Don__Hector
Yearling
yea definate value laying his and mullins and poss some of nicholls might have found a couple of angles might be worth looking into il post them later tonight
tomorrows goliath ..tomorrows lays!
- Thread starter Don__Hector
- Start date
runnerjp
Gelding
This looks spot on and it also works on the flat
Just a few tweaks but you dont actually need the age restriction in the race
Don__Hector
Yearling
Cheers
runnerjp any input from you guys is great appreciate itonly added 2/3 yr olds as seems the market speaks more for these types than more exposed types that was the reasoning,possibly include certain yards or would that be too much filtering?
cheers
Don__Hector
Yearling
the 2 /3 yr old filters are showing high chi and high compared to 4yr old plus?
you seeing the same mate?
good work
just going back to thre 2 3 yr old thing im seeing decent chi and roi only for these 2 filters? you seeing the same or other results?
runnerjp
Gelding
Don__Hector
Yearling
nice one! spot on
just need a system with 3 of them a day without having to hear it from the jockey
3 of them a day will be nice
just need a system with 3 of them a day without having to hear it from the jockey
3 of them a day will be nice
runnerjp
Gelding
Don__Hector been playing around today and found something far more simple....
Using the same theory that when a horse is fcast favs but go off second meaning anouther horse was fancied.
it was actually profitable just to lay BUT looking at the tracks there are some like the above that show a very high profit along with a high chi.
Can break at down further but a good start
Don__Hector
Yearling
game over for me mate
View attachment 92622
Using the same theory that when a horse is fcast favs but go off second meaning anouther horse was fancied.
it was actually profitable just to lay BUT looking at the tracks there are some like the above that show a very high profit along with a high chi.
Can break at down further but a good start
lost my bf acc no reason why never put any shit through it
gutted
Don__Hector
Yearling
just going back to that i think youd need selections that werent liable to change unless you wanted to sit on the exchange all day monitoring 2nd favs on the off
View attachment 92622
Using the same theory that when a horse is fcast favs but go off second meaning anouther horse was fancied.
it was actually profitable just to lay BUT looking at the tracks there are some like the above that show a very high profit along with a high chi.
Can break at down further but a good start
why certain tracks only thing is maybe certain trainers have more runners there that when have favs that drift get beat
would the high chi make it reliable so you wouldnt need to question the logic behind it
runnerjp
Gelding
I automate everything on BF
Need to get onto them about the account closure - seen it alot and most get it reopened
Don__Hector
Yearling
hi runnerI automate everything on BF
Need to get onto them about the account closure - seen it alot and most get it reopened
is there any way to pm chat off here
Last edited:
retriever
Stallion
Hi
Don__Hector That's an awful shame losing your BF account.
And they didn't give any reason?
I would hate something like that to happen to my account.
Caan Berry recently put up a video on this subject.....might be useful.
BETFAIR ACCOUNT SUSPENDED: HOW AND WHY? - YouTube
Don__Hector That's an awful shame losing your BF account.And they didn't give any reason?
I would hate something like that to happen to my account.
Caan Berry recently put up a video on this subject.....might be useful.
BETFAIR ACCOUNT SUSPENDED: HOW AND WHY? - YouTube
Don__Hector
Yearling
Lads was sitting working today and saw same jockey give a poor ride on the aw ..in my opinion
so got thinking of aw jocks who may struggle from poor draws as missing break getting caught wide the whole race etc and came up with this,possibly could be tinkered with,any thoughts lads.
without the AW and wide draw filters
20 pc AW
23 pc all codes no wide draw
8 pc aw wide draws so may be something in it
doyle frankie and crowley in 30 pc in same filter so anything under 6s am ep lay it!
so got thinking of aw jocks who may struggle from poor draws as missing break getting caught wide the whole race etc and came up with this,possibly could be tinkered with,any thoughts lads.
without the AW and wide draw filters
20 pc AW
23 pc all codes no wide draw
8 pc aw wide draws so may be something in it
doyle frankie and crowley in 30 pc in same filter so anything under 6s am ep lay it!
runnerjp
Gelding
I cant believe you added that as I am also looking at something VERY similar with Jockeys.
I was reading an article around how the adv punter will look at a jockey on a low priced horse and back it - just for fact its a good jockey on a "fav" type horse.
Inturn this pushes the price down and makes a good lay opp.
Ricard Johnson in Non Handicap races where 2nd fav is not one to be backing
I was reading an article around how the adv punter will look at a jockey on a low priced horse and back it - just for fact its a good jockey on a "fav" type horse.
Inturn this pushes the price down and makes a good lay opp.
Ricard Johnson in Non Handicap races where 2nd fav is not one to be backing
Don__Hector
Yearling
great minds and all that!
yea got plenty of other ideas for laying
def interesting the johnson angle
poss riding for certain trainers or in bumpers on before getting a hcap mark or a nice introduction to a fence etc
we ok leaving these systems up or take them down