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Uk Betting Forum Common Race of Day

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Norflondonforever

HorseFull MR List
OR​
Best MR​
Best 2 Avg​
MR+17​
MR+17 − OR​
Norflondonforever47, 42, 54, 27, 4, 7
60​
54​
50.5​
71​
+11​
Risen Again8, 30, 53, 0, 35, 12
60​
53​
44.0​
70​
+10​
Fleur De Mer34, 48, 36, 48, 31, 48
57​
48​
48.0​
65​
+8​
Revelio44, 36, 39, 48, 0, 22
60​
48​
46.0​
65​
+5​
He's Our Cracker15, 21, 12, 0, 28, 39
62​
39​
33.5​
56​
-6​
Spec Of Light38, 36, 37, 17, 37, 32
53​
38​
37.5​
55​
+2​
Highfield Comrade22, 27, 28, 31, 7, 27
50​
31​
29.5​
48​
-2​
Beat The Odds21, 1, 0, 8, 0, 0
46​
21​
14.5​
38​
-8​
Rajawail6, 0, 7, 0, 8, 0
46​
8​
7.5​
25​
-21​

Positive Edge Qualifiers​

Horse
Best MR​
Best 2 Avg​
Edge​
Norflondonforever
54​
50.5​
+11​
Risen Again
53​
44.0​
+10​
Fleur De Mer
48​
48.0​
+8​
Revelio
48​
46.0​
+5​
Spec Of Light
38​
37.5​
+2​
Top 4 Flat MR Method
  • Norflondonforever
  • Risen Again
  • Fleur De Mer
  • Revelio
Best MR: Norflondonforever (54)
Best Average: Norflondonforever (50.5)
Best Edge: Norflondonforever (+11)
 
Mine for tonight are : He's our cracker and Highfield comrade.
Good luck with yours.

20:30bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places HandicapSouthwell • Flat • 1m 3f 23y • Standard (AW - Tapeta) • Class 6
🥉 BRONZE FILTER — 7-12f · 9 runners · 5/2 odds — historically 39% win rate, +54% ROI · 1 WARNING
🔍 CONVERGENCE ALERT — 2 horse(s) with 3+ signals aligning
HorseOddsSignalsVerdict
Highfield Comrade13/2strongly backed · RPR ahead of hcp · RPR improving · CD winner❌ ELIMINATED
Norflondonforever5/1Master Rating +4 · RPR ahead of hcp · RPR improving · SP↓ vs last run👀 WATCH
⚠️ SLIGHTLY UNBALANCED • Weight range: 121–137lbs (16lbs spread) • Midpoint: 129.0lbs • Median weight (132lbs) is 3.0lbs from midpoint — treat Bowers with moderate caution • Median OR: 57 (OR ✓ = at/above median)
🏟 Southwell: Left-handed • Favoured draw: Low (STRONG BIAS) • Distance 10f+ — draw influence significantly reduced
Left-handed AW Fibresand. Low draws (rail) consistently favoured — early speed at low stalls very important.
🗺️ Pace Map — Expected Early PositionsUncontested lead likely
Front Runner
He's Our Cracker
100% FR • Stall 5
Prominent
Risen Again (FR)
52% FR • Stall 9
Versatile
Fleur De Mer
23% FR • Stall 2
Highfield Comrade
17% FR • Stall 4
Spec Of Light
29% FR • Stall 6
Revelio
22% FR • Stall 1
Hold-Up
Norflondonforever
33% FR • Stall 3
He's Our Cracker looks set for an unpressured lead — a notable tactical advantage if it can dictate from the front.
Watch: He's Our Cracker (Stall 5)
#HorseDrawOROddsWgtDSLRBowersPace ProfileDraw ScoreBonusesKNNFinal ScoreVerdict
1He's Our Cracker p
J Candlish / George Wood		562 ✓5/2 SP
3.5
card: 9/4		1374✅
#1		Front Runner
100% FR / 0% HU

8/10
1 runs		— 3/5
Stall 5		💹 Steady at 5/2
🔄 won last run — placed profile ✓
📋 Won last run
🏛 BHA OR 57 (card shows 62 — rated lower than card)
🎥 RaceIQ FSP 108% last run (Catterick Bridge) — finished well above par ⭐ | RaceIQ FSP trending down -5pts over last 3 runs
🏋 Trainer 38% with Front Runners (113/301) ⭐
📊 IV 3.33 (Strong) — medium fields ✓ | middle trips ✓
+3.19		0%
Poor		9.59🏆 TOP PICK
2✓ 0✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
?		Form
✓		Draw
~		RPR
?		Trainer
✓
2Fleur De Mer v
M Todhunter / P Mulrennan		257 ✓5/1 SP
6.0
card: 6/1		13228❌
#5		Versatile
23% FR / 36% HU

