• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

Selections in the style of Van Der Wheil

Not a complete disaster yesterday and as I am busy a quick 'key' race to consider.

Newbury (going forecast G watered - showers) Market odds from 07.45. RP selects Rowayan (6 pundits agree 8 oppose)
5.20 Early market expected numbers 6, 1, 7, 2. Theoretical strong fav 9/4, contender 9/2, not expected longer than 9/1.

6. Rowayeh rates 3 (11/4 mkt) 6 tips D2. J Crowley top track jockey up 19% past month. Best draw.
1. Sparks Fly 11 (10/3) 3 tips D5. OK draw.
7. Orchid Bloom 5 (5/1) 1 tip. W Haggas 24% past month. 2nd best draw.
2. Don't Tell Claire 5 (8/1) 1 tip D4. W Buick up 27% past month. Iffy draw?

My comment: Either take just Rowayan or no's 6, 7, 2 at 1 point each for interest? Fillies so let's hope their heads are straight and watch for market moves to give any kind of indication.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
With six consecutive wins, Sparks Fly has made rapid progress since she switched to turf in April. Laura Pearson has been in the saddle for the last four of those successes and it would be folly to suggest another bold effort wasn't possible. However, this is an ease in grade for DON'T TELL CLAIRE, whose game second in the Kensington Palace at Royal Ascot is of a higher standard and earns her a slender vote of confidence. Conservationist and Eximious also appeal strongly at this level.
Top Tip: DON'T TELL CLAIRE (2)
Watch out for: SPARKS FLY (1)
Timeform Verdict
There should be more to come from ROWAYEH who can complete a hat-trick and bring to an end the remarkable winning run of Sparks Fly, who was competing in 0-60s in the spring but now finds herself top weight in a good quality fillies' handicap. Don't Tell Claire completes the shortlist.
Timeform 1-2-3
ROWAYEH (6)SPARKS FLY (1)DON'T TELL CLAIRE (2)
 
Keep plugging away with very basic 'elementary mechanical procedures' relying on AtTheRace form verdict to provide some 'subject to other consideration'.

Windsor (G showers) Market odds from 08.50.
7.50 Early market expected no's 10, 6, 5, 7, 2 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 2/1, contender 4/1, not expected longer than 8/1.
10. Lady Dreamer 5 (7/2) 3 tips C&D
6. Sassy Belle 8 (7/2) 5 tips D
5. The Cruising Lord 5 (5/1) 4 tips D3
My comment: Dutch Lady Dreamer and Sassy Belle at current odds.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
LADY DREAMER ran on well to win by half a length over course and distance at the beginning of the month and she looks reasonably weighted off a mark of 75 for her handicap debut. As a three-year-old, she gets weight from her elders and, with Sean Levey keeping the ride, she can go well again. Recent course second Airshow might be her most serious rival, while Alcazan has a chance on her better form.
Top Tip: LADY DREAMER (10)

8.20 Early market no's 6, 4, 3, 2, 1 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 7/4, contender 7/2, not expected longer than 7/1.
6. Zarga 9 (5/2) 4 tips BF?
4. Decoration 10 (7/2) 4 tips C&D
3. Chealamy 8 (7/1) 1 tip
MY comment: Dutch Zarga and Decoration at current odds.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Decoration may prove popular here after the daughter of Frankel got off the mark over C&D earlier this month, but a mark of 80 looks high enough and she will need to improve again to be successful. BLUE MISSILE won at the second attempt as a juvenile but pulled too hard to have any chance on her return in Listed class at Goodwood in May. This represents a big drop in class and she should go well, with Ludmilla and Zarga others to consider.
ATR Top Tip: BLUE MISSILE (2)
Watch out for: DECORATION (4)
 
Struggling with run-of-the-mill low grade Monday fare on the UK mainland today and swerved Hamilton owing to the forecast heavy ground.

Wolverhampton (St to Slw) Market odds from 9.40am. A Carroll top track trainer runs fancied He's Our Starwon LTO 4 days ago.
5.10 Early market expected no's 10, 8, 1, 9, 5, 4 indicating a win restricted to these.
4. Doomsday (9/1 mkt)
8. Stoney Lane (5/1)
10. Bernie The Bear (10/3)
MY comment: The above are my three very elementary selections and agree with ATR frorm comment so it's 1 pt each no's 10 & 8 for interest
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Stoney Lane is shortlisted after winning over C&D 10 days ago and, while he is respected in a race of this nature, he has struggled with consistency and has never won back-to-back races before now. The same applies to He's Our Star, who is respected but might find this tougher than the similar event he landed at Brighton recently. With that in mind, BERNIE THE BEAR gets the nod given he has improved since fitted with headgear and has posted several respectable efforts over this trip recently.
Top Tip: BERNIE THE BEAR (10)
Watch out for: STONEY LANE (8)
(P.S. I did check the trainer form at Ballinrobe over the sticks earlier at around 8.15 and thought these looked Ok - 5.20 Doctor Nightingale (3/1). 5.50 Four Clean Aces (5/4). Gino Drummer Boy (5/1)
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: BC
We have a 'key' race today where the early jolly is home and hosed by all accounts so not attractive for punting :(.

