| No. | Horse | Age | Notes |
| 1 | Poet Master (IRE) | 6 | Ref win: Newmarket 18 Apr 24, Hcp Cl2, GD, 7f, OR 100, 9-5 (most recent HANDICAP win in the 3yr window). HRB's 'last win mark 105' is the Curragh Gr2 (21 Jul 24), a Non-Handicap, so it is not used. 5lb above the handicap mark and 7lb heavier. All 9 runs since Apr 24 were in Group/Listed races: 1 win (that Gr2), last two 7/11 and 7/8. First handicap run since Apr 24. Going PROVEN on Good. 67 days since last run (over 28 = risk flag). Lee was 2nd on him in a Gr2 (Oct 25). Seasonality: Oct Turf 6yo = PLUS. |
| 2 | Pellitory | 4 | CARRIES 6LB PENALTY: official OR 98 used (HRB shows 104 = 98 + 6). Ref win: Ayr 19 Sep 26 (14 days ago), Hcp Cl2 (£93k), HEAVY, 6f, OR 98, 9-0, Tudhope riding. Level on OR; 11lb heavier (9-11 v 9-0), 8lb after the 4yo allowance = ⚑ HEAVY. Going PROVEN on Good/GF: won Haydock 8 Aug 26 (GD, OR 94), 2nd York 10 Jul 26 (GD-FM, beaten a head). ASCOT RECORD on this course and distance: 26/28 (11.3L), 16/28 (8.1L), 7/15 (9.5L). O'Meara 0 from 20 and Tudhope 0 from 16 at Ascot in the last 365 days. Stall 17. Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 3 | Two Tribes | 5 | Ref win: Goodwood 2 Aug 25, Hcp Cl2 (£129k), GD-SFT, 6f, OR 95, 9-0. 8lb above that mark, 10lb heavier (6 and 8 after the 5yo allowance) = ⚑ HEAVY. CD: won this course and distance 26 Jul 25 (GD, OR 90). Ascot 7f since: 2nd of 16 (25 Jul 26, 1.3L), 3rd of 8 (5 Sep 26, 2.9L, behind Thunder Call). HRB band record: 0 from 10 when rated 101-110. Going PROVEN on Good/GF. Moore has not ridden him. Spencer 0 from 15 at Ascot in the last 365 days. Seasonality: Oct Turf 5yo = PLUS. |
| 4 | Arctic Dawn | 5 | Ref win: Newmarket (July) 8 Aug 26, Hcp Cl2, GD-FM, 7f, OR 100, 10-0. 3lb above that mark, 4lb LIGHTER. Going PROVEN: both 2026 wins on GD-FM. Ran 7 days ago: 4th of 12 at Newmarket off 102, beaten 2L, 'kept on well, nearest finish'. Ascot 7f: 6/16 (1.8L, Jul 26), 24/28 (10L, Jun 26). Shepherd has not ridden him. Kubler 0 from 7 at Ascot in the last 365 days. Seasonality: Oct Turf 5yo = PLUS. |
| 5 | Five Ways | 3 | UNEXPOSED PATH (3yo, no handicap win: wins were a Novice and a Gr3). Trainer form 30: Balding's last winner was on or after 24 Sep (HRB report of 27 Sep showed 3 days), so within 28 days. OR trajectory 15: 104 for each of his last two runs and today, unchanged. Best handicap run 0: 9/12 (7L), 11/13 (6.6L), 13/22 (6.7L). Watson has won on him twice. Ran 7 days ago: 9/12 at Newmarket, 'no chance with leaders'. Going: novice win on GD-FM. Seasonality: Oct Turf 3yo = n/a. |
| 6 | Thunder Call | 3 | Ref win: THIS COURSE AND DISTANCE, Ascot 5 Sep 26, Hcp Cl2, GD-FM, 7f, OR 93, 8-12, won by 2.8L 'eased close home' (before the 12 Sep penalty date, so reassessed instead). Raised 9lb and 9lb heavier (4 and 4 after the 3yo allowance). Going PROVEN. 3 wins from 7, placed 6 times. Also won a 22-runner York handicap off 85. Davies has not ridden him. Stall 1. Seasonality: Oct Turf 3yo = n/a. |
