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Big Odds Winners
- Thread starter rbtblb82
- Start date
On my post yesterday, I was going to say that I thought both Pyramid Place and West To The Bridge were overpriced and possibly a class above the field, but since West To The Bridge was 13 yro I thought I wouldn't mention him, surely he was too old now, but he won well, 15/2 SP but I got 18/1 in my Skelton bet earlier in the day, Skelton won 4 races - 1/1, 10/1, 15/2 but I got 18/1 and 8/1, I played trebles and four-folds and got a decent return. Days like that make me slightly torn though, as I wasn't even meant to be playing trainers, just mixing it up, but I usually play Mullins and Skelton no matter what so I thought I should still cover him, lucky I did coz my mix bets were rubbish.
Also, I always used to play double and trebles, and often E/W, now I only play wins and I play trebles and four-folds, and I'm doing better, E/W is often not worth it and if you play wins it means you can put another bet on.
Also, I always used to play double and trebles, and often E/W, now I only play wins and I play trebles and four-folds, and I'm doing better, E/W is often not worth it and if you play wins it means you can put another bet on.
Today's racing looked pretty good last night, most races had 8 or more runners, but fair few non runners so some races now only 7 or less, but still not bad 3 early meets, plus Meydan with William Buick/Godolphin etc.
Could be decent.
I'll have to back King Of York 14/1 @ Southwell 13:32, I always do, and he has 4 wins at Southwell, but all over 7f and this is 1m so a small step up in trip.
Also always back Good Earth 17/2 Southwell @ 14:02, but 9yro now and not the most consistent, and won last time out so probably won't follow up.
Otherwise, the jump meets (Catterick & Ffos Las) have a few novice and/or maiden races, plus a handicap chase and hurdle and a conditional jockeys handicap, and whilst there's a few short priced favourites, there could easily be some bigger odds winners in these races, especially with the weather, but hard to pick any out being novices/maidens, just punt.
Bryan Hughes @ Catterick.
Could be decent.
I'll have to back King Of York 14/1 @ Southwell 13:32, I always do, and he has 4 wins at Southwell, but all over 7f and this is 1m so a small step up in trip.
Also always back Good Earth 17/2 Southwell @ 14:02, but 9yro now and not the most consistent, and won last time out so probably won't follow up.
Otherwise, the jump meets (Catterick & Ffos Las) have a few novice and/or maiden races, plus a handicap chase and hurdle and a conditional jockeys handicap, and whilst there's a few short priced favourites, there could easily be some bigger odds winners in these races, especially with the weather, but hard to pick any out being novices/maidens, just punt.
Bryan Hughes @ Catterick.
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Brian Hughes won one, rubbish, fell on another favourite, lost on other three horses.
Godolphin useless, 11 horses, zero wins.
Somehow I managed to be evens, hit one nice double and one trebles bet gave a decent return, got lucky really.
Was hoping for some decent odds today but half of it has gone now, shame.
Godolphin useless, 11 horses, zero wins.
Somehow I managed to be evens, hit one nice double and one trebles bet gave a decent return, got lucky really.
Was hoping for some decent odds today but half of it has gone now, shame.
DRF - Day Two
13:15 - Frankie John 28/1 or Tackletommywoowoo 33/1 (great name).
13:50 - Immediate Effect 25/1
14:25 - Champagne Kid 8/1, Duke Silver 12/1, Barra Run 18/1, Small Town Hero 22/1 or even D Art D Art 28/1.
15:30 - I Am Maximus 8/1, Spindleberry 8/1, Affordale Fury 10/1
16:05 - Milan Forth 17/2, Battle Of Ridgeway 10/1, An Peann Dearg 20/1
13:15 - Frankie John 28/1 or Tackletommywoowoo 33/1 (great name).
13:50 - Immediate Effect 25/1
14:25 - Champagne Kid 8/1, Duke Silver 12/1, Barra Run 18/1, Small Town Hero 22/1 or even D Art D Art 28/1.
15:30 - I Am Maximus 8/1, Spindleberry 8/1, Affordale Fury 10/1
16:05 - Milan Forth 17/2, Battle Of Ridgeway 10/1, An Peann Dearg 20/1
Well that was naff, for me anyway, had half a day so I could watch it, hoping to land some big returns, waste of half a day. I didn't want the Mullins favourites to win the 1st two races and they did, I still had some decent bets but needed Galopin to win the Gold Cup, 3rd, then I needed Charismatic Kid 1/1 to win the last and the two rank outsiders were 1st and 2nd at 16/1 and 28/1, typical.
Somehow still managed to get £85 back and was only £15 down over two days. Could have been worse, could have been better.
