Horseplayer
Gelding
mlmrob said:
Consistent going tends to be a big plus
Franktheform said:All exempt for the man utd avataronly kidding! Hands off bale though
If it weren't for Levy he'd be here already
Statting Island
- Thread starter mlmrob
- Start date
Consistent going tends to be a big plus
If it weren't for Levy he'd be here already
mlmrob
Sire
CARANBOLA 9.00 BEVERLEY
Caranbola is reunited with Silvestre De Sousa who is 3-4 on the mare and she drops into a 0-75 for the first time since she won off 75 over this course and distance in June last year. This is Caranbola’s track, 6-13, which improves to 6-9 when racing in 0-75. Her full record reads; 11271112. She was an unlucky second in this race two years ago and won it in 2010. She didn’t qualify for the race last year as she was rated 80. This race looks to have been the target.
Six Wives is one of five front runners in the race. She is on a long losing run but could be well handicapped. She hasn’t taken advantage of her mark of 71 with just a couple of placed efforts to her name but to be fair to the mare she has been running in a better grade than this. She is 7-20 in class 5 over 5f, won three of her last five. But, she has a lot of company for the lead tonight. She is well drawn and will run her race.
Miss Bunter has had a break and is most consistent on the all weather. She has just had the one run on turf, her racecourse debut. Both her wins were off marks of 58 and 64 in 0-60 and 0-65 and may find this a little too quick.
Oil Strike is 0-11 for Mick Easterby but he will win a race when Mick decides. Will it be tonight? The horse is 0-24 on turf and has only ever placed once on good to firm from 8 attempts. They have been fiddling around with tactics, he usually leads but he has been held up as well. On form, he shouldn’t win this.
Come On Dave is 0-11 on good or quicker ground and is 0-6 when returning to the track after a break of a month or more. He will have company up front.
Indian Trail is still mixing it at 13 years of age and won over this course and distance in September last year. The old boy will have this run to suit and if you take Kevin Stott’s claim into consideration, he should finish ahead of Caranbola. He has every chance but only one 13yo has ever won a 5f race from 60 attempts.
Mey Blossom is 3-9 at Beverley but she is still 4lbs higher than her last win here. She won off marks in the 70s in her pomp but she is nowhere near that sort of form now. She has lost her last 17 races when rated 60-65.
Just Like Heaven drops in grade but she is still 5lbs higher than her last win. She is 0-13 off marks above 64.
Master Rooney is another front runner who hasn’t won for two years. He is just 5lbs lower than his last win over this course and distance and is yet to show anything in three races for Geoff Harker. On a losing run of 15, it is difficult to envisage him halting his slide.
Conclusion: The 13yo Indian Trail could win this but I feel that he may well being targeted for a race next week in which he was beaten a neck last year or a repeat in the September race here. Mel Brittain has declared his intentions with the booking of DeSousa and the way the race will be run will suit Caranbola. She has an awful draw in 8 but De Sousa should be able to drop her in. None will be finishing faster and she should pick off his toiling rivals.
Caranbola is reunited with Silvestre De Sousa who is 3-4 on the mare and she drops into a 0-75 for the first time since she won off 75 over this course and distance in June last year. This is Caranbola’s track, 6-13, which improves to 6-9 when racing in 0-75. Her full record reads; 11271112. She was an unlucky second in this race two years ago and won it in 2010. She didn’t qualify for the race last year as she was rated 80. This race looks to have been the target.
Six Wives is one of five front runners in the race. She is on a long losing run but could be well handicapped. She hasn’t taken advantage of her mark of 71 with just a couple of placed efforts to her name but to be fair to the mare she has been running in a better grade than this. She is 7-20 in class 5 over 5f, won three of her last five. But, she has a lot of company for the lead tonight. She is well drawn and will run her race.
Miss Bunter has had a break and is most consistent on the all weather. She has just had the one run on turf, her racecourse debut. Both her wins were off marks of 58 and 64 in 0-60 and 0-65 and may find this a little too quick.
Oil Strike is 0-11 for Mick Easterby but he will win a race when Mick decides. Will it be tonight? The horse is 0-24 on turf and has only ever placed once on good to firm from 8 attempts. They have been fiddling around with tactics, he usually leads but he has been held up as well. On form, he shouldn’t win this.
