month
3. Ciel De Neige (33/1) WP Mullins 17% & 5th top track trainer/MP Walsh 26% past month.
others:
8. Gin On Lime (40/1)
11. Upping The Anti (18/1)
9. Epson Du Houx (50/1)
My comment: Bet Il Ridoto and Ciel De Neige or 1 point each the 6 to have an interest.
ATR form verdict in comparison to the above.
In a wide-open contest only a tentative vote can go to BURROWS SAINT. It's interesting that Willie Mullins opts for this race over the Grand National, which he has competed in twice. Fourth in the 2021 renewal before unseating last year (from a 4lb higher mark), he could prove more potent over this shorter trip, while a recent spin at Down Royal should have left him cherry-ripe. Al Dancer is now 2lb better off with Gesskille than when defeating him in the Grand Sefton here in November and it would be no surprise were he to confirm that form. Ashtown Lad merits the utmost respect, along with the progressive Final Orders. Others to note include Haut En Couleurs, Ciel De Neige and Bill Baxter.
Top Tip: BURROWS SAINT (2)
Watch out for: AL DANCER (6)
Jackform
Mare
After following the other ratings for some time I have decided to rate races myself and price up selections according to my opinion. However, I will mainly attempting to find ability percentages for Class, Trainer, Jockey and Horse to total up and convert to odds. The data will be taken from the Racing Post online (one factor will be Robert Saunders Dowst advice from the 1930's in the States - google him
).
Aintree (going forecast GS some G) Early market odds from 09.50. D Skelton top track trainer.
3.30 Market expected no's 1, 7 indicating a win restricted to these.
1. Fakir D'Oudaires 7 tips (C&D2D2BF) (2/1 mkt) LTO 55. 159 (20/21) MY % odds req. MP Walsh up 26% past month
7. Pic D'Orhy 1 tip (D3) (3/1) LTO 55. 125 (5/4) % odds req. P Nicholls 23%/H Cobden 17% past month
My comment: Maybe just a contest to watch to see if Pic D'Orhy can beat Fakir D'Oudaires again?
Atr form verdict to compare with the above.
Triumphant in this contest for the last two years, it can pay to side with the tried and trusted FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES, who may not be arriving in the best of form after a disappointing performance in the Ascot Chase but remains well capable on his day. Joseph O'Brien's charge seems to come alive around here and, like last year, he can fend off the attentions of Hitman (second), who arrives following a highly creditable placed effort in the Ryanair. Stablemate Pic D'Orhy had been on a roll this season until the Ascot Chase, where once again he was found wanting in Grade 1 company. On the other hand, talented handicapper Fugitif could be an interesting alternative having travelled like a horse with plenty of ability when runner-up at Cheltenham the last twice.
Top Tip: FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES (1)
Watch out for: HITMAN (4)
Aintree (going forecast GS some G) Early market odds from 09.50. D Skelton top track trainer.
3.30 Market expected no's 1, 7 indicating a win restricted to these.
1. Fakir D'Oudaires 7 tips (C&D2D2BF) (2/1 mkt) LTO 55. 159 (20/21) MY % odds req. MP Walsh up 26% past month
7. Pic D'Orhy 1 tip (D3) (3/1) LTO 55. 125 (5/4) % odds req. P Nicholls 23%/H Cobden 17% past month
My comment: Maybe just a contest to watch to see if Pic D'Orhy can beat Fakir D'Oudaires again?
Atr form verdict to compare with the above.
Triumphant in this contest for the last two years, it can pay to side with the tried and trusted FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES, who may not be arriving in the best of form after a disappointing performance in the Ascot Chase but remains well capable on his day. Joseph O'Brien's charge seems to come alive around here and, like last year, he can fend off the attentions of Hitman (second), who arrives following a highly creditable placed effort in the Ryanair. Stablemate Pic D'Orhy had been on a roll this season until the Ascot Chase, where once again he was found wanting in Grade 1 company. On the other hand, talented handicapper Fugitif could be an interesting alternative having travelled like a horse with plenty of ability when runner-up at Cheltenham the last twice.
Top Tip: FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES (1)
Watch out for: HITMAN (4)
Jackform
Mare
Further to my Colin Evans post re. trying for value from the Racing Post forecast here is one for Goodwood.
Goodwood (Soft) Market odds from 10.20.