Nottingham (G some GS watered) Market odds from 8.20am.
4.00 Early market expected no's 6, 14, 8, 1 indicating a win restricted to these.
1. Quantum Leap 9 (8/1) 1 tip LTO 25
6. Golden Shot 4 (6/4) 6 tips LTO 7. Sir Mark Prescott 17% past month
8. Alnilam 8 (8/1) 2 tips LTO 19
14. Campaign Trail 5 (9/2) 2 tips LTO 27. R Beckett 31% past month

MY comment: Golden Shot looks a serious player, but short opposite the risk and a saver on Campaign Trail wouldn't be amiss with the Beckett yard going so well. Capone 6 (33/1) 2 tips (DBF?) is in the 'key' range but has no support today.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Both Mothill (third) and Quantum Leap (winner) made a hash of the start when they clashed at Haydock last month and, while they are both open to improvement, the revised terms give the former a chance of turning that form around. However, there is no escaping the fact that GOLDEN SHOT has done nothing but flourish since Sir Mark Prescott stepped him up in trip and, on the back of 27-length success at Ffos Las, he is too progressive to oppose.
Top Tip: GOLDEN SHOT (6)
Watch out for: MOTHILL (5) 10, N Mullholland 21% past month
 
Last edited:
Beverley (GF watering) Market odds from 8.25am. T Easterby top track trainer runs Sunny Orange.
4.20 Early market expceted no's 1, 4, 9, 3, 2, 5 indicating an open contest. Theoretical strong fav 5/2, Contender 5/1, not expected longer than 10/1.

1. 15 Autumn Festival (5/1mkt) 5 tips LTO 11(CD2D4) Consistency?
2. 11* Medamer (15/2) LTO 25 below form last race?
3. 13 On The River LTO (6/1) 3 tips LTO 10 (C&DCDBF?) weakening last race. Has mkt support early*. H Bethel 15% past month.
4. 11* Metahorse (5/1) 2 tips LTO 27 (DBF?) considered. Has early mkt support.
5. 9* Beltane (8/1) LTO 26 (CBF?) handy draw. M Appleby 16% past month.
9. 11* Craven (6/1) 1 tip LTO 18 (D) 3yo with possibilities has mkt support. R Fahey 3rd top track trainer 19% past month.

MY comment: As it looks open on paper 1 pt each Craven, Metahorse, Beltane for interest only.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
ON THE RIVER is already a dual winner at this course and, having been highly consistent since joining Harriet Bethell, he can defy a career-high mark. The gelding was notably well-supported in the betting for a deeper-looking race at Chester 10 days ago, but, while he ran too freely on that occasion, the return to more familiar surrounds could be more rewarding for any faithful supporters. Recent Leicester winner Craven is still attractively weighted and commands respect, while Metahorse and Reputation also enter calculations.

Top Tip: ON THE RIVER (3)
Watch out for: CRAVEN (9)
 
Found a little interesting 'key' race to check out today.

Salisbury (G some GF watered) Market odds from 8.55. Oisin Murphy top track jockey.
4.40 Early market expected no's 1, 3 indicating a win restricted to these. Theoretical strong fav 6/4, Contender 3/1, not expected longer than 6/1.

1*. 8 Truthful 5 tips (CD) (15/8mkt). LTO 26, useful could progress on hcap debut. W Haggas 25%/T Marquand 16% past month.
2. 10
3*. 6 Queen Regent 7 tips (9/4)). LTO 37? Turf hcap debut on fair mark. J&T Gosden 18% past month. Oisin Murphy up.
4. 14
5. 8 (Mistral Star 15/2)
6. 6 Flash Bardot 2 tips (7/1). LTO 20 career best last month good races since Nwb & Asc. No market support early?
7. 8

MY comment: Dutch the two market expected. Mistral Star LTO 33? (C) is in the 'key' range but no early market support)
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Having opened her account at Newcastle in February, QUEEN REGENT lost nothing in defeat when filling the runner-up spot under a penalty at Wolverhampton last month. A mark of 89 wouldn't appear to be a gift, but there is enough on the dam's side to suggest this step up in trip can suit, and she is open to more improvement than most. Truthful's unbeaten record came unstuck in a Listed contest at Newmarket, but she is of interest on handicap debut, while Mistral Star is also noted.

