• Hi Guest, The forum will be moving hosts on 26 July and as such will be closed from Midday until the move has completed.
    As we will be with new hosts it may take a while before DNS get updated so it could take while before you can get back on the forum.
    I think it will take at least 4 hours but could easily be 48!
    Ark Royal
  • There seems to be a problem with some alerts not being emailed to members. I have told the hosts and they are investigating.
  • Sorry for the ongoing issues that you may have been experiencing whilst using the forum lately

    It really is frustrating when the forum slows down or Server Error 500 pops up.

    Apparently the hosts acknowledge there is a problem.
    Thank you for using our services and sorry for the experienced delay!
    Unfortunately, these errors are due to a higher server load. Our senior department knows about the issue and they are working towards a permanent resolution of the issue, however, I'd advise you to consider using our new cPanel cloud solutions: https://www.tsohost.com/web-hosting


    I will have to investigate what the differences are with what We have know compared to the alternative service they want us to migrate to.
    Keep safe.
    AR

AW system

newcomer

Yearling
Hi everyone,
First post here. Looking forward to interacting with you all. I'm testing a new system and if anybody wants to check progress with me for a little while they're welcome to. It's based on a few different criteria, but ultimately looking to find horses best suited to the AW track they're racing on.

My record so far is based on multiple runners (the system generates quite a few), but in my sharing here I'll discount them, so assume considerably fewer bets than shown in my figures below but hopefully a higher SR and ROI. All records are to SP, so in practice I'd expect to do better to BSP. I've assumed £10 stakes, all at 1pt win.

Chelmsford: 33 bets, 5 wins, a loss of £16.30 ROI of -5%
Dundalk: 24 bets, 6 wins, a profit of £420, ROI of 176%
Kempton: 33 bets, 7 wins, a loss of £22.40, ROI of -7%
Lingfield: 39 bets, 9 wins, a profit of £230, ROI of 49%
Southwell: 48 bets, 11 wins, a profit of £350, ROI of 73%
Wolves, 102 bets, 21 wins, a profit of £888, ROI of 87%

Together, it's a SR of about 20%, and considerable profit so far. Odds of between 3/1 and 33/1. I'll group results together rather than breaking down by track. No qualifiers tomorrow.
 

Bill

Colt
Good luck with this thread 🙂 I am not sure what you mean when you say ”but n my sharing here I’ll discount them “ with such a good strike rate and profit could you not just use the raw data your system throws up.?
 

newcomer

Yearling
I could, but HRB allows me to see how it performs without duplicates (just not to save the system without them). It performs much better (both for SR and ROI). Sometimes it's 3 selections in the same race, which is too many for me.
 

newcomer

Yearling
After yesterday's very helpful discussion elsewhere on the forum about better backtesting, I've made some adjustments so it's hopefully not doing as much past cherry picking. Still could easily be happening, of course. Hence the testing!

One qualifier today.
Lingfield - 15:50 - Bird To Love
 

newcomer

Yearling
Interestingly, Ivaquestion also qualified later this evening but was one of two so was discounted. It's Hugh Taylor's tip with ATR.
 
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