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Statting Island

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SHIKARPOUR 3.15 CHANTILLY (EACH WAY)

I have looked at the last ten French Derby winners and only three had a Dosage Index of 1.41 or higher and only one had a COD of 0.4 or higher. The 2003 and 2004 Derby’s were run over 12f before it moved to today’s distance of 10.5f. Taking those figures into consideration and applying them to this years field we are left with
Intello
Shikarpour
Msawish
Loch Garman
Sky Hunter
Bravo Dino
Max Dynamite
Beyond Thankful
Ares D’Emra
Willie The Whipper
Superplex
First Cornerstone.

In the last 22 years the winner has been trained in France 19 times.
In the last 10 years every winner was sired by a Group 1 winner.
In the last ten years every winner was born before April 21st.

That eliminates, Loch Garman, Beyond Thankful, First Cornerstone, Superplex, Willie The Whipper, Max Dynamite, Ares D’Emra, Msawish, Sky Hunter, Bravodino


That leaves two, Intello, Shikarpour.

Intello has a dosage index of 1.26 and a COD of 0.27
Shikarpour has a DI of 1.0 and a COD of 0.08

Shikarpour almost has the perfect dosage to win a classic and at his price he looks good each way value.

Intello is likely to go off favourite but they have won just two of the last ten.
 
POOLE HARBOUR 7.30 WINDSOR

Poole Harbour has only ever won two races and is 10lbs higher than the class 4 win at Folkestone. He has been running with credit in better races than this and has been a tad unlucky not to add to his score. Three runs back he was mugged by Nocturn over this 6f and Nocturn has since won and placed off 3lbs and 9lbs higher. He then went to Newmarket and was beaten 3ls by Hamza who won his next race off 7lbs higher. He had Hitchens 3ls behind him who went onto to win a Group 3 next time. On his last run he was just beaten by Hallelujah. The third was Seeking Magic who was beaten 2ls in a class 2 on Saturday. Pretty solid form. Moore takes over from Hughes as he’s on an enforced holiday but he has won on the horse. Richard Hannon has a 15% strike rate in handicaps at Windsor with a massive LSP of 109 points.

Tropics was impressive here last week and he steps up in grade here, average OR 79 to todays 91, and off 6lbs higher his task is somewhat more difficult yet he is forecast to be the same price. He clearly is improving and Fallon is 4-11 for this yard. He has conditions to suit and he could well dot up as it should be run to suit again with only one front runner in the field.

Dungannon is 4lbs lower than his win in a class 2 two years ago. He is a hold up horse and once again he is in a race that will not be run to suit him. He will get that pace in the Wokingham, a race he was beaten 2ls in last year. He is probably better over 5f, 1-15 over 6f and probably needs a bit of cut though he has won on good to firm.

Tioman Legend is 0-7 in handicaps and is 6lbs better off with Tropics for 0.5l beaten last time. In six races over 6f he has never placed.

Khubala is 10lbs higher than the race he won at Ffos Las last year on soft ground. He is 6lbs better off with Poole Harbour for just under 3ls from last time but the way this will be run won’t suit Khubala. He will probably want it a bit slower. Hugo Palmer has only had 4 winners from his last 100 runners though he is 2-8 at Windsor.

Steps has won six times of which five were over 5f. 1-8 over 6f. He is 0-14 off marks 90-95.

Lami Louis has won on his second run in both the last two seasons and looks primed again. He can lead but he sometimes sleeps in the stalls and if he sleeps he is done for. However, his record in class 3 reads 8-8-13 from just three races. He is 6lbs higher than winning a class 4 a year ago.

Harrison George last won in October 2010 and is on a losing run of 20. He should turn the tables on Poole Harbour, 6lbs better off for 2.5ls, but he is regressive as opposed to the progressive Poole Harbour. He had the Newbury race run to suit and he just weakened out of it. He is better over 7f, 2-22 over 6f and is 0-11 in the tongue tie.

Joe Packet is a false price due to being tipped by Hugh Taylor. He is still 4lbs higher than his win here two years ago and has lost all 12 races since. If he runs to his 2l 5th to Mince in the Group 3 Bengough Stakes last October, he would be on the premises. He has a good record on this track, 214, and he should run well but he is too short now.

Piscean is much better on sand than turf. Though he has won twice off a mark of 86, he has never placed off any mark higher, 0-15. 0-8 off 88.

