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Average OR

Hello all,

Not much for me tomorrow, will probably look at a c4 on the other threads.

Ffos las 2.50 17/12/18
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
The Gipper/118/-1.33/23-2/11-10//won 11/10f
Starcrossed/117/0.00/17-2/16-1 value
Radical Archie/117/+11.33/7-4/3-1 value//2nd 3/1
Alohamora/116/0.00/17-2/5-1
Llantara/112/+10.00/15-8/4-1 value

I had to fiddle the values for alohamora but think the 1 2 will involve radical Archie and llantara.

Good luck tomorrow
 
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Nicely done T THE WORLDWIDE WORD , glad you found the formula useful. Well done.

Fakenham 1.50
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Militarian/130/+12.17/8-5/9-2 value//won 7/2
Enjoy responsibly/130/+1.67/7-1/11-4
Holbrook park/129/+5.33/10-3/3-1
Forth bridge/125/-2.00/21-1/2-1//2nd 5/2jf
The geegeez geegee/115/+5.00/7-2/11-1 value

Lots of improvers and I'd guess at militarian and Holbrook park as taking the first 2 places

Good luck today
 
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Hello all

Ludlow 2.35 19/12/18
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Sumkindofking/137/+7.50/4-1/4-1
Spider's bite/132/+6.40/4-1/5-2
Fox appeal/132/-7.00/68-1/6-1//3rd 8/1
Above board/131/+2.83/6-1/12-1 value
Opening batsman/130/-2.67/18-1/8-1
Beau du brizais/129/+5.50/9-2/6-1//won 5/1

A fair few improvers and I think the first 3 home will be filled by sumkindofking, spider's bite and beau du brizais though in what order I have no idea.

Good luck today
 
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Hello all,

Exeter 1.10 20/12/18
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds
Shalakar/127/+7.00/5-2/10-3 value 2nd 9/4
Diamond fort/127/+1.80/13-2/6-1
Doubly clever/126/+2.00/6-1/16-1 value
Vaziani/118/-3.00/36-1/7-2
Radical Archie/117/+8.50/9-4/10-3 value nr
Trans express/117/+1.17/8-1/3-1 won 2/1f

Plenty of improvers but I think the winner will either be shalakar or radical Archie both of which are value

Good luck today
 
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Hello all,

Southwell 2.05 22/12/18
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Matterhorn/86/+6.00/7-2/13-8//won 5-4f
Custard the dragon/83/-1.00/19-1/12-1
Three weeks/83/-3.20/50-1/11-4//2nd 9-2
Hammer gun/80/+2.00/15-2/4-1//3rd 7-2
Mama Africa/80/+6.50/7-2/12-1 value
Sheila's treat/80/+4.25/9-2/10-1 value

A fair few improvers with a couple also value. My expectation is Matterhorn will take this though mama Africa looks dangerous

Good luck today
 
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Hello all,

I've not done one of these today as pressed for time. Will bring up to date a summary spreadsheet of progress so far during the break

Good luck today
 
Hello all,

Wolverhampton 3.55
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Kachy/110/-1.17/23-2/10-11// won 4/7f
Atletico/99/+3.00/9-2/14-1 value
Danzan/100/-3.50/23-1/12-1// 2nd 16/1
Gulliver/102/-1.50/25-2/15-2
Intisaab/108/+1.17/13-2/9-4
Suzi's connoisseur/87/+11.33/5-2/33-1 value
Udontdodou/100/+4.17/4-1/14-1 value

From my rating I'd pick intisaab and Suzi's connoisseur

Good luck tomorrow
 
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Hello all,

Newbury 1.15 29/12/18, a race I'd normally swerve

Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Swift crusader/125/12/+1.20/5-2/5-2
Cruiseawight/120/11/0.00/4-1/5-2
Eary du lemo/119/-2.50/10-1/11-2//2nd 5-2
Another crick/117/+4.00/13-8/15-8 value//won 2-1f
Ollie vaar/113/17/-3.50/18-1/20-1 value

None satisfy my rating but the favourite is value

Good luck tomorrow
 
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Hello all

Lingfield 12.00
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Alsvinder/94/+2.83/7-2/8-1 value//2nd 10-1
El hombre/93/+4.67/3-1/13-8
Mokaatil/92/-5.83/19-1/7-2
Merhoob/90/-2.00/8-1/11-4//won 5-2
Zac brown/88/+9.67/21-10/11-1 value
Doc sportello/87/-5.50/35-2/14-1

El hombre satisfies my rating and zac brown is very close and my favourite so I expect the race to be between those 2.

Good luck today
 
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Hello all,

Lingfield 2.20
Horse/or/difference/estimated odds/current odds//results
Seafarer/94/+2.00/13-2/9-2
Cosmeapolitan/91/0.00/10-1/6-1//won 11-2
Casper the cub/94/+14.17/15-8/11-10//2nd 5-4f
Final/89/-0.83/13-1/11-2
Taxmeifyoucan/88/+8.17/11-4/12-1 value
Technological/86/+0.67/9-1/11-1 value

Both casper the cub and taxmeifyoucan satisfy my rating so I think the race will be between those 2

Good luck today
 
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