Sniper's Tips
- Thread starter sniper7
- Start date
sniper7
Yearling
4/20 20.% P/L -12.42 A/E 1.03 (sum 3.88)
3.10 Α Sea Force
3.35 N Crimson Advocate
3.45 A Orionis
3.55 Y Fincancer
4.32 Y Mahras Love
7.40 C My Ambition
There is a trend for Crimson Advocate. LTO winners on Duke of Cambridge have won Falmouth Stakes and Crimson Advocate is a qualifier. Apart from that Gosden has an excellent performance with 4yo on good to firm. Just saying!
3.10 Α Sea Force
3.35 N Crimson Advocate
3.45 A Orionis
3.55 Y Fincancer
4.32 Y Mahras Love
7.40 C My Ambition
There is a trend for Crimson Advocate. LTO winners on Duke of Cambridge have won Falmouth Stakes and Crimson Advocate is a qualifier. Apart from that Gosden has an excellent performance with 4yo on good to firm. Just saying!
sniper7
Yearling
4.00 N Saba Desert
LTO he won easily against his rivals at Sandown without much effort by William although the pace was too slow. I think that he has a lot more than that to give and he is a lot better than the odds on fav Italy. Charlie's form on the last 30 days is amazing which is a plus.
LTO he won easily against his rivals at Sandown without much effort by William although the pace was too slow. I think that he has a lot more than that to give and he is a lot better than the odds on fav Italy. Charlie's form on the last 30 days is amazing which is a plus.
sniper7
Yearling
8/35 22.8% P/L -10.79 ROI -30.8% A/E 1.18 (sum 6.77)
6.03 Y Molten Sea
It's a system pick so the entry is automatic, but i guess the outcome will depend entirely on Cieren's judgement. Either he pushes Savrola (likely the front runner) and both burn out, or he tracks him closely and times his move to try passing 2 furlongs out. One more disadvantage: Molten Sea is a filly running against males.
4.45 A Raneen
This is also a system selection. What I would highlight is that the horse is dropping in both class and distance within a competitive field. In my view, this represents value for two reasons: firstly, the odds offered are longer than those of most competitors, which I believe underestimates her true chances. Secondly, a drop in distance can often be a deliberate strategy by trainers to capitalize on the horse being in peak condition, potentially catching the market off guard. While this is a sprint race and it is difficult to be certain, I would rather take the calculated risk than discover otherwise through experience.
13:30 U Jentobello
This is exactly what I love about horseracing — the subtle layers of insight and intrigue that go beyond the surface. In my country, we have a saying among racegoers: "They believe in Saint Suspicion." Seeing an owner purchase a horse that previously beat their own certainly raises eyebrows — and often, this kind of move is eventually reflected in the market. I do wish I could secure a bigger price, but I’ll set aside any greed and gratefully take what’s being offered.
6.03 Y Molten Sea
It's a system pick so the entry is automatic, but i guess the outcome will depend entirely on Cieren's judgement. Either he pushes Savrola (likely the front runner) and both burn out, or he tracks him closely and times his move to try passing 2 furlongs out. One more disadvantage: Molten Sea is a filly running against males.
4.45 A Raneen
This is also a system selection. What I would highlight is that the horse is dropping in both class and distance within a competitive field. In my view, this represents value for two reasons: firstly, the odds offered are longer than those of most competitors, which I believe underestimates her true chances. Secondly, a drop in distance can often be a deliberate strategy by trainers to capitalize on the horse being in peak condition, potentially catching the market off guard. While this is a sprint race and it is difficult to be certain, I would rather take the calculated risk than discover otherwise through experience.
13:30 U Jentobello
This is exactly what I love about horseracing — the subtle layers of insight and intrigue that go beyond the surface. In my country, we have a saying among racegoers: "They believe in Saint Suspicion." Seeing an owner purchase a horse that previously beat their own certainly raises eyebrows — and often, this kind of move is eventually reflected in the market. I do wish I could secure a bigger price, but I’ll set aside any greed and gratefully take what’s being offered.
sniper7
Yearling
8/38 21.05% P/L -13.79 ROI -36.2% A/E 1.03 (sum 7.77)
Tough day yesterday—one of those where nothing goes right, but that’s part of the game in horseracing. Losses have taken a hit, but as always, this is a marathon, not a sprint.
Today, there are 5 qualifiers: three from the Haggas system and two from other methods I follow, both of which I believe have long-term profitability. Let’s see how it plays out—sticking to the process as always
4.45 A Tenability
3.15 C Showering
8.15 W Another Abbot
2.45 C Style of life
1.52 N Crownthorpe
Tough day yesterday—one of those where nothing goes right, but that’s part of the game in horseracing. Losses have taken a hit, but as always, this is a marathon, not a sprint.
Today, there are 5 qualifiers: three from the Haggas system and two from other methods I follow, both of which I believe have long-term profitability. Let’s see how it plays out—sticking to the process as always
4.45 A Tenability
3.15 C Showering
8.15 W Another Abbot
2.45 C Style of life
1.52 N Crownthorpe
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