• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
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    AR

Early Market Possibles.

I rather fancy this evenings meeting. Plenty of good yards and numbers in each contest - lovely jubbly! Mind you when I post in favour it usually goes to pot.

Kempton (going forecast St to Slw rain & snow) J&T Gosden top track yard. Market odds from 4.10.

6.30 McClean House (8/11) A Balding
7.00 Olympic Quest (9/2) C Cox , Khangai (4/1) M Rimell
7.30 The Giving (2/1) W Haggas, Pheonix Glow (9/2) Jack Channon
8.00 Tumesssias (4/1) A Balding, Inspiration (4/1) J&T Gosden, Dubai Leader (4/1) Charlie Johnston
 
Swerved Sandown owing to the forecast heavy going.

Ayr (going forecast G some GS showers) Market odds from 0915. N Alexander top track trainer 3.20 and 2 other runners withdrawn.

2.45 Ardera Cross (3/1) W Young
3.20 Traprain Law (7/4) L Russell, Ginger Mail (9/4) N Alexander
3.55 Readysteadybeau (7/4) L Russell
4.30 Govinco (85/40) L Russell, Glen Cannel (6/5) L Morgan
 
Swerved Warwick owing to some forecast heavy going.

Market Rasen (going forecast S some GS showers) Market odds from 09.10. O Murphy top track trainer with runners 1.33 (8/11 early mkt), 2.05 (6/1), 2.40 (4/1), 3.15 (5/2), 4.25 (20/1).

1.33 Bonttay (15/8) F O'Brien
3.15 Ballyhome (5/1) F O'Brien
 
Taunton (going forecast GSW showers) Market odds from 9.50. P Nicholls top track trainer runners 1.40, 2.15, 4.00

1.40 Him Malaya (15/4) P Nicholls
2.50 Madoof (5/6) Michell Hunt
3.25 Bangers And Cash (4/1) B Pauling
4.35 Doyannie (13/8) A Honeyball
5.05 Celtic Fortune (11/2) N Mullholland, Privatory (4/1) GL Moore
 
Cheltenham (going forecast S showers) Market odds from 09.40.

1.30 Facile Vega (2/1) WP Mullins, Il Etait Temps (9/2) WP Mullins, Tammuras (12/1) P Nicholls
2.10 El Fabiolo (11/8) WP Mullins, Dysart Dynamo (6/1) WP Mullins, Saint Roi (8/1) WP Mullins, Jonbon (7/4) N Henderson
3.30 State Man (7/2) WP Mullins, Constitution Hill (4/11) N Henderson
5.30 Gaillard Du Mesnil (1/1) WP Mullins, Tenzing (9/1) WP Mullins, Minella Crooner (7/1) G Elliott
 
Cheltenham - Day 2 (going forecast S some GS showers) Market odds from 9.00.

1.30 Good Land (5/1) B Connell, Hermes Allan (7/2) P Nicholls, Impaire Et Passe WP Mullins, Gaelic Warrior (6/1) WP Mullins, Champ Kielly (8/1) WP Mullins.
2.10 The Real Whacker (13/2) P Neville, Sir Gerhard (9/2) WPO Mullins
3.30 Energuneme (3/2) WP Mullins
5.30 Fact File (10/3) WP Mullins, It's For Me (6/1) WP Mullins, Fun Fun Fun (13/2) WP Mullins
 
Cheltenham - Day 3 (going forecast S some GS light rain) Market odds from 09.00

1.30 Appreciate It (10/3) WP Mullins, Banbridge (8/1) JP O'Brien
2.50 Blue Lord (6/1) WP Mullins, Jamidil (13/2) WP Mullins
3.20 Klassical Dream (8/1) WP Mullins, Home By The Lea (15/2) JP O'Brien
 
Try the AW evening cards on a retrieval mission. Checked Southwell first and the only one found was 6.10 Mabre

Chelmsford (Going forecast St) Market odds from 4.15. M Appleby top track trainer runner 7.00 Zealot (5/4)

6.00 Shalaa Asker (3/1 mkt) A Keatley
6.30 Heddewigii (15/2) A Balding , Flame Of Kodiac (3/1) J&T Gosden
7.00 Gloucestershire (9/2) M Meade, Diderot (7/2) J Ferguson
8.30 Dalby Forest (13/2) M Simcock
 
