Eric Bowers narrowing the field

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T12:49:17+0100

2.15 Redcar

	2.15			alter betting near off
No.	Horse	Weight Lbs Diff	+	Forecast Odds	=	Bowers Rating	Status
1	Jesmond Dawn	0	+	8.8	=	8.8	RETAINED
2	Valentine Catcher	1	+	19	=	20	Borderline Cut-off
3	Super Hit	2	+	7.8	=	9.8	RETAINED
4	Looks Fantastic	2	+	34	=	36	ELIMINATED (High Score)
5	Mayo County	3	+	4.6	=	7.6	RETAINED
6	Stoneywell	3	+	29	=	32	ELIMINATED (High Score)
7	Reginald Charles	4	+	11	=	15	RETAINED
8	Mecca's Symphony	5	+	29	=	34	Borderline Cut-off
9	Palmarian	5	+	12.5	=	17.5	RETAINED
10	Travis	6	+	24	=	30	ELIMINATED (High Score)
11	Front Gunner	6	+	9.4	=	15.4	RETAINED
12	Dancing With Drums	6	+	9.8	=	15.8	RETAINED
13	Operation Gimcrack	7	+	65	=	72	ELIMINATED (High Score)
14	Raja Charger	19	+	170	=	189	ELIMINATED (High Score)

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T12:58:43+0100

The Full Field Matrix
	rework betting pre off
No.	Horse	Weight	Weight Lbs Diff	+	Forecast Odds	=	Bowers Rating	Status
1	City Of Poets	10st 3lb	0	+	4.33	=	4.33	RETAINED
2	Theoryofeverything	10st 2lb	1	+	7	=	8	RETAINED
3	Classic Encounter	10st 0lb	3	+	4.33	=	7.33	RETAINED
4	Mehmas Champion	9st 13lb	4	+	26	=	30	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
5	New Image	9st 13lb	4	+	9	=	13	RETAINED
6	Nikovo	9st 12lb	7	+	6	=	13	RETAINED
7	Milteye	9st 11lb	8	+	8	=	16	RETAINED
8	Regalian	9st 11lb	6	+	21	=	27	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
9	Double Parked	9st 6lb	11	+	10	=	21	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
10	Fiery Damsel	9st 4lb	13	+	8	=	21	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
11	Empirestateofmind	9st 2lb	15	+	15	=	30	ELIMINATED (Odds Filter)

doomster · 2026-06-19T15:04:57+0100

Paul Brown

Probably a question that has been covered plenty of times, but is the 3yo WFA considered in the Bowers calculation ?

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T15:33:38+0100

doomster said:
Paul Brown

Probably a question that has been covered plenty of times, but is the 3yo WFA considered in the Bowers calculation ?

Sorry I'm just a beginner with bowers. There are a couple of major contributions to Bowers. Inner Sanctum. Has one discusion from 2024 see Chesham

Kraldrew · 2026-06-19T16:01:09+0100

look at the race heading in Racing Post 3yr olds get 10lbs

Olwenba · 2026-06-19T16:50:51+0100

5.00 Ascot.

My bowers shortlist for this one and i do like the chances of Seet tbh. Its a 3yo only race so plenty in here with any amount of improvement and a race i would usually avoid but the fact Ryan Moore is jocked up on handicap debut for gosden. Their record this year is 7 wins from 12 runners.

Olwenba · 2026-06-19T17:15:21+0100

Olwenba said:
5.00 Ascot.

My bowers shortlist for this one and i do like the chances of Seet tbh. Its a 3yo only race so plenty in here with any amount of improvement and a race i would usually avoid but the fact Ryan Moore is jocked up on handicap debut for gosden. Their record this year is 7 wins from 12 runners.

Avoid anything I mention

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T17:20:38+0100

Olwenba said:
Avoid anything I mention

It was a hard race for me so I backed 4 after looking at my ratings. Managed the winner but it won the smallest amount due to rushing.