Come On Dave is 0-11 on good or quicker ground and is 0-6 when returning to the track after a break of a month or more. He will have company up front.
Indian Trail is still mixing it at 13 years of age and won over this course and distance in September last year. The old boy will have this run to suit and if you take Kevin Stott’s claim into consideration, he should finish ahead of Caranbola. He has every chance but only one 13yo has ever won a 5f race from 60 attempts.
Mey Blossom is 3-9 at Beverley but she is still 4lbs higher than her last win here. She won off marks in the 70s in her pomp but she is nowhere near that sort of form now. She has lost her last 17 races when rated 60-65.
Just Like Heaven drops in grade but she is still 5lbs higher than her last win. She is 0-13 off marks above 64.
Master Rooney is another front runner who hasn’t won for two years. He is just 5lbs lower than his last win over this course and distance and is yet to show anything in three races for Geoff Harker. On a losing run of 15, it is difficult to envisage him halting his slide.
Conclusion: The 13yo Indian Trail could win this but I feel that he may well being targeted for a race next week in which he was beaten a neck last year or a repeat in the September race here. Mel Brittain has declared his intentions with the booking of DeSousa and the way the race will be run will suit Caranbola. She has an awful draw in 8 but De Sousa should be able to drop her in. None will be finishing faster and she should pick off his toiling rivals.
Horseplayer
Gelding
Gibbons riding for Mick stats are quite interesting.
166 rides on turf since the start of 2011
17 Wins for a return of 179.5 at SP
The interesting bit is 16 rides on clear Favs and not 1 winner
166 rides on turf since the start of 2011
17 Wins for a return of 179.5 at SP
The interesting bit is 16 rides on clear Favs and not 1 winner
mlmrob
Sire
ANGELITO 4.00 CATTERICK
Angelito was very unlucky last time. He was just about to make his move when the saddle slipped and his jockey lost his irons. The fact the winner didn’t pull away at this stage is down to the horse and he stayed on just to be beaten 1l by Blanc De Chine. The handicapper has put him up 2lbs to 80 for his effort. He was previously sixth at Redcar and once again spoilt his chance with a slow start. He made good headway and was first home of those drawn low. The winner and second have subsequently won, the winner off 5lbs higher in a class 3 and the second won off 4lbs higher in a class 4 before placing off 9lbs higher in a class 3. He has only ever been out of the frame once, arguably his best form when sixth, from 8 starts. This will be run to suit. Ed McMahon is in form and he won this race in 2007 with a horse with a similar profile.
Sunrise Dance looks certain to lead but she steps up in grade here. She has never placed in four attempts at class 4 nor has she placed at Catterick from two races. She is 6lbs higher than her last win and she is 0-4 off marks 66-71.
Silvanus can sometimes lead and takes a drop in class here. He is 3lbs lower than his last win a year ago and has won over this course and distance. However, he is 0-5 when returning to the track inside 7 days and has never carried more than 9-7 to victory in a handicap, 0-9.
Economic Crisis has her own ideas about the game and can get herself worked up in the preliminaries. She needs slower ground as she is 0-18 on good or quicker. She has never placed in four runs at Catterick.
Chunky Diamond is 0-5 in class 4, never placed. He is still 4lbs higher than his last winning mark and though he won a class 2 nursery off a higher mark, he is nowhere near that sort of form now. He hasn’t looked at ease on sharp or undulating tracks.
Tango Sky can miss the break but if he doesn’t then he usually leads. He is 0-5 on good or quicker ground and 0-7 when returning after a month off. Franny Norton who rode him last time is on Angelito.
Lost In Paris won this race last year off 4lbs higher and is 3-8 over course and distance. However, 5 of his 6 wins have come inside 10 days of his last race whilst he is 1-38 at any other time. He should run well.
Towbee is 0-10 on good or quicker, never placing, and has never placed in a handicap when carrying more than 9-5.
Conclusion: This looks to be between Angelito and Lost In Paris. There should be enough pace in the race for both to aim at but the relatively unexposed Angelito looks the answer. Angelito beat Lost In Paris 8ls at Thirsk in June and Lost In Paris is only 3lbs better off today. Chunky Diamond was picking up litter on his way round in last place. He is 12lbs better off with Angelito but his profile suggests he can’t win.