Swerved Cheltenham - Day 4 as on paper it could be a St Patrick's Day massacre :crazy:

Doncaster (going forecast G some GS showers) Early market odds from 10.10. D McCain top tack trainer with runners 2.40, 5.15

1.20 Moon Hunter (2/1) H Daly, Henry's Friend (5/2) B Pauling, Idealdes Villerets (13/8) M Rowley
2.00 Post Chaise (7/2) Greenall/Guerriero, Big Changes (4/1) L Morgan
2.40 Golden Chance (17/2) Greenall/Guerriero, Rose Of Siena (7/2) N Richards , La Pageie (11/1) N Mullhollande
3.15 Petty Cash (5/1) H Daly, Grand Voyage (11/2) W Coltherd
4.00 Horacio Apple's (9/4) Greenall/Guerriero
4.40 Couldbeawaepon (9/4) B Pauling , Supreme Yeats (8/1) L Morgan
5.15 Easter Junction (7/2) D McCain
 
Taunton (going forecast GS some S light rain) Market odds from 9.00. P Nicholls top track trainer runners 1.40, 3.15, 4.45

1.40 Loupy Collonges (4/6) P Nicholls.
3.15 Doctor Ken (6/4) O Murphy. New Age dawning (9/2) D Pipe
4.45 Centara (11/2) P Nicholls, Range (9/2) S Thomas, Saladins Son (5/1) C Gordon
 
Still plugging on against all odds with my wellies on today!!! The domestic supervisor tells me the gardener is now coming to tidy up (it's b***dy raining - he must need the money).

Wetherby (going forecast S light rain) Market odds from 09.40. D Skelton top track trainer runners 1.40, 2.50, 3.25 Hartur D'Oudaires, 5.10.

3.25 Go Dante (9/4) O Murphy.
4.00 Famous Bridge (11/10) N Richards
5.10 Doc McCoy (9/4) J Snowden, They seekhimthere (8/1) W Greatrex, Indeevar (5/2) O Murphy
 
Warwick (going forecast S) Market odds from 09.20. D Skelton top track trainer with runners 1.40 2, 2.15 2, 2.50, 3.25, 5.10.

1.40 Greatness Awaits (5/1) B Pauling
5.10 Lady Valentine (5/1) J Snowden, Sweet magic (17/2) A Ralph
 
Ludlow (going forecast GS some S showers) Market odds from 09.25. F O'Brien top track trainer runners 2.25, 3.35

2.25 Gallopade (5/1 mkt) W Greatrex, Jack's Profit (9/4) P Evans, Welsh Charger (13/8) A Ralph
3.00 Cartonne (11/4) D McCain
3.35 Bertie's Wish (9/2) J Cavendish, Killaloan (11/10 ) P Nicholls
4.10 Concetto (9/4) Greenall/Guerrieo
4.45 Nil
5.50 Espor De Teillee (5/4) B Rookhouse
 
Kelso (going forecast Gs some S showers) Market odds fro0m 09.45. L Russell top track trainer

2.25 Innis Oirr (7/2) L Russell, Jet Legs (7/2) M Todhunter, Theme Tune (4/1) N Alexander
3.00 Autumn Return (6/1) Ruth jefferson
3.35 Forward Plan (10/3) A Honeyball, Elvis Mail (9/1) N Alexander
4.10 Caithness (11/8) L Russell
4.45 Bollingerandkrug (5/4) L Russell, Sao (7/2) R Menzies
 
Exeter (going forecast GS some S showers) Market odds from 10.15. P Hobbs top track trainer has no runners.

2.42 Yggdrasil (16/5) Mrs J Williams
4.27 Singapore Saga (9/4) J Heard
5.02 Vinnie Sprinkles (2/1) D Skelton
 
Wincanton (going forecast GS some S showers) Market odds from 09.35. P Nicholls top track trainer one runner 2.00

1.30 Brentford Hope (1/4) Harry Derham
2.00 Silent Revolution (9/2) P Nicholls
3.00 Flying Verse (7/2) David Dennis, The Kings Writ (4/1)
4.30 Proper Twelve (4/1) C Gordon
5.00 Noble Savage (9/2) N Twiston-Davies
 
Huntingdon (going forecast GS some G showers) Market odds from 09.35. F O'Brien top track trainer runners 2.00, 2.30.

