Mike generally the Last 8 depending on the rolling Stdev will shift how many starts you actually use, This is your starting point in getting the runners into a ranking /early pricing module. The guys that use my stuff will actually go thru those recent formlines looking at combinations of dates and box draws and C/D ,eg. if a runner started 3 days ago if it ran interference free, then Today's performance will fall very close to that last performance, But if it was badly checked, then the numbers for Todays race will generally be worse. But if its returning from a short spell 10-14 days it maybe is short of a run, so performance downgrade, Once they start returning after 28days it's normally a performance reset they generally will return close to the normal average performance, performance upgrades are generally a weaker class of opposition and a better box draw or a more suitable distance, sometimes trainers will nominate their dogs, but not get drawn to race so that's why they may miss the 5-7 day race return they are always free galloping 3 times a week. Then once they have generally assessed those couple of things they will then look at Time thresolds you generally get a idea when you look down a formline such as mine the upper performance thresolds two or three runs are similar time, then another group etc they look at placings 1 or first should always be the better times, so on thru the placings, if a runner ran 4th and it was its best time, it would have to have been in a Final or a much better class of race , in those cases, a run like that gets looked at thru video and then the other placing get interrogated. This should help a bit. if your using averages it has to be inconjunction with standard deviation otherwise its uselessW woof43 I’m at the stage where I had a local app but not a public app, one thing I noticed looking at your app for Tasmanian greyhounds is how close the ratings are, not wild differences, mine have much wider spread, I’m guessing that will be a bad thing and I probably haven’t got the ratings well calibrated, I didn’t expect to even get close with my first attempt but I think part of it is i just decided to use best rating of last 8 runs , clearly I need something more sophisticated, I’m not generally a fan of simple averages, takes one bad run where a dog gets interfered with to ruin a simple average approach. I finally got to the stage where I have some kind of rating for every greyhound running in uk tomorrow and their full history of ratings so I guess progress, my HK app didn’t do well today with predictions ,at least I haven’t spent a lot of time on the greyhounds yet.
For me looking at this formline not knowing track/Dog etc, i look at all the raw time wins, which makes it about a 28.80 dog the 28.58 is an outlier, i look at its splits for the outlier and then look at all other similar splits and then look at what times it ran in those other races, sometimes are very clear very fast time is actually they clocked the Lure and not the dog , that would be my eyeball testlooking at this doesnt seem sensible to use best of last 8 runs, seems to have one standout run of 100 and all the others around 88, wondering what is best practice
selected_name dog_id Date Track Distance Grade Position Beaten distance Running time Handicap Trap Going Sectional Original NATIONAL race_key rating_source todays_allowance Adjusted NATIONAL DROMBEGANGEL 650792 15/10/2026Newcastle 480IV 3 0.7 28.94 2 20 4.63 88.00924 1251495national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.00924DROMBEGANGEL 650792 08/10/2026Newcastle 480A1 2 1.5 28.94 2 0 4.7 86.85544 1249916national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 86.85544DROMBEGANGEL 650792 24/09/2026Newcastle 480A1 1 0 28.9 1 0 4.66 88.49978 1246501national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.49978DROMBEGANGEL 650792 17/09/2026Newcastle 480A1 3 3.75 29.03 1 10 4.65 84.96994 1244678national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 84.96994DROMBEGANGEL 650792 10/09/2026Newcastle 480A1 1 0 28.58 1 10 4.57 100.9719 1243146national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 100.9719DROMBEGANGEL 650792 02/09/2026Newcastle 480A1 2 1.25 28.78 2 10 4.65 88.27357 1241031national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.27357DROMBEGANGEL 650792 27/08/2026Newcastle 480OR 1 0 28.79 4 10 4.53 88.85399 