Angelito was very unlucky last time. He was just about to make his move when the saddle slipped and his jockey lost his irons. The fact the winner didn’t pull away at this stage is down to the horse and he stayed on just to be beaten 1l by Blanc De Chine. The handicapper has put him up 2lbs to 80 for his effort. He was previously sixth at Redcar and once again spoilt his chance with a slow start. He made good headway and was first home of those drawn low. The winner and second have subsequently won, the winner off 5lbs higher in a class 3 and the second won off 4lbs higher in a class 4 before placing off 9lbs higher in a class 3. He has only ever been out of the frame once, arguably his best form when sixth, from 8 starts. This will be run to suit. Ed McMahon is in form and he won this race in 2007 with a horse with a similar profile.
Sunrise Dance looks certain to lead but she steps up in grade here. She has never placed in four attempts at class 4 nor has she placed at Catterick from two races. She is 6lbs higher than her last win and she is 0-4 off marks 66-71.
Silvanus can sometimes lead and takes a drop in class here. He is 3lbs lower than his last win a year ago and has won over this course and distance. However, he is 0-5 when returning to the track inside 7 days and has never carried more than 9-7 to victory in a handicap, 0-9.
Economic Crisis has her own ideas about the game and can get herself worked up in the preliminaries. She needs slower ground as she is 0-18 on good or quicker. She has never placed in four runs at Catterick.
Chunky Diamond is 0-5 in class 4, never placed. He is still 4lbs higher than his last winning mark and though he won a class 2 nursery off a higher mark, he is nowhere near that sort of form now. He hasn’t looked at ease on sharp or undulating tracks.
Tango Sky can miss the break but if he doesn’t then he usually leads. He is 0-5 on good or quicker ground and 0-7 when returning after a month off. Franny Norton who rode him last time is on Angelito.
Lost In Paris won this race last year off 4lbs higher and is 3-8 over course and distance. However, 5 of his 6 wins have come inside 10 days of his last race whilst he is 1-38 at any other time. He should run well.
Towbee is 0-10 on good or quicker, never placing, and has never placed in a handicap when carrying more than 9-5.
Conclusion: This looks to be between Angelito and Lost In Paris. There should be enough pace in the race for both to aim at but the relatively unexposed Angelito looks the answer. Angelito beat Lost In Paris 8ls at Thirsk in June and Lost In Paris is only 3lbs better off today. Chunky Diamond was picking up litter on his way round in last place. He is 12lbs better off with Angelito but his profile suggests he can’t win.
mlmrob
Sire
TAROOQ 6.30 YORK
Tarooq is rated 100 on the all weather and his last three turf runs have seen his turf rating drop from 90 to 80. He has raced against 3yos in 3yo+ handicaps and run well without being dangerous. He races off 80 today in a 0-80 against 4yo+. He carried 9-11 in a better race last time and has 4lbs less to shoulder. Stuart Williams has won with 3 of his last 6 runners though is 0-18 in handicaps at York. Tarooq holds an entry in the Sky Bet Dash tomorrow but this is the easiest opposition he has faced for some time. The 14/1 available looks good value.
Tarooq is rated 100 on the all weather and his last three turf runs have seen his turf rating drop from 90 to 80. He has raced against 3yos in 3yo+ handicaps and run well without being dangerous. He races off 80 today in a 0-80 against 4yo+. He carried 9-11 in a better race last time and has 4lbs less to shoulder. Stuart Williams has won with 3 of his last 6 runners though is 0-18 in handicaps at York. Tarooq holds an entry in the Sky Bet Dash tomorrow but this is the easiest opposition he has faced for some time. The 14/1 available looks good value.
mlmrob
Sire
ALJAMAAHEER 3.05 GOODWOOD
Aljamaaheer brings the best form to the table here. Third in the Lockinge he then went onto Royal Ascot where he finished second to Declaration Of War and finished ahead of Elusive Kate. That form alone is very strong considering Declaration Of War went on to finish second to Al Kazeem in the Eclipse. Elusive Kate went on to beat Sky Lantern in the Falmouth before winning the Rothschild at Deauville on Sunday. He is 4lbs worse off with Producer from their meeting at Leicester earlier this season but he is officially rated 5lbs better. Horses carrying a Group 2 penalty are 2-7 in this race. I think it is significant that Varian and Hamdan Al Maktoum have swerved taking on Dawn Approach in the Sussex Stakes for this easier assignment.
