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Masters Golf

It's 288 shopping days to Christmas but who cares? It's only 23 days to The Masters. The site seems a bit thin on the ground re golf threads and it's my favourite sport to bet on. So if anyone has an interest in golf betting feel free to add your thought on The Masters. I'll throw my hat into the ring by suggesting Fred Couples for a top 20 finish (no odds available on that just yet but suspect he will be round about the 6-1 mark). Also, a small wager on him to be first round leader (again no odds as yet but 150-1 should be available). He still plays Augusta really well despite his senior status but has tended to fade a little over the weekend hence the first round leader advice.
 
It's usually very easy to pick an early favorite to win the first major of the year.

You ask yourself: Is Tiger Woods still playing on the PGA Tour?

OK, that was easy.

Well, at least it was easy prior to 2008 when Woods was a good pick every April. Now he's not a good pick in any month that ends with a "Y."

There's always Phil Mickelson. He's won three of those green jackets and is creative enough to make that sometimes wild-and-crazy game work around Augusta National Golf Club. But Mickelson has done little other than a tie for third two years ago since winning his third Masters title in 2010.

Until Rory McIlroy wins a Masters, he's always going to be the sentimental favorite because of his historic collapse in 2011. He made the turn to the back nine that fateful Sunday with the tournament in his hands and lost it with a drive on the 10th tee that started left and then hooked farther left.

He wasn't able to recover, shot an 80 and finished tied for 25th. It's three years later, and just when you think Rory might be about to stamp himself as one of those to seriously be considered as a Masters favorite, he suffers another back-nine collapse.

This time it came in the Honda Classic, Sunday afternoon. McIlroy had been the wire-to-wire leader. Boom! He started missing fairways and greens, missed an eagle putt that would have won it for him on the final hole, found himself in a four-man playoff and lost to Russell Henley on the first hole.

Matt York/Associated Press
Jason Day after winning the WGC-Accenture Match Play.
Rickie Fowler, Jordan Spieth, Patrick Reed, Victor Dubuisson? All very nice young players, who may some day get to put on that green jacket, but they don't have the experience necessary right now.

So, who does that leave us as a worthy nominee for favorite in just a little over a month? Adam Scott proved to be a very fine champion in 2013. He played the course smartly, accurately and with the just amount of force and delicacy that's required on Augusta National.

He summoned up all of the intestinal fortitude that he had to win in a playoff after a certain victory seemed to have been snatched from him by Argentinian Angel Cabrera's 7-iron laser shot that landed just a few feet from the hole on the 72nd hole. Cabrera made the putt and forced the playoff, but it was Scott who closed it out on the first hole.

But then there's the thing about back-to-back winners being about as rare as double-eagles at Augusta National.

When was the last time that happened? Oh yeah, that would be 2001 and 2002 when the Woods fellow was terrorizing the game.

Scott's a great player, and he could actually become the world's No. 1 player if he plays well at the WGC-Cadillac Championship and other things fall into place. But I'm not going to stare down history and make Scott my pick.

No, I'm going with his fellow countryman, Jason Day.

This man is in the prime of what looks for all the world like a monster career, and he nearly won the Masters last year. He has the game, guts and drive to become one of the elite players in the world.

Most importantly, he has a year's experience working his way around Augusta National under the heat of a Sunday afternoon in early April. For 69 holes, Day had things under control. But that control slipped away as he made two bogeys in the final three holes.

He bogeyed the 16th and 17th and finished two shots out of the playoff with Scott and Cabrera.

That will be a valuable asset for Day. The Australian has six stars in his 2013-14 season, and he had top 10s in five of those. His last start was the WGC-Accenture Match Play that featured a spectacular final between him and Dubuisson.

Day won on the 23rd hole, a win that put an exclamation point to one of the best starts on the PGA Tour this year.

His third-place finish last year, along with his T2 in 2011, shows he knows how to play Augusta National.