4/10
22 runs		— 3/5
Stall 2		💹 Backed 7.0→5/1 ✓
📈 RPR 65 vs OR 57 — ahead of hcp ✓ | RPR improving +10pts last 3 runs ⭐
🎥 RaceIQ FSP 102% last run (Newcastle) — solid finishing pace ✓
⭐ Master Rating -13 (well below handicapper expectations ⚠️)
📊 IV 2.57 (Strong) — medium fields ✓ | middle trips ✓
+3.1		0%
Poor		7.8❌ ELIMINATED
2✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
✓		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
3Highfield Comrade
J & S Quinn / Jason Hart		45013/2 SP
7.5
card: 10/1		125174❌
#7		Versatile
17% FR / 25% HU

4/10
12 runs		— 3/5
Stall 4		💹 Strongly backed 11.0→13/2 ⭐
🏆 Course winner | Distance winner
📈 RPR 71 vs OR 50 — well ahead of hcp ⭐ | RPR improving +7pts last 3 runs ⭐ | TS 57 — at/above career best ⭐
⭐ Master Rating +0 (as expected)
📅 174 days — long absence
📊 IV 2.22 (Strong) — medium fields ✓ | middle trips ✓
+3.4		0%
Poor		7.74❌ ELIMINATED
CD
2✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
✓		Fit
?		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
4Risen Again (FR) p
J & R Flint / L Morris		960 ✓12/1
13.0		13523❌
#4		Prominent
52% FR / 29% HU

8/10
21 runs		— 3/5
Stall 9		🔄 SP longer than last run (8.5→13.0) ⚠️ | 2nd last run — placed profile ✓
📈 RPR 74 vs OR 60 — well ahead of hcp ⭐
⭐ Master Rating -1 (as expected)
+1.2		20%
Weak		7.4❌ ELIMINATED
2✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
✓		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
5Spec Of Light
A Forbes / Gina Mangan		6539/2 SP
5.5
card: 4/1		12819❌
#6		Versatile
29% FR / 38% HU

4/10
21 runs		— 3/5
Stall 6		💹 Steady at 9/2
🔄 SP shorter than last run (12.0→5.5) ✓ | Quick turnaround (12 days) ✓
🏆 Course winner
📋 3rd last run
📈 RPR declining -11pts ⚠️
🎥 RaceIQ FSP trending down -7pts over last 3 runs
⭐ Master Rating -1 (as expected)
+2.4		0%
Poor		6.91⚡ NOT BOWERS BUT!
C
3✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
✓		Fit
✓		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
?		Trainer
✓
6Norflondonforever
Faye Bramley / T Eaves		360 ✓5/1 SP
6.0
card: 5/1		13521✅
#3		Hold-Up
33% FR / 67% HU

1/10
3 runs		— 3/5
Stall 3		💹 Steady at 5/1
🔄 SP shorter than last run (25.0→6.0) ✓
📈 RPR 78 vs OR 60 — well ahead of hcp ⭐ | RPR improving +9pts last 3 runs ⭐
🎥 RaceIQ FSP 109% last run (Lingfield Park) — finished well above par ⭐
⭐ Master Rating +4 (above expectations ✓)
📊 IV 0.0 (Poor) — medium fields ⚠️ | middle trips ⚠️
+2.8		0%
Poor		6.6👀 WATCH
2✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
✓		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
7Revelio v1
Tom Clover / Jack Callan		160 ✓9/2 SP
5.5
card: 5/1		13533✅
#2		Versatile
22% FR / 22% HU

5/10
9 runs		— 3/5
Stall 1		💹 Steady at 9/2
📈 RPR 81 vs OR 60 — well ahead of hcp ⭐ | TS 66 — at/above career best ⭐
🎥 RaceIQ FSP 93% last run (Haydock Park) — finished below par ⚠️ | RaceIQ FSP trending down -14pts over last 3 runs
⭐ Master Rating -1 (as expected)
🎯 Slight class drop (Cls 5→6) ✓
📊 IV 0.0 (Poor) — medium fields ⚠️ | middle trips ⚠️
+0.3		0%
Poor		5.5👀 WATCH
1✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
?		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
8Beat The Odds
A Brittain / Cam Hardie		84650/1 SP
51.0
card: 33/1		12141❌
#8		Front Runner
100% FR / 0% HU

8/10
7 runs		— 3/5
Stall 8		———🚫 MARKET REJECT
1✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
?		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
?		Trainer
✓
9Rajawail t p
B Rothwell / Faye McManoman		746200/1 SP
201.0
card: 200/1		1214❌
#8		Prominent
50% FR / 50% HU

9/10
4 runs		— 3/5
Stall 7		———🚫 MARKET REJECT
1✓ 1✗Going
?		Distance
?		Fit
?		Form
✗		Draw
~		RPR
✓		Trainer
?
 
These races never strike me has being easy to find anything to offer and today's no different.
Every chance it might finish up a draw but i've decided to stretch the form offered by REVELIO to try and hope that a switch to the Tapeta surface and first time visor might just bring about some improvement, only run 7 times so maybe there's a bit more to come from him that doesn't embarrass his dad further.
 
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