Producer is a live danger but he is going to have to improve to match Aljameeheer. He won the Criterion last time which on official figures he was entitled to do. However, on a line through Gregorian he can’t beat Aljamaheer this afternoon. He will have to run well as his main target is the Group 1 Prix De la Foret in October.
Garswood probably run to his mark in the Jersey Stakes and his official figure suggests he is 5lbs inferior to Aljamaaheer. He is by Dutch Art, as is Producer and Caspar Netscher, and Caspar is the only one of Dutch Art’s progeny to win a Group 1 or 2. 2-22. Six have placed though.
Fencing is 0-6 in Group races, never placing.
Professor fits a similar profile to Hannon’s previous winners of this race but this is a big step up in grade. Every one of the last 10 winners of this race had finished first or second in a group race, something Professor has yet to do.
Caspar Netscher returns to the track after firing blanks at stud. He won the Greenham after a break but it is a big ask to have him ready for this. Simcock is 0-28 with horses returning after a break of 300 days or more.
Krypton Factor is a Group 1 winner in Meydan but he steps up to 7f for the first time here. He is by Kyllachy so he should stay but it is three years since Krypton Factor won on turf.
Pastoral Player can’t beat Producer or Fencing on these terms. He has gone close in a couple of Group 2s but his overall profile suggests he is better at a lower level. He has finished unplaced on all three runs he’s had at Goodwood.
Libranno hasn’t shown anything near the form that saw him win the Park Stakes at Doncaster last year. He was beaten 1.5ls in this last year and 2.5ls in 2011. He isn’t well drawn here.
Boom and Bust and Monsieur Chevalier are here for their owners’ day out.
Conclusion: Aljamaheer comes here instead of running in the Sussex Stakes tomorrow. With Red Jazz coming out the pace may be affected. Boom And Bust looks certain to lead with the hard pulling Monsieur Chevalier. Producer likes to race prominently as does Professor and Libranno. That should set it up for Aljamaaheer who is the best horse on official figures and provided no rain gets in the ground he should win this.
Aljamaaheer brings the best form to the table here. Third in the Lockinge he then went onto Royal Ascot where he finished second to Declaration Of War and finished ahead of Elusive Kate. That form alone is very strong considering Declaration Of War went on to finish second to Al Kazeem in the Eclipse. Elusive Kate went on to beat Sky Lantern in the Falmouth before winning the Rothschild at Deauville on Sunday. He is 4lbs worse off with Producer from their meeting at Leicester earlier this season but he is officially rated 5lbs better. Horses carrying a Group 2 penalty are 2-7 in this race. I think it is significant that Varian and Hamdan Al Maktoum have swerved taking on Dawn Approach in the Sussex Stakes for this easier assignment.
Producer is a live danger but he is going to have to improve to match Aljameeheer. He won the Criterion last time which on official figures he was entitled to do. However, on a line through Gregorian he can’t beat Aljamaheer this afternoon. He will have to run well as his main target is the Group 1 Prix De la Foret in October.
Garswood probably run to his mark in the Jersey Stakes and his official figure suggests he is 5lbs inferior to Aljamaaheer. He is by Dutch Art, as is Producer and Caspar Netscher, and Caspar is the only one of Dutch Art’s progeny to win a Group 1 or 2. 2-22. Six have placed though.
Fencing is 0-6 in Group races, never placing.
Professor fits a similar profile to Hannon’s previous winners of this race but this is a big step up in grade. Every one of the last 10 winners of this race had finished first or second in a group race, something Professor has yet to do.
Caspar Netscher returns to the track after firing blanks at stud. He won the Greenham after a break but it is a big ask to have him ready for this. Simcock is 0-28 with horses returning after a break of 300 days or more.
Krypton Factor is a Group 1 winner in Meydan but he steps up to 7f for the first time here. He is by Kyllachy so he should stay but it is three years since Krypton Factor won on turf.
Pastoral Player can’t beat Producer or Fencing on these terms. He has gone close in a couple of Group 2s but his overall profile suggests he is better at a lower level. He has finished unplaced on all three runs he’s had at Goodwood.
Libranno hasn’t shown anything near the form that saw him win the Park Stakes at Doncaster last year. He was beaten 1.5ls in this last year and 2.5ls in 2011. He isn’t well drawn here.
Boom and Bust and Monsieur Chevalier are here for their owners’ day out.
