My Selecections (pinstickers guide)

Paul Brown · Wednesday at 3:54 PM

8.30 Kempton

No. (Dr)	Horse
1 (4)	Many A Star	360



2 (1)	Moving Force	330



3 (11)	Hunky Dory	402



4 (5)	Change Sings NR	491



5 (7)	Havana Blast	524



6 (12)	Tan Rapido	388



8 (8)	Hierarchy	457



9 (9)	Irish Nectar	256



10 (6)	Hockney	431



11 (2)	Amazonian Dream	511



12 (10)	Charlie Mason	463

20:30 TRY UNIBET'S NEW IMPROVED ACCA BOOSTS HANDICAP (Qualifier) (4)

1st		10. HOCKNEY 7/2
2nd		2. MOVING FORCE (IRE) 50/1
3rd		5. HAVANA BLAST 9/2
10 ran.

Paul Brown · Wednesday at 7:39 PM

Paddy Power

https://news.paddypower.com/horse-racing/2026/05/20/horse-racing-tips-kempton-races-best-bets-today-tonight-may-20-2026/

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/katie-midwinter/horse-racing-tips-katie-midwinters-best-bets-on-wednesday-including-28-1-kempton-fancy-180526-1341.html?amp=1

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T13:08:52+0100

14:10

Num	Draw	OR	Horse and Days since last run	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-2	-71	YACHTSMAN 3	(t)	JACK MORLAND	Harry Vigors (5)	527.3
2	-6	-65	TAAKLAM (IRE) 21	none	HARRIET BETHELL	Ethan Tindall (3)	585.5
4	-5	-64	HALLANDALE BEACH 26	(t)1*	KEVIN PHILIPPART DE FOY	Jack Callan	575.2
5	-4	-62	THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 44	(v)	JOHN & SEAN QUINN	Jack Nicholls (3)	430.9
6	-3	-48	LANARRA (IRE) 229	none	R. MIKE SMITH	Amie Waugh	451.4

Racecard | British Horseracing Authority

www.britishhorseracing.com

"Chasing Glory, One Stride at a Time."

14:10 DOWNLOAD THE RACEDAY READY APP APPRENTICE HANDICAP (6)

1st		5. THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 4.33
2nd		6. LANARRA (IRE) 34
5 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T14:52:50+0100

As from monday I will be back to betting (the last week in May) and I wish everyone luck for the flat season.
I have a little something that I did before the 2.10 Catterick. How accurate it is I don't know;
ai generated after I put in my guardrails
Focusing purely on the five remaining runners on the card, there are two critical jockey adjustments that significantly impact the weight structure and tactical dynamics of this race:

1. The Key Claiming Switches

Yachtsman (Harry Vigors replaces Jonny Peate):This is the most critical jockey booking in the race. Jonny Peate rode Yachtsman to victory at Windsor three days ago off a mark of 65. Today, the horse carries a strict 6lb penalty, raising his physical weight burden significantly.However, by booking high-flying apprentice Harry Vigors, who takes a 5lb claim off the horse's back, trainer Jack Morland has effectively neutralized the penalty. Yachtsman is running carrying only 1lb more physical weight than his cozy win on Monday.
The Tunguska Event (Jack Nicholls replaces Jason Hart):Regular pilot Jason Hart has ridden this horse in almost all his recent starts, including his win at Newcastle and his close second at Pontefract. Swapping a seasoned senior pro for 3lb claimer Jack Nicholls is an aggressive move.Because the horse was raised 2lb by the handicapper for his close second last time out, the 3lb claim completely offsets that rise and actually puts him 1lb lower in true physical weight than his big run at Pontefract.

2. The Statistically Cold vs. Hot Seats

Looking at the 14-day cold hard data provided in your previous form logs, the jockey profiles create a stark contrast:

The Confidence Angle: Jack Callan (Hallandale Beach) is absolutely flying right now with a 21% strike rate (6 wins from 29 rides), while Jack Nicholls (The Tunguska Event) is striking at an incredible 26% (6 wins from 23 rides). When it comes to tight finishes on a sharp track like Catterick, backing the jockeys who are seeing the stride perfectly is a massive plus.
The Cold Seat: Amie Waugh (Lanarra) and Ethan Tindall (Taaklam) are both searching for their first wins of the current cycle (both 0% over the last 14 days). Tindall is a capable 3lb claimer for Harriet Bethell, but he will need to break a minor dry spell to get Taaklam over the line for his first turf success.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T15:08:23+0100

