My Selecections (pinstickers guide)

[Paul Brown]

8.30 Kempton

No. (Dr)	Horse
1 (4)	Many A Star	360​
2 (1)	Moving Force	330​
3 (11)	Hunky Dory	402​
4 (5)	Change Sings NR	491​
5 (7)	Havana Blast	524​
6 (12)	Tan Rapido	388​
8 (8)	Hierarchy	457​
9 (9)	Irish Nectar	256​
10 (6)	Hockney	431​
11 (2)	Amazonian Dream	511​
12 (10)	Charlie Mason	463​

20:30 TRY UNIBET'S NEW IMPROVED ACCA BOOSTS HANDICAP (Qualifier) (4)

1st		10. HOCKNEY 7/2
2nd		2. MOVING FORCE (IRE) 50/1
3rd		5. HAVANA BLAST 9/2
10 ran.

 

[Paul Brown]

Paddy Power

https://news.paddypower.com/horse-racing/2026/05/20/horse-racing-tips-kempton-races-best-bets-today-tonight-may-20-2026/

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/katie-midwinter/horse-racing-tips-katie-midwinters-best-bets-on-wednesday-including-28-1-kempton-fancy-180526-1341.html?amp=1

 

[Paul Brown]

14:10​
Num	Draw	OR	Horse and Days since last run	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1​	-2​	-71​	YACHTSMAN 3	(t)	JACK MORLAND	Harry Vigors (5)	527.3​
2​	-6​	-65​	TAAKLAM (IRE) 21	none	HARRIET BETHELL	Ethan Tindall (3)	585.5​
4​	-5​	-64​	HALLANDALE BEACH 26	(t)1*	KEVIN PHILIPPART DE FOY	Jack Callan	575.2​
5​	-4​	-62​	THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 44	(v)	JOHN & SEAN QUINN	Jack Nicholls (3)	430.9​
6​	-3​	-48​	LANARRA (IRE) 229	none	R. MIKE SMITH	Amie Waugh	451.4​

Racecard | British Horseracing Authority

www.britishhorseracing.com

"Chasing Glory, One Stride at a Time."

14:10 DOWNLOAD THE RACEDAY READY APP APPRENTICE HANDICAP (6)

1st		5. THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 4.33
2nd		6. LANARRA (IRE) 34
5 ran.

 

[Paul Brown]

As from monday I will be back to betting (the last week in May) and I wish everyone luck for the flat season.
I have a little something that I did before the 2.10 Catterick. How accurate it is I don't know;
ai generated after I put in my guardrails
Focusing purely on the five remaining runners on the card, there are two critical jockey adjustments that significantly impact the weight structure and tactical dynamics of this race:

1. The Key Claiming Switches​

• Yachtsman (Harry Vigors replaces Jonny Peate):This is the most critical jockey booking in the race. Jonny Peate rode Yachtsman to victory at Windsor three days ago off a mark of 65. Today, the horse carries a strict 6lb penalty, raising his physical weight burden significantly.However, by booking high-flying apprentice Harry Vigors, who takes a 5lb claim off the horse's back, trainer Jack Morland has effectively neutralized the penalty. Yachtsman is running carrying only 1lb more physical weight than his cozy win on Monday.
• The Tunguska Event (Jack Nicholls replaces Jason Hart):Regular pilot Jason Hart has ridden this horse in almost all his recent starts, including his win at Newcastle and his close second at Pontefract. Swapping a seasoned senior pro for 3lb claimer Jack Nicholls is an aggressive move.Because the horse was raised 2lb by the handicapper for his close second last time out, the 3lb claim completely offsets that rise and actually puts him 1lb lower in true physical weight than his big run at Pontefract.

2. The Statistically Cold vs. Hot Seats​

Looking at the 14-day cold hard data provided in your previous form logs, the jockey profiles create a stark contrast:

• The Confidence Angle: Jack Callan (Hallandale Beach) is absolutely flying right now with a 21% strike rate (6 wins from 29 rides), while Jack Nicholls (The Tunguska Event) is striking at an incredible 26% (6 wins from 23 rides). When it comes to tight finishes on a sharp track like Catterick, backing the jockeys who are seeing the stride perfectly is a massive plus.
• The Cold Seat: Amie Waugh (Lanarra) and Ethan Tindall (Taaklam) are both searching for their first wins of the current cycle (both 0% over the last 14 days). Tindall is a capable 3lb claimer for Harriet Bethell, but he will need to break a minor dry spell to get Taaklam over the line for his first turf success.

 

[Paul Brown]

3.10 Catt

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq	Trainer	Jockey	Rating
1​	-1​	-70​	INGLEBY ARCHIE (IRE) 25	None	ADRIAN NICHOLLS	Jack Nicholls (5)	395.3​
2​	-6​	-70​	BEYOND BORDERS (IRE) 38	(s)1	KEVIN FROST	Sam James	464​
3​	-4​	-70​	FISCAL POLICY (IRE) 12	None	RUTH CARR	James Sullivan	607​
5​	-2​	-67​	EVOCATIVE SPARK (IRE) 19	(v)	JOHN DAVID RICHES	S. B. Kirrane	565.9​
6​	-7​	-67​	SAFARI DREAM (IRE) 7	None	ROD MILLMAN	Jake Dickson (7)	576​
7​	-3​	-67​	MOOSTAR 16	(v+t)	JAMES OWEN	Silvestre De Sousa	569.3​
8​	-5​	-61​	CROCODILE POWER (IRE) 10	None	SEB SPENCER	Dale Swift	520.6​

 

[Paul Brown]

3.30 Haydock

Num	Draw	OR	Horse	Eq
1​	-10​	-69​	LION OF MALI 26	JAMES FANSHAWE	Cieren Fallon	652.1
2​	-8​	-68​	EDUARDO CALDERON (IRE) 26	HARRY EUSTACE	Kaiya Fraser	517.3
3​	-4​	-67​	STOIC POET (IRE) 20	IAIN JARDINE	Kevin Stott	415.1
4​	-6​	-67​	BLUEBLUELECTRICBLU (IRE) 157	TOM DASCOMBE	Pierre-Louis Jamin	372.8
5​	-1​	-66​	SUPREME CLARETS (IRE) 25	RICHARD & PETER FAHEY	Shane Gray	493	*
6​	-7​	-65​	KIANI KING (IRE) 17	HUGHIE MORRISON	Rob Hornby	414
7​	-12​	-65​	TEKITOFF 19	MARK WALFORD	Jack Garritty	574.7
8​	-9​	-65​	EUPHONIA 38	ED WALKER	George Downing	437.3	*
9​	-3​	-62​	SUN OF DOLLY 17	JOHN GALLAGHER	Joe Leavy	513.8
10​	-11​	-62​	GO VICTOR (IRE) 44	TONY CULHANE & STELLA BARCLAY	Jason Hart	253.1
11​	-2​	-62​	SPARKLING PINK 26	ADRIAN NICHOLLS	P. J. McDonald	408.9
12​	-5​	-61​	THIS RIB 215	DAVID LOUGHNANE	David Egan	397.1