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Unexposed 3 year olds

greyabbey

greyabbey

Colt
I'm going to try something new here. I'm happy to share more details privately with anybody who engages with the forum regularly (general questions welcome here, obviously!). But in general, I'm focusing on 3 year olds running in 3yo+ races. I've coded a few things to run a definition I've put together of whether they're unexposed, and then some other criteria based on ratings I've put together. Qualifiers are any horse who ranks top of my ratings and who meets my criteria for unexposed.

I'd expect a few qualifiers most days. I'll not set any odds limits for now but might gradually remove those that are very, very short. As ever, 1pt win to BSP. I might not be in a position to update the results each day.
 
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good time to start such a thread 3yo's are starting to dominate all aged handicaps, yesterday there was a race with 2 3yo's finished 1st and 2nd , there were 3 of them in the 2.00 in Brighton brought up a £678 tricast, they really do have an advantage this time of year
 
Agreed O Outlander. It generally gets busy from about now in terms of runners, peaking in September as the all weather ones become more prominent too.
Obviously, that's useless if you're just picking winners that the market has identified, so I'm hoping my coding of ratings will provide something different. We'll see...
 
Musselburgh, 15:30: Tadreeb
Thirsk, 16:30: Plastic Paddy
Bath, 19:55: Lisdarragh

I expect I'll definitely start to have a minimum odds requirement when I post these. Goes against my very core to back some of these prices in handicaps. A bit like when a pint first cost more than £3...
 
Bumper day.

HAYDOCK
13:00 Sound Reason
15:20 Fools Rush In

NEWBURY
19:53 Crazy Luck

YARMOUTH
13:45 Johnny Boom
14:55 Electric Love
16:05 Semper Augustus
16:40 Lowndes Square
17:10 Brazen Arrow
 
newcomer said:
Nice start. Sound Reason's jockey appears to mistake the winning post and stops riding while holding every chance...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1410572083038404611
(20 seconds in)
Click to expand...
Yep... I'm sure you are right there. Standing in the stirrups allowing the horse to coast isn't exactly the best tactic in a close finish. I've had a lot of poor rides and goof ups lately but the steward's never seem to get involved these days unless it involves the winner, consequently standards generally are falling IMHO.
 
All 1pt win. I find it works out in the long run (though plenty of examples will prove me wrong).
Travelled well enough but ran accordingly. Disappointing so far but it's very early days.
 
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