3.10 Catt

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-1	-70	INGLEBY ARCHIE (IRE) 25	None	ADRIAN NICHOLLS	Jack Nicholls (5)	395.3
2	-6	-70	BEYOND BORDERS (IRE) 38	(s)1	KEVIN FROST	Sam James	464
3	-4	-70	FISCAL POLICY (IRE) 12	None	RUTH CARR	James Sullivan	607
5	-2	-67	EVOCATIVE SPARK (IRE) 19	(v)	JOHN DAVID RICHES	S. B. Kirrane	565.9
6	-7	-67	SAFARI DREAM (IRE) 7	None	ROD MILLMAN	Jake Dickson (7)	576
7	-3	-67	MOOSTAR 16	(v+t)	JAMES OWEN	Silvestre De Sousa	569.3
8	-5	-61	CROCODILE POWER (IRE) 10	None	SEB SPENCER	Dale Swift	520.6

15:10 catterickbridge.co.uk HANDICAP (5)

1st		5. EVOCATIVE SPARK (IRE) 5
2nd		7. MOOSTAR 6.5
7 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T15:29:27+0100

3.30 Haydock

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq
1	-10	-69	LION OF MALI 26	JAMES FANSHAWE	Cieren Fallon	652.1
2	-8	-68	EDUARDO CALDERON (IRE) 26	HARRY EUSTACE	Kaiya Fraser	517.3
3	-4	-67	STOIC POET (IRE) 20	IAIN JARDINE	Kevin Stott	415.1
4	-6	-67	BLUEBLUELECTRICBLU (IRE) 157	TOM DASCOMBE	Pierre-Louis Jamin	372.8
5	-1	-66	SUPREME CLARETS (IRE) 25	RICHARD & PETER FAHEY	Shane Gray	493	*
6	-7	-65	KIANI KING (IRE) 17	HUGHIE MORRISON	Rob Hornby	414
7	-12	-65	TEKITOFF 19	MARK WALFORD	Jack Garritty	574.7
8	-9	-65	EUPHONIA 38	ED WALKER	George Downing	437.3	*
9	-3	-62	SUN OF DOLLY 17	JOHN GALLAGHER	Joe Leavy	513.8
10	-11	-62	GO VICTOR (IRE) 44	TONY CULHANE & STELLA BARCLAY	Jason Hart	253.1
11	-2	-62	SPARKLING PINK 26	ADRIAN NICHOLLS	P. J. McDonald	408.9
12	-5	-61	THIS RIB 215	DAVID LOUGHNANE	David Egan	397.1

15:30 TEAM EFFORT HANDICAP (5)

1st		8. EUPHONIA 7.5
2nd		3. STOIC POET (IRE) 17
3rd		7. TEKITOFF 11
All 12 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T17:12:51+0100

17:13 FIRST IN, LAST TO LEAVE HANDICAP (4) 5f
Pace Forecast: Weak
Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-5	-87	WHEELS OF FIRE (IRE) 19	None	RICHARD HANNON	Joe Leavy	593	*
2	-6	-85	BRUMMELL (IRE) 19	None	JULIE CAMACHO	Ryan Sexton	473
3	-3	-84	ACCRUAL 34	(es)	DAVID LOUGHNANE	Rossa Ryan	518
4	-2	-77	THE BELL CONDUCTOR (IRE) 63	(t)1	IVAN FURTADO	Jason Hart	416
5	-1	-75	TRILBY 17	(s+t)1	SAM ENGLAND	P. J. McDonald	532	*
6	-4	-73	ISLE OF LISMORE (IRE) 317	None	ROBERT COWELL	Cieren Fallon	511

17:13 FIRST IN, LAST TO LEAVE HANDICAP (4)

1st		5. TRILBY 2.87 jf
2nd		4. THE BELL CONDUCTOR (IRE) 12
All 6 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T17:34:45+0100

17:35 EVERY RACE LIVE ON RACING TV HANDICAP (6) 5f 1y
Pace Forecast: Very Weak
Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-8	-60	INVINCIBLE CROWN (IRE) 22	(t)	RUTH CARR	Tom Eaves	380.7
2	-6	-59	GANESHA 5	(s+t)1	PHILLIP MAKIN	Rowan Scott	402.8
4	-3	-57	CANARIA QUEEN 16	(s)	TIM EASTERBY	Paul Mulrennan	507.7
5	-4	-55	ROYAL DUKE 16	None	R. MIKE SMITH	Rhys Elliott (5)	367.1
6	-7	-53	CLASSY CLARETS (IRE) 1	None	IAIN JARDINE	Mohammed Lyes Tabti (5)	591.6	*
7	-5	-51	FEAR AND FAST 16	(v)	JIM GOLDIE	Oisin James Orr	401.5
8	-1	-48	SIR BENEDICT (IRE) 18	(s)	BEN HASLAM	Andrew Mullen	547.5
9	-9	-46	SOUL SEEKER (IRE) 10	(b+t)	PHILIP KIRBY	Aiden Brookes	351.9