Esprit De Midas is the second Ivory runner and has won after a break before. However, he is 0-10 in class 3 and has never won in a higher grade than class 4.

Spirit Of Sharjah hasn’t won on the turf for nearly three years but is 8lbs lower than that mark today. He is 0-9 over 6f.

B Fifty Two has never placed in a double figure field, 0-9. He won two races at a 2yo and tilted at windmills in his juvenile year. He hasn’t shown any aptitude for the game since. He probably needs to drop a few more pounds. John Hills is 4-64 in handicaps at Windsor.

Conclusion: Tactics will play a big part here. If Lami Louis gets away he should make the running, if he doesn’t then it will probably be the two principals who share the workload. Either way, there is no pace in the race and the closers are going to find it difficult to get involved. The betting market has this between Tropics, Poole Harbour, Dungannon and Tioman Legend. There are enough negatives about Dungannon and Tioman Legend to pass them over leaving Tropics and Poole Harbour. Both can win the race but Tropics has to prove he can handle the class. Poole Harbour is sure to give his running and one thing is for certain he should definitely get placed. However, not many are going get into the race he looks the most likely winner.
 
DUBAI DYNAMO 3.30 RIPON

Dubai Dynamo was made joint favourite for this race last year off a mark of 92 but the race was not run to suit and he kept on into fifth. Off 89 this year his chance is much better as there is pace in the race. Ruth Carr won this race in 2010 and 2011, with Dubai Dynamo in 2011. Dubai Dynamo has his ideal conditions and he must go close as there is something to aim at.

Frontier Fighter has had new tactics employed recently. Instead of making the running he has been held up without much success. He may revert to pace making today where he would get taken on for the lead. He finished just in front of Dubai Dynamo last time over course and distance and they meet on the same terms. Dubai Dynamo dwelt that day and with no pace he did well to get as close as he did. There is no guarantee Frontier Fighter will finish in front of him again. Frontier Fighter is lightly raced and can improve again but he has never encountered fast ground.

Ardmay won the race Frontier Fighter and Dubai Dynamo finished third and fourth in last time but he had the race run to suit and he has never placed on good to firm ground. 0-4.

Lord Aeryn finished 0.5l ahead of Dubai Dynamo in April and is 3lbs worse off today. That race was run to suit Lord Aeryn. He is 1-17 over 8f and is much better over 7f. He was second in this race behind Dubai Dynamo two years ago but he is yet to convince he can go right handed, 0-6. He is 0-5 on undulating tracks.

Green Howard has never placed in three races beyond 7f. He is 0-4 in class 3 and 0-3 on good to firm.

Osteopathic Remedy is 1lb lower than the mark he won off at Ayr in September. He hasn’t won on good to firm for five years, 0-11 since. He is mainly kept to ground with cut and he won’t like this today.

Swiftly Done has won five times over 8f, all on good or slower ground. He has improved over the last two years but all three of his runs since winning off 90 have been poor. He is 0-6 going right handed. Non Runner.

Suits Me is one of a few that like to lead and is back to the mark he last won off two years ago. He did win on his racecourse debut as 2yo but he has never won after a break of 60 days or more since, 0-7.

Sam Nombulist is another front runner and is still 4lbs higher than his last win. His record off marks above 81 reads 0-7 and he is 0-15 on good to soft or faster.

Venutius placed third on his racecourse debut but has never placed after a break of 30 days or more since, 0-9. He is another one who can force the pace.

St Moritz is 2-3 here with a second as well from three races. He is well handicapped on the best of his form. Though he doesn’t need to lead all his best form has come when he has raced from the front.

Conclusion: This should be run at quite a clip and that will suit Dubai Dynamo. He can handle the corrugated roofing type track. His last two speed figures of 83 are his best of this campaign and this horse has a 98 and a 94 from last season in his locker from fast run races.


RESET CITY 2.30 RIPON (Each Way)

Reset City ended up in a pace battle last time and did well to keep on into fifth place in a much better race than this. She recorded a decent speed figure. There are some disappointing sorts in this and she may well be able to put a lot of these under pressure. However, she comes with risks as she is a 17 race maiden. Roger Brookhouse has moved her to Mark Johnston to get her that elusive win and it is interesting he has stuck with the mare, though he did breed her and I would think a career as a broodmare awaits Reset City. Johnston has a 20% strike rate with horses that he acquires from other yards. She has run in five races confined the females and been second twice. This looks her easiest ever opportunity.
 