| 7 | Great Acclaim | 5 | Ref win: Chepstow 7 Aug 25, Hcp Cl2, GD-SFT, 7f, OR 94, 9-1. 5lb above, 5lb heavier (3 and 3 after the 5yo allowance). Going PROVEN: won Goodwood 30 Jul 25 on GD. Ascot 7f: 3rd of 28 (18 Jun 26, <1L), 2nd of 28 (9 May 26, 1L), 2nd of 20 (Sep 25), 9/16 (Jul 26); no Ascot win. Last run Newbury 15 Aug, 7/8, beaten 8L. 49 days since last run (risk flag). HRB band record: 1 from 13 when rated 91-100. Visor: 0 from 4. Carmichael has not ridden him. Seasonality: Oct Turf 5yo = PLUS. |
| 8 | Hickory (IRE) | 8 | 8YO: if he topped the tissue the race would be NO BET (he does not). Ref win: Ascot 4 Sep 26, Hcp Cl2, GD, 1m, OR 95, 9-5. 4lb above, 1lb heavier. CD: won this course and distance 10 May 25 (GD-FM, OR 86). 4 Ascot wins in all. Going PROVEN. Held-up type (HU 20 of 34). McDonald has not ridden him. Osborne 5 from 15 at Ascot in the last 365 days. 29 days since last run. Seasonality: Oct Turf 8yo = NEGATIVE. |
| 9 | Moonfall (IRE) | 3 | Ref win: Ascot 18 Jun 26, Hcp Cl2 (30 runners), GD-FM, 1m, OR 90, 8-10. Raised 11lb and 10lb heavier (6 and 5 after the 3yo allowance). 2nd in both runs since (Ascot 1m off 97, Doncaster 1m off 99, both <1L). All handicap runs at 7½f-1m; only 7f run was a Gr2 at 2 (7/7). Going PROVEN. Loughnane won on him as a 2yo. Seasonality: Oct Turf 3yo = n/a. |
| 10 | Mezcala | 4 | Ref win: THIS COURSE AND DISTANCE, Ascot 18 Jun 26, Hcp Cl2 (28 runners), GD-FM, 7f, OR 94, 9-1. 3lb above and 3lb heavier, both level after the 4yo allowance. Going PROVEN. Since: 12/16 at Ascot 7f off 98 (3.6L, 'never on terms'), 6/17 at Doncaster 1m off 98 (4L, 'led briefly… no extra'); dropped 1lb to 97. Bass has won on him twice. Stall 16. TRAWL: fails, as his OR is not below the winning mark. Channon 1 from 19 at Ascot in the last 365 days. Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 11 | Desert Shadow | 4 | Ref win: Sandown 6 Aug 26, Hcp CLASS 4, GD-FM, 7f, OR 85, 10-2. That is Class 4 form; today is Class 2, a two-class RISE. Raised 11lb (8 after the 4yo allowance) but 13lb LIGHTER. 2nd at Sandown since off 94 (<1L, Cl3). Going PROVEN. Placed in 8 of 10. Shoemark has not ridden him. 35 days since last run (risk flag). Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 12 | Golden Mind (IRE) | 5 | Ref win: Doncaster 8 Nov 25, Hcp Cl2, HEAVY, 6f, OR 99, 9-2. 4lb BELOW that mark at the same weight (6lb and 2lb better after the 5yo allowance). GOING TRIED AND FAILED on Good to Firm in 2026, all at Ascot: 5 Sep (6f) 10/13, beaten 10.5L, 'struggling 3f out'; 25 Jul (7f) 15/16, 10.9L, 'lost touch'; 18 Jun (7f) 23/28, 10L, 'soon weakened'. On GOOD here he was 4th of 28 (9 May 26, 1.9L) and 4th of 21 (Jul 25, 2.4L). His handicap wins were on Heavy and on the all-weather. HRB band record: 1 from 13 when rated 91-100. OR 103 down to 95 since June. Fentiman has won on him. TRAWL: fails (D only, going flagged). Seasonality: Oct Turf 5yo = PLUS. |