17:35 EVERY RACE LIVE ON RACING TV HANDICAP (6)

1st		4. CANARIA QUEEN 4.33
2nd		6. CLASSY CLARETS (IRE) 3.25 f
3rd		8. SIR BENEDICT (IRE) 6
8 ran

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T17:51:20+0100

5.57 Southwell

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-8	-70	HOVER ON THE WIND (IRE) 9	None	PAUL MIDGLEY	Barry McHugh	420
2	-3	-68	CAYMAN TAI (IRE) 10	None	RICHARD HANNON	Seamus Cronin (5)	515
3	-6	-68	J STREET 53	None	MICHAEL & DAVID EASTERBY	Joanna Mason	514
4	-7	-65	TOOMUCHFORME 22	(v+t)	ANTONY BRITTAIN	Cam Hardie	259
5	-2	-65	SHALAA ASKER 12	(s+t)	CHARLIE WALLIS	Jason Watson	552
6	-1	-65	FANTASY OBSESSOR 3	(s)	MICHAEL APPLEBY	Ray Dawson	504
7	-9	-64	PEREGRINE FALCON (IRE) 96	None	PATRICK MORRIS	Ryan Kavanagh (5)	473
8	-10	-64	WESTGATE WARRIOR 12	None	ROY BOWRING	Lewis Edmunds	558
9	-4	-59	POPULAR DREAM 54	None	DEREK SHAW	Darragh Keenan	390
10	-5	-58	MAN ON A MISSION 15	(v+t)	P. CHARALAMBOUS & J. CLUTTERBUCK	Liam Wright (5)	524

17:57 FOLLOW @attheraces ON INSTAGRAM HANDICAP (5)

1st		2. CAYMAN TAI (IRE) 4.5
2nd		6. FANTASY OBSESSOR 4.5
3rd		3. J STREET 6.5
All 10 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-21T19:41:40+0100

19:40 GET RACEDAY READY WITH LUCAS BOOKIES HANDICAP (6) 6f 16y

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-12	-60	SNUGGLE 297	None	THOMAS FAULKNER NT	Saffie Osborne	370
2	-5	-59	PUNCHBOWL FLYER (IRE) 26	(b)	JOHN O'SHEA	William Carson	492
3	-11	-59	DANCING WITH DRUMS (IRE) 15	None	ADAM KIRBY	Charles Bishop	504	*
4	-1	-56	DRAGON GOD 14	None	TONY CARROLL	Billy Loughnane	502	*
5	-3	-56	SON OF ASTAR 89	None	TONY CARROLL	Jack Doughty	377
6	-10	-56	MACARONE 24	(s+t)	GRACE HARRIS NT	Ashley Lewis (5)	371
7	-7	-55	DAYMAN (GER) 24	(b)1	DOMINIC FFRENCH DAVIS	Hector Crouch	485
8	-9	-53	CAPTAIN CESS (IRE) 210	None	ADRIAN WINTLE	Taryn Langley (5)	280
9	-6	-52	A ROSE ADAAY 203	None	GRACE HARRIS	Finley Marsh	377
10	-13	-48	AUTUMN ANGEL (IRE) 14	None	TONY CARROLL	Clifford Lee	514
11	-4	-46	ALYARA 8	None	JOE PONTING	George Bass	400
12	-8	-46	GRISELDA (IRE) 23	(s+t)	HENRIETTA C KNIGHT	David Probert	466

19:40 GET RACEDAY READY WITH LUCAS BOOKIES HANDICAP (6)

1st		10. AUTUMN ANGEL (IRE) 5.5
2nd		8. CAPTAIN CESS (IRE) 12
3rd		3. DANCING WITH DRUMS (IRE) 5.5
12 ran.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T07:33:55+0100

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T07:41:15+0100

https://news.paddypower.com/horse-racing/2026/05/21/horse-racing-tips-timeforms-friday-flutters-goodwood-22-may/

https://betting.betfair.com/

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/market-movers/

Today's tips: Horse racing preview and best bets

Rory Delargy and David Massey are back with a look ahead to Friday's racing.