1.30 Le Teuer (11/4) B Humphrey, Spotty Dog (4/1) M Hawker
2.30 Zuckerberg (13/2) J Candish
3.00 Estacas (11/2) D Bridgewater
 
Irish Grand National

Mainly the system advised by Van der Wheil to take the three top form runners from the six top prizemoney winners.

Irish GN (going forecast Chs Yielding to Soft) Market odds from 9.25. G Elliott top track trainer. P Townend top track jockey.

1. Royalle Pagaille 1 tip (12/1 mkt). LTO 24
4. I Am Maximus (12/1) LTO 26. WP Mullins 29%/P Townend 29% past month and top track jockey.
2. Esparito Bello (20/1) LTO 29. B Connell 42%/JM O'Sullivan 16% past month

others:
7. Thedevilscoachman (10/1) LTO 15, MP Walsh up 21% past month
3. Busselton (33/1) LTO 21
6. The Goffer (22/1) LTO. G Elliott top track trainer

My comment: The main indication is for those at the top of the card and so 1 point each for no's 4 and 2 for an interest.

ATR form verdict in comparison to the above.
STUMPTOWN is a stout stayer who races off a lovely light weight in this valuable showpiece. He wasn't stopping at the end of 3m2f in the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival when held in second by a neck. Prior to that, he was a decisive winner of staying chases in Thurles and Sandown. Thedevilscoachman brings a touch of class to proceedings. He has landed three of his six chases including at Grade 3 level in his last couple of starts in Naas and Limerick. He is up in trip by about half a mile, but would be particularly dangerous if getting into a good rhythm with his jumping. Chemical Energy was caught over an extended 3m5f in the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. There was still a lot of credit in his runner-up finish and he is a solid contender. Angels Dawn would welcome plenty of rain. She was the horse that beat Stumptown by a neck at Cheltenham and there's an awful lot to like about her recent exploits. She is well up for a battle at the business end. Defi Bleu and Champagne Platinum could go better than their odds suggest. Amirite is inexperienced, but has talent.

Top Tip: STUMPTOWN (29) (out of the long hcap so not considered)
Watch out for: THEDEVILSCOACHMAN (7)
 
My form perecentage ratings from class, trainer, jockey, horse form converted to fair odds.

AYR (going forecast GS showers) Early market odds from 8.45.
3.35 Early market expected no's 3, 6, 17, 11, 15, 5, 7, 21, 13, 16 indicating a win restricted to these.

3. 5/1 mkt 116% = 9/1 fair odds. Monbeg Genius (5th rated)
6. 13/2 101 = 11/1
17. 7/1 159 = 13/2 Your Own Story (1st) Lucinda Russell 17%/DR Fox 15% past month
11. 12/1 134 = 8/1 Flash Collonges (4th) P Nicholls 24%/H Cobden up
15. 12/1 151 = 7/1 Manothepeople (2nd)
5. 14/1 116 = 9/1 Elvis Mail (6th)
7. 14/1 94 =12/1
21. 16/1 74 = 15/1
13. 20/1 86 = 13/1
16. 20/1 141 = 15/2 Famous Bridge (3rd) N Richards 20%/B Hughes up

ATR form verdict in comparison with the above.
Fresh from landing Aintree's big prize with Corach Rambler last Saturday, Lucinda Russell has an excellent chance of winning this contest for the second time with YOUR OWN STORY. The seven-year-old has always promised to benefit from an extreme test of stamina, as shown when scoring over 3m7f at Wetherby on his penultimate start, and makes plenty of appeal following his subsequent second at Haydock. Monbeg Genius was third in the Ultima at Cheltenham to Corach Rambler and has to enter calculations, along with 2022 runner-up Kitty's Light.

Top Tip: YOUR OWN STORY (17)
Watch out for: MONBEG GENIUS (3)
 
These are first named by RP online within 28 days from the first three win, 2nd or 3rd in the early market.

Pontefract (going forecast GS) Early market odds from 09.20. R Fahey top track trainer 3.00, 3.35, 5.15

1.50 Indication Call 10/11
2.25 Concorde 1/4
3.35 Ravenglass 4/1 R Fahey 15
4.10 Tarbat Nesse 10/3
4.45 Dear Daphne 10/11

My comment: Mostly too short opposite the risk, but Ravenglass and Tarbat Nesse look possibles.
 
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