SANDYS ROW 2.30 SOUTHWELL
STREET ARTIST 4.00 SOUTHWELL

Maidens are not really my bag but Sandy’s Row and Street Artist are by Street Cry who is 20-73 with his progeny at Southwell. 19-61 with horses aged 3yo, 4yo or 5yo. Mark Johnston is responsible for three of those nineteen winners from just five runners.
Sandy’s Row run here as a 2yo and finished last. She was put away after that and she could make all here.
Street Artist was beaten 5ls by Renew last time who went onto to finish second in a class 3 at Newmarket off 85.
De Sousa is 8-27 for Johnston at Southwell which improves to 8-18 when the horse is in the first two of the betting.

FUTURE REFERENCE 9.00 KEMPTON

Future Reference is trained by Saeed Bin Suroor whose record in handicaps at Kempton reads 25-86.
However, last season he sent five horses to race in a handicap at Kempton over 7f and won with three of them. De Sousa rode three of them of won on two. He was 0-8 on all the other runners in handicaps. Suroor is also worth watching when he sends one horse to Kempton. 77 times he has sent a sole representative to the track and he has returned a winner on 26 occasions. His last 10 runners have returned the following figures; 1111713113.

Future Reference was beaten 10ls by Llaregyb last time who has franked the form by winning off 10bs higher in a better grade. Future Reference has a first time tongue tie, Suroor 20% with horses with a first time tongue tie.
De Sousa travels down for one ride from Southwell.
 
DARNATHEAN 3.55 LINGFIELD

Darnathean won well last time off a mark of 57, his first win for two years and 10lbs lower, and off his revised mark he must go close again. The cheekpieces certainly appeared to be the key last time and the drop back to 7f will suit as he had to graft to hold off Saint Irene. The form looks sound with the fourth and third finishing first and second on their next run. The booking of Jim Crowley looks significant as his record for Paul Darcy over the last two years reads 3-13. However, at single figure odds that improves to; 112513.

Jonnie Skull is a fine servant to connections but his record off marks above 60 makes him opposable. He is 1-25 though to be fair only one of those was on turf. He is 0-8 over this course and distance though.
Takitwo has his second run for Geoff Deacon. Beaten a length by The Mongoose last time, he gets stronger handling today. However, he is 0-3 on the turf here, never placing. Deacon is 0-11 on the turf with just this horse the only place. He should run well.

Waspy has moved from George Baker to Dr Naylor. Waspy is 0-4, never placed, when returning after a break of 60 days or more. Dr Naylor is without a winner since January 2012, 0-36 and his record with horses arriving from another yard reads 1-24 with the winner 8 years ago, 14 have failed since.

Dvinsky handles anything thrown at him but his record of 4-59 on turf isn’t encouraging, of which he is 1-21 over 7f. It is a year and 19 races since he last won and it is three years since he won turf, 0-11 since, his last run on turf was just under two years ago. There is no doubt he is well handicapped.

Leadenhall Lass is 0-10 over 7f on the turf and all her wins came in fields of 6 runners or less. She is 3-5 in fields of six or less runners whilst she has placed a couple of times in fields of 7-9 runners. Her record in double figure fields is 0-16 with just 2 places.

Hawk Moth is 0-12 on turf and she needs a break between races as she is 0-18 when returning inside a month.

Pharoh Jake is 0-8 on turf and has never placed in six races when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more.

Memphis Man has won 14 races and 11 of those have been over 6f. He is 1-27 over 7f. He’s 0-18 at Lingfield, 0-4 on turf. However, he is 0-19 on an undulating track.

Rooknrasbryripple is 1-31 in all races, her sole win a 2yo seller. She does throw in a decent run now and again but her record of 0-8 on good to firm, two unplaced efforts over 7f makes her very opposable.

Conclusion; This is probably a two horse race on paper. Jonnie Skull will attempt to make all and Dvinsky will join him for the lead. That should set this up for Darnathean who should be able to grab the rail and stalk those two. He could turn out to be well handicapped here.
 