| 13 | River King (IRE) | 4 | Ref win: Newbury 1 Jun 26, Hcp CLASS 4, GD-FM, 1m, OR 87, 9-11, made all. Class 4 form; today is Class 2, a two-class RISE. Raised 8lb (5 after the 4yo allowance) but 9lb LIGHTER. Since: 5th of 28 at Ascot 7f (3.1L, led until 1f out), 4th of 17 at Doncaster 1m (2.5L). Going PROVEN. Front-runner (FR 4 of 9). Levey has won on him. Stall 2. No C or D. Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 14 | Machadadorp | 3 | Ref win: York 20 Aug 26, Hcp Cl2 (£52k, 19 runners), GD-SFT, 7f, OR 88, 8-9, 'won going away'. Raised 8lb and 6lb heavier (3 and 1 after the 3yo allowance). Going PROVEN on GD-FM: 2nd Newmarket handicap (11 Jul, 3.5L), won a Novice. 3 wins from 6. Ascot: 6/7 on debut (1m Novice, 10L). Hutchinson has not ridden her (Murphy rode all 3 wins). 44 days since last run (risk flag). Seasonality: Oct Turf 3yo = n/a. |
| 15 | Realign (FR) | 4 | Ref win: Carlisle 30 May 26, Hcp Cl3, GD-FM, 6f, OR 92, 9-11. 2lb above (1 below after the 4yo allowance) and 10lb LIGHTER. That was a Class 3; today is Class 2, so no class drop. TRIP: every handicap run has been at 5f-6f; his only 7f run was a Maiden at 2 (3rd). Going PROVEN. Since the win: 8/27, 16/27, 10/20 in big 6f handicaps, beaten 1.8L-3.9L. Dobbs has not ridden him. 42 days since last run (risk flag). TRAWL: fails (no C or D; raw OR not below). Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 16 | The Fingal Raven (IRE) | 4 | NO ANCHOR: only win was an all-weather Novice, which does not count; 4yo, so not eligible for the unexposed path. Stay/Weight/OR = 0. Surface flag: 0 from 13 on turf. Recent handicap form: 3rd Newmarket 7 days ago (1.5L, led over 1f out), 2nd Ascot 7f 5 Sep (2.8L behind Thunder Call). Going fine on GD-FM. First-time cheekpieces. Carver was 2nd on him at Ascot. Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 17 | Hawksbill | 4 | NO ANCHOR: only win was a Novice; 4yo, so not eligible for the unexposed path. Stay/Weight/OR = 0. 0 from 13 in handicaps, placed 4 times (2nd at Ayr 19 Sep on Heavy, 1.3L). Mostly runs at 1m. Wood was 2nd on him. Seasonality: Oct Turf 4yo = n/a. |
| 18 | Aalto (FR) | 6 | Ref win: Newmarket (July) 11 Jul 26, Hcp Cl2 (£52k), GD-FM, 7f, OR 87, 8-10. 3lb above, 1lb heavier (no allowance at 6). Since: 3rd of 16 at Ascot 7f (25 Jul, 1.4L), 3rd in a Non-Handicap at Ascot, 2nd of 16 at Newbury (19 Sep, neck). Going PROVEN. Held-up type (HU 17 of 24), often slowly away. 2 wins from 24 (8%). Edmunds has not ridden him. Stall 3. Seasonality: Oct Turf 6yo = PLUS. |