Yep, he's the guy. Wait for it.
 
thanks mandkay, appreciate the reply. I like the concept of strong course and recent form and Day definitely ticks both boxes. Best price 20's puts me off though. I would tend to lean towards course rather than recent form for Augusta and that brings Cabrera, Choi, Donald, Kuchar, Mahan, Poulter and Westwood into the equation along with the usual but less attractively priced subjects of Woods (back injury), Mickelson, McIlroy and Scott. Donald (50's) has shown a turn around in form recently and Cabrera looks a small wager @ 66's.
 
Hey,

Nice thread and great reply Mandkay!

I agree with a lot of what has been said. I like a few of the mentioned names, but if I had to narrow it down to just a couple...

Firstly, I can't really over look Adam Scott at the moment! Obviously he is the reigning Masters champ so knows only to well how to play Augusta. Aside from that, he has been in relative good form recently. Only a couple of weeks go he finished 3rd at the Arnold Palmer invitational. Ok, he had a bit of a nightmare final round and really should have won the tournament, but his game was there for 3 and a bit rounds.

Secondly, for a slight outsider and someone who hasn't been mentioned yet, I quite fancy Dustin Johnson. I feel he is being a bit over looked. You can get 28/1 with Bet Victor and Boyle which I think could be worth a few quid. He's had 5 top 10 finishes of late, including a win and two back two back 2nd places. We all know he is a massive hitter, which could be a big advantage at Augusta if he is on form and hitting fairways! Let's not forget that last year he was leading after round 1, only to slowly fall away!

So what are your thoughts guys? And what are you final bets with just a few hours before the first group tee off???

Harry.
 
Also guys, if either of you are up to speed with multiple bets and 'related multiples' I would appreciate it if you could take a look at my thread?

Cheers
 
Just seen it on the news out here. It looked a bit odd just getting over the water, the rest was just unreal.
 
I've committed to binge watching the event , even though I've hardly watched any live golf this year.

10 & 11 places 1/5 odds are tempting, but I'm not an e/w player generally.

I love to hate DeChambeau, but despite the hype, he was unfortunately too big to take on . Strange he has moved 2 points in last 4 hours.I do hope

Bryson has a stormer day 1, so I can lay him later on.

I did consider laying him in the 10 TBP market, but decided Dustin was a better lumpy bet to achieve a top 10 finish @ 2.26

He has been in the top 10 for the last 5 years , although he showed a loss in 2018 with a tied 10th.

Tyrell Hatton top English player @ 7/2.

Bernhard Langher somehow gets my attention in two markets:

Top Former winner @ 50/1

Top Senior player

I backed Dustin small before he got Covid @16.0 in the win market and I do think he will go 30+ day 1.

Koepka is my other win bet at 19.0

I've backed Lucas Golver @1000 Casey @ 120 & Champ @ 95, in the hope of turning an even money profit before the cut.

Best of luck to everyone punting.
 
I've committed to binge watching the event , even though I've hardly watched any live golf this year.

10 & 11 places 1/5 odds are tempting, but I'm not an e/w player generally.

I love to hate DeChambeau, but despite the hype, he was unfortunately too big to take on . Strange he has moved 2 points in last 4 hours.I do hope

Bryson has a stormer day 1, so I can lay him later on.

I did consider laying him in the 10 TBP market, but decided Dustin was a better lumpy bet to achieve a top 10 finish @ 2.26

He has been in the top 10 for the last 5 years , although he showed a loss in 2018 with a tied 10th.

Tyrell Hatton top English player @ 7/2.

Bernhard Langher somehow gets my attention in two markets:

Top Former winner @ 50/1

Top Senior player

I backed Dustin small before he got Covid @16.0 in the win market and I do think he will go 30+ day 1.

Koepka is my other win bet at 19.0

I've backed Lucas Golver @1000 Casey @ 120 & Champ @ 95, in the hope of turning an even money profit before the cut.

