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Sniper's Tips

Hi @sniper I think you will get more responses if you post why they are selections even if only a few words. Only a suggestion , but meat on the bones tends to get more involvement in your new thread
 
8.45 B Triple Force

TF won LTO and he was a qualifier on my system last Thursday. Top rated on HRB ratings although i don't like that he is an odds-on favourite but a system is a system and i have to follow it blindly. By the way on his last run wore a visor for 1st time and it could probably be one of the reasons that he performed really keeping a 10l distance from the field from the 5f mark.

3.40 A Starlust

My second tip comes from my knowledge. I really can't understand the reason behind 14/1 for Starlust. He has an awesome turn of foot and i really don't get it. At least an each way bet is a value bet.
 
4.30 B Grand Harbour 4.00
Today's only qualifier due to Prescot's performance and t/j combo.
Horse stats are awful and his second performance in handicap suggests that he is not ready yet. Mark dropped down 2 lbs but I think he needs to drop down more.
I don't want to bet on him but I have to because is a system pick
 
Till June 17th there was a small profit but i 'll start keeping a record from today at SP prices for the shake of my systems. One of my systems takes into account the top 2 rated horses on HRB standard and i think that i can't calculate them on HRB so i 'll keep a record for all my qualifiers.

0/2 P/L -2
 
3.33 W Keepmeoutofthis
4.58 S Tremorgio
8.20 B My ambition
8.50 B Launceston

If the price of Tremorgio drops below 2.00 then it will be considered no bet. I have a minimum price of 2.00 for one of my systems.
 
Rose stakes

Lyons has never won this race altough his filly is undefeated bun on a maiden and a novice stakes.

Joseph O' Brien has won it twice . And so to bed lto lost by HD from Green Triangle. She will probably handle the distance and could won the race.
 
3.35 N Anthelia @4.00

She managed to won a listed race lto without a clear run. I think that at this level and with those rivals she won't have to do much to add a win to her unbeatable record.
 
1/8 12.5% P/L -6.17 A/E 0.54 (1.82)

7.08 R Out on Friday@ 23 ΕW
7.18 S Timeforarum @ 9.00 EW
20.18 S Kaproyale @11 EW
 
1/11 9% P/L -12.17 A/E 0.48 (2.06)

What a disaster. But that's what horseracing is about. Highs and lows. We have an old saying in my country about horseracing. "Horseracing doesn't donate money it just borrows money" Let's borrow some money then...

For today i have two picks which are from my experience and not from any of my systems and that's the reason that i 'll be able to share my thoughts and explain the reasons for picking them.

15:35 Sandown Coral Eclipse

My pick is Hotazhell . I bet on him 2 days ago while he had a price of 34. At the moment his odds are 25/1 and although going is a concern Azenzar's offsprings (is it the proper word?) have exceptional results in GD to FM ground which is a plus for my pick. Apart from that his rate is 117 and the 4yos' give 10 lbs which means that he is only 1 point away from top favourite of the race. I think that an EW bet is a very good option in case that Obudsman and other contenders are the superhorses of the century and win the race.

I usually avoid Group and Listed races because they are too competitive but when a value horse appears i can't refuse the offer.

16:12 Sandown

Arctic Grey didn't perform well LTO in Ascot but he didn't have a clear run either he had to slow down at some point. On his 2LR he managed to win a class 4 handicap in Goodwood where he was pressed on the last furlong to keep the lead and win the race. I guess that today is going to have a clear run and be in the first 3 places.
 
Following 3 picks are from systems. Two picks are from a system for Haggas (i fancy him as a trainer he is a decent trainer) and Milteye is a pick because of Bethell and although i was wondering why on the river wasn't a qualifier when i saw his age i knew the reason.

4.33 B Take a Breath
4.45 S Yabher
8.12 C Milteye
 
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