Conclusion: Aljamaheer comes here instead of running in the Sussex Stakes tomorrow. With Red Jazz coming out the pace may be affected. Boom And Bust looks certain to lead with the hard pulling Monsieur Chevalier. Producer likes to race prominently as does Professor and Libranno. That should set it up for Aljamaaheer who is the best horse on official figures and provided no rain gets in the ground he should win this.
Chesham
Sire
Hi Mlrob
Looks like button the pockets for this meeting, judging by the latest photo from the course (see link)
https://twitter.com/leemottershead/stat ... 12/photo/1
Good Luck
Chesham
Looks like button the pockets for this meeting, judging by the latest photo from the course (see link)
https://twitter.com/leemottershead/stat ... 12/photo/1
Good Luck
Chesham
mlmrob
Sire
SECRET ADVICE 2.20 DONCASTER
Secret Advice has been most consistent in 5f handicaps this season, 591121. That improves to 1121 when the going is good to firm. The ground is currently good with good to firm places but it is forecast to be 24 degrees in Doncaster today with a decent breeze so the ground should be sufficiently dry enough come race time. Secret Advice beat stablemate Salvatore Fury last time and she is clearly progressive. She is now 13lbs higher than when she won off 56 earlier in the season. However, her record when she is in the top two of the weights over 5f reads WW from two races. Keith Dalgleish sends her on her own and his record when sending one horse to Doncaster reads 2-9, 3-14 overall. However, that record improves to 1212 when the horse is single figure odds, 12121 overall.
Green Monkey looks the likely jolly. He has been dropped back to 5f on his last two runs and has improved. He won a 0-60 before looking a tad unlucky in a 0-65 when second to Blessing Box. Fanshawe is 18-76 when sending one horse to Doncaster. They generally run well but it is two years and eleven runners since one won. He holds a 20% strike rate with all runners at the track and 8 have run here this season, all losing.
Different looks sure to improve on her debut in a handicap at Newcastle in June. However, she is by Bahamian Bounty whose progeny generally need the run after a break of 60 days or more, 63-964. The yard are quiet even though Moviesta won the other day, Smart is just 2-45 in the last month though the stable do well with her family, 11-47 with 3yos.
Friendship Is Love has had just the one run and the handicapper has given her a mark of 56. She won her maiden over 6f needing plenty of driving so she is going to find this tough. She is by Byron who is 1-35 with his progeny on this track. Elsworth is 0-27 stretching back to early June.
Conclusion: The betting this morning suggests this is between four but it is likely to concern the top two in the market. This looks like the last opportunity for Secret Advice to race in this grade before having to move up. She should be in front rank throughout and is taken to improve her trainer’s record here.
PINTURA 3.10 GALWAY
Pintura has followed a similar route to last year. He run in the better Topaz Mile over 8f before dropping back to 7f and taking this. He is 7lbs higher than his win last year and 1lb lower than his win at York. He has conditions to suit. Kevin Ryan is 2-3 in this race with the loss a 4th of 16. Cash Or Casualty looks to be the only front runner in the race and he should be able to track that horse before making his move. He should be thereabouts.
DON PADEJA 8.00 LINGFIELD
Don Padeja looks certain to improve now he is in a handicap. He is by Dansili whose progeny do well over 12f on the polytrack, 3-7 in 2013. However, his trainer, Luca Cumani is in sublime form at present with 7 of his last 15 runners winning, 7-12 at single figure odds. Four of the last six 3yo maidens Cumani has saddled in a handicap have won and he does well with this family, 12-43.
Kastini is the danger and his win last time in a weaker event has been franked by the second winning. He was previously third to Debdebdeb and that horse has franked the form by placing in a class 2 and winning a class 3 off 10lbs higher. Fallon is 4-8 for Coakley on horses that are first or second favourite in the betting. However, Kastini is 8lbs higher here in a better race against a fully unexposed sort and he will have to improve more than that if he is take this.
Slip Of The Tongue was favourite for his last two handicaps but he has shown nothing. He has been fractious in the preliminaries and is a big imposing gelding. Might not be suited by this track. His fourth behind Duchess Of Gazely has been franked with that horse winning again off 8lbs higher. This is right on the edge of the maximum distance the progeny of Zamindar want to travel on the flat and it is most likely he’ll be heading for the sales and will end up hurdling this winter.
