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Daily Racing Insight

I won't be ghaving much on these no pryces to go at,might try some ew thieving mutiples

Wolves

3.50

He's An Angel 11/2 Up The Monk 9/2

1st 11/2 6/1 and 13/2 freely available
Tommy Twohoots is capable of running well in this,but very rarely shows it..but wouldn't be a surprise

4.25

Nordic Glory 9/2

placed 9/2
5.0

King Of Chaos 11/2

placed 11/2 6/1,7/1 was available after posting
5.30

Mister Moet 13/2

unplaced
6.0

Chantelle 13/8

1st 13/8
6.30

Landlord To The Stars 5/1 Empassant 11/1 Blue Eclipse 8/1 4 places

n/r and place 11/1
7.0

Oman 8/1 Eagle Day 12/1

Eagle day was different class to these,last five runs tailed off not run since November a big if and speculative but would have great ew chances if anywhere near its best..it'll probably get bet overnight and knowing dave won't be tryng and nd up drufting to 30s ,but only playing in small stakes fur interest..The betting will be interesting though

placed 10/1 i was right about Eagle Day usually leads never git ti the front sp was 4/1 so i presume stable think its in good firm,the winner wion easily consudering it dudn't go much of a gallop early on and might be one fur the aw finals..Looks like a masive impriver
7.30

Donna Nook 9/2
lost got 3 places on exchanges
8.0

Prince Hector 11/2 Star Fighter 16/1 Dancing Bay 12/1 4 places
placed 16/1 touched off a small winnin day.
 
I have spent some time on the 2.50 ling and having watched COMPLETELY RANDOM'S recent win over c/d was struck just how fast the horse finished, he produced sects of 10.75, 10.75 for the last 2f and that final furlong was especially quick in my experience, it might be an error on the part of ATR , who knows but the visual certainly appears to match the numbers imo.
If i was to be totally honest i don't think the form is anything special but my decision to back this horse is that 10.75 last furlong, i might be wrong but couldn't find any other horse recording such a fast time.
 
I have spent some time on the 2.50 ling and having watched COMPLETELY RANDOM'S recent win over c/d was struck just how fast the horse finished, he produced sects of 10.75, 10.75 for the last 2f and that final furlong was especially quick in my experience, it might be an error on the part of ATR , who knows but the visual certainly appears to match the numbers imo.
If i was to be totally honest i don't think the form is anything special but my decision to back this horse is that 10.75 last furlong, i might be wrong but couldn't find any other horse recording such a fast time.
 
NO TACKLE 3.50 LEICESTER

No Tackle is 2-5 in the visor and yet to finish out of thew first two on undulating courses, 1212.
No Tackle has bumped into a couple of progressive types in his last two races. His second to Jipcot last time reads well considering that horse was rated in the 130s over hurdles. He had Heeztheboy 38ls back in third who was favourite and had won his last three.
In his second last race he was beaten 9ls by Dartmoor Pirate receiving 4lbs. Considering that horse went on to win the Great Yorkshire Chase off 7lbs higher, the form is rock solid.
No Tackle is 5lbs higher than his win at Lingfield, a race that has worked out well.

The favourite is quite short and his ptp win in December 2023 suggests he has no wriggle room in this mark. The second in that point is with Dan Skelton, rated 99, and the third who is now with Gordon Elliot rated 120. The fourth home in that point is with Henry De Bromhead who was beaten by Oscars Brother, no mark, but decent form.

No Tackle has an entry tomorrow at Chepstow over 23.5f which would be more suitable but this looks a shrewd move by the trainer. Heavy at Leicester should be called bottomless and as the horse has won over further, he is sure to find conditions to his liking.
 
Not often I’ll go against you mlmrob mlmrob , but I will on this occasion with the favourite.

This was said before his handicap debut:

“My second ride of the day is Rosscahill (2.58pm). He’s coming off an excellent win last time out, proving his quality as a real out-and-out galloper. Unbeaten so far, he’s clearly a horse with serious potential and looks one to go over fences next season. What’s exciting about Rosscahill is his strong attitude. He handles heavy ground exceptionally well.”

He’s obviously been beaten twice in handicaps since, but he’s had a break after each disappointment. The fact he was sent off favourite on all his starts under Rules suggests connections feel he’s well treated off 120.

In hindsight, the 19/12 novice looks strong form for a mark of 120. Rebecca Curtis took the second to Ireland off 116, believing that mark was lenient. Then look at the 6/12 race: it has worked out well, with Just Over Land showing up extremely well on TheBluesBrother TheBluesBrother figures, and Lunar Discovery — who beat Donnacha by four lengths — recently going on to beat Jagwar.

Ben Solo was the 11/8 favourite and was still travelling strongly when unseating three out. The form of the horses behind in the 19/12 race also gives that piece of form a very solid look for a horse rated 120, in my opinion.
 
I have no doubt that via hurdle form from what might be described as from the past both MOMBASA and ROSSCAHILL have a definite edge on form but both have something to prove on their latest runs.
ROSSCAHILL didn't look a natural fencer to me, indeed wasn't the best hurdlers imo but the way he stopped last time might have been some sort of injury, don't know but his left hind leg looks ready to fall off.
MOMBASA was tailed off lto and so you'd need to see more than what we saw lto.
NO TACKLE looks far more straightforward in that he ran a reasonable 2nd in a similar race to this one, i won't repeat what mlmrob mlmrob has already outlined but i'm surprised he isn't fav.

