Poisson and opposition

[MySportsAI]

This is a nice introduction but the quality of opposition over the last x games surely has to be considered when assessing attack and defence strength ?

Poisson Distribution: Predicting the Scores in the World Soccer Cup 2026

Poisson Distribution, coupled with historical data, provides a reliable method for calculating the most likely score in a soccer match which can be applied to betting in the World Cup Soccer 2026. This article shows how to calculate the Attack/Defence Strength measures along with a handy...

www.pinnacle.com

 

[TheBluesBrother]

I used to be a subscriber to Odds Wizard years ago.
Alex from Ukraine tried to implement horse racing into the program, I pointed out the pitfalls of why this wouldn't be possible.

Odds Wizard sports analysis software from Newhaven Software

Sports prediction and analysis software. Computes thousands pre-match and live odds for soccer, hockey, tennis, basketball, baseball, am/football. Optimizes bets.

www.newhavensoft.net

Mike.

 

[Halifaxjohn]

Here is excel sheets I created for poisson
I used AI recently and it advised me how to "upgrade" the sheet
The most updated league is The Premiership
Most of the remaining are a season or more out of date