Top Tip: QUEEN REGENT (3)
Watch out for: TRUTHFUL (1)
 
We have a 'key' race IMO today
:)
looks difficult for punters on paper with 20 runners over 5 furlongs tho' - I mean miss the kick and you've done your cash! Deffo just an 'elementary mechanical procedure' for me.

York 1.50(GF some G) Market odds from 9.55am.
2. 10 Korker (8/1 mkt) 3 tips (C&DD3) LTO 47? KR Burke 19%/C Lee 16% past month. OK draw
3. 13 Intrinsic Bond (11/2) 2 tips (DBF?) LTO 11 On a fair mark could be a contender.
10*. 4 JM Jungle (9/1) 2 tips (D£) LTO 20 JJ Quinn 18%/J Hart 16% past month. 3yo going well won last two races. OK draw
14*. 4 Manila Scouse (10/1) 1 tip (D3) LTO 13 Up in weight going well won last two races. OK draw

17* 7 Shalaa Asker (22/1) (D) LTO 40? Midfield? In the 'key' range but no early market support?

MY comment: 1 point each the top 4 OK to take an interest. I would go 10 then 14 and it's a toss up for me between 3 and 2.
ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Jm Jungle has been in fine fettle and warrants respect off 5lb higher than when scoring at Glorious Goodwood last time. However, preference is for EQUILATERAL, who steps into the handicap ranks. If he can reproduce anything like his King's Stand fifth at Royal Ascot on his penultimate start, he could be the one to beat. Intrinsic Bond and Manila Scouse are both in great heart and should also be considered.
ATR Top Tip: EQUILATERAL (1)
Watch out for: JM JUNGLE (10)
 
Can't deny the class at York seeing the number of 'key 'races, and here's just a few :). Market odds from 9.45.

2.25 Courage Mon Ami 8 (9/4), Coltrane 6 (3/1), Quickthorn 6 (4/1). Omitted River of Stars 5 (16/1) on price?
3.35 Bradswell 7 (5/1), Big Evs 4 (7/1), Regional 7 (7 (9/1). Omitted Highfield Princess 6, Makarova 7
5.15 Tafreej 9 (11/2), Modesty 9 (7/2). Omitted Bajan Bandit 6, Power Of Gold 9.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: BC
Not posted on this thread for about a year and done so today rahter than start another.
My problem with VDW is that it's difficult to compile a personal tissue as I like to do from the data arrived at. However, I have had a go today and this is it - could be rubbish :(

Redcar (GF watering) Market odds from 10.25am
4.15 My VDW rating
1. 18 = 4/1 (7/4 mkt) Russet Gold
2. 17 = 9/2 (9/2) Tattersall
3. 4 = 22/1 (11/2)
4. 16 = 5/1 (12/1) Muker
5. 8 = 11/1 (12/1)
6. 11 = 15/2 (15/2)
7. 12 = 7/1 (9/1)
8. 8 = 11/1 (18/1)

My comment: The top 2 seem quite popular with the pundits. Tatersall & Muker would be mine for value. We shall see.
 
Here we go! Here we go! Here we go! A VDW tissue compiled by Jackform (keep on trucking as the actress said to the bishop - or something like that
:))
.

Bath (F some GF and some watering) Market odds from 10am. A dismal class 6 3yo sprint hcap 5f+ with 6 runners.
5.55 Early market expected no's 6, 1 indicating a win restricted to these.

1*. 54 = 5/2 (10/3 mkt) Tips 6, LTO 6, wt=, cls=. 3/9 -2L headed not extra lost 2nd? Revenue.
2. 28 = 6/1 (13/2)
3. 30 = 11/2 (13/2) Tips 3, LTO 13, wt +5lb, cls = . 1/9 +13/4L porminent led ran on* Moe's Legacy
4. 21 = 8/1 (7/1)
5. 16 = 11/1 (7/1)
6*. 46 = 10/3 (9/4) (BF?) Tips 2, LTO 6, wt -3lb, cls=. 3/9 -3L weakened final 110yds? Tres Chic