Best of luck to everyone punting.
Like wise its a must watch event - Rose will there abouts - I hope - amongst the rest ? Dont know as I have lost touch this year will different without the Patrons , football certainly is different game without the crowds and probably less pressure on the players - will we see a record low score that might be a decent bet !
 
The Masters is always one of the best sporting events of the year for me. Unfortunately it will be very different without the patrons this year, but still excited to watch - a shame there is not extended coverage on Sky, thought there might be considering everything.

It wouldn't surprise me to see Bryson win again, I think it will largely depend on how he handles the extra scrutiny and prestige of it being The Masters. The big hitters such as DJ, Rory, Brooks and Rahm should hopefully challenge and it would be nice to see an Englishman there on Sunday. Would love Tiger to challenge but just don't see it with his lack of golf and how he has performed this year.
 
markfinn markfinn doomster doomster martin_85 martin_85

Very interesting event this year, if we all believe the reports then its over as BDC will drive every green and 1 putt, he is aiming for 20 under par, I did see a bit on U Tube with Nick Faldo and to be fair he comes across as a nice guy fully in tune with his ability and work ethic.

However this is the masters and I am sure they will have something instore either make the greens ultra fast or the pins inaccessible which ever way you look I cannot see the course being brought to its knees, but what do I know my new world Handicap after a crap year is up to 10!

I have had a stable of 10 yes 10, but I like to see some get through the cut then back it up or dis-guard and try to recoup on the win

If BDC drives and putts well then yes he could easily take this but for interest and I hope it goes to Sunday back 9 I have had

Westwood, fancied him at the start of the year, think he is in a good place

Hatton who seems fearless

Brendon Todd and Brandt schnedeker (those 2 have been having lessons with an ex pro who is getting really good reviews and they have been playing and striking it really well.

Rose, who could forget when challenging his second shot to 13 or 15 hitting the pin and going in the water Gutted

Oosthuizen louis, just love this guys attitude and he has length

Patrick Reed good show at Wentworth nothing went right but a good competitor

Fitzpatrick local guy and a technician round the course good putter and good short game

Rafa Caberra Bello who seems to like it round here and was once practising at the other end of the range at a course in Gran canaria we play, and he came across as a nice guy and by the way has a good game and hey why not

Ok some of those would be a surprise but then the masters isn't the normal tournament and of course no crowds means no nerves

after spending the weekend watching old masters on U Tube, it still takes patience round Augusta and definitely skill, the greens were very fast in those clips and even watson and Jack putted off the greens, they were still long as well and although everything is relevant, if BDC at 140MPH ball speed is just 1 degree out he could be off the course when it lands, no spectators to find balls or deflect off and the old adage you cant score birdies from the trees still stands

But what ever happens with no Football thank god we can devote all day and night after Cheltenham to watching, very lucky my wife plays and is just as excited about it, could be a take away weekend with food!!!

Good Luck to all
 
Don't bet on Golf much just occasionally in big events, had a small bet on Francesco Molinari at 230 , hit 1.6 in running in this event last year and won a major event as recently as 2018, don't think he will worry too much if weather isn't great as used to be on the European circuit . Just purely the price looks generous .
 
O Outlander

Strange is Molinari, almost like he has burnt himself out a bit I was reading, he had that great year then the Ryder cup and then quiet, the thing is they try to play the US and Europe and its hard not sure where he is based but very capable on his day nearly won it of course then............... slam dunk!!!
 
I think it's very difficult these days as well because the standard is so high. Obviously you had Tiger dominating, but it felt like there were really only a handful behind him who could be consistent enough and have the mental game to hold it all together to win big tournaments. Nowadays players are so talented, you have people like Spieth/JT/Rahm etc who just come out all guns blazing and were winning tournaments in their early 20s. When you have the likes of DJ with one major, Fowler with none, Rory with no wins in 5/6 years, just shows the depth of quality nowadays.
 
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