www.sportinglife.com

Please feel free to add good jounalists who talk horseracing

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T12:55:23+0100

4.28 Bath Going : Good to Firm (Good in places

Cloth	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-9	-70	GUERNSEY LADY (IRE) 142	None	DAVID EVANS	David Probert	491.7
2	-8	-70	ESCAPE PLAN 18	(t)	TOM WARD	Rossa Ryan	509.8
3	-3	-68	CONTROL ROOM 206	None	ROBERT COWELL	Jack Gilligan	558.5
5	-10	-68	TOO DARN GOOD (IRE) 18	None	HENRY CANDY	Nicola Currie	477.8
6	-1	-65	WHO IS ALICE 14	None	GRACE HARRIS	Ashley Lewis (5)	527.8
7	-4	-64	DOUBLE NAUGHTY (IRE) 214	None	JOE TICKLE NT	Taylor Fisher	506.4
8	-2	-63	BEACH PARTEE 4	(v)	SCOTT DIXON	Kieran O'Neill	329.3
9	-6	-60	GELATO (IRE) 235	None	ADRIAN WINTLE NT	Taryn Langley (5)	540.1
10	-7	-59	LUNA BEAUX (IRE) 24	None	ADRIAN WINTLE	Joe Leavy	475.2

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T13:05:56+0100

3.53 Bath

Cloth	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-3	-79	SERAPHIM ANGEL 18	None	OLLIE SANGSTER	Rossa Ryan	511
2	-5	-78	QUEUE DOS 10	(b)	J. S. MOORE	Taylor Fisher	513
3	-2	-76	SILVER WRAITH 23	(t)	EMMA LAVELLE	David Probert	684
4	-6	-75	MOE'S LEGACY 23	(v)	RONALD HARRIS	Jason Watson	498
5	-4	-75	TOOLATETONEGOTIATE 18	(s)	DAISY HITCHINS	Millie Wonnacott (5)	576
6	-1	-75	CUBAN LADY 21	None	TOM CLOVER	Luke Morris	552

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T13:16:57+0100

5.03 Bath

5.03 Bath

"Chasing Glory, One Stride at a Time."

Cloth	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-4	-55	ZAMBEZI DIAMOND 27	None	HENRY CANDY	Thomas Greatrex	296
2	-6	-55	SOUTHBANK (IRE) 22	None	CHRIS GORDON	William Carson	533
3	-13	-55	SECRET HANDSHEIKH 15	(v)	JOHN GALLAGHER	Luke Morris	413
4	-5	-53	TOMARLO 17	(t)	OLLIE SANGSTER	Sean Dylan Bowen	364
5	-3	-52	HAWORTH STAR (IRE) 172	(h)	MAX YOUNG	Kieran O'Neill	465
6	-15	-51	LEGENDSOFTHELAND (IRE) 60	None	ADRIAN WINTLE	Joe Leavy	600
7	-11	-50	SPIRITED DANCER 87	None	DANIEL & CLAIRE KUBLER	David Probert	335
8	-7	-50	COMEDIAN LEADER 63	None	JIM & SUZI BEST	William Cox	390
9	-10	-48	BIG TIME RASCAL 22	None	MICHAEL ATTWATER	Kieren Fox	495
10	-2	-46	SISTERS IN THE SKY 60	(s)	GRACE HARRIS	Rossa Ryan	393
11	-14	-46	VAULT OF HEAVEN (IRE) 17	(b)	KEVIN FROST	Hollie Doyle	419
12	-8	-46	LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) 22	(v)	PATRICK CHAMINGS	Charlie Tucker (7)	377
13	-1	-46	PORT HEDLAND 31	(h)	TONY CARROLL	Jason Watson	392
14	-12	-46	WASHINGTON HEIR 59	None	TONY CARROLL	Jack Doughty	322
15	-9	-46	COAST 9	(b)	SCOTT DIXON	Mikkel Mortensen (5)	303

Sullybomb · 2026-05-22T13:20:39+0100

Paul Brown said:
5.03 Bath

Cloth Draw OR Horse Eq Trainer Jockey Rating
1
-4
-55
ZAMBEZI DIAMOND 27 HENRY CANDY Thomas Greatrex
296
2
-6
-55
SOUTHBANK (IRE) 22 CHRIS GORDON William Carson
533
3
-13
-55
SECRET HANDSHEIKH 15 (v) JOHN GALLAGHER Luke Morris
413
4
-5
-53
TOMARLO 17 (t) OLLIE SANGSTER Sean Dylan Bowen
364
5
-3
-52
HAWORTH STAR (IRE) 172 (h) MAX YOUNG Kieran O'Neill
465
6
-15
-51
LEGENDSOFTHELAND (IRE) 60 ADRIAN WINTLE Joe Leavy
600
7
-11
-50
SPIRITED DANCER 87 DANIEL & CLAIRE KUBLER David Probert
335
8
-7
-50
COMEDIAN LEADER 63 JIM & SUZI BEST William Cox
390
9
-10
-48
BIG TIME RASCAL 22 MICHAEL ATTWATER Kieren Fox
495
10
-2
-46
SISTERS IN THE SKY 60 (s) GRACE HARRIS Rossa Ryan
393
11
-14
-46
VAULT OF HEAVEN (IRE) 17 (b) KEVIN FROST Hollie Doyle
419
12
-8
-46
LITTLE MISS MAGIC (IRE) 22 (v) PATRICK CHAMINGS Charlie Tucker (7)
377
13
-1
-46
PORT HEDLAND 31 (h) TONY CARROLL Jason Watson
392
14
-12
-46
WASHINGTON HEIR 59 TONY CARROLL Jack Doughty
322
15
-9
-46
COAST 9 (b) SCOTT DIXON Mikkel Mortensen (5)
303

