• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

Seans Selections

  • Thread starter Deleted member 7256
  • Start date
D

Deleted member 7256

Guest
Looking at the days racing and just posting my thoughts on what i like the look of , usual starting point of course form but other things that catch my eye as well. Sometimes they'll be a few selections , others there will be one or none , all depending on what i see.

Will post either the night before or on the day , all depending on the time i have

Given my form with the horses of late i would treat this thread with (ultra) caution ! :)
 
Wednesday 12th June

3.43 Fontwell - Dear Ralphy 9/2
Improved on comeback run when second last time out over this afternoons CD , and that makes me think a decent run could be on the cards especially as Harry Cobden has been booked for the first time and he gets in here off the same mark. Trainer bang in form with a 30% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and does well here with a 33% strike rate overall , and when teaming up with the jockey they muster a respectable 38%. Should be in the thick of things.

6.20 Hamilton - Peachey Carnehan 16/1
Not a huge fan of amateur jockey races tbh but at the price i cant let Peachey Carnehan go unmentioned , trainer Michael Mullineaux takes just this one on the long haul to Hamilton , and he does well when sending his runners to Hamilton with a 20% strike rate over the last five years and a healthy profit of +£69.33 to boot. Cant say i know anything about the jockey other than shes ridden the horse once before without luck , horses mark continues to fall and i can see that one of these days hes gonna take advantage of that and come in at a nice price (hopefully today) , never been unplaced here at Hamilton in two outings over CD with a win and a place , mark , class and going all have ticks in the right boxes and i think he could well outrun his odds.
As a couple of dangers (maybe a combi forecast) i would throw in Gatwick Kitten and Mr Trevor

7.50 Hamilton - Jordan Electrics 17/2
Given the fact that hes dropping from a class two to a class four today i'd say that Jordan Electrics has a chance in this one , especially when you take into consideration the fact he has four wins (three over CD) and five places form his seventeen runs at the course. Has already won twice this term and though he hasnt won from a mark this high as yet i wouldnt discount his chances. Can never discount a Jim Goldie horse even though he hasnt been showing much form lately and Paul Mulrennan has a solid record on the horse with three wins and a place from five rides , he also rides Hamilton well with a 16.6% strike rate over the last 5 years and has a nice profit to go with that of +£15.33.

7.10 Kempton - Reyaadah Star 7/2 / Free Speech 11/2
Like the look of a couple in this one , firstly Reyaadah Star whose only win to date came here at Kempton and remains lightly raced with a bit of scope for improvement. Fourth lto on his first run on turf , i think a better showing could be on the cards now hes returned to the artificial surface. A win and a place from his two runs to date here at Kempton , and his first attempt at this evenings distance. The fact that Charlie Johnston sends just this one to the meeting caught my eye , one of the longest travellers of the day , and i'd say that he fancies his chances. Trainer been in decent enough form lately and jockey James Doyle has been riding well with a 24% strike rate in the past fortnight , and when the pair have teamed up over the last three weeks they have a 50% strike rate. Doyle has a win from his two rides on the horse to date and everything points , for me , to a decent showing. Free Speech is the other one i like , third and second on last two starts and before that a decent third of eight here at Kempton , David Egan gets the leg up for the first time and he has a 19% strike rate in the last couple of weeks and the last time he rode for Ed Dunlop he won.
 
Sean said:
Wednesday 12th June

3.43 Fontwell - Dear Ralphy 9/2 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st 9/2
Improved on comeback run when second last time out over this afternoons CD , and that makes me think a decent run could be on the cards especially as Harry Cobden has been booked for the first time and he gets in here off the same mark. Trainer bang in form with a 30% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and does well here with a 33% strike rate overall , and when teaming up with the jockey they muster a respectable 38%. Should be in the thick of things.

6.20 Hamilton - Peachey Carnehan 16/1 Unplaced
Not a huge fan of amateur jockey races tbh but at the price i cant let Peachey Carnehan go unmentioned , trainer Michael Mullineaux takes just this one on the long haul to Hamilton , and he does well when sending his runners to Hamilton with a 20% strike rate over the last five years and a healthy profit of +£69.33 to boot. Cant say i know anything about the jockey other than shes ridden the horse once before without luck , horses mark continues to fall and i can see that one of these days hes gonna take advantage of that and come in at a nice price (hopefully today) , never been unplaced here at Hamilton in two outings over CD with a win and a place , mark , class and going all have ticks in the right boxes and i think he could well outrun his odds.
As a couple of dangers (maybe a combi forecast) i would throw in Gatwick Kitten and Mr Trevor

7.50 Hamilton - Jordan Electrics 17/2 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st 9/4 (15p Rule 4 on EP)
Given the fact that hes dropping from a class two to a class four today i'd say that Jordan Electrics has a chance in this one , especially when you take into consideration the fact he has four wins (three over CD) and five places form his seventeen runs at the course. Has already won twice this term and though he hasnt won from a mark this high as yet i wouldnt discount his chances. Can never discount a Jim Goldie horse even though he hasnt been showing much form lately and Paul Mulrennan has a solid record on the horse with three wins and a place from five rides , he also rides Hamilton well with a 16.6% strike rate over the last 5 years and has a nice profit to go with that of +£15.33.

