Uk Betting Forum Common Race of Day

[MySportsAI]

Apologies just noticed I put up the wrong ratings for the regression option

Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,LADY MANZOR,0.46,0.65,1.0,1.0,0.4,0.45,0.20566544515031754
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,GUNFIGHTER,0.25,1.0,0.93,0.6,0.2,0.32,0.1659155169448329
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,HAPPY BANNER,0.04,0.74,0.96,0.96,0.84,0.88,0.1656299639346293
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,ASTEVERDI,0.07,0.72,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.95,0.13479405329228059
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,POTOMAC RIVER,0.28,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.33,0.45,0.12502454286477008
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,HERCULEUS,0.0,0.38,0.76,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.10822564916680731
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,LONGLAI,0.34,0.44,0.73,0.76,0.46,0.16,0.10433338868837881
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,ARCTICIAN,1.0,0.23,0.76,0.73,0.38,0.0,0.0912295190642172
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,ROYALE GOODNIGHT,0.42,0.29,0.4,0.45,1.0,1.0,0.08037929442834836
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,RHYTHM N ROCK,0.77,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.17,0.15,0.07899904472012116
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,FREDA,0.37,0.37,0.64,0.56,0.0,0.15,0.06982153175706601
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,SPIRIT LEAD ME,0.25,0.01,0.0,0.0,0.8,0.85,0.06478772461583863
Kempton_18:00_2026-09-09,SAN JUANITO,0.41,0.0,0.33,0.05,0.32,0.26,0.050642931723652716

 

[Sullybomb]

I'll plump for POTOMAC RIVER in this race.

Write up to follow.....

>>>1800 @ Kempton Racecard<<<

 

[Michael231]

Thanks Sullybomb
Over the top did well in the end

 

[Sol Ski]

Michael231

 

[FHRTIPS]

Why did I pick 2nd horse when I had the winner top rated dam I can take a lost

 

[Chesham]

Wel, done Michael231

 

[FHRTIPS]

Well done Michael231

 

[Michael231]

Thanks all , over the top to get it.

 

[FHRTIPS]

This looks a good race to go for, get your selections posted.

 

[MySportsAI]

WoM consensus says Devils Peak

Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,DEVILS PEAK,"['5.0', '1.0', '2.0', '2.0', '1.0', '1.0']",12.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,ALFRED WINCHAM,"['1.0', '2.0', '5.0', '1.0', '3.0', '8.5']",20.5
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,ITICA,"['2.0', '6.0', '3.0', '8.0', '4.0', '2.0']",25.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,RAILWAYVIEW LADY,"['4.0', '4.0', '7.0', '3.0', '2.0', '7.0']",27.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MY BALLYQUINN,"['3.0', '3.0', '8.0', '7.0', '5.0', '5.0']",31.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MASTERINTHEWOODS,"['9.0', '5.0', '4.0', '5.0', '6.0', '4.0']",33.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MOCKING,"['6.0', '8.0', '1.0', '4.0', '9.0', '8.5']",36.5
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,BRIGHTON VIEW,"['7.0', '7.0', '6.0', '9.0', '7.0', '3.0']",39.0
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MR FREEDOM,"['8.0', '9.0', '9.0', '6.0', '8.0', '6.0']",46.0

WoM regression on prob's say's Devils Peak

Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,DEVILS PEAK,0.37,1.0,0.92,0.92,1.0,1.0,0.2559982426209598
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,ALFRED WINCHAM,0.0,0.55,0.46,1.0,0.33,0.0,0.14292990043011367
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MOCKING,0.41,0.32,1.0,0.77,0.0,0.0,0.12014857186176216
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,ITICA,0.06,0.45,0.85,0.34,0.32,0.88,0.10351541149404084
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MASTERINTHEWOODS,1.0,0.46,0.76,0.45,0.28,0.73,0.1028159176955655
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,RAILWAYVIEW LADY,0.18,0.48,0.24,0.87,0.52,0.09,0.09750534932469228
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MY BALLYQUINN,0.06,0.5,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.55,0.0869451186548023
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,BRIGHTON VIEW,0.64,0.43,0.38,0.0,0.16,0.84,0.0777001178088257
Doncaster_17:20_2026-09-10,MR FREEDOM,0.73,0.0,0.0,0.39,0.14,0.38,0.04495681692655789

 

[FHRTIPS]

eachway

 

[Sullybomb]

I'm agreed with MySportsAI DEVIL'S PEAK, I'd also have a saver on ALFRED WINCHAM.