Mostly leaving it until Cheltenham now, saving it up.
Somehow still managed to get £85 back and was only £15 down over two days. Could have been worse, could have been better.
Mostly leaving it until Cheltenham now, saving it up.
I thought I'd put a bet on yesterday after all, and I decided to mix Paul Nicholls and Gordon Elliott, most of them were short to be fair, but a few were decent odds - Nicholls won the 1st three, Elliott the 1st two, so I thought I was on for a big one, then they lost on the other 4 horses, so I only got £36 back, still £6 up but it was disappointing after hitting the 1st five.
Just playing JP McManus today, 5 horses, and two mix trebles bets.
Four horses I always back and can win with big odds are running today, but none are consistent....
Just playing JP McManus today, 5 horses, and two mix trebles bets.
Four horses I always back and can win with big odds are running today, but none are consistent....
- Masqool 11/1 - Kempton @ 12:50 - I like this horse, won for me a few times with big odds, and just moved yards to Tony Carroll, so that could give him a spike.
- Adace 28/1 - Kempton @ 14:35 - same as Masqool, still with same yard but has three course/distance wins. Romanovich could win this race too @ 25/1.
- Mumayaz 25/1 - Kempton @ 15:10 - good horse, good trainer (James Owen). I do also like Follow Your Heart in this race.
- Porfin 11/2 - Kempton @ 16:15 - not the most consistent but seems to be running well atm. Was 8/1 last night.
- Also have a punt on Angel Hunter 18/1 - Kempton @ 14:00 - same family as Witch Hunter and won twice already, worth a punt I think.
- Begin The Luck + Follow Your Luck + High On Hope + Must Believe + My Fortune
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Saturday 14/02/26
You can get a few favourites on a Saturday and especially in the weeks before Cheltenham, as it's often not top horses, although a few decent horses horses running today in the good races, and I fancy Alexei, The Jukebox Kid (now Thomas Mor has gone), Jonbon, Bluey and a few others (e.g. Mullins in Ireland) that are short odds and I'll put those together in acca's, but only play 5/6/7 folds or it won't be worth it.
Got a few other mix trebles bets on, picked a few trainers (Hobbs, Moore, Nicholls, Skelton, Murphy), and having a few daft punts.....
14:25 @ Ascot - Rambo T 66/1 (worth an E/W punt)
14:40 @ Haydock - Tashkan 40/1 (worth an E/w punt)
15:00 @ Ascot - Sam Brown 25/1 (14 yro now but love him)
15:35 @ Ascot - Heltenham 100/1 (why not take Jonbon on with an E/W punt, but have Jonbon in some acca's)
16:40 @ Haydock - Settle Down Jill 80/1 (probably no chance and some decent horses in the race, but all 10, 11 or 13 yro now and this horse is 6yro, taking a punt but do also have Shearer in a couple of acca's)
NAP: Holokea 7/1 (Mickey Bowen) - Haydock @ 15:15
(Neo King could pinch this as well @ 16/1, did beat Holokea last time, usually comes from off the pace and can finish fast/from nowhere)
EDIT: Wow, what a load of rubbish Holokea was, pulled but never even got going, disgrace. Neo King did come from nowhere but only got 3rd. Rubbish day for me, doesn't matter what happens now really, I'll be down.
You can get a few favourites on a Saturday and especially in the weeks before Cheltenham, as it's often not top horses, although a few decent horses horses running today in the good races, and I fancy Alexei, The Jukebox Kid (now Thomas Mor has gone), Jonbon, Bluey and a few others (e.g. Mullins in Ireland) that are short odds and I'll put those together in acca's, but only play 5/6/7 folds or it won't be worth it.
Got a few other mix trebles bets on, picked a few trainers (Hobbs, Moore, Nicholls, Skelton, Murphy), and having a few daft punts.....
14:25 @ Ascot - Rambo T 66/1 (worth an E/W punt)
14:40 @ Haydock - Tashkan 40/1 (worth an E/w punt)
15:00 @ Ascot - Sam Brown 25/1 (14 yro now but love him)
15:35 @ Ascot - Heltenham 100/1 (why not take Jonbon on with an E/W punt, but have Jonbon in some acca's)
16:40 @ Haydock - Settle Down Jill 80/1 (probably no chance and some decent horses in the race, but all 10, 11 or 13 yro now and this horse is 6yro, taking a punt but do also have Shearer in a couple of acca's)
NAP: Holokea 7/1 (Mickey Bowen) - Haydock @ 15:15
(Neo King could pinch this as well @ 16/1, did beat Holokea last time, usually comes from off the pace and can finish fast/from nowhere)
EDIT: Wow, what a load of rubbish Holokea was, pulled but never even got going, disgrace. Neo King did come from nowhere but only got 3rd. Rubbish day for me, doesn't matter what happens now really, I'll be down.
