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The Draw System...

paulb164

Colt
Always on the look out for new betting angles on the world wide web, and came across this nugget - was wondering if any of the forum had tried it and to what success ?


The DRAW SYSTEM
  • First you choose 2 matches you are absolutely certain of the result (like a Barcelona, Arsenal, Manchester, Chelsea or Sevilla win), the odds don’t matter, the only thing that matters is that you are sure of your choice (the odds won’t be so high if you choose favourites but it is the best way to get winning bets).
  • And then you bet about 10 accumulators with those 2 matches as bankers and a draw (so it’s all 3-fold-accumulators with the two favourites and a draw),
  • Choose your draws in leagues where there are many like the French Ligue 2.
Here’s a simple example with no team name, just figures:
– First favourite @ 1.3
– Second favourite @ 1.3
– 10 * draws @ 3.5
Which gives you 10 accumulators @ 5.92.

So if one of your favourites don’t win, you lose 100% If your favourites win but there is no draw among the 10 predicted draw matches, you lose 100% If there is 1 draw, you lose 40.8%. If there are 2 draws, you already win 18.4%
If there are 3 draws, you win 77.6%
If there are 4 draws, you win 136.8%
If there are 5 draws, you win 196%
If there are 6 draws, you win 255.2%
If there are 7 draws, you win 314.4%
If there are 8 draws, you win 373.6%
If there are 9 draws, you win 432.8%
If there are 10 draws, you win 492%.

Of course it is difficult to find more than 3 draws, but 3 is really possible and gives you nice profit.
 
Always on the look out for new betting angles on the world wide web, and came across this nugget - was wondering if any of the forum had tried it and to what success ?


The DRAW SYSTEM
  • First you choose 2 matches you are absolutely certain of the result (like a Barcelona, Arsenal, Manchester, Chelsea or Sevilla win), the odds don’t matter, the only thing that matters is that you are sure of your choice (the odds won’t be so high if you choose favourites but it is the best way to get winning bets).
  • And then you bet about 10 accumulators with those 2 matches as bankers and a draw (so it’s all 3-fold-accumulators with the two favourites and a draw),
  • Choose your draws in leagues where there are many like the French Ligue 2.
Here’s a simple example with no team name, just figures:
– First favourite @ 1.3
– Second favourite @ 1.3
– 10 * draws @ 3.5
Which gives you 10 accumulators @ 5.92.

So if one of your favourites don’t win, you lose 100% If your favourites win but there is no draw among the 10 predicted draw matches, you lose 100% If there is 1 draw, you lose 40.8%. If there are 2 draws, you already win 18.4%
If there are 3 draws, you win 77.6%
If there are 4 draws, you win 136.8%
If there are 5 draws, you win 196%
If there are 6 draws, you win 255.2%
If there are 7 draws, you win 314.4%
If there are 8 draws, you win 373.6%
If there are 9 draws, you win 432.8%
If there are 10 draws, you win 492%.

Of course it is difficult to find more than 3 draws, but 3 is really possible and gives you nice profit.
Hi its a nice idea but your favs are most certainly odds on / try recalcing on two odds on fav - the bookies have really nailed the football odds over last few years - 4 years ago this strategy worked but times change and the premiership odds are cut to bits . Three draws can be found but its hard to do consistently and thats where the damage to profits is done - good luck I will watch with interest if you start up. The foreign football is not some thing I have ever looked at but sounds interesting if kept to higher European leagues .
 
It was an intriguing plan... not sure if I want to have a crack at it at this time of year, although there are a few leagues out there at the moment which could be good for the draws (Brazilian Serie A and B, Finland Veikkausliiga, the Russian leagues, etc) due to their low-to-medium league goal averages. I just wanted to see if anyone had given it a try in the past (or currently uses it) and if it had any degree of success.
 
Also worth noting... the 2 bankers don't necessarily need to be in the win market - they could just as easily be a goal market, or something else. They just appear for the sake of the plan to need odds of 1.35+. This means if you had a decent U/O 2.5 goal plan for instance, you could use that as your 2 bankers... and will be at improved odds as well - that in itself might reduce the need to achieve 2 draws to 1 draw to dip into a profit !
 
This system intrigues me, so I've pushed the boat out and blown a hefty £5 across all 10 accas (10 x 25p per treble) to see if it works.

I did a bit of research to identify various people's methods to find a draw, and I settled on a combination of low-scoring expected games (under 2.5 goal market is under 1.65), and where the odds on the home and away teams are both below 3.0 making the 2 teams evenly matched in punters' eyes.

It was difficult to pick any 'banker' bets for this weekend, so it might all fall down on that alone. Here's my choices (presuming my bankers do win, the odds following the draw picks are what that treble will pay out if that draw also wins);

74517

Fingers crossed !
 
I guess that this isn't just now about seeing if the system has any success in it, but also whether I can work out a good way to identify 10 draws !
 
Well, I think I can draw a line under this one... it's a labour-intensive affair and my whole plan went up in smoke because of one of my bankers not coming in. Plus, 5 of the draw games played with none coming in with a draw. I think I could have been a bit more selective with the bankers, but really foolishly used a bet from the result of another trial I have on this forum... should have just gone with a match result rather than an under 2.5 goal pick.
If I do get 3 or more draws for the other 5 unplayed games, then I might reconsider whether this is worthwhile continuing. :headbang:
 
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