MY comment: Is that Moe's Legacy the fly in the woodpile?
ATR form mverdic in comparison.
KINGWOOD QUEEN made an encouraging handicap debut when third at Salisbury, where she ran green in the closing stages but can go close today with further progress likely. Revenue had the measure of Moe's Legacy when scoring over C&D, but the latter turned the tables when successful at Salisbury last time and can confirm superiority. Tres Chic and Rothay Park are also old foes, with the former preferred of that pair over this shorter trip.
ATR Top Tip: KINGWOOD QUEEN (4)
Watch out for: MOE'S LEGACY (3)
Timeform Verdict
The thriving TRES CHIC has done her recent winning over 7f but she wasn't beaten for lack of speed when fourth over C&D last month and can go in again. Last-time-out Salisbury winner Moe's Legacy can give Stan Moore's filly most to do if the visor works as well a second time.
Timeform 1-2-3
TRES CHIC (6)MOE'S LEGACY (3)ROTHAY PARK (2)
 
Try one more before lunch for practise - but no subject to further consideration. Mainly see how the tissue turns out.

Bath (F some GF and some watering) Market odds from 10.55. Cls 6 3yo+ over 1m2f+ with 8 runners.
8.30 Early market expec5ted no's 5, 7 indicating a win restricted to these.

1. 8 = 22/1 (14/1 mkt)
2. 22 = 8/1 (33/1)
3. 41 = 4/1 (11/1)
4. 27 = 6/1 (18/1
5*. 46 = 10/3 (3/2) Tips 5. Baroque Buoy
6. 15 = 12/1 (10/1)
7*. 25 = 7/1 (15/8) Tips 5. Battle Of Omdurman
8. 11 = 16/1 (22/1)

MY comment: Lookd dodgy but I like 3. Snooze Lane e.w. for value.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
BAROQUE BUOY wasn't winning out of turn at Wolverhampton on Thursday and is open to much more improvement. He needs to prove himself on turf, but is very difficult to get away from given his progressive profile and the quick turnaround suggests he's come out of that race at the Midlands venue in good nick. Course second Battle Of Omdurman sports first-time cheekpieces and should be there to pounce if the selection falters, while Tidal Storm is also noted.
ATR Top Tip: BAROQUE BUOY (5)
Watch out for: BATTLE OF OMDURMAN (7)
Timeform Verdict
BATTLE OF OMDURMAN has few miles on the clock and only narrowly failed to open his account here earlier this month. He can go one better. Baroque Buoy and Tidal Storm look the likeliest dangers.
Timeform 1-2-3
BATTLE OF OMDURMAN (7)BAROQUE BUOY (5)TIDAL STORM (6)
 
Cards on the UK mainland look rather better on paper today, not brilliant, but better class-wise
:)
. I have compiled a VDW tissue for the feature race 3.35 Carlisle although not really a betting race for me usually as it's a sprint? stakes? Fillies? Very strong fav early in Jabaara 11 tips!

Carlisle (Gf soe G watered) Market oddf rom 8.55am.
3.35 Early market expected no's 1, 5, 7 indicating w in restricted to these.

1*. 47 = 4/1 VDW fair odds (6/5 mkt) Jabaara. 11 tips, LTO 25
2. 40 = 5/1 (16/1)
3. 8 = 28/1 (50/1)
4. 14 = 16/1 (16/1)
5*. 52 = 7/2 (9/2) Key To Cotai 2 tips , LTO 53?
6. 12 = 20/1 (16/1)
7*. 40 = 5/1 (5/1) Navassa Island 1 tip, LTO 47? M O'Callaghan 25% recently
8. 17 = 13/1 (14/1)
9. 13 = 18/1 (66/1)

MY comment: I have expressed my reservations so just 1 pt Key To Cotai for interest.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
After some solid efforts in defeat in Group races last season, JABAARA showed that she retains plenty of ability when scoring comfortably in a Musselburgh Listed race over 7f latest. That form was given a timely boost with the third, Soprano, landing the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last week, and Roger Varian's filly looks well capable of bringing up a Pattern-race double here. Star Music was outclassed in the 1000 Guineas last month, but easing in grade on her stable debut, a revival is not out of the question. Navassa Island completes the shortlist with the step back in trip promising to suit.
Top Tip: JABAARA (1)
Watch out for: STAR MUSIC (8)
Timeform Verdict
A range of abilities on show with black type on offer and JABAARA will take some stopping, even under a 3 lb penalty, having recorded a recent win in this grade at Musselburgh. The return to 7f will suit Irish raider Navassa Island and she's feared, along with Key To Cotai.
Timeform 1-2-3
JABAARA (1)NAVASSA ISLAND (7)KEY TO COTAI (5)
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top