 

[Michael231]

My picks for the race are
Itica and Alfred Wincham.
Not able to look at them properly as grandson doing School work on the computer, but going with the trainer edge.

17:20Pertemps HandicapDoncaster • Flat • 11f • Good to soft • Class 3
CONVERGENCE ALERT — 3 horse(s) with 3+ signals aligning

Horse	Odds	Signals	Verdict
Itica	4/1	strongly backed · RPR ahead of hcp · trainer 44% w/Front Runners · SP↓ vs last run	NOT BOWERS BUT!
Alfred Wincham	7/1	strongly backed · C/D winner · trainer 31% w/Front Runners · SP↓ vs last run	WATCH
Railwayview Lady	7/1	RPR ahead of hcp · RPR improving · ideal going	ELIMINATED

SLIGHTLY UNBALANCED • Weight range: 123–136lbs (13lbs spread) • Midpoint: 129.5lbs • Median weight (132lbs) is 2.5lbs from midpoint — treat Bowers with moderate caution • Median OR: 79 (OR ✓ = at/above median)
🏟 Doncaster: Left-handed • Favoured draw: Low • Distance 10f+ — draw influence significantly reduced
Left-handed. Low draws have slight edge in sprints on straight course.
Pace Map — Expected Early PositionsVery hot pace expected
Front Runner
Brighton View
62% FR • Stall 6
Itica
60% FR • Stall 8
Alfred Wincham
67% FR • Stall 7
Prominent
Masterinthewoods
58% FR • Stall 2
My Ballyquinn
50% FR • Stall 9
Devils Peak
36% FR • Stall 4
Mocking
44% FR • Stall 5
Versatile
Railwayview Lady
25% FR • Stall 3
Hold-Up
None
3 front runners want to lead — likely to contest a fast, hard-fought early pace that could set it up for hold-up horses to finish best.

