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Eric Bowers narrowing the field

Sorted Ratings Table (Lowest to Highest)
8.50 Leicester
Cloth NumberHorse NameWeightLbs Below Top WeightForecast OddsCalculationFinal Rating
3​
The Tunguska Event9-8
1​
3.75​
1 + 3.75
4.75​
2​
Crafty Blue9-9
0​
6​
0 + 6.00
6​
1​
Portacloy9-9
0​
12​
0 + 12.00
12​
5​
Maximum Velocity9-6
3​
9​
3 + 9.00
12​
8​
Apex Star9-1
8​
4.33​
8 + 4.33
12.33​
7​
Pimentel9-1
8​
6​
8 + 6.00
14​
6​
Landslide9-3
6​
9​
6 + 9.00
15​
4​
Goldenstateofmind9-7
2​
17​
2 + 17.00
19​
Selection Summary
Primary Selection: The Tunguska Event (Final Rating: 4.75)
Main Danger: Crafty Blue (Final Rating: 6.00)
20:50 KUBE - LEICESTER'S PREMIER EXHIBITION VENUE HANDICAP (6) 6f
Pace Forecast: Even
EDHorseEq
1​
-7​
PORTACLOY (IRE) 83
2​
-8​
CRAFTY BLUE (IRE) 33(s)1
3​
-5​
THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 27(v)
4​
-1​
GOLDENSTATEOFMIND (IRE) 36(b)
5​
-3​
MAXIMUM VELOCITY (IRE) 26(s)1
6​
-2​
LANDSLIDE 20(s+h)
7​
-6​
PIMENTEL 22(s)
8​
-4​
APEX STAR (IRE) 23
 
20:50 KUBE - LEICESTER'S PREMIER EXHIBITION VENUE HANDICAP (6) 6f
Pace Forecast: Even
EDHorseEq
1​
-7​
PORTACLOY (IRE) 83
2​
-8​
CRAFTY BLUE (IRE) 33(s)1
3​
-5​
THE TUNGUSKA EVENT (IRE) 27(v)
4​
-1​
GOLDENSTATEOFMIND (IRE) 36(b)
5​
-3​
MAXIMUM VELOCITY (IRE) 26(s)1
6​
-2​
LANDSLIDE 20(s+h)
7​
-6​
PIMENTEL 22(s)
8​
-4​
APEX STAR (IRE) 23

Bowers Et Al
No.DrawHorseLR Differential2LR DifferentialOdds
1​
Portacloy (IRE)
-23.5​
-11​
11​
-45.5​
2​
Crafty Blue (IRE)
-23.5​
-22​
7.5​
-53​
3​
The Tunguska Event (IRE)
18​
29.5​
4.5​
43
4​
Goldenstateofmind (IRE)
-22​
-37​
13​
-72​
5​
Maximum Velocity (IRE)
-10​
9.5​
7.5​
-8​
6​
Landslide
-32.5​
-18.5​
9.5​
-60.5​
7​
Pimentel
15.5​
-9​
5​
1.5
8​
Apex Star (IRE)
2​
1​
5​
-2
 
Sorted Ratings Table (Lowest to Highest)
8.50 Leicester
Cloth NumberHorse NameWeightLbs Below Top WeightForecast OddsCalculationFinal Rating
3​
The Tunguska Event9-8
1​
3.75​
1 + 3.75
4.75​
2​
Crafty Blue9-9
0​
6​
0 + 6.00
6​
1​
Portacloy9-9
0​
12​
0 + 12.00
12​
5​
Maximum Velocity9-6
3​
9​
3 + 9.00
12​
8​
Apex Star9-1
8​
4.33​
8 + 4.33
12.33​
7​
Pimentel9-1
8​
6​
8 + 6.00
14​
6​
Landslide9-3
6​
9​
6 + 9.00
15​
4​
Goldenstateofmind9-7
2​
17​
2 + 17.00
19​
Selection Summary
Primary Selection: The Tunguska Event (Final Rating: 4.75)
Main Danger: Crafty Blue (Final Rating: 6.00)


20:50 Leicester
Crafty Blue (IRE)6/1
Maximum Velocity (IRE)7/1
Apex Star (IRE)9/2
 
2.5 Hours on ai and coding via grok to get this. I now need to check it is correct and need to fix the headers. Its good that ai can do things but as in "I Robot" you just need to ask the right question. Its all a learnig curve.
Script ;




No.,Draw,Horse,OfficialRating(OR),PointsBelowTopOdds,BowersRating,BowersRank
1​
-2​
Billy Mill
69​
0​
6.5​
6.5​
1st
2​
-4​
Lodget
69​
0​
8​
8​
3rd
3​
-5​
Double Time
68​
1​
29​
30​
9th
4​
-12​
Ararat
67​
2​
21​
23​
8th
5​
-1​
Prodigal Son
67​
2​
8​
10​
=5th
6​
-8​
Amused
67​
2​
41​
43​
11th
7​
-11​
Marsh Benham
66​
3​
15​
18​
7th
8​
-3​
Gone Rogue
64​
5​
5​
10​
=5th
9​
-10​
Sail On Sailor
66​
3​
3.75​
6.75​
2nd
10​
-6​
Strong Voice
66​
3​
6​
9​
4th
11​
-7​
Berning Hot
57​
12​
34​
46​
12th
12​
-9​
Dalmally
57​
12​
23​
35​
10th
 
4.53 Southwell 7f
I believe Eric Bowers concentrated on 5 and 6 furlong races although he said it could be used for other distances. I think that was is own speciality and he used other criteria to gain a conclusion, he also studied form ! The inner Sactum is a wealth of information. Many thanks to those who gave their time and effort to help others.
Please feel free to correct me as my ego dosn't mind a bashing its used to it.

No.DrawHorseORDiff.OddsRating
1​
4​
Dannick
70​
0​
3.75​
3.75​
****
3​
1​
Anthropologist
69​
1​
6​
7​
***
4​
3​
Red Mirage
68​
2​
19​
21​
5​
11​
Pursuit Of Truth
67​
3​
34​
37​
6​
12​
Avatar Jet
67​
3​
6.5​
9.5​
**
7​
6​
Blazing Son
66​
4​
17​
21​
8​
2​
Portman Blue
65​
5​
17​
22​
9​
13​
Shapacid
64​
6​
26​
32​
10​
10​
Fan Mail
64​
6​
15​
21​
11​
8​
Triggerman
64​
6​
41​
47​
12​
9​
Wish This
63​
7​
26​
33​
13​
5​
Finn Ironside
62​
8​
12​
20​
14​
7​
Timely Affair
62​
8​
4.5​
12.5​
*
Median
65​
Balancedhopefully
 
One question when are you guys taking prices as input to the rating?. 12 noon, 1 min to off time ???
I use LIVE odds T-30mins and try to get them posted up here in plenty of time. Today's was T-60mins but, it had been the same 2 horses all day and I didn't expect that to change. (y)
 
Thanks Sullybomb, I am inclined to stick as close as possible to past researched results which of course is BFSP. We cannot know BFSP in advance of the off so 1 min prices may have to do for any research going forward
 
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