7.10 Kempton - Reyaadah Star 7/2 Unplaced / Free Speech 11/2 Unplaced
Like the look of a couple in this one , firstly Reyaadah Star whose only win to date came here at Kempton and remains lightly raced with a bit of scope for improvement. Fourth lto on his first run on turf , i think a better showing could be on the cards now hes returned to the artificial surface. A win and a place from his two runs to date here at Kempton , and his first attempt at this evenings distance. The fact that Charlie Johnston sends just this one to the meeting caught my eye , one of the longest travellers of the day , and i'd say that he fancies his chances. Trainer been in decent enough form lately and jockey James Doyle has been riding well with a 24% strike rate in the past fortnight , and when the pair have teamed up over the last three weeks they have a 50% strike rate. Doyle has a win from his two rides on the horse to date and everything points , for me , to a decent showing. Free Speech is the other one i like , third and second on last two starts and before that a decent third of eight here at Kempton , David Egan gets the leg up for the first time and he has a 19% strike rate in the last couple of weeks and the last time he rode for Ed Dunlop he won.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Cheers markfinn markfinn , yeah def a decent horse and one to keep on side if things look right as they did today

Not a bad start to the thread with a couple of nice winners , disappointed with the other three especially Reyaadh Star and Free Speech who could only manage third and fourth , with Peachey Carnehan coming 8th (of 14) in the end.
 
Sean said:
Cheers markfinn markfinn , yeah def a decent horse and one to keep on side if things look right as they did today

Not a bad start to the thread with a couple of nice winners , disappointed with the other three especially Reyaadh Star and Free Speech who could only manage third and fourth , with Peachey Carnehan coming 8th (of 14) in the end.
Click to expand...
Sean If it was easy, there would be no gambling - the June to October is the hardest period for punters and consequently the best for the books .
 
Tbh i think the hardest time is January - December lol :) .. Seriously i always find it harder when the codes change from flat to jumps and vice versa
 
Nothing for today (Thursday 13th) , a couple caught my eye , Smart Charger (3.00 Yarmouth) and Great Blasket (3.45 Nottingham) , but weighing up the pro's and con's of them have decided that at the prices they're not for me
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Yeh I was looking at Great Blasket, Dr Newland & Jamie Insole have a great record on the flat so far, but don't really fancy it at 3/1, suppose it's not that bad of a price, could double it with another horse. But I also usually back Yorkshire 6/4f , being from Yorkshire, and I like Ed Bethell, but again, not at that price, I might just skip that race or have a punt on the Balding horse (Sudden Ambush @ 17/2) instead. Good luck.
 
Sean said:
Nothing for today (Thursday 13th) , a couple caught my eye , Smart Charger (3.00 Yarmouth) and Great Blasket (3.45 Nottingham) , but weighing up the pro's and con's of them have decided that at the prices they're not for me
Click to expand...

Well Great Blasket obliged at 3s , still not too disheartened as looking at the race afterwards i would still think that Yorkshire and Benacre were potent threats .. still on the right lines :) And done the right thing in swerving Smart Charger who could only manage fourth
 
Friday 14th June

3.25 Chester - Amancio 9/2
Amancio has been the model of consistency this year with figures of - 2,4,3,3,1,2 and the fact that he comes into this off the same mark as his last run would have to give him a decent shout in this i would of thought. It didnt go un noticed that in that last race Amancio and his conquerer (Extra Beat) were 23 lengths clear of the third horse home , in a 1m2f race thats not summat you see everyday. With the expectation of rain it caught my eye that his last two runs have both come on soft , and he has gone well on good , and good-soft so the ground shouldnt prove to be an issue hopefully. Placed on only start here at Chester , third over 7f , last year. Jack Channon has been in decent form lately with a 20% strike rate over the last three weeks , and has a 25% strike rate when visiting Chester overall. First time in the saddle for David Probert , has a 13% strike rate over the same period and a 16% strike rate overall when riding here. Selection should once again run his race and i cant see him being far away.