EASTWARD HO 4.20 BEVERLEY

Eastward Ho bumped into Ingelby Angel last time and that form looks strong with the winner winning again off 6lbs higher. Before that he bumped into a revitalised Staff Sergeant and had Copperwood 3.25ls behind him, same terms today. Although both his wins on turf have come on slower ground, he handles quick ground and has a lot of positives today. He is 2-2 over this distance and Tony Hamilton is back on board, 2-6 and Eastward Ho is 122 from three races off 67.

Pivotman is the likely jolly and on his past form he would win this doing handstands. It is nearly two years since he won off 93 and more worryingly he has been breaking blood vessels. Both his wins have come on soft ground and he is 0-6 on right handed tracks.

Copperwood shouldn’t beat Eastward Ho on these terms. He is still well handicapped on turf, 2lbs lower than his Chester win last season. He has conditions to suit and he should run well.

Joyful Sound looks sure to improve now he’s with Brian Ellison. He’s a nine race maiden and has been beaten 6ls or more in eight of those races. He has never placed in five races in class 5 and has never placed in four races when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more.

Rockweiller ran well behind Apache Glory and Saint Thomas last time. Both franked the form on their next runs. The fifth home has also won. He is well handicapped on his wins at Kempton and Nottingham a year ago. He won a class 4 seller at Haydock three years ago but his record in handicaps in class 5 is awful, 0-16. He has an each way chance.

Last Destination is 3-7 here, including a win over this distance a year ago off 56. He appears better giving weight away to inferior rivals as three of his four wins have come when he is in the top three of the weights, 1-15 in all other races. Nigel Tinkler has had 2 winners from his last 100 runners. His last winner was in September last year, 45 have lost since.

Save The Bees last won two years ago and is still 5lbs higher than that mark. That was his only win and he is 0-18 in class 5.

Sir George is just a plater and is 0-16 on turf. He comes from a yard with just one winner from 62 runners.

District Attorney is an 11 race maiden. He has his fourth race for Chris Fairhurst and is yet to get within 21ls of any winner. He is perfectly drawn for his running style.

Firefly is a 14 race maiden but he does have a second over this course and distance in a seller. Other than that he has shown nothing and has never placed in four runs in class 5.

Conclusion: District Attorney will definitely make the running and he may well be joined by Pivotman who has led in the past. Other than those two there isn’t that much pace in the race and that will suit those who race prominently. Eastward Ho comes into this race in form, he has a short head second on the track and with Tony Hamilton back on board he looks sure to go close off this mark.
 
DIAKALI 1.30 AUTEUIL

Diakali has high class form to his name. He was fourth to Our Conor in the Triumph before making all to win the equivalent at Punchestown. That was on heavy ground and with bottomless going at Auteuil today he is likely to take a great deal of beating. He was second to stablemate Blood Cotil last time and is 5lbs better off for a length. He had previously beaten him off levels at Punchestown. The third was Le Grand Luce who is 4lbs better off with Diakali for a neck. By rights that should give that horse a strong chance but the two Irish horses appeared to have him covered at arms length. Ptit Zig was third in the Fred Winter and then won a class 2 at Sandown. Has to step up again here. Dalasiri was well behind Diakali in February but was found to be suffering from a lung infection. He has all to do to turn the tables but he should run well.

Conclusion: It could be a fruitful day for Walsh and Mullins in the Paris suburbs. Thousand Stars goes for the hat trick in the French Champion hurdle but meets some strong opposition and this may well be the best chance of a winner. Diakali should lead all the way here and if he can cut out the mistakes that cost him victory last time, he will win this with ease.
 
APACHE DAWN 6.40 SOUTHWELL

Apache Dawn won a National Hunt race at the 51st attempt two runs back and followed up in a handicap last time. It is difficult to know what Aytach Sadik has done with the horse to rekindle his enthusiasm but he is very well handicapped. He was rated 99 over hurdles and 90 over fences two years ago and is clearly much better than that now. He can lead or track the pace and with Turf Trivia as the only other recognised pace setter he should have this lot in trouble. He has perfect conditions.

Turf Trivia is 0-11 over the larger obstacles and tends to take liberties with his fences. He likes to lead and he wouldn’t want to get in a pace battle with Apache Dawn. He has never placed on a flat track, 0-6 and has never won a handicap under National Hunt rules.

Mad Professor won a chase at Worcester off 68 a year ago and whilst he has been consistent he has failed to win in 13 attempts since. He run well from out of the handicap last time and back to a mark of 68 his chance is there for all to see. However, he finished 27ls behind Apache Dawn on May 1st round here and even on 19lbs better terms it is difficult to see him turning the tables. A record of 3-76 in chases means it will take a leap of faith to support him.

