• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

I did it my way

430 WOLVERHAMPTON
coral.co.uk Mobile Casino Handicap (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-80)

been looking back on all my records,of doing this method and while have bben happy with results,it was interesting to see that my most profitable area was class 4 aw handicaps,especially when dutching OR level stakes when prices allow form horse and speed horse if just 1 qualifier in each section.
so will post
class 4 aw hcaps
and any other class 3 and above that fit the bill


HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
BRIMSTONE HILL67729%931YY272
NOBLE JACK5988*20%821YY588
DAKOTA CANYON7789*11%1043YY489
DAZZLING VALENTINE67759%1525YY275
HONEY OF A KITTEN234915%2136__049
FORM HORSE/NOBLE JACK
SPEED HORSE/DAKOTA CANYON

prices 4.4 & 8 at time of posting
 
Taff
Any chance you can add the number of runners to the race data at the top of your post?
Can be used as another filter when reviewing the past results. :drinks:
 
315 SOUTHWELL

Win More On Betting At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-95)
9 RUNNERS


HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
NAZREEF307122%2073YY271
KICKING THE LILLY7994*29%1726YY594
DOCKOFTHEBAY729710%17111YY497
FORM HORSE / KICKINGTHELILLY
SPEEDHORSE / DOCOFTHEBAY



430 AYR

Money Back On Madrid With BetVictor Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-140)

9 RUNNERS


HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
YES TOM2536*20%943_Y336
PREMIER SAGAS72122*17%1239YY3122
CHARINGWORTH549311%1257YY393
RICH LORD819111%829YY391
ALANARD527815%828Y_278
FORM HORSE / NO CLEAR HORSE 4 TIED ON 3 STARS
SPEED HORSE / PREMIER SAGAS


1 POINT WIN ON EACH OF 3 NAMED SELECTIONS @ BFSP
 
Taff
Thanks mate.
Will go with Kickingthelily & Premier Sagas today.
Good luck for today and thanks for posting. :handgestures-thumbup:
 
NO probs dicko going to try and keep records of results on here brokedown by hurdles / chase / aw / flat not great yesterday but only 1 point lost as form wouldnt go in stalls so we will never know if it ewould of won.Have you read number 19 in the gummy archive thread,maxs evaluating form found it interesting,will try and look at some races to narrow fields down today
 
Hello Taff!
Like you analysis, I had some success with the Sad Ken method focusing on horses that appeared in top form + speed and career best speed fig lto.
One i remember stood out at a very good price was Attaglance at 20s.
The Max form method using the RPRS I found works best in the lower class races,class 4,5 as seem to get more variance in the RPRS achieved.
I do not have any figures but I had a really good run on the flat when the going was good to firm,the RPRS that work best are the ones that appear within the formlines as they are unajusted.
A little while back I used the method on a A.W race, Another citizen was by far the best horse,all the field needed a career best effort to get close apart from Hamoody who had scored a best RPR in class 4 and shown signs of revival. Hamoody won 14s-backed to 4s-Another citizen 2nd so a good forecast was quite easily found with that method of form reading.
 
cheers formtheory

the RPRS that work best are the ones that appear within the formlines as they are unajusted

do u mean the six under the horses name on the race card,
 
Hi taff

If you click on the OR under the race and then hover your mouse over each fig, the unadjusted RPR can be found there.
 
NICE WINNER IN DOCOFTHEBAY @ 13 BFSP
RESULTS SINCE 11/2/13
SPEED HORSES 3RUNNERS 1 WINNER +11
FORM HORSE 1 RUNNER 0 WINNERS -1
AW 3 RUNNERS 1 WINNER +11
CHASE 1 RUNNER 0 WINNERS -1
 
13/2/13 SELECTION

340 MUSSELBURGH
CMYK Digital Solutions Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-135)
8 RUNNERS


HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
ULTIMATE100126*15%2157YY3126*
RUMBLE OF THUNDER98123*13%2270YY4123*
ANNAS ARCH84132*25%519YY5132*
FORM HORSE,SPEED HORSE / ANNAS ARCH