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T18:15:34+0100

The Full Field Matrix (Sorted Lowest to Highest Bowers Rating)

No.	Horse	Weight	Weight Lbs Diff	+	Forecast Odds	=	Bowers Rating	Status
6	Bacio	9st 5lb	4	+	3.75	=	7.75	RETAINED
1	Dickensian	9st 9lb	0	+	12	=	12	RETAINED
13	Jazl	9st 0lb	9	+	8	=	17	RETAINED
18	Gold Digger	8st 13lb	10	+	7.5	=	17.5	RETAINED
2	Moojeed	9st 7lb	2	+	17	=	19	RETAINED
14	Westport	9st 0lb	9	+	11	=	20	RETAINED
11	Simplify	9st 1lb	8	+	15	=	23	RETAINED
27	Starmade	8st 7lb	16	+	9	=	25	RETAINED
17	Ipanema Queen	8st 13lb	10	+	15	=	25	RETAINED
5	Sirius A	9st 5lb	4	+	21	=	25	RETAINED
26	Stargazed	8st 8lb	15	+	17	=	32	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
23	Sovereign Spell	8st 9lb	14	+	19	=	33	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
20	Calico Blue	8st 12lb	11	+	23	=	34	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
19	Black Star Boy	8st 12lb	11	+	26	=	37	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
25	Cherry Baker	8st 8lb	15	+	23	=	38	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
21	Miss Yechance	8st 10lb	13	+	26	=	39	ELIMINATED (50% Cut)
24	Tricky Tel	8st 9lb	14	+	29	=	43	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
12	May Angel	9st 0lb	9	+	29	=	38	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
4	Ten Carat Harry	9st 6lb	3	+	29	=	32	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
7	Sandal's Song	9st 4lb	5	+	34	=	39	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
3	Revival Power	9st 7lb	2	+	51	=	53	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
8	Ghost Mode	9st 1lb	8	+	67	=	75	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
15	Gentle George	9st 0lb	9	+	67	=	76	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
22	Dazzling Haze	8st 10lb	13	+	67	=	80	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
10	Baker Blue	9st 1lb	8	+	81	=	89	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
28	Zelaina	8st 7lb	16	+	81	=	97	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)
16	Exclamation	8st 13lb	10	+	151	=	161	ELIMINATED (Odds > 27.0)

Paul Brown · 2026-06-19T19:28:27+0100

The Full Field Matrix (Sorted Lowest to Highest Bowers Rating)	7.45
									Mine
No.	Horse	Weight	Weight Lbs Diff	+	Forecast Odds	=	Bowers Rating	Status
12	Fort Rock	9st 6lb	12	+	4	=	16	RETAINED	***
8	Stem	9st 13lb	5	+	5	=	10	RETAINED
2	Spanish Voice	10st 4lb	0	+	7.5	=	7.5	RETAINED
13	Synners Kid	9st 5lb	13	+	6.5	=	19.5	RETAINED	***
7	Exposure	10st 0lb	4	+	10	=	14	RETAINED
16	Magnatura	9st 0lb	16	+	12	=	28	RETAINED
1	Sterling Knight	10st 4lb	0	+	12	=	12	The 50% Cut-Off Line
14	Elan D'or	9st 5lb	13	+	13	=	26	ELIMINATED (Odds 13)
6	Spell Master	10st 1lb	3	+	15	=	18	ELIMINATED (Odds > 13)
15	Loz Vegas	9st 4lb	14	+	15	=	29	ELIMINATED (Odds > 13)
5	Dark Tornado	10st 2lb	2	+	19	=	21	ELIMINATED (Odds > 13)
3	Angel Hunter	10st 2lb	2	+	21	=	23	ELIMINATED (Odds > 13)
9	Mythical Guest	9st 10lb	8	+	23	=	31	ELIMINATED (Odds > 13)

DuckandDive · 2026-06-20T09:31:46+0100

doomster said:
Paul Brown

Probably a question that has been covered plenty of times, but is the 3yo WFA considered in the Bowers calculation ?

Not that I can see. It just takes the difference from all the runners when compared against the top rated OR that = 0, then adds in the odds.

Eric Bowers narrowing the field

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