4.15 Early market expected no's 2, 4, 5, 8, 3, 1
1. (8/1 mkt) 17/2 F/cst fair odds
2. (5/2) 11/2
3. (9/1) 14/1
4. (3/1) 15/8* Les Bleus (R Hughes 17.5% past month)
5. (5/1) 15/2
6. (20/1) 22/1
7. (6/1) 50/1
8. (15/2) 11/1
9. (22/1) 20/1* Cry Fiction
10. (150/1) 100/1* Land Of Magic
11. (150/1) 100/1* Mrs Nell
MY comment: Need to wait until nearer the off for SP but 4 , 9, 10, 11 are in the frame although the last two look like a forlorn hope.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
LES BLEUS finished a respectable third in the Sweet Solera at Newmarket and performed just as well in Group 2 company since then. Richard Hughes' filly looks nicely treated by the conditions of this contest and a second success of the season could be in the offing. Adaay In Devon and Chic Colombine both secured hat-tricks on their latest appearances and must enter calculations, while the unexposed Local Arms could get involved too.
Top Tip: LES BLEUS (4)
Watch out for: ADAAY IN DEVON (1)
Timeform verdict
LES BLEUS has made the frame in Group 2s on her last 2 starts, including when fourth in the Prix du Calvados at Deauville under similar conditions, so is the solid option back down in class. Adaay In Devon and Chic Colombine are both bidding for 4-timers and also need considering on these terms.
LES BLEUS (4)
ADAAY IN DEVON (1)
CHIC COLOMBINE (2)
Goodwood (Soft) Market odds from 10.20.
4.15 Early market expected no's 2, 4, 5, 8, 3, 1
1. (8/1 mkt) 17/2 F/cst fair odds
2. (5/2) 11/2
3. (9/1) 14/1
4. (3/1) 15/8* Les Bleus (R Hughes 17.5% past month)
5. (5/1) 15/2
6. (20/1) 22/1
7. (6/1) 50/1
8. (15/2) 11/1
9. (22/1) 20/1* Cry Fiction
10. (150/1) 100/1* Land Of Magic
11. (150/1) 100/1* Mrs Nell
MY comment: Need to wait until nearer the off for SP but 4 , 9, 10, 11 are in the frame although the last two look like a forlorn hope.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
LES BLEUS finished a respectable third in the Sweet Solera at Newmarket and performed just as well in Group 2 company since then. Richard Hughes' filly looks nicely treated by the conditions of this contest and a second success of the season could be in the offing. Adaay In Devon and Chic Colombine both secured hat-tricks on their latest appearances and must enter calculations, while the unexposed Local Arms could get involved too.
Top Tip: LES BLEUS (4)
Watch out for: ADAAY IN DEVON (1)
Timeform verdict
LES BLEUS has made the frame in Group 2s on her last 2 starts, including when fourth in the Prix du Calvados at Deauville under similar conditions, so is the solid option back down in class. Adaay In Devon and Chic Colombine are both bidding for 4-timers and also need considering on these terms.
LES BLEUS (4)
ADAAY IN DEVON (1)
CHIC COLOMBINE (2)
Jackform
Mare
Over a year since last post on this thread, but I am still working on the idea 
that you don't have to bet in every race. Very poor principal meeting with six runners or less in each race!
Ludlow (G watering) Mkt odds from 9am.
2.15
Bond Broker 4/7 NO bet
Mister Cressa 2/1 - 1pt stake
2.45
Happy Rex 5/1
4.48
Cap Du Mathan 11/4
that you don't have to bet in every race. Very poor principal meeting with six runners or less in each race!Ludlow (G watering) Mkt odds from 9am.
2.15
Bond Broker 4/7 NO bet
Mister Cressa 2/1 - 1pt stake
2.45
Happy Rex 5/1
4.48
Cap Du Mathan 11/4
Jackform
Mare
Half a point down yesterday so not a disaster but could do better
Aintree (G to GS Mildmay cse watered) Mkt odds fro 12.15pm. 1pt level stakes all round.
1.45 Impiaire ET Passe 2/1, Jango Baie 5/2
2.20 Live Conti 14/1, Willy De Houielle 9/2, Murcia 28/1
2.55 Grey Dawning 5/2, Gaelic Warrior 15/2, Stage Star 9/1
3.30 Constutional Hill 11/10 NO bet, Lossiemouth 11/8, Take No Chances 16/1
4.05 Bennys King 25/1, Jet Plane 33/1, Frere D'Armes 55/1
4.40 Petit Tonnaire 7/1, Calico 12/1, Gunsight Ridge 33/1
5.15 Blue Betty 14/1, Strong Run16/1, Getawhisky 22/1
Aintree (G to GS Mildmay cse watered) Mkt odds fro 12.15pm. 1pt level stakes all round.