Conclusion: There is no pace in this race and Slip Of The Tongue could be forced to make it as he pulls hard. Queally should settle Don Padeja just off the pace and it could be he is very well in here off 68.
Secret Advice has been most consistent in 5f handicaps this season, 591121. That improves to 1121 when the going is good to firm. The ground is currently good with good to firm places but it is forecast to be 24 degrees in Doncaster today with a decent breeze so the ground should be sufficiently dry enough come race time. Secret Advice beat stablemate Salvatore Fury last time and she is clearly progressive. She is now 13lbs higher than when she won off 56 earlier in the season. However, her record when she is in the top two of the weights over 5f reads WW from two races. Keith Dalgleish sends her on her own and his record when sending one horse to Doncaster reads 2-9, 3-14 overall. However, that record improves to 1212 when the horse is single figure odds, 12121 overall.
Green Monkey looks the likely jolly. He has been dropped back to 5f on his last two runs and has improved. He won a 0-60 before looking a tad unlucky in a 0-65 when second to Blessing Box. Fanshawe is 18-76 when sending one horse to Doncaster. They generally run well but it is two years and eleven runners since one won. He holds a 20% strike rate with all runners at the track and 8 have run here this season, all losing.
Different looks sure to improve on her debut in a handicap at Newcastle in June. However, she is by Bahamian Bounty whose progeny generally need the run after a break of 60 days or more, 63-964. The yard are quiet even though Moviesta won the other day, Smart is just 2-45 in the last month though the stable do well with her family, 11-47 with 3yos.
Friendship Is Love has had just the one run and the handicapper has given her a mark of 56. She won her maiden over 6f needing plenty of driving so she is going to find this tough. She is by Byron who is 1-35 with his progeny on this track. Elsworth is 0-27 stretching back to early June.
Conclusion: The betting this morning suggests this is between four but it is likely to concern the top two in the market. This looks like the last opportunity for Secret Advice to race in this grade before having to move up. She should be in front rank throughout and is taken to improve her trainer’s record here.
PINTURA 3.10 GALWAY
Pintura has followed a similar route to last year. He run in the better Topaz Mile over 8f before dropping back to 7f and taking this. He is 7lbs higher than his win last year and 1lb lower than his win at York. He has conditions to suit. Kevin Ryan is 2-3 in this race with the loss a 4th of 16. Cash Or Casualty looks to be the only front runner in the race and he should be able to track that horse before making his move. He should be thereabouts.
DON PADEJA 8.00 LINGFIELD
Don Padeja looks certain to improve now he is in a handicap. He is by Dansili whose progeny do well over 12f on the polytrack, 3-7 in 2013. However, his trainer, Luca Cumani is in sublime form at present with 7 of his last 15 runners winning, 7-12 at single figure odds. Four of the last six 3yo maidens Cumani has saddled in a handicap have won and he does well with this family, 12-43.
Kastini is the danger and his win last time in a weaker event has been franked by the second winning. He was previously third to Debdebdeb and that horse has franked the form by placing in a class 2 and winning a class 3 off 10lbs higher. Fallon is 4-8 for Coakley on horses that are first or second favourite in the betting. However, Kastini is 8lbs higher here in a better race against a fully unexposed sort and he will have to improve more than that if he is take this.
Slip Of The Tongue was favourite for his last two handicaps but he has shown nothing. He has been fractious in the preliminaries and is a big imposing gelding. Might not be suited by this track. His fourth behind Duchess Of Gazely has been franked with that horse winning again off 8lbs higher. This is right on the edge of the maximum distance the progeny of Zamindar want to travel on the flat and it is most likely he’ll be heading for the sales and will end up hurdling this winter.
Conclusion: There is no pace in this race and Slip Of The Tongue could be forced to make it as he pulls hard. Queally should settle Don Padeja just off the pace and it could be he is very well in here off 68.
mlmrob
Sire
Hi Chesham, not off last night. Thanksfor your input, always appreciated.
ROSIE REBEL 4.55 NEWBURY
Rae Guest has an excellent record with 3yo fillies in class 5. Since the start of 2012 with horses starting at single figure odds his record reads 15-35, 4-7 in 2013. Chris Catlin has been on board 15 of them winning on 8, 3-5 in 2013.