6.10 Newton Abbot - Kauto The King 4/1 / War Lord 5/2
Joe Tizzard sends two to the meeting at Newton Abbot , and they both run in the same race and both to me look to hold solid chances. I was 50/50 about them until i saw that Matterhorn who won yesterday had been withdrawn and i felt that little bit more confident after that tbh. War Lord is one from one over todays CD and has a win and a place from two runs at the course overall. Runs off a mark that catches the eye having won from higher. Showed improvement when a 1 1/4 length third last time out here at Newton Abbot in a handicap hurdle and i think a better showing could be on the cards now he reverts back to the bigger obstacles. Has a good strike rate over this distance with five wins and two places from nine outings. Brendan Powell in the driving seat and he has three wins and four places aboard the horse from his 16 rides to date , as i said trainer Joe Tizzard sends just these two to the meeting and he has a 23% strike rate over the last three weeks , and a 21% strike rate overall at the course , and when pairing up with the jockey over the same period they have a 25% strike rate. His other runner Kauto The King made a pleasing enough return to action lto when second at Hereford and i think he should hopefully come on for that run and hopefully be closer this evening. Has won from higher marks than todays , seems to do well here at Newton Abbot with two wins from three runs over CD and four wins and a place from eight runs overall. Freddie Gingell in the saddle for the first time and hes here for just this one ride where he has a 17% strike rate overall. If on song both hols good chances imo.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
A few more on the shortlist , will go through them later / early tomorrow , really wanna wait to see what the weather does or doesnt do tbh
 
Added two in the 6.10 at Newton Abbot ... a few more caught my eye but am leaving them .. Sammylou (14/1) and Espinator (40/1) both came up on my radar in the 7.55 Newton Abbot and whilst at the prices are more each way bets , theres a few in the race i'd be worried about so leaving them alone .. Lil Guff (2.05 Sandown) and Wisper (3.15 Sandown) were two others i seriously contemplated but ended up swerving.

Another one i liked was Charlie Applebys Royal Officer in the 2.40 Sandown , hes bang in form at the moment with a 32% strike rate over the past fortnight , and his last three runners have all won . Newcomer cost 1,000,000 guineas so should probably be winning this but at the odds on price currently available isnt for me
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Sean said:
Friday 14th June

3.25 Chester - Amancio 9/2 Unplaced
Amancio has been the model of consistency this year with figures of - 2,4,3,3,1,2 and the fact that he comes into this off the same mark as his last run would have to give him a decent shout in this i would of thought. It didnt go un noticed that in that last race Amancio and his conquerer (Extra Beat) were 23 lengths clear of the third horse home , in a 1m2f race thats not summat you see everyday. With the expectation of rain it caught my eye that his last two runs have both come on soft , and he has gone well on good , and good-soft so the ground shouldnt prove to be an issue hopefully. Placed on only start here at Chester , third over 7f , last year. Jack Channon has been in decent form lately with a 20% strike rate over the last three weeks , and has a 25% strike rate when visiting Chester overall. First time in the saddle for David Probert , has a 13% strike rate over the same period and a 16% strike rate overall when riding here. Selection should once again run his race and i cant see him being far away.

6.10 Newton Abbot - Kauto The King 4/1 Unplaced / War Lord 5/2 Unplaced
Joe Tizzard sends two to the meeting at Newton Abbot , and they both run in the same race and both to me look to hold solid chances. I was 50/50 about them until i saw that Matterhorn who won yesterday had been withdrawn and i felt that little bit more confident after that tbh. War Lord is one from one over todays CD and has a win and a place from two runs at the course overall. Runs off a mark that catches the eye having won from higher. Showed improvement when a 1 1/4 length third last time out here at Newton Abbot in a handicap hurdle and i think a better showing could be on the cards now he reverts back to the bigger obstacles. Has a good strike rate over this distance with five wins and two places from nine outings. Brendan Powell in the driving seat and he has three wins and four places aboard the horse from his 16 rides to date , as i said trainer Joe Tizzard sends just these two to the meeting and he has a 23% strike rate over the last three weeks , and a 21% strike rate overall at the course , and when pairing up with the jockey over the same period they have a 25% strike rate. His other runner Kauto The King made a pleasing enough return to action lto when second at Hereford and i think he should hopefully come on for that run and hopefully be closer this evening. Has won from higher marks than todays , seems to do well here at Newton Abbot with two wins from three runs over CD and four wins and a place from eight runs overall. Freddie Gingell in the saddle for the first time and hes here for just this one ride where he has a 17% strike rate overall. If on song both hols good chances imo.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Bad day at the office with all three selections losing
 