#	Horse	Draw	OR	Odds	Wgt	DSLR	Bowers	Pace Profile	Draw Score	Bonuses	KNN	Final Score	Verdict
1	Brighton View W J Knight / Marco Ghiani	6	79 ✓	7/1 SP 8.0 card: 11	125	33	#5	Front Runner 62% FR / 12% HU 8/10 8 runs	— 3/5 Stall 6	Strongly backed 11.0→7/1 3rd last run — placed profile ✓ Beaten fav 3rd last run | Won prev run | Consistent placer RPR 84 vs OR 79 — ahead of hcp ✓ | RPR trending up +3pts | RPR 5pts below peak — may be underestimated ✓ Master Rating -7 (below expectations ) Class rise (Cls 5→3) 🏋 Trainer 38% with Front Runners (36/95) IV 2.92 (Strong) +6.29	0% Poor	12.34	ELIMINATED BF
3✓ 0✗	Going ?	Distance ?	Fit ?	Form ✓	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ✓
2	Masterinthewoods Miss E C Lavelle / David Probert	2	82 ✓	7/1 SP 8.0 card: 5	136	26	#3	Prominent 58% FR / 33% HU 9/10 12 runs	— 3/5 Stall 2	Drifting badly 5.0→7/1 SP longer than last run (1.4→8.0) | 2nd last run — placed profile ✓ Distance winner | Beaten fav 2nd last run | Consistent placer RPR 94 vs OR 82 — well ahead of hcp | RPR trending up +4pts | TS 87 — at/above career best Master Rating +0 (as expected) Slight class rise (Cls 4→3) Trainer 29% at Doncaster (5/17) IV 2.92 (Strong) +4.7	0% Poor	11.2	CONTENDER BF|D
5✓ 0✗	Going ?	Distance ✓	Fit ✓	Form ✓	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ✓
3	Itica A M Balding / Oisin Murphy	8	71	4/1 SP 5.0 card: 8	123	11	#8	Front Runner 60% FR / 20% HU 6/10 5 runs	— 3/5 Stall 8	Strongly backed 8.0→4/1 SP shorter than last run (22.0→5.0) ✓ | won last run — placed profile ✓ | Quick turnaround (13 days) ✓ Won last run RPR 76 vs OR 71 — ahead of hcp ✓ | TS 40 — at/above career best 🏛 BHA +7 this week (raised significantly) | BHA OR 78 (card shows 71 — rated higher than card) 11 days — ideal freshness 🏋 Trainer 44% with Front Runners (269/615) IV 0.0 (Poor) — medium fields +5.94	20% Weak	11.03	NOT BOWERS BUT!
4✓ 0✗	Going ?	Distance ?	Fit ✓	Form ✓	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ✓
4	Alfred Wincham P Neville / Rossa Ryan	7	80 ✓	7/1 SP 8.0 card: 13	134	45	#4	Front Runner 67% FR / 0% HU 5/10 3 runs	— 3/5 Stall 7	Strongly backed 13.0→7/1 SP shorter than last run (18.0→8.0) ✓ Distance winner Won prev run RPR 74 vs OR 80 — behind hcp 🏋 Trainer 31% with Front Runners (28/91) IV 2.37 (Strong) — medium fields ✓ +4.59	0% Poor	9.62	WATCH D
3✓ 1✗	Going ?	Distance ✓	Fit ?	Form ✓	Draw ~	RPR ✗	Trainer ✓
5	My Ballyquinn D OMeara / D Tudhope	9	89 ✓	13/2 SP 7.5 card: 9	135	19	#1	Prominent 50% FR / 12% HU 7/10 8 runs	— 3/5 Stall 9	Backed 9.0→13/2 ✓ SP shorter than last run (28.0→7.5) ✓ RPR 115 vs OR 89 — well ahead of hcp | TS 80 — at/above career best Master Rating +0 (as expected) Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ IV 2.92 (Strong) +3.5	20% Weak	9.55	WATCH
2✓ 1✗	Going ?	Distance ?	Fit ✓	Form ✗	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ?
6	Devils Peak b J T Gosden / W Buick	4	86 ✓	3.25 3.25	132	19	#2	Prominent 36% FR / 55% HU 7/10 11 runs	— 3/5 Stall 4	SP shorter than last run (50.0→3.2) ✓ RPR 114 vs OR 86 — well ahead of hcp | TS 105 — at/above career best Master Rating +0 (as expected) Slight class drop (Cls 2→3) ✓ IV 3.62 (Strong) — medium fields ✓ +3.4	0% Poor	9.41	WATCH
2✓ 1✗	Going ?	Distance ?	Fit ✓	Form ✗	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ?
7	Railwayview Lady G P Cromwell / Gary Carroll	3	78	7/1 SP 8.0 card: 9	132	74	#7	Versatile 25% FR / 25% HU 5/10 8 runs	— 3/5 Stall 3	Backed 9.0→7/1 ✓ RPR 104 vs OR 78 — well ahead of hcp | RPR improving +14pts last 3 runs | TS 77 — at/above career best Master Rating +0 (as expected) 🌦 Ideal going (Good to soft) ✓ 74 days — slightly long absence IV 0.0 (Poor) — medium fields +1.4	0% Poor	6.37	ELIMINATED
2✓ 1✗	Going ✓	Distance ?	Fit ?	Form ✗	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ?
8	Mocking p J P Murtagh / Ben Coen	5	79 ✓	8/1 SP 9.0 card: 8	133	80	#6	Prominent 44% FR / 22% HU 8/10 9 runs	— 3/5 Stall 5	Drifting 8.0→8/1 SP longer than last run (4.0→9.0) RPR 85 vs OR 79 — ahead of hcp ✓ | RPR declining -17pts Master Rating +0 (as expected) 🌦 Ideal going (Good to soft) ✓ 80 days — slightly long absence IV 0.0 (Poor) — medium fields +-0.0	0% Poor	6.04	ELIMINATED
3✓ 1✗	Going ✓	Distance ?	Fit ?	Form ✗	Draw ~	RPR ✓	Trainer ✓
9	Mr Freedom p Miss S West / Charles Bishop	1	77	33/1 SP 34.0 card: 26	131	71	#9	Prominent 40% FR / 20% HU 7/10 5 runs	— 3/5 Stall 1	—	—	—	MARKET REJECT D

 

[tacker]

The obvious one here is DEVILS PEAK and i wouldn't want to put anyone off , has been a little bit quirky but for me his form is there for all to see dropping back into a cl3.
Don't have much idea about the irish horses and ITICA needs to be considered after winning at goodwood, he stayed on well when winning lto, clearly improved for the extra 3f and maybe the soft ground which is difficult to judge or at least that's my thought process.
No bet for me but for this thread i'll go with DEVILS PEAK.

 

[Michael231]

Well done MySportsAI and T tacker I think you were the only 2

 

[FHRTIPS]

Well done winners

 

[Sullybomb]

Well Done to MySportsAI T tacker Sullybomb getting the winner.

 

[Sullybomb]

What about this one for tomorrow.....

 

[Sol Ski]

i have Race metrics for 9 more days and used it for this race as im still playing with my HRB AW ratings.

 

[Sullybomb]

This one for me today...