ONE LAST CHANCE is very limited but gets a fair bit of weight and a jockey that's always ready to get off and push so might on a good day be a danger.

Conclusion you wouldn't want to be too cocksure with a horse like NO TACKLE but his chances look solid, good luck.
 
this is a race i done just for training with my new style of form picking and the way i looked at it i have not had bet i might add but this race could be a in running race as there is one thing that makes me think this, ROOSCAHILL i think will lead and try dominate this race from the front and its only problem could be if ONE LAST GLANCE tries to take it on as you dont know what you get from it but is a horse that your not sure what it will do but i feel this is the key factor of whole race if ROOSCAHILL gets in rhythm can dominate this field. NO TACKLE is horse who is what he is will run solid enough race but not good enough to beat ROOSCAHILL if it gets its own way up front but if it gets pestered and does make error then this is the horse who would pick up pieces. So watch first fence see whats happening going to second fence i think will tell a lot here.
 
EIDER CHASE 2.43 NEWCASTLE

The presence of Mr Vango has totally skewed the handicap.

However, two trends have bagged the winner in 17 of the last 24 years.

19-24 WINNERS AGED BETWEEN 7YO AND 9YO.
That includes 10 of the last 12.

22-24 WINNERS HAD RUN IN LESS THAN 12 HANDICAP CHASES
That includes 10 of the last 12.

Combining the two trends has found 17 of the last 24 winners. That includes 9 of the last 12.

Today, the trends have narrowed the field to five.

Livin on Luco, Fortunate Man, Red Delta, Knockanore, Whistle Stop Tour.

With 15 of the `17 winners having won at least once in their last five races, both Whistle Stop Tour and Knockanore fail on that score, plus Knockanore is 10lbs wrong.

Livin On Luco's fourth in the Welsh National looks very strong form from 1lb out of the weights. He is back on his correct mark today. Hobbs hasn't had a runnwer at Newcastle since 2016 and only seven runners in total with one winning.
Livin On Luco's record under Callum Pritchard reads 114. he goes on the ground and will stay four miles.

Fortunate Man has to travel a half mile more than he has in the past. he fininished second in the Stayers Handicap at Windsor last year when favourite off 125 and is 3lbs higher today. He gave 12lbs to Kelce at Aintree on Boxing Day and a 3l beating. Kelce has franked the form in a saimnilar race. His chance is transparent but all his best form has come on flat tracks.

This has been Red Delta's target but it has taken a bit of racing to get his mark from 108 upto todays 128. With the loss of stable star Sine Nominee, Red Delta now wears that mantle. He was favourite to beat Konfusion at Wetherby in November but could only finish fifth, connections later saying he needed time between his races, Wetherby came just 13 days after winning at Sedgefield, which was after a break of 142 days. Konfusion has since won the Rehearsal and the Rowland Meryick and was beaten 3ls in the Peter Marsh last time off 145, 30lbs higher.
Red Dlta won the Lincolnshire National last time in the fastest time ever recorded saince the races was over 28.5f. It might have had something to do with conditions but he took his time to mow down Ivane in the later stages
Charlie Maggs takes 5lbs off which negates Red Delta being 3lbs wrong.

Conclusion: Mr Vango has a big weight and it will take a monumental performance to give 24lbs+ to the field. The last time a horse won this twice was in 1969 when Highland Wedding won it for the third time before taking the National, so one would think Anglers Crag will be up against it
Livin On Luco looks a worthy favourite and shall be supported with Red Delta.
 
That really brought back memories the first ever pick i had in any race was that 1969 grand national my older brother said pick one and i will to and i will put tanner e/w on it for you and he picked one to and done same and he said if we get anything back we will split it i was only 11 at the time he picked highland wedding the winner and i picked rondetto third.
So that was my first ever bet lol.
 
4.37 kemp, SPANISH VOICE

I am surprised this horse has a mark of only 85 today and fully exoect him to go on to better things, i presume the handicapper is working on the premise of it's most recent run and not the one before that that where i felt he beat some better class horses than he meets here, throw in that the extra distance is likely to suit this colt i'd be very hopeful he can take this in his stride.
 
T tacker I will be taking you on with Dramatic Star improved ratings last 2 runs before a break Spanish Voice has won both races against OR 80 horses may need o improve to win this .
 
SV was a lazy lay for me, as I thought hw was a tight price, especially as this is not restricted to 4yo .

Probably open to the most improvement I guess,
 
Lincoln trial 2.42..LA BOTTE 9/2

Very lightly raced 4yr old colt with lots of potential to be a group horse imo, i say this based on his last two runs, first an excellent effort in a listed race followed by what i feel was an unlucky 2nd in the Britannia royal ascot....

Rated 104 after that run which i suppose is about right but might have been a few pounds higher with a clearer run through.
I think it worth pointing a formline regarding CHANCELLOR which anyone interested can easily find and one or two other bits and bats of form you can take into consideration.
Negatives ? Yet to race at wolvs and doesn't have the best of draws for an inexperienced horse, throw into the mix he hasn't run since last june and running around two bends.
I suspect the market might tell us more but for now iv'e risked a bit at the 9/2 on offer.
 
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