1239781national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.85399DROMBEGANGEL 650792 20/08/2026Newcastle 480OR3 4 1.9 28.98 2 0 4.55 88.01359 1238284national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.01359DROMBEGANGEL 650792 13/08/2026Newcastle 480OR 2 1.75 28.89 1 10 4.65 88.5419 1236960national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.5419DROMBEGANGEL 650792 06/08/2026Newcastle 480OR 2 0.1 28.87 1 0 4.7 88.3412 1235495national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.3412DROMBEGANGEL 650792 30/07/2026Newcastle 480A2 1 0 28.93 2 20 4.65 85.06354 1233880national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 85.06354DROMBEGANGEL 650792 25/07/2026Newcastle 480A3 1 0 29.14 2 0 4.61 82.64743 1232940national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 82.64743DROMBEGANGEL 650792 15/07/2026Newcastle 480A3 1 0 29.2 2 0 4.55 78.52711 1230529national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 78.52711DROMBEGANGEL 650792 08/07/2026Newcastle 480A3 3 1.05 29.14 2 0 4.59 81.71363 1229043national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 81.71363DROMBEGANGEL 650792 30/06/2026Newcastle 480A3 2 2.5 29.28 2 0 4.71 76.11619 1227291national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 76.11619DROMBEGANGEL 650792 27/05/2026Newcastle 480A2 5 12.5 29.94 2 0 4.67 58.3882 1219476national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 58.3882DROMBEGANGEL 650792 18/04/2026Newcastle 480A2 2 5 29.2 2 0 4.65 77.97732 1210812national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 77.97732DROMBEGANGEL 650792 11/04/2026Newcastle 480A1 3 4 29.16 2 0 4.65 82.82024 1209448national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 82.82024DROMBEGANGEL 650792 02/04/2026Newcastle 480OR3 6 6.25 29.23 2 0 4.73 78.50443 1206947national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 78.50443DROMBEGANGEL 650792 26/03/2026Newcastle 480OR 3 4.75 28.78 2 0 4.64 96.83337 1205015national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 96.83337DROMBEGANGEL 650792 19/03/2026Newcastle 480A1 2 2 28.83 1 -10 4.58 97.71748 1203333national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 97.71748DROMBEGANGEL 650792 12/03/2026Newcastle 480A1 1 0 28.85 1 0 4.69 94.49306 1201795national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 94.49306DROMBEGANGEL 650792 05/03/2026Newcastle 480A1 2 0.2 28.8 1 10 4.62 95.52365 1200460national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 95.52365DROMBEGANGEL 650792 25/02/2026Newcastle 480A1 1 0 29.01 1 -20 4.66 95.13657 1198085national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 95.13657DROMBEGANGEL 650792 19/02/2026Newcastle 480IV 3 6 29.03 1 0 4.82 88.98219 1196614national_v2_iter3_shadow_v1 0 88.98219
Hi Grant thanks for all your excellent input and ideas on here and the HK thread.Hey Kevin, in this sheet you provided for Sunderland, I noticed the HCAP, column, are the figures the offset distance like what would 1.04 mean or 1.20, I watched that video that was posted and the guy talked about Sunderland, do other dogs from other tracks feed into the racing at that track
Yes T tacker all races are free to watch on Racing Post Greyhound Bet - well nearly all, as a way to stop the campaigners who want to have it banned they leave out races with fallers or injuries. At the Races has a greyhound channel throughout the day on their website which covers most UK tracks. There are a few that are on SIS but I don't know if you can watch those on the internet other than through bookmakers, some you need a bet with but William Hills usually show them in a seperate greyhound channel.Answer there is via Racing Post, Archive results.
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raw data for newcastle 2026If you can give me one track in a csv or xl file just a years worth of races I'll do my TV's and times adjust so you can get a baseline
this is what my ratings program came up with for 2026 newcastle, be very interested to see how you evaluate what my program Has done if you have the time W woof43, the ratings are called NATIONAL as they are supposed to be calibrated with other tracks nationallyIf you can give me one track in a csv or xl file just a years worth of races I'll do my TV's and times adjust so you can get a baseline
There are a few that are on SIS but I don't know if you can watch those on the internet other than through bookmakers
www.sisracing.tv