Paul Brown think your column data has gone a bit wonky.

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T14:05:10+0100

A look at front runners now the turf season is really getting under way.

best front runner tracks UK | geegeez.co.uk

www.geegeez.co.uk

9 April 2018//by Dave Renham

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T16:04:48+0100

17:40	Bath

Cloth	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-3	-55	UP THE ANTI (IRE) 3	None	TONY CARROLL	Jason Watson	337
2	-5	-55	PHOENIX BEACH (IRE) 31	(s)	SCOTT DIXON	Kieran O'Neill	473
3	-10	-54	SIOUX WARRIOR (IRE) 60	None	ADRIAN WINTLE	Joe Leavy	503
4	-6	-52	MISTER SANDMAN 156	(s+h)1	GARY & JOSH MOORE	David Probert	539
5	-8	-52	HE'S AN ANGEL 14	None	KEVIN FROST	Hollie Doyle	370
6	-7	-51	NEPTUNE LEGEND (IRE) 43	(v+t)	TONY CARROLL	Rossa Ryan	423
7	-12	-50	SCENT OF MAY 34	None	HENRY CANDY	Nicola Currie	479
8	-4	-48	RINKY TINKY TINKY 178	(s)1	MRS ILKA GANSERA-LEVEQUE	Benoit de la Sayette	358
9	-1	-47	NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 11	(s)	RUTH CARR	Luke Morris	434
10	-11	-46	TITUS THOR 178	None	MALCOLM SAUNDERS	Rhys Clutterbuck	257
11	-2	-46	SHE WENT WHOOSH (IRE) 15	(s+t)	SCOTT DIXON	Mikkel Mortensen (5)	445
12	-9	-46	COCO HILL (IRE) 67	None	ADRIAN WINTLE	Taryn Langley (5)	356
13	-13	-46	TILSWORTH ONY TA 15	None	J. R. JENKINS	Oliver Carmichael (7)	329
14	-14	-46	BLUESY MOON 22	(s)	MICHAEL ATTWATER	Kieren Fox	172

Paul Brown · 2026-05-22T17:47:18+0100

7.22 Pontefract

Cloth	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1	-7	-75	CHANGEOFMIND (IRE) 6	None	DECLAN CARROLL	Zak Wheatley (3)	458.8
2	-10	-75	VENTURA EXPRESS 18	None	PAUL MIDGLEY	Paul Mulrennan	521.1
3	-6	-73	KING'S CROWN (IRE) 26	(s+t)	MICHAEL DODS	S. B. Kirrane	413
4	-9	-71	BETWEENTHESTICKS 14	(s)	RUTH CARR	James Sullivan	660.3
5	-5	-70	AY GEE ELL (IRE) 34	(v+t)	RICHARD & PETER FAHEY	Oisin James Orr	516
6	-4	-70	FUJI MOUNTAIN (IRE) 10	(b)	DECLAN CARROLL	Harry Smith (7)	508.4
7	-1	-66	JOJO RABBIT 10	None	RUTH CARR	Joanna Mason	458.8
8	-2	-64	KNICKS (IRE) 23	(s+t)	MICHAEL & DAVID EASTERBY	Lewis Chalkley (7)	434.9
9	-8	-62	LUCIUS AURELIUS 30	(s)	KEVIN RYAN	Jack Nicholls (5)	453.7
10	-3	-56	MRS TRUMP (IRE) 13	None	PAUL MIDGLEY	Cam Hardie	401.5

My Selecections (pinstickers guide)

Colt

Colt

Colt

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1. The Key Claiming Switches​

2. The Statistically Cold vs. Hot Seats​

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

Colt

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Filly

Colt

Colt

Colt

1. The Key Claiming Switches

2. The Statistically Cold vs. Hot Seats