1.45 Impiaire ET Passe 2/1, Jango Baie 5/2
2.20 Live Conti 14/1, Willy De Houielle 9/2, Murcia 28/1
2.55 Grey Dawning 5/2, Gaelic Warrior 15/2, Stage Star 9/1
3.30 Constutional Hill 11/10 NO bet, Lossiemouth 11/8, Take No Chances 16/1
4.05 Bennys King 25/1, Jet Plane 33/1, Frere D'Armes 55/1
4.40 Petit Tonnaire 7/1, Calico 12/1, Gunsight Ridge 33/1
5.15 Blue Betty 14/1, Strong Run16/1, Getawhisky 22/1
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Jackform
Mare
Aintree (GS to G Mildmay cse watering) Mkt odds around 9.30am. 1pt level stakes all round.
1.45 Dancing City 3/1, Caldwell Porter 7/2, Quai De Bourbon
2.20 Impose Toi 15/2, Wade out 8/1, Listentoyour heart 16/1
2.55 Tripoli Flyer 11/4, Salvator Mundi 3/1, Royal Infantry 25/1
3.30 Jonbon 8/13 NO bet, El Fabiolo 11/4, Protektorat 9/1
4.05 Blue Lord 8/1, Excello 10/1, Gentleman De Mee 25/1, Fantastic Lady 25/1
4.40 Mister Meggit 7/2, Califet En Vol 4/1, Holloway Queen 28/1
5.15 Alnilam 12/1, Diamonds For Luck 12/1, She's A Saint 22/1
1.45 Dancing City 3/1, Caldwell Porter 7/2, Quai De Bourbon
2.20 Impose Toi 15/2, Wade out 8/1, Listentoyour heart 16/1
2.55 Tripoli Flyer 11/4, Salvator Mundi 3/1, Royal Infantry 25/1
3.30 Jonbon 8/13 NO bet, El Fabiolo 11/4, Protektorat 9/1
4.05 Blue Lord 8/1, Excello 10/1, Gentleman De Mee 25/1, Fantastic Lady 25/1
4.40 Mister Meggit 7/2, Califet En Vol 4/1, Holloway Queen 28/1
5.15 Alnilam 12/1, Diamonds For Luck 12/1, She's A Saint 22/1
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Jackform
Mare
Southwell (ST) Mkt odds from 1pm
3.45 Our Enery 4/1
4.20 Cinque Verde 20/1
4.55 Purosangue 15/2
5.30 Way Of Stars 4/1
6.00 Blu Bolt 8/11
6.30 Del Ray 12/1
7.00 Big Sip `15/1
MY comment: TRy a 1 Pt reduced 6 doubles perm for the first 6 races - 1-3, 1-6, 2-4, 2-5, 3-6, 4-5. 3 wins guarantees a double.
3.45 Our Enery 4/1
4.20 Cinque Verde 20/1
4.55 Purosangue 15/2
5.30 Way Of Stars 4/1
6.00 Blu Bolt 8/11
6.30 Del Ray 12/1
7.00 Big Sip `15/1
MY comment: TRy a 1 Pt reduced 6 doubles perm for the first 6 races - 1-3, 1-6, 2-4, 2-5, 3-6, 4-5. 3 wins guarantees a double.
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Jackform
Mare
Nottingham (G - GF watered) Mkt odds from 12.20pm
2.35 Looking For Lynda 3/2, Counsel 13/2
3.35 Dream Illusion 4/1
5.05 Gentle Warrior 8/1
I rated the top ten seasonal BHA NH to 7 Apr trainers for comparison. The reason being that I am not sure where we are with the Flat turf as much of their form comes from AW racing, and also most of the UK top yards have not even started yet?
Taunton (Gf -G watered) Mkt odds from 1.20pm
2.25 Dino Magic 9/1
3.55 Anytrixwilldo 5/2
4.25 Florencethemachine 2/1
2.35 Looking For Lynda 3/2, Counsel 13/2
3.35 Dream Illusion 4/1
5.05 Gentle Warrior 8/1
I rated the top ten seasonal BHA NH to 7 Apr trainers for comparison. The reason being that I am not sure where we are with the Flat turf as much of their form comes from AW racing, and also most of the UK top yards have not even started yet?
Taunton (Gf -G watered) Mkt odds from 1.20pm
2.25 Dino Magic 9/1
3.55 Anytrixwilldo 5/2
4.25 Florencethemachine 2/1
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. Mkt odds from 9.50am