The form of her third to Goodwood Mirage is very strong considering, Goodwood Mirage went on to be fourth to Maputo in a class 2 off 7lbs higher and second in a class 3 at Goodwood last week. Second was Persepolis who won a maiden by 12ls and fourth was Sennockian Star who has since win 4 the latest off 14lbs higher.
Thanksfor your input, always appreciated.ROSIE REBEL 4.55 NEWBURY
Rae Guest has an excellent record with 3yo fillies in class 5. Since the start of 2012 with horses starting at single figure odds his record reads 15-35, 4-7 in 2013. Chris Catlin has been on board 15 of them winning on 8, 3-5 in 2013.
The form of her third to Goodwood Mirage is very strong considering, Goodwood Mirage went on to be fourth to Maputo in a class 2 off 7lbs higher and second in a class 3 at Goodwood last week. Second was Persepolis who won a maiden by 12ls and fourth was Sennockian Star who has since win 4 the latest off 14lbs higher.
mlmrob
Sire
SHARP SHOES 3.15 CATTERICK (Each Way)
Sharp Shoes doesn’t jump off the page crying to be backed but he may have been given a helping hand today. The ground at Catterick is soft with good to soft places but the amount of rain that fell yesterday was a lot more than 17mm they are reporting. When the going rides soft at Catterick it can pay to be drawn high. In 3yo+ handicaps of 11 or more runners the stats are interesting. From 17 races, 8 were won by a horse drawn in one of the outside four stalls, six of those were drawn widest of all.
Sharp Shoes hasn’t won for two years and now races off a 13lbs lower mark. He was well beaten on his last visit here in May. However, he run a cracker under this jockey last year over course and distance when 3rd to Rock On Candy. Seven horses have won from that race this season including the winner off 8lbs higher. He also has a fourth to Come On Dave over course and distance and the first three have won five between them this season. That was a particularly good run as Sharp Shoes was drawn 6 and the winner was drawn 11-11. Chris Wilson is 3-15 in 3yo+ handicaps over sprint distances at Catterick, 3-13 in class 6. It improves to 2-8 when Paddy Aspell rides with a further two placed.
Piste won the race last year, Tina Jackson’s last winner on the flat, and is well drawn but she is 0-25 on good or slower.
The likely jolly is Gottcher who has never placed in nine races on good or slower.
Quality Art is 0-9 on good or slower though he did place the other day on good to soft. He is 0-19 for Richard Guest.
Pavers Star won off 55 earlier this season and is 4lbs higher here. He is 0-6, never placed on good to soft or slower.
Wicked Wilma ran last night. She is well drawn but she is 0-10 on soft ground, has won on good to soft. She comes from a yard that couldn’t train ivy up a wall and Berry is currently on losing run of 50 stretching back to June
One Kool Dude is 1-28 and the win was on soft ground. He is 6lbs lower and has his second run for Neville Bycroft. First time blinkers may well perk him up and he could run well.
Sir Geoffrey will be popular but six of his eight wins have come on a straight track. He is just 2-28 going left handed and 0-5 on a turning track. He is 2-3 in class 6 on turf. He is well handicapped but Scott Dixon is 0-23 in the last month
Bird Dog is well drawn but has yet to place from seven races on turf.
Prignsov Dancer is 0-13 on good or slower.
Sophies Beau is 0-7 at this track and has won twice at Beverley. She has never placed in four races on soft ground. She is the only winner Michael Chapman has had on the flat this season, 1-21, and she is poorly drawn.
Robyn is a nine race maiden who has never placed.
Mystical Witch is a 16 race maiden who has placed once on the all-weather.
Conclusion: This is usually a race to put a big marker through and move on but such is the record of outside stalls on this ground, Sharp Shoes is worth an interest at 20/1. There is a lack of pacemakers in the race and if Sharp Shoes can get to the front, he may well not come back today. One Kool Dude and Sir Geoffrey look the most likely dangers.
Sharp Shoes doesn’t jump off the page crying to be backed but he may have been given a helping hand today. The ground at Catterick is soft with good to soft places but the amount of rain that fell yesterday was a lot more than 17mm they are reporting. When the going rides soft at Catterick it can pay to be drawn high. In 3yo+ handicaps of 11 or more runners the stats are interesting. From 17 races, 8 were won by a horse drawn in one of the outside four stalls, six of those were drawn widest of all.