350 SOUTHWELL

Claim Free Bets Today At Bookmakers Handicap (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)
8 RUNNERS


HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
LOYALTY4992*24%1445YY592*
CHOOKIE AVON839012%921YY390
THE LOCK MASTER537011%2135YY270
COOPERWOOD588014%2124YY280
FORM HORSE/SPEED HORSE LOYALTY

NAMED HOSES 1 POINT WIN @ BFSP
 
tafflizgreg said:
NO probs dicko going to try and keep records of results on here brokedown by hurdles / chase / aw / flat not great yesterday but only 1 point lost as form wouldnt go in stalls so we will never know if it ewould of won.Have you read number 19 in the gummy archive thread,maxs evaluating form found it interesting,will try and look at some races to narrow fields down today

Just re-read it Taff.
As long as the relative form has :handgestures-thumbup: proven class it's a good way to break a race down.
 
dicko14 said:
tafflizgreg said:
NO probs dicko going to try and keep records of results on here brokedown by hurdles / chase / aw / flat not great yesterday but only 1 point lost as form wouldnt go in stalls so we will never know if it ewould of won.Have you read number 19 in the gummy archive thread,maxs evaluating form found it interesting,will try and look at some races to narrow fields down today

Just re-read it Taff.
As long as the relative form has :handgestures-thumbup: proven class it's a good way to break a race down.


see u picked the 2 that didnt win today sods law
 
tafflizgreg said:
cheers formtheory

the RPRS that work best are the ones that appear within the formlines as they are unajusted

do u mean the six under the horses name on the race card,

Are these figures unadjusted?

I always thought they were.
 
Hello all,

Looked at the 7.30 Kempton today and have in ar order murcan, the absent mark and rysbrock and that is the order i think they will finish in. I think murcan has a very good chance of winning but if it fails should still end up with a better finishing position than the other 2

h
 
16/2/13

400 LINGFIELD

Doug Grout 65th Birthday Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-100)
10 RUNNERS

HORSE2LTO SRLTO SRPROBABILITY = W/RFORMABILITY = WPM/WINSTOP 4 RPRBET F/CTOTALSPEED FIG
ATLANTIS CROSSING104108*25%624YY3108*
GEORGE GURU75103*19%1067YY3103*
SOLAR DIETY869033%567YY390
RAKAAAN9110012%12147Y_2100
WEBBOW809912%1184YY299
ALFRED HUTCHINSON8597*36%950YY497*
VERSE OF LOVE868724%1892Y_187
LORD OF THE SHADOWS889111%1654Y_191
FORM HORSE / AFFRED HUTCHINSON
SPEED HORSE / ATLANTIC CROSSING


1 POINT ON EACH AT BFSP
 
the 2.50 donc

first 6 and equals in the betting

swing bill......................155.........15.........619..........140.........151...........76
montery tutkety..............125.........11..........64..........139..........151...........76
dashing george...............164..........6.........156..........124..........150...........72
marafu........................152..........6..........125..........145..........152...........77
zitenka........................144..........15.........115..........142..........153..........70
corkage........................143.........21..........116..........143..........153..........78

colm 1......best topspeed adjusted to 12st
colm 2......consistencey
colm 3......lto class of race money wise
colm 4......topspeed
colm 5......rpr
colm 6......daily mail rating

after ranking and pointing

swing bill........................80
monkerty tunkerty.............70
dashing george.................77
marufu...........................83
zitenka...........................73
aurora,s encore.................72
corkage..........................76

marufu.........83
swing bill.......80

i,ll go with the top rated here but we must take it that it is ready after a long break.....Les
 
unlucky les how do u get to these figures below


after ranking and pointing

swing bill........................80
monkerty tunkerty.............70
dashing george.................77
marufu...........................83
zitenka...........................73
aurora,s encore.................72
corkage..........................76

thanks
taff
 
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