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Thurles was decent yesterday, not a single favourite - 10/1, 3/1, 9/1, 14/1, 3/1, 11/2, 3/1
Few other decent odds winners in the UK, miffed I missed Harb @ 11/1, I usually always back that but I'd done rubbish yesterday so I'd stopped betting by then.
Last 7 Days Odds on Favourites
8/11 - won
4/9 - won
4/9 - won
2/5 - won
5/6 - lost
8/13 - lost
4/9 - won
4/9 - won
4/5 - lost
8/11 - won
1/3 - lost (Bluey - cost me hundreds)
1/2 - won
10/11 - lost
30/100 - lost
4/9 - won
5/6 - won
4/6 - lost
10/11 - lost
4/6 - lost
4/7 - won
2/9 - won
2/5 - lost
8/13 - lost
4/6 - lost
1/2 - won
1/5 - won
4/9 - lost
10/11 - lost
10/11 - won
30/100 - won
1/2 - won
1/4 - won
4/7 - lost
4/9 - won
1/4 - won
1/4 - won
4/6 - lost
5/6 - lost
38 Odds on Favourites - 21 Won - 17 Lost (55% Strike Rate)
I only had a look because I thought it was worse than this, every time I've needed one for decent money this week it's lost. Still not great only just over 50% considering the odds.
I'm now considering the 2nd favourite in these races as horses with big odds, 4/9 gets beat by the 3/1 2nd favourite that's pretty good, I do think these favourites are worth taking on, often my best returns are mix trebles bets where I've taken a few of these on and it's run poorly and I've got the 2nd favourite as the 15/8 to 4/1 winner - a few horses at prices like that and it soon starts to build up.
Few other decent odds winners in the UK, miffed I missed Harb @ 11/1, I usually always back that but I'd done rubbish yesterday so I'd stopped betting by then.
Last 7 Days Odds on Favourites
8/11 - won
4/9 - won
4/9 - won
2/5 - won
5/6 - lost
8/13 - lost
4/9 - won
4/9 - won
4/5 - lost
8/11 - won
1/3 - lost (Bluey - cost me hundreds)
1/2 - won
10/11 - lost
30/100 - lost
4/9 - won
5/6 - won
4/6 - lost
10/11 - lost
4/6 - lost
4/7 - won
2/9 - won
2/5 - lost
8/13 - lost
4/6 - lost
1/2 - won
1/5 - won
4/9 - lost
10/11 - lost
10/11 - won
30/100 - won
1/2 - won
1/4 - won
4/7 - lost
4/9 - won
1/4 - won
1/4 - won
4/6 - lost
5/6 - lost
38 Odds on Favourites - 21 Won - 17 Lost (55% Strike Rate)
I only had a look because I thought it was worse than this, every time I've needed one for decent money this week it's lost. Still not great only just over 50% considering the odds.
I'm now considering the 2nd favourite in these races as horses with big odds, 4/9 gets beat by the 3/1 2nd favourite that's pretty good, I do think these favourites are worth taking on, often my best returns are mix trebles bets where I've taken a few of these on and it's run poorly and I've got the 2nd favourite as the 15/8 to 4/1 winner - a few horses at prices like that and it soon starts to build up.
Start of flat season can bring up some goods odds winners as they're all having their 1st run for a while, or 1st run ever.
Sunday at Curragh last 4 races were 10/1, 20/1, 16/1, 20/1, two for Michael Mulvany. I was on one but not the other, one for De Bromhead, could easily have had a big Trixie there.
Mostly a few E/W singles/punts for me for a few weeks whilst the flat season kicks in properly.
Sunday at Curragh last 4 races were 10/1, 20/1, 16/1, 20/1, two for Michael Mulvany. I was on one but not the other, one for De Bromhead, could easily have had a big Trixie there.
Mostly a few E/W singles/punts for me for a few weeks whilst the flat season kicks in properly.
A fair few big odds winners coming in atm, especially on the flat, and especially the start to the new Irish flat season.