Saturday 15th June

2.05 Sandown - Dual identity 13/2 / Two Tempting 12/1
Like a couple in this race and both show up well by my ratings so happy enough to have them onside. First one is Dual Identity who seems to love it here at Sandown , being one from one over todays CD and from five runs at the course overall he has three wins and a place so i'm hoping that he can keep that decent record intact here. Beat Magical Memories last time out by 1 1/2 lengths over CD , got a 4lb rise for that win which is fair but now runs off a career high mark but i think its entirely possible that he go well despite that fact and especially as he is at a course he does well at. Neil Callan rode him to that lto win making it one win from four rides and this season he has a 100% here at Sandown along with a profit of +8.50. William Knight has his string in good order with a 27% strike rate over the last two weeks , and he has a 50% strike rate here this term. Two Tempting is my other selection , has won three of his four races since returning to action in March , beat Beshtani last time , by a nose with the front pair two and half lengths in front of the third. Hasnt won here at Sandown but usually seems to run well with two places from three runs over this afternoons CD. Hasnt won from a mark this high but given his recent form entirely possible he can pull it off i think. Trainer and jockey have a 50% strike rate over the last three weeks.

2.10 Chester - Copper Knight 4/1
The nicely drawn Copper Knight catches my eye in this one , and despite his advancing years i dont think hes ready to be a back number just yet. Won this race back in 2022 from a higher mark than this afternoons , and given that hes been in decent form lately i think he has every chance of repeating that '22 win. Three wins and three places from nine runs over CD , going and draw both look okay and i just think he can definatley roll back the years here and take this.

2.25 York - Yanifer 10/1 / Woven 9/1
I think a case could be made for alot of these but a couple in particular stand out for me , first of those is Yanifer who showed he still had it when a decent third last time after being sidelined for 420 days , that run should of blown the cobwebs away and sharpened him up and hopefully he'll strip fitter here. One from one over this afternoons CD and i think he can go well if on song. Woven is my other choice , doesnt win often but has been in decent form since coming back from a break and is yet to be unplaced in two starts over CD with a win and a place. Think he should be making his presence felt and will hopefully be there or thereabouts.

3.55 Chester - Rich Belief 8/1
Im looking at Irish raider Rich Belief in this one , comes into this on the back of a decent enough third last time here at Chester over CD , and can be considered a tad unlucky as he didnt get a clear run and done well in the end to finish where he did and given how that race panned out i think with a bit of luck he can get his head in front today. Trainer has two runners at the meeting but it caught my eye that Robbie Colgan makes the trip over from Ireland for just this one ride which says to me that they could mean business and at the price is well worth a punt imho.

4.30 Chester - Thankuappreciate 9/1 / King Of Tonga 10/1
The two at the bottom catch my eye in this one , and both hail from the Declan Carroll stable , and both look drawn to go well , berthed in stalls one and two. Thankyouappreciate has placed on his sole start here at the course , but has won over todays distance before and has run well in his two outings this season , coming fourth and then third last time , so going the right way. Been a while since he last won but given the weight and the draw , with Zak Wheatley taking a further 3lb off , i think he can at least make the frame. King Of Tonga has won twice and placed twice at Chester from nine outings , distance , ground , mark and draw all have ticks in the right boxes and with Hollie Doyle taking the ride for the first time i think he has a solid chance. Been there or thereabouts in his last five runs and i cant see why he shouldnt be making his presence felt again.

5.00 Sandown - Duke Of Verona 4/1
Few look to hold a chance in this one but i'm gonna side with Duke Of Verona , yet to win for new trainer Harry Eustace but i honestly dont think its gonna be long before he gets his head in front for his new stable. Was a decent third on stable debut after a break before coming a poor 5th last time , but that could of been down to ground conditions and he'll encounter better ground here i'm hoping. Two from two here at Sandown over CD and in class four races he has three wins and a place from six runs. Has won off a higher mark than this afternoons and looks decently berthed to me. Trainer is in good form with a 25% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , whilst Oisin Murphy takes the ride for the first time and he too has been in cracking form with a 23% strike rate in the last three weeks.

5.04 Chester - Dreams Adozen 4/1
Charlie Johnstons' Dreams Adozen appeals to me for this race , placed on sole start over CD and has a win and two places from five runs here overall. Was a decent third last time out at Nottingham and if coming here in the same sort of mood , from a 1lb lower mark i can see her being bang there. Hasnt won from this sort of mark but has gone close on a couple of occasions so not too worried about that if im being honest. Joe Fanning on board and from his four rides to date hes yet to be out of the placings with two wins and two places. Has a 14% strike rate over the last two weeks and a 16% strike rate when coming to Chester , whilst the trainer also has a 14% strike rate over the same period and a healthy enough 14% strike rate when sending his runners here overall.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Quite a few for Saturday and there may be a couple more , still thinking about them and will decide later whether to add them or not.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Sean said:
Quite a few for Saturday and there may be a couple more , still thinking about them and will decide later whether to add them or not.
Click to expand...

Nah nothing to add to the above , gonna leave it as it is and keep everything crossed !
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top