Crack At Dawn has won round here over hurdles. He mugged Moscow Mule last time at Towcester and the third has since won. He is well handicapped on his best form and has conditions to suit. He should run well but he may find himself with too much to do due to his running style.

Truckers Benefit is 0-7 when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more. He is still 3lbs higher than his win at Plumpton which was on good to soft. He should run well but he is another hold up horse.

The Grey One is handicapped to win but he has never placed in four chases round here nor has he won left handed, 0-11.

Novikov last won in 2010 and the closest he has got in 12 races since is a 12.5l 3rd of 5 in 2012. He is regressive now and is another hold up horse.

Strathaird is 6lbs below his last winning mark but he run reasonably well in a race that They Grey One and Turf Trivia contested last time and that was a worse race than this. He finished third that day and he generally runs his race here. Andy Crook has had 4 winners from his last 100 runners and the last 33 have all lost.

Conclusion: There is no pace in the race and Apache Dawn and Turf Trivia should be able to canter along in their own time. Turf Triva makes many mistakes and Apache Dawn should leave him in his wake once he goes through the gears. Crack At Dawn is a live danger but this could well be over before he gets going.
 
SILVER STEEL 3.15 FONTWELL

Silver Steel is an interesting one today. He has travelled to Fontwell where Richard Ford is 3-10 but hasn’t had a runner since 2009 and is ridden by Tony McCoy who has had two rides for this yard in the last four years, a win and a third on this horse. Silver Steel ran in a selling chase last time that has worked out quite well with the winner and third subsequently winning. Silver Steel pulled clear of his field that day with Borolee but got outstayed. The drop back to this stiff 20f looks ideal. Blinkers are the chosen headgear with the tongue tie today and he has a win and a third from two runs in that combination. He can handle all ground and with three front runners in the race it will be run to suit.

Darnborough won a weak handicap chase at Southwell last time as he wished after market rival Turf Trivia departed at the seventh. He is up 7lbs for that but he should have the necessary improvement. He won a maiden point to point at Hornby Castle, undulating, in April and was second at Dalston, flat,before that. Both those races he made the running and looked to be crying out for shorter. Tom Symonds dropped him to 16f last time and that worked the oracle. He wasn’t unfancied. He has half a mile further to travel today and will get taken on if he leads. He should handle the track.

Celtic Intrigue was put in his place by Cloverhill Lad in a Novice chase last time but that horse has placed twice since off 8lbs higher. Celtic Intrigue is an 11 race maiden under rules. However, Brennan and George are 3-6 in handicap chases at Fontwell. He should run well but being by Celtic Swing this distance is right on the limit for his progeny and this is a stiff 20f. If he tracks the pace like he did last time he may well not get home.

Lajidaal has won both his races at Fontwell from 8 attempts and he general runs his race. He is 0-12 beyond 18.5f.

Mutab is 0-5 beyond 17f and his only win under NH rules is a selling hurdle.

One For The Boss is 0-9 under rules and has shown nothing.

Benefit Evening is 0-14 under rules though this is just his second chase. He was pulled up behind Themilanhorse last time and he will find this easier. The closest he has ever got to winning when having to jump an obstacle is a 19l 4th in a maiden hurdle two years ago.

She’s Humble has never won a hurdle or chase with more than six runners, 0-41.

Conclusion: The top three in the betting should dominate this and with three front runners in the field it should be run at a quick pace. Darnborough is another who can lead and that would not be beneficial to him here. He can run well but off 7lbs higher in a race not run to suit he is passed over. There are stamina doubts about Celtic Intrigue so this is best left to Silver Steel. He will stay this trip no problem and the booking of McCoy on a rare visit for Richard Ford swings the verdict. Silver Steel looks a banker to place and if he gets the pace he needs to chase, he should be able to pass some tired horse in the home straight.
 
BALTIC BOMBER 2.30 BEVERLEY

Baltic Bomber has been running over 6f in his last two races and those runs can be forgotten as he is far a better horse over 5f. He has never placed over 6f. He was beaten just over 1l into fourth on his third last run over this course and distance in a better race and that form is rock solid. The winner, Black Annis Bower, has subsequently placed and won off 4lbs higher. The fifth and ninth home have also won. Third home was Diamond Blue who went onto to finish second next time. Baltic Bomber was stopped in his tracks when making his move and in easier company today he should go very close. Conditions are ideal.