Sharp Shoes hasn’t won for two years and now races off a 13lbs lower mark. He was well beaten on his last visit here in May. However, he run a cracker under this jockey last year over course and distance when 3rd to Rock On Candy. Seven horses have won from that race this season including the winner off 8lbs higher. He also has a fourth to Come On Dave over course and distance and the first three have won five between them this season. That was a particularly good run as Sharp Shoes was drawn 6 and the winner was drawn 11-11. Chris Wilson is 3-15 in 3yo+ handicaps over sprint distances at Catterick, 3-13 in class 6. It improves to 2-8 when Paddy Aspell rides with a further two placed.
Piste won the race last year, Tina Jackson’s last winner on the flat, and is well drawn but she is 0-25 on good or slower.
The likely jolly is Gottcher who has never placed in nine races on good or slower.
Quality Art is 0-9 on good or slower though he did place the other day on good to soft. He is 0-19 for Richard Guest.
Pavers Star won off 55 earlier this season and is 4lbs higher here. He is 0-6, never placed on good to soft or slower.
Wicked Wilma ran last night. She is well drawn but she is 0-10 on soft ground, has won on good to soft. She comes from a yard that couldn’t train ivy up a wall and Berry is currently on losing run of 50 stretching back to June
One Kool Dude is 1-28 and the win was on soft ground. He is 6lbs lower and has his second run for Neville Bycroft. First time blinkers may well perk him up and he could run well.
Sir Geoffrey will be popular but six of his eight wins have come on a straight track. He is just 2-28 going left handed and 0-5 on a turning track. He is 2-3 in class 6 on turf. He is well handicapped but Scott Dixon is 0-23 in the last month
Bird Dog is well drawn but has yet to place from seven races on turf.
Prignsov Dancer is 0-13 on good or slower.
Sophies Beau is 0-7 at this track and has won twice at Beverley. She has never placed in four races on soft ground. She is the only winner Michael Chapman has had on the flat this season, 1-21, and she is poorly drawn.
Robyn is a nine race maiden who has never placed.
Mystical Witch is a 16 race maiden who has placed once on the all-weather.
Conclusion: This is usually a race to put a big marker through and move on but such is the record of outside stalls on this ground, Sharp Shoes is worth an interest at 20/1. There is a lack of pacemakers in the race and if Sharp Shoes can get to the front, he may well not come back today. One Kool Dude and Sir Geoffrey look the most likely dangers.
mlmrob
Sire
CORPORAL MADDOX 4.10 BRIGHTON
With two front runners and a further seven that press the pace this should go the lone closer, Corporal Maddox. Corporal Maddox has run two cracking races in a hood. He has been 6th to Picture Dealer and then third to Picture Dealer. He can be counted a tad unlucky two runs back when he slept in the stalls and ran into a wall of horses and had to be switched. Noverre To Go was just ahead of him but with the brilliant Oisin Murphy’s claim he finds himself 8lbs better off for a couple of cigarette papers. His got to within 3/4l of Picture Dealer last time. Diman Waters and Bop It who were just behind him fought out a finish at Haydock yesterday. Ron Harris has won two of the last five runnings of this race and off a mark 8lbs lower than his last handicap win plus Murphy’s claim he is very well in here and he should pick this lot off.
With two front runners and a further seven that press the pace this should go the lone closer, Corporal Maddox. Corporal Maddox has run two cracking races in a hood. He has been 6th to Picture Dealer and then third to Picture Dealer. He can be counted a tad unlucky two runs back when he slept in the stalls and ran into a wall of horses and had to be switched. Noverre To Go was just ahead of him but with the brilliant Oisin Murphy’s claim he finds himself 8lbs better off for a couple of cigarette papers. His got to within 3/4l of Picture Dealer last time. Diman Waters and Bop It who were just behind him fought out a finish at Haydock yesterday. Ron Harris has won two of the last five runnings of this race and off a mark 8lbs lower than his last handicap win plus Murphy’s claim he is very well in here and he should pick this lot off.
Horseplayer
Gelding
May join you with a few shekels on this one Rob. Even without all the pace in the race, this is CD that tends to favour the holdy up types, 29 from the last 45 all age handicaps have gone to them.
Franktheform
Mare
Cheers Rob,
You cant trust them welsh boys lol!
Thanks as ever for your efforts really appreciated
Frank
You cant trust them welsh boys lol!
Thanks as ever for your efforts really appreciated
Frank