Dundalk Friday = 22/1, 12/1, 4/1, 10/1, 12/1, 10/3, 4/1, 15/2 - no favourite
Lingfield Friday = 3/1, 5/1, 12/1, 8/1, 11/4, 9/2, 9/2 - no favourite
Wolves Friday = 15/2, 25/1, 11/1, 9/2, 11/4, 3/1, 9/1, 8/1 - 2 favourites
I'm trying not to play through the week and focus on Saturdays, and usually I have a week or two off after Cheltenham, but I got £0.32 from 3 free spins on William Hill and put it on Spirou 20/1 (Harry Derham - Newbury @ 15:00) and it won. So I put a trixie on - Kosasiempre 12/1 (Newbury @ 16:42) + Jeffery's Cross 6/1 (Newbury @ 17:16) + Goldmoyne 9/2 (Lingfield @ 17:25) and I got lucky and all three won, so I got £59 back, not bad from £0.32 on free spins but typical I didn't put some money in and put more on. However, I then lost £39 watching Wolves live on ITV4.
Saturday 21/03/26
Kelso @ 13:00 - Hollygrove Cha Cha favourite and could easily win it, but Tankard's Town Diva 12/1 (Tom Ellis) and/or Rokola Vogue 14/1
Kelso @ 14:10 - Queenie St Clair 25/1 (Nick Scholfield now a trainer and on fire atm) - 25/1 on Coral, 18/1 on William Hill, big difference. Also maybe Azahara Palace 28/1.
Kelso @ 14:40 - Always A Reason 12/1
Bangor @ 15:20 - Magistrato 12/1 - I can never resist a horse with more than one win in it's form, plus a course & distance winner but the rank outsider
Bangor @ 16:30 - Eric Carmen 7/1 - always back it, good/consistent horse and love the name (South Park fan)
Navan @ 14:32 - Sopelana 20/1 - had some good runs recently and won for me at 12/1 (SP 8/1) at Punchestown a few weeks ago, loyalty bet. Also might have Disco Dancer 20/1 (Elliott), but only because I usually back 'dancers'.
Newbury @ 13:30 - Diamond Koda 9/1 (Nick Kent), The Boss Bear 16/1 (Moore/Cannon)
Newbury @ 15:00 - Watamu 9/1 - beat Khrisma (Henderson), which is the 5/4 favourite in the big race at Kelso @ 14:10.
Newbury @ 15:35 - Way Maker 40/1 (Bowen), two previous wins and only a novice race so has experience, although on firmer ground. Lady Hope 28/1 (Hughie Morrison on the jumps)
Dundalk Friday = 22/1, 12/1, 4/1, 10/1, 12/1, 10/3, 4/1, 15/2 - no favourite
Lingfield Friday = 3/1, 5/1, 12/1, 8/1, 11/4, 9/2, 9/2 - no favourite
Wolves Friday = 15/2, 25/1, 11/1, 9/2, 11/4, 3/1, 9/1, 8/1 - 2 favourites
I'm trying not to play through the week and focus on Saturdays, and usually I have a week or two off after Cheltenham, but I got £0.32 from 3 free spins on William Hill and put it on Spirou 20/1 (Harry Derham - Newbury @ 15:00) and it won. So I put a trixie on - Kosasiempre 12/1 (Newbury @ 16:42) + Jeffery's Cross 6/1 (Newbury @ 17:16) + Goldmoyne 9/2 (Lingfield @ 17:25) and I got lucky and all three won, so I got £59 back, not bad from £0.32 on free spins but typical I didn't put some money in and put more on. However, I then lost £39 watching Wolves live on ITV4.
Saturday 21/03/26
Kelso @ 13:00 - Hollygrove Cha Cha favourite and could easily win it, but Tankard's Town Diva 12/1 (Tom Ellis) and/or Rokola Vogue 14/1
Kelso @ 14:10 - Queenie St Clair 25/1 (Nick Scholfield now a trainer and on fire atm) - 25/1 on Coral, 18/1 on William Hill, big difference. Also maybe Azahara Palace 28/1.
Kelso @ 14:40 - Always A Reason 12/1
Bangor @ 15:20 - Magistrato 12/1 - I can never resist a horse with more than one win in it's form, plus a course & distance winner but the rank outsider
Bangor @ 16:30 - Eric Carmen 7/1 - always back it, good/consistent horse and love the name (South Park fan)
Navan @ 14:32 - Sopelana 20/1 - had some good runs recently and won for me at 12/1 (SP 8/1) at Punchestown a few weeks ago, loyalty bet. Also might have Disco Dancer 20/1 (Elliott), but only because I usually back 'dancers'.
Newbury @ 13:30 - Diamond Koda 9/1 (Nick Kent), The Boss Bear 16/1 (Moore/Cannon)
Newbury @ 15:00 - Watamu 9/1 - beat Khrisma (Henderson), which is the 5/4 favourite in the big race at Kelso @ 14:10.
Newbury @ 15:35 - Way Maker 40/1 (Bowen), two previous wins and only a novice race so has experience, although on firmer ground. Lady Hope 28/1 (Hughie Morrison on the jumps)