Chocamoca is the likely jolly and his second to Bondi Beach Boy looks strong form with the winner going in again off 4lbs higher. However, this is a slightly better class 6 than that race and he has now gone up 4lbs without winning this season. He has won off a higher mark and he won this race two years ago off 55. His record when carrying 9-8 or more in a handicap reads 112 from three races. He should run well. Likes to race prominently which may not suit him here.

Amadeus Denton hasn’t won for two years and there is no doubt he is very well handicapped. Won a nursery of 76. He has never carried this much physical weight, unplaced both times when carrying 9-7. He was held up last time but he usually races in the van which won’t suit here.

Pull The Pin was 2ls behind Chocamoca last time and has 11lbs in hand today. He should turn the tables. However, he is 0-11 on turf, 0-4 over 5f and both his wins were at Southwell so this ground probably won’t suit.

Amenable has a win off 78 a year ago when with David Nicholls and he has been running with the handbrake on since January. He has had 12 runs for Violet Jordan without winning and his record when returning to the track within 7 days reads 0-4, never placing.

Lady Royale last won two years ago off 81. However, she is 0-8 when returning after a break of 30 days or more, never placing.

Showtime Girl runs in her first handicap after an unsuccessful stint in maidens. Tim Easterby’s record with maidens making their handicap debut reads 19-412, the last 35 have lost. She will make the running.

Sophie’s Beau won this race last year off 46 and is 3lbs higher for a repeat. She has lost all 11races since, never placed, and she comes from a yard whose last winner on the flat was in January, 26 have lost since with just one placing. She will try and make the running.

Fathey has two wins from 52 races, the last one two years ago. Both wins came after a break of at least 90 days and has never placed when returning inside 7 days, 0-5.

Conclusion: Baltic Bomber is 2-3 when the average OR is in the 50s and has a very good chance today. There are a couple of front runners and another six who like to be in the van. That will set it up and Baltic Bomber will find this lot easier to pick off than his previous visit here. Chocamoca looks the obvious danger.
 
NASSAU STORM 4.10 NOTTINGHAM

Nassau Storm has some very good form to his name. He was only beaten 1l in a similar race to this on his seasonal debut. He met trouble in running and could be counted slightly unlucky. He was second to Belgian Bill in a better race than this on his final run last season. That form has been franked with the winner scoring again and finishing second in listed class off 3lbs higher in which he had Producer well beaten. Mickail Barzalona has his first ride for Bill Knight

Dick Bos won as he liked with an uncontested lead last time and steps up in grade and is 6lbs higher and has 5lbs more physical weight to carry. He is yet to race on ground with firm in the name.

Head Space is just 1lb higher than his last win but he has never placed in class 2 from 5 outings. It is possible he is better over 5f as he is just 1-11 over 6f.

Joe Packet is 0-12 in class 2 and though he was looked after last time he is probably up against it here. He has one win and three places from five races over 6f on flat tracks.

Compton is 0-8 in class 2 and hasn’t won over 6f since his racecourse debut. That was the only time he has raced on this ground.

Misplaced Fortune is 0-12 in class 2 and was well behind Dick Bos last time. There is no guarantee she will turn over the deficit on these terms. Tinkler has had one winner from his last 100 runners, the last 60 have lost.

El Viento is 1-17 in class 2 but he is 5lbs above the mark he last won off. His record off marks 89 or higher reads 0-13 and off marks 89-92, 0-11.

Harrison George is being kept busy but his losing run is now 23 stretching back to 2010. Though he won a listed race in his pomp he is 0-22 in class 2.

Tioman Legend is 0-9 in double figure fields and 0-7 over 6f. He has never placed in 5 outings in class 2.

Church Music is 1-16 on turf and 0-4 in class 2. His win was on his racecourse debut two years ago.

Cheveton is 0-8 on good to firm and has never placed off a mark higher than 87 in the last two years, 0-14.

Conclusion: A lot of these will have to run a PB to score. Dick Bos may well get his own way up front again but there are a few that can race prominently. Nassau Storm can lie up with the pace or be produced for a late run. Either way